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2021-12-31 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2435
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.6%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.876905-6.27%0.6983-25.36%0.0481✓1.7030.1M2022-01-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.3093-5.29%3.62-20.44%0.0318✓1.3412.3M2022-01-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.022233-5.23%0.01509-35.68%0.2816✓1.0033.0M2022-01-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.5494-4.36%1.0882-32.83%0.2661✓0.824.6M2022-01-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.188769-4.12%0.17255-12.36%0.0785✗1.598,4562022-01-07
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4312-3.92%1.3612-8.62%0.0980✗1.405.8M2022-01-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.316981-3.33%0.3309+0.91%0.1430✗0.94293k2022-01-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2211.8138-3.32%10.15-16.94%0.0920✓0.561.3M2022-01-07
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.1732-2.89%3.05-6.66%0.0609✗0.956.9M2022-01-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9237.8059-2.86%30.01-22.89%0.0382✓1.826.6M2022-01-07
ZECZcashZcash146.46142.556-2.67%139.74-4.59%0.1246✗1.3611.8M2022-01-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3333-2.66%2.1392-10.76%0.0342✗1.14128k2022-01-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.3631-2.65%12.12-4.57%0.0244✓-0.044.2M2022-01-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3298-2.64%1.1144-18.41%0.0771✓0.9423.6M2022-01-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.596488-2.53%0.546-10.78%0.0463✗1.272.5M2022-01-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6938.6937-2.51%37.02-6.73%0.1331✗1.672.9M2022-01-07
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.0148-2.50%0.01358-10.54%0.0157✓0.96868k2022-01-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.669525-2.46%0.5999-12.60%0.0308✗1.333.1M2022-01-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5114-2.43%2.344-8.94%0.0396✗1.032.1M2022-01-07
LUNATerraTerra 285.5683.5103-2.40%68.69-19.72%0.0894✓1.006.3M2022-01-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.1942-2.36%5-6.02%0.1015✗1.3228.7M2022-01-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.5042-2.34%9.26-21.39%0.2354✓-0.173.4M2022-01-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4106.8859-2.30%86.79-20.67%0.0908✓1.11127.7M2022-01-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4159-2.29%2.889-17.36%0.0022✓1.602.5M2022-01-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.08321-2.26%0.0749-12.02%0.0260✗1.2421.7M2022-01-07
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.21-2.23%7.17-23.89%0.1084✓1.3417.1M2022-01-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.533-2.15%1.2622-19.43%0.0919✓0.974.3M2022-01-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2021-2.13%1.0067-18.03%0.0295✓1.402.1M2022-01-07
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528178.0891-2.07%163.2907-10.21%0.0361✗1.16622k2022-01-07
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.4727-2.05%12.098-4.99%0.0416✓-0.10111k2022-01-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4331.7943-1.96%38.54+18.84%0.2865✗0.8942.6M2022-01-07
ZENHorizenBase60.5759.4121-1.91%55.57-8.25%0.0930✗1.511.0M2022-01-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.171889-1.89%0.1543-11.93%0.0148✓1.162.8M2022-01-07
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.6465-1.88%8.9-17.97%0.0888✓0.851.2M2022-01-07
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4742-1.86%3.36-5.08%0.0798✗1.07723k2022-01-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.074939-1.78%0.0669-12.32%0.0336✗1.391.7M2022-01-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1825-1.78%1.0712-11.02%0.0901✗1.781.4M2022-01-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6295-1.77%1.445-12.89%0.0014✓1.1231.7M2022-01-07
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0538-1.77%1.668-20.22%0.0045✓1.921.5M2022-01-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.2652-1.72%3.07-29.26%0.2228✓1.003.4M2022-01-07
UMAUMAEthereum9.118.963-1.61%9.41+3.29%0.1676✗1.124.1M2022-01-07
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.1521-1.61%3.79-10.19%0.0147✓1.001.1M2022-01-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.052468-1.58%0.04946-7.22%0.0584✗1.1115k2022-01-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.5944-1.58%1.55-4.32%0.1544✗1.721.1M2022-01-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7155-1.57%1.5636-10.28%0.0088✓0.79889k2022-01-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1125-1.55%1-11.50%0.0007✓1.002.2M2022-01-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.0626-1.46%0.059308-6.64%0.0955✗1.417.9M2022-01-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.6742-1.44%3.9099-17.56%0.1013✓0.7322k2022-01-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.895783-1.43%0.9215+1.40%0.1343✗1.00146k2022-01-07
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92250.3584-1.40%211.6-16.67%0.0483✓1.1311.5M2022-01-07
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.8422-1.38%3.77-23.22%0.1443✓1.003.0M2022-01-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.349927-1.35%0.3378-4.76%0.1212✗1.484.3M2022-01-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000032984-1.30%0.00002895-13.38%0.0034✓1.262.0M2022-01-07
XVGVergenative0.017030.016809-1.30%0.01454-14.62%0.0187✓1.192.4M2022-01-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2633-1.27%2.05+60.21%0.5988✗1.08987k2022-01-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.099679-1.21%0.0942-6.64%0.0118✓0.6564k2022-01-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.03343-1.17%0.029557-12.62%0.0126✓1.048.5M2022-01-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.421165-1.14%0.369-13.38%0.0541✓0.7446k2022-01-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.018866-1.12%0.0169-11.43%0.0436✓0.6342k2022-01-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.5552-1.11%4.1928-8.98%0.0544✗1.305.0M2022-01-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.047745-1.11%0.04349-9.92%0.0035✓0.918.6M2022-01-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.280197-1.10%0.2638-6.88%0.0784✗1.315.5M2022-01-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.70012-1.09%0.638-9.86%0.0420✗1.276.1M2022-01-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,684.11-1.07%35,821.08+8.42%0.1519✗0.5713.3M2022-01-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.0143-1.06%6.989-13.72%0.0029✓1.26391k2022-01-07
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.834217-1.04%0.802-4.86%0.1177✗1.488.5M2022-01-07
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.2953-1.04%4.2564-1.94%0.1309✗1.324.9M2022-01-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.200223-1.03%0.173-14.48%0.0155✓1.235.4M2022-01-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.1631-1.01%20.9-14.38%0.0340✓1.051.5M2022-01-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8529-1.01%2.661-7.67%0.0233✗0.8853k2022-01-07
BANDBandEthereum5.014.9599-1.00%5.27+5.19%0.1888✗1.212.4M2022-01-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.3263-1.00%8.03-4.52%0.0446✗0.761.1M2022-01-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5267-0.99%1.306-15.30%0.0206✓1.283.6M2022-01-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0632.7429-0.96%30.97-6.32%0.1067✗1.531.3M2022-01-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.726-0.94%3.5714-5.05%0.0549✓-0.12409k2022-01-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015644-0.92%0.01562-1.08%0.1362✗1.302.3M2022-01-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.1804-0.92%3.11-3.12%0.0836✗1.001.1M2022-01-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.362262-0.89%0.3192-12.67%0.0090✗1.284.2M2022-01-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.8342-0.88%5.4947-6.65%0.0676✗1.20649k2022-01-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.127192-0.86%0.1111-13.41%0.0218✓1.07324k2022-01-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.096271-0.85%0.0855-11.95%0.0272✗1.381.8M2022-01-07
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.1939-0.85%19.19-10.23%0.0750✗1.6516.6M2022-01-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1213-0.80%3.0272-3.79%0.0974✗1.213.3M2022-01-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4377-0.77%5.4-1.46%0.1147✗1.154.3M2022-01-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9074-0.77%2.83-3.41%0.1117✗1.313.2M2022-01-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.410798-0.75%0.5162+24.72%0.3771✗1.40722k2022-01-07
KSMKusamaHydration276.22274.182-0.74%250.4-9.35%0.0273✗1.111.4M2022-01-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2502-0.70%1.054-16.28%0.0702✓0.952.7M2022-01-07
DASHDashDash133.78132.8668-0.68%134.68+0.67%0.1487✗1.282.1M2022-01-07
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.2993-0.68%1.2093-7.56%0.0429✗1.08106.2M2022-01-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.4777-0.67%4.127-8.45%0.0068✓0.711.0M2022-01-07
GTGateEthereum6.55556.5116-0.67%6.1737-5.82%0.0355✗0.844.0M2022-01-07
SOLSolanaSolana169.88168.7546-0.66%136.37-19.73%0.1014✓1.05236.5M2022-01-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6233-0.65%1.506-7.83%0.0677✗1.357.6M2022-01-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.8171-0.63%8.183-7.78%0.0112✓0.60338k2022-01-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.797682-0.61%0.752558-6.24%0.0593✗1.112.8M2022-01-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.9776-0.61%15.09+0.13%0.0801✗0.691.4M2022-01-07
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3807-0.61%3.0909-9.13%0.0229✗1.06798k2022-01-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.081807-0.60%0.076-7.65%0.0412✗1.0820k2022-01-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.2161-0.59%27.94-11.02%0.0399✓0.67503k2022-01-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112081-0.56%0.10346-8.21%0.0384✗1.1229k2022-01-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2192.7118-0.53%73.42-21.23%0.1301✓0.977.0M2022-01-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.638767-0.52%0.5936-7.55%0.0643✗1.3011.8M2022-01-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.197397-0.51%0.1763-11.14%0.0178✓0.90622k2022-01-07
XMRMoneroMonero228.93227.8442-0.47%194.72-14.94%0.0541✓0.973.0M2022-01-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15145.5056-0.44%131.34-10.13%0.0413✗1.3646.1M2022-01-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0014-0.43%4.597-8.48%0.0213✓0.59773k2022-01-07
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58198.8299-0.38%192.9-3.35%0.0917✗1.15210k2022-01-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,663.02-0.35%3,198.82-12.98%0.0247✓1.05716.9M2022-01-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15428.6614-0.35%385.43-10.40%0.0007✓1.019.8M2022-01-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3819-0.34%2.18-8.79%0.0229✗1.054.1M2022-01-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0633.9461-0.33%30.45-10.60%0.0021✓1.054.7M2022-01-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.169665-0.33%0.154835-9.04%0.0263✗1.115.5M2022-01-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.3409-0.32%30.22+23.75%0.3679✗1.4324.2M2022-01-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0184.005-0.32%3.811-5.15%0.0191✗0.65502k2022-01-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02120.6321-0.32%109.72-9.34%0.0071✗0.963.7M2022-01-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0815-0.28%10.01-0.99%0.0721✗0.751.3M2022-01-07
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7128-0.27%7.8679-9.94%0.0499✗1.43280k2022-01-07
QNTQuantEthereum179.22178.7537-0.26%177.7-0.85%0.0968✗0.979.4M2022-01-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.265881-0.22%0.257021-3.55%0.0743✗1.0227.7M2022-01-07
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1066-0.22%13.92-8.06%0.0390✗1.144.3M2022-01-07
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000107987-0.19%0.00009855-8.91%0.0141✗1.008.0M2022-01-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021784-0.17%0.019625-10.07%0.0240✗1.212.4M2022-01-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.79-0.11%8.18-7.05%0.0075✓0.61999k2022-01-07
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.2069-0.11%35.51-7.16%0.0381✗1.0520.7M2022-01-07
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.9614-0.11%15.75-7.24%0.0636✗1.3015.5M2022-01-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.087591-0.09%0.07895-9.95%0.0497✗1.453.9M2022-01-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.6506-0.07%24.88-6.71%0.0673✗1.2875.1M2022-01-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.2273-0.04%31.53-7.91%0.0274✗1.0323.7M2022-01-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2046,049.50-0.02%41,663.10-9.55%0.0035✗0.989,2042022-01-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0577-0.01%1.857-9.77%0.0174✗1.133.1M2022-01-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5082-0.01%25.97+33.11%0.4280✗1.3469.7M2022-01-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0645+0.06%6.64-5.95%0.0055✓0.641.1M2022-01-07
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122852+0.12%0.1166-4.97%0.0650✓1.11153k2022-01-07
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.194801+0.15%0.1805-7.20%0.0204✗0.53410k2022-01-07
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075615+0.18%0.068128-9.74%0.0035✗0.95607k2022-01-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,332.84+0.26%41,565.18-10.05%0.0026✓1.00750.8M2022-01-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.