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2021-12-30 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1371
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.5%
in alpha space · 82.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,122.0847,196.35+0.16%43,083.76-8.57%0.0016✗1.00750.8M2022-01-06
XYMSymbolnative0.1880.188292+0.16%0.1919+2.07%0.0672✓0.54393k2022-01-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,186.0047,193.92+0.02%43,220.90-8.40%0.0004✗0.989,2042022-01-06
XEMNEMnative0.12550.125518+0.01%0.1232-1.83%0.0805✓1.11158k2022-01-06
TRXTRONTron0.0778530.077853-0.00%0.071075-8.71%0.0061✓0.95607k2022-01-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.137.1276-0.03%6.77-5.05%0.0057✗0.641.1M2022-01-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0632.0621-0.04%2.026-1.79%0.0842✗1.143.2M2022-01-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9419.9301-0.05%25.39+27.33%0.3622✗1.3469.7M2022-01-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.9634.925-0.10%32.98-5.66%0.0354✗1.0323.3M2022-01-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.5327.4948-0.13%26.71-2.98%0.0860✗1.2875.5M2022-01-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.878.8579-0.14%8.21-7.44%0.0213✓0.611.0M2022-01-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0221420.0221-0.19%0.020968-5.30%0.0562✗1.212.4M2022-01-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.088510.08833-0.20%0.08065-8.88%0.0393✗1.454.0M2022-01-06
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8117.7661-0.25%17.06-4.21%0.0755✗1.2915.5M2022-01-06
QTUMQtumQtum8.83848.8165-0.25%8.3621-5.39%0.0758✗1.44280k2022-01-06
FTTFTXEthereum38.8938.7869-0.27%38.64-0.64%0.0905✗1.0520.7M2022-01-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2680.267281-0.27%0.2675-0.19%0.0926✗1.0229.6M2022-01-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0484.0363-0.29%3.876-4.25%0.0178✗0.65514k2022-01-06
XVSVenusEthereum15.3715.3254-0.29%14.53-5.47%0.0491✗1.144.7M2022-01-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0794-0.30%10.01-0.99%0.0605✗0.751.4M2022-01-06
QNTQuantEthereum178.71178.1582-0.31%178.46-0.14%0.0890✗0.979.8M2022-01-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.49122.0484-0.36%111.16-9.25%0.0071✓0.963.7M2022-01-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash431.58430.0025-0.37%400.02-7.31%0.0185✗1.019.8M2022-01-06
XECeCashnative0.000109590.000109175-0.38%0.00010344-5.61%0.0355✗1.009.0M2022-01-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1711830.170499-0.40%0.160007-6.53%0.0364✗1.115.5M2022-01-06
COMPCompoundEthereum199.64198.8167-0.41%204.52+2.44%0.1319✗1.16220k2022-01-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,710.023,694.44-0.42%3,406.03-8.19%0.0126✗1.05752.6M2022-01-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5734.4228-0.43%31.67-8.39%0.0105✗1.054.7M2022-01-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7824.6707-0.44%30.59+23.45%0.3435✗1.4324.1M2022-01-06
XMRMoneroMonero225.01223.9637-0.47%205.35-8.74%0.0010✓0.982.9M2022-01-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111260.11074-0.47%0.10779-3.12%0.0738✗1.1229k2022-01-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0795.0552-0.47%4.805-5.39%0.0026✓0.60798k2022-01-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.462.4479-0.49%2.35-4.47%0.0533✗1.054.2M2022-01-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.94147.0858-0.58%135.9-8.14%0.0426✗1.3649.4M2022-01-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7954090.790795-0.58%0.798009+0.33%0.1091✗1.122.8M2022-01-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20070.199518-0.59%0.1812-9.72%0.0157✓0.90655k2022-01-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64660.642468-0.64%0.6365-1.56%0.1074✗1.3011.8M2022-01-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08280.082271-0.64%0.0802-3.14%0.0719✗1.0918k2022-01-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4030.400324-0.66%0.386-4.22%0.0311✗0.7545k2022-01-06
NANOnanopayBase3.48683.463-0.68%3.3664-3.45%0.0668✗1.06819k2022-01-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.0631.8388-0.69%29.35-8.45%0.0215✓0.67518k2022-01-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.4515.3417-0.70%14.5-6.15%0.0049✓0.681.4M2022-01-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6241.6123-0.72%1.537-5.36%0.0734✗1.357.9M2022-01-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.0394.3323-0.73%79.02-16.85%0.0899✓0.977.4M2022-01-06
SOLSolanaSolana172.52171.2494-0.74%150.23-12.92%0.0365✓1.05248.9M2022-01-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum30,177.9029,944.06-0.77%35,933.69+19.07%0.2352✗0.5910.4M2022-01-06
DASHDashDash133.04132-0.78%124.32-6.55%0.0549✗1.282.0M2022-01-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2671.2569-0.80%1.163-8.21%0.0076✓0.952.8M2022-01-06
ADACardanoCardano1.35851.3474-0.82%1.2794-5.82%0.0449✗1.08114.6M2022-01-06
GTGateEthereum6.81526.7593-0.82%6.2776-7.89%0.0006✓0.834.0M2022-01-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.555.5038-0.83%5.96+7.39%0.1827✗1.154.3M2022-01-06
KSMKusamaHydration280.04277.7031-0.83%269.76-3.67%0.0709✗1.121.5M2022-01-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.3299.2479-0.87%8.508-8.80%0.0305✓0.59368k2022-01-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.04820.8604-0.89%20.968-0.38%0.1532✗1.6517.5M2022-01-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41890.415156-0.89%0.553+32.01%0.4132✗1.41793k2022-01-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13170.130518-0.90%0.1215-7.74%0.0243✗1.07344k2022-01-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6974.6545-0.91%4.338-7.64%0.0077✓0.701.0M2022-01-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.093.0613-0.93%3.01-2.59%0.0998✗1.303.2M2022-01-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17713.1473-0.94%3.0021-5.51%0.0617✗1.223.3M2022-01-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5331.5181-0.97%1.42-7.37%0.0483✗1.293.8M2022-01-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80783.7701-0.99%3.77-0.99%0.0109✓-0.12409k2022-01-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.370.366298-1.00%0.341-7.84%0.0433✗1.284.3M2022-01-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09810.097115-1.00%0.0923-5.91%0.0728✗1.381.9M2022-01-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.2362-1.03%3.23-1.22%0.0877✗1.001.1M2022-01-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06546.0025-1.04%5.6388-7.03%0.0454✗1.20653k2022-01-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3028.2153-1.04%7.686-7.42%0.0468✗1.27392k2022-01-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0123.7589-1.05%22.55-6.08%0.0425✗1.061.5M2022-01-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.9933.6337-1.05%33.16-2.44%0.1232✗1.531.3M2022-01-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.728.6266-1.07%8.15-6.54%0.0112✗0.761.1M2022-01-06
BANDBandEthereum5.135.0744-1.08%5.83+13.65%0.2472✗1.212.4M2022-01-06
XTZTezosTezos4.34074.2936-1.08%4.455+2.63%0.1558✗1.334.9M2022-01-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.912.8771-1.13%2.816-3.23%0.0572✗0.8865k2022-01-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.048920.048352-1.16%0.046-5.97%0.0320✗0.919.1M2022-01-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8630.85288-1.17%0.822-4.75%0.0961✗1.488.7M2022-01-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.2080.205484-1.21%0.1871-10.05%0.0167✗1.235.7M2022-01-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.70814.651-1.21%4.451-5.46%0.0725✗1.305.0M2022-01-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.28960.285996-1.24%0.2811-2.94%0.1000✗1.315.6M2022-01-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100850.099571-1.27%0.10088+0.03%0.0711✗0.6574k2022-01-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0337990.033369-1.27%0.030651-9.31%0.0088✓1.058.9M2022-01-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019450.019194-1.32%0.01816-6.63%0.0007✓0.6343k2022-01-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72830.718614-1.33%0.6385-12.33%0.0042✓1.276.2M2022-01-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016530.01631-1.33%0.01706+3.21%0.1612✗1.302.4M2022-01-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0617870.060956-1.35%0.062116+0.53%0.1463✗1.427.9M2022-01-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32221.3039-1.39%1.3048-1.32%0.0975✗1.081.0M2022-01-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.574.5049-1.42%4.04-11.60%0.0427✓0.7425k2022-01-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033760.000033279-1.42%0.00003079-8.80%0.0361✗1.272.1M2022-01-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.37130.36582-1.48%0.3708-0.13%0.1455✗1.474.4M2022-01-06
XVGVergenative0.017110.016853-1.50%0.01576-7.89%0.0401✗1.202.5M2022-01-06
AAVEAaveEthereum262.93258.8183-1.56%220.94-15.97%0.0572✓1.1311.4M2022-01-06
IMXImmutableEthereum5.145.0595-1.57%4.15-19.26%0.1086✓1.002.8M2022-01-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05490.054019-1.60%0.05212-5.06%0.0633✗1.1115k2022-01-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.1929.6914-1.65%40.04+32.63%0.3802✗0.9141.9M2022-01-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1109-1.69%1.12-0.88%0.0977✗1.002.3M2022-01-06
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.3445-1.71%4-9.50%0.0070✓1.001.2M2022-01-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.99751.963-1.73%1.841-7.83%0.1090✗1.931.5M2022-01-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91990.903822-1.75%0.9504+3.32%0.1398✗1.00146k2022-01-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6589-1.84%1.65-2.37%0.1489✗1.721.2M2022-01-06
RADRadworksEthereum10.8310.6276-1.87%9.59-11.45%0.0260✓0.861.3M2022-01-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.19471.1723-1.88%1.1802-1.22%0.1670✗1.791.4M2022-01-06
UMAUMAEthereum9.329.1443-1.89%9.76+4.72%0.1657✗1.124.1M2022-01-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.7551.7218-1.89%1.6476-6.12%0.0268✗0.79946k2022-01-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2031.1802-1.89%1.0704-11.02%0.0285✗1.412.3M2022-01-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5199-1.95%3.68+2.51%0.1403✗1.07787k2022-01-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.18560.181854-2.02%0.1662-10.45%0.0133✓1.152.9M2022-01-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.334.2419-2.03%3.49-19.40%0.1055✓1.003.6M2022-01-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.72991.6936-2.10%1.5631-9.64%0.0198✓1.1231.7M2022-01-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.079110.077416-2.14%0.07678-2.95%0.1044✗1.2621.7M2022-01-06
ZENHorizenBase61.5860.26-2.14%57.79-6.15%0.0935✗1.511.0M2022-01-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07870.077002-2.16%0.0701-10.93%0.0304✗1.391.7M2022-01-06
GITCOINGITCOIN12.77512.4962-2.18%13.09+2.47%0.0369✗-0.11119k2022-01-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.114.988-2.39%5.41+5.87%0.2003✗1.3328.7M2022-01-06
MOVRMoonriverBase185.6988181.2297-2.41%185.613-0.05%0.1279✗1.16648k2022-01-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.48451.4487-2.41%1.4075-5.19%0.0588✗0.984.8M2022-01-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0411.7416-2.48%10.32-14.29%0.1450✓-0.183.7M2022-01-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.4878-2.55%3.064-14.39%0.0400✓1.002.7M2022-01-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche101.7399.1225-2.56%95.14-6.48%0.0599✗1.13127.7M2022-01-06
LUNATerraTerra 284.8482.6471-2.58%78.39-7.60%0.0367✗1.005.3M2022-01-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.9312.5856-2.66%13.1+1.31%0.0358✗-0.054.6M2022-01-06
SUSHISushiEthereum10.259.977-2.66%7.45-27.32%0.1732✓1.3316.5M2022-01-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.3239.2351-2.69%41.84+3.77%0.2143✗1.673.0M2022-01-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6432.5717-2.70%2.573-2.65%0.0920✗1.022.2M2022-01-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69560.676568-2.74%0.6492-6.67%0.0778✗1.333.2M2022-01-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42661.3867-2.80%1.1841-17.00%0.0743✓0.9323.6M2022-01-06
SCSiacoinnative0.015310.014879-2.82%0.0145-5.29%0.0605✗0.96910k2022-01-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.44172.372-2.85%2.1524-11.85%0.0053✓1.14147k2022-01-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.615808-2.87%0.591-6.78%0.0725✗1.272.8M2022-01-06
ZECZcashZcash153.9148.9655-3.21%137.22-10.84%0.0395✗1.3611.8M2022-01-06
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28793.1812-3.24%3.3872+3.02%0.1475✗0.957.1M2022-01-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.0637.7714-3.30%33.11-15.23%0.0319✓1.836.8M2022-01-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33490.323508-3.40%0.3346-0.09%0.1183✗0.94293k2022-01-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.9811.5604-3.50%10.9-9.02%0.0078✓0.571.4M2022-01-06
HIVEHivenative1.51791.4534-4.25%1.4868-2.05%0.1478✗1.406.4M2022-01-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20.19102-4.49%0.18217-8.92%0.0951✗1.599,2352022-01-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.69111.6054-5.07%1.2262-27.49%0.1964✓0.824.7M2022-01-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021660.020472-5.48%0.01705-21.28%0.0933✓1.0034.3M2022-01-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.724.4513-5.69%3.49-26.06%0.1537✓1.0015.2M2022-01-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94030.881654-6.24%0.7786-17.20%0.0275✓1.6929.3M2022-01-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.