8=======>

2021-12-27 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1387
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.6%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07831.931-7.09%1.5062-27.53%0.1899✓0.676.3M2022-01-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.184.818-6.99%3.89-24.90%0.1263✓1.0012.4M2022-01-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.024415-6.81%0.02216-15.42%0.0092✓1.0035.6M2022-01-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.213328-6.64%0.19941-12.73%0.0742✗1.6118k2022-01-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.825935-6.60%0.8413-4.86%0.1722✗1.7523.5M2022-01-03
HIVEHivenative1.8521.752-5.40%1.6303-11.97%0.0442✓1.327.3M2022-01-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4442.0716-5.33%39.23-11.72%0.0910✗1.838.0M2022-01-03
ZECZcashZcash169.76161.3724-4.94%150.55-11.32%0.0457✓1.3111.8M2022-01-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.566-4.73%3.2506-13.15%0.0159✓0.878.0M2022-01-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.359041-4.41%0.374-0.43%0.1205✗0.91328k2022-01-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.1943-4.28%12.81+0.55%0.0952✗0.521.5M2022-01-03
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789202.5635-4.26%191.896-9.30%0.0459✗1.14674k2022-01-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.6549-4.14%1.5394-10.83%0.0146✓0.995.4M2022-01-03
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.016469-3.86%0.01573-8.17%0.0359✓0.931.2M2022-01-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.081185-3.84%0.0855+1.27%0.1569✗1.2021.1M2022-01-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.082.9625-3.81%2.796-9.22%0.0272✓0.972.2M2022-01-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.071322-3.75%0.0731-1.35%0.1388✗1.302.1M2022-01-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.696246-3.70%0.64-11.48%0.0242✓1.242.9M2022-01-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96109.9232-3.54%108.09-5.15%0.0822✗1.13127.7M2022-01-03
ZENHorizenBase70.7268.2319-3.52%63.44-10.29%0.0594✗1.511.2M2022-01-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.1816-3.37%2.0456-9.40%0.1058✗1.941.6M2022-01-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.783813-3.36%0.6942-14.41%0.0091✓1.283.6M2022-01-03
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.389-3.36%9.27-13.77%0.0188✓1.094.1M2022-01-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.169-3.32%3.467-19.60%0.0967✓1.003.3M2022-01-03
STORJStorjEthereum2.05411.9883-3.20%1.8521-9.83%0.0095✓0.701.2M2022-01-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5842.2021-3.16%41.84-3.99%0.1410✗1.713.1M2022-01-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.469-3.07%2.3545-7.56%0.0562✗1.18147k2022-01-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3395-2.88%1.3842+0.36%0.1245✗1.0523.6M2022-01-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1613.7639-2.80%13.72-3.11%0.0062✓-0.034.8M2022-01-03
LUNATerraTerra 291.0188.4659-2.80%88.92-2.30%0.0928✗1.006.1M2022-01-03
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.7128-2.79%13.612-3.50%0.0156✓-0.09129k2022-01-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.064.9204-2.76%4.17-17.59%0.0778✓1.004.9M2022-01-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.1401-2.65%6.53+23.67%0.3534✗1.3026.8M2022-01-03
XVGVergenative0.019080.018576-2.64%0.01731-9.28%0.0339✗1.192.8M2022-01-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.6908-2.60%11.56-11.28%0.1180✓-0.284.5M2022-01-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.204552-2.59%0.197-6.19%0.0623✗1.143.8M2022-01-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018279-2.56%0.01736-7.46%0.0577✗1.252.8M2022-01-03
SUSHISushiEthereum9.158.918-2.54%8.51-6.99%0.0747✗1.3915.8M2022-01-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.7629-2.51%3.57-7.51%0.0372✗1.02787k2022-01-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2734-2.47%1.2437-4.74%0.1077✗1.502.3M2022-01-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.9609-2.44%1.72-14.43%0.0193✓1.711.5M2022-01-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0743-2.34%1.0025-8.86%0.0185✓1.00165k2022-01-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.7156-2.30%6.1828-10.05%0.0215✓1.19764k2022-01-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3509-2.27%1.3019-5.81%0.1172✗1.761.5M2022-01-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.113481-2.26%0.1004-13.52%0.0027✓1.372.5M2022-01-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.329701-2.22%0.3005-10.88%0.0195✓1.285.8M2022-01-03
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.3781-2.22%4.57-16.91%0.0751✓1.002.5M2022-01-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5938.7241-2.19%36.41-8.03%0.0706✗1.511.3M2022-01-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.776971-2.18%0.7048-11.27%0.0122✓1.256.8M2022-01-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.03656-2.05%0.033837-9.34%0.0119✓1.0210.0M2022-01-03
API3Api3Ethereum5.135.0251-2.04%4.13-19.49%0.1085✓1.001.2M2022-01-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.0910.8652-2.03%11.29+1.80%0.1212✗0.951.3M2022-01-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.294-1.97%1.14-13.64%0.0390✓1.002.4M2022-01-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6303-1.97%1.7949+7.92%0.1904✗1.0731.7M2022-01-03
DODODODOEthereum1.0170.997441-1.92%0.904-11.11%0.0307✗1.479.2M2022-01-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000038301-1.92%0.00003307-15.31%0.0591✓1.002.4M2022-01-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.457129-1.90%0.414-11.16%0.0367✓0.7145k2022-01-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.235056-1.90%0.2052-14.36%0.0286✓1.226.1M2022-01-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.3181-1.89%7.19+11.65%0.2274✗1.125.1M2022-01-03
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6272.4663-1.85%267.25-3.73%0.0747✗1.0711.4M2022-01-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.057092-1.84%0.05659-2.70%0.0887✗1.1116k2022-01-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.410679-1.82%0.3721-11.04%0.0136✓1.284.9M2022-01-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.021148-1.82%0.02023-6.08%0.0072✓0.5946k2022-01-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.112829-1.77%0.11092-3.43%0.0329✗0.57113k2022-01-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.8571-1.76%8.316-17.12%0.0530✓1.33411k2022-01-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2113-1.71%3.381+3.49%0.1251✗0.8495k2022-01-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.2039-1.67%4.6279-12.55%0.0015✓1.365.2M2022-01-03
DASHDashDash151.04148.594-1.62%139.05-7.94%0.0445✗1.262.0M2022-01-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.0628-1.62%0.0636-0.37%0.1405✗1.468.2M2022-01-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.052549-1.61%0.05248-1.74%0.0791✗0.9210.6M2022-01-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.463341-1.61%0.64+35.91%0.4481✗1.431.0M2022-01-03
KSMKusamaHydration322.27317.1186-1.60%289.65-10.12%0.0061✓1.101.5M2022-01-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.6713-1.53%4.777+0.70%0.0955✗0.83719k2022-01-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.2264-1.53%39.29+32.38%0.3715✗0.8640.2M2022-01-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.395379-1.50%0.3888-3.14%0.1164✗1.524.7M2022-01-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.5565-1.49%3.1177-13.64%0.0218✓1.253.1M2022-01-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.3946-1.44%1.3948-1.43%0.0940✗1.071.2M2022-01-03
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0287-1.43%4.8156-5.61%0.0705✗1.305.3M2022-01-03
BANDBandEthereum5.875.7917-1.33%5.56-5.28%0.0638✗1.192.6M2022-01-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.6725-1.32%22.363-2.67%0.1335✗1.6818.6M2022-01-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78153.7838-1.28%148.43-4.72%0.0861✗1.3954.4M2022-01-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.554-1.28%3.43-4.72%0.0511✗0.991.2M2022-01-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04105.6934-1.26%94.38-11.83%0.0295✓0.967.6M2022-01-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.8969-1.22%4.605-7.11%0.0036✓0.7427k2022-01-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6655-1.22%1.616-4.15%0.0842✗1.304.1M2022-01-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3489-1.21%3.25-4.13%0.0826✗1.283.0M2022-01-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2427.8984-1.21%29.28+3.68%0.1710✗1.4022.9M2022-01-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.728676-1.20%0.6582-10.75%0.0105✓1.2812.5M2022-01-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.2201-1.18%8.6-7.82%0.0017✓0.771.1M2022-01-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.123393-1.16%0.12106-3.03%0.0772✗1.1029k2022-01-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.088661-1.16%0.086-4.12%0.0651✗1.0918k2022-01-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.4054-1.14%24.7-7.53%0.0274✗1.071.6M2022-01-03
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.4993-1.13%1.3186-13.04%0.0351✓1.06120.2M2022-01-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.6202-1.13%15.18-9.70%0.0303✓0.691.4M2022-01-03
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.23645-1.11%0.2058-13.93%0.0977✓0.47392k2022-01-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2031,410.81-1.10%38,753.93+22.02%0.2559✗0.528.7M2022-01-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.6916-1.10%9.436-3.70%0.0280✗0.62455k2022-01-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.143745-1.07%0.1352-6.95%0.0316✗1.06376k2022-01-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.864-1.06%1.682-10.72%0.0122✗1.317.9M2022-01-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.866951-1.05%0.94026+7.32%0.1760✗1.083.0M2022-01-03
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.924-1.04%3.5792-9.73%0.0012✓1.06798k2022-01-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7712-1.03%2.56-8.57%0.0099✓1.024.4M2022-01-03
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.8994-0.99%9.2052-7.94%0.0534✗1.44299k2022-01-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.3118-0.99%1.24-6.42%0.0284✗0.973.1M2022-01-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4466-0.97%5.152-6.33%0.0011✓0.65798k2022-01-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.2628-0.95%31.64-8.53%0.0210✓0.67572k2022-01-03
SOLSolanaSolana195.74193.9282-0.93%170.13-13.08%0.0415✓1.02255.1M2022-01-03
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34235.1628-0.92%222.2-6.38%0.0399✗1.10239k2022-01-03
GTGateEthereum6.83956.7787-0.89%6.4392-5.85%0.0193✗0.814.3M2022-01-03
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000117551-0.88%0.00011648-1.78%0.0775✗0.9910.2M2022-01-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.217508-0.86%0.1984-9.57%0.0158✓0.87701k2022-01-03
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.2584-0.80%40.22-5.59%0.0432✗1.0620.7M2022-01-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4333-0.79%3.7914+9.55%0.0914✗-0.09395k2022-01-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.331-0.74%34.72-7.68%0.0192✗1.055.1M2022-01-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.3292-0.73%4.152-4.79%0.0211✗0.72487k2022-01-03
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,011.37-0.68%3,766.04-6.75%0.0283✗1.04760.7M2022-01-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.186618-0.64%0.170103-9.43%0.0044✓1.115.5M2022-01-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3462.362-0.63%434.61-6.60%0.0279✗1.0212.3M2022-01-03
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1118.9973-0.59%18.47-3.35%0.0875✗1.3214.6M2022-01-03
QNTQuantEthereum206.05204.8389-0.59%178.99-13.13%0.0525✓0.9411.9M2022-01-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.9631-0.59%7.21-9.99%0.0441✓0.631.0M2022-01-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1611.0957-0.58%10.51-5.82%0.0136✗0.771.4M2022-01-03
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.298565-0.57%0.290288-3.33%0.0599✗1.0033.6M2022-01-03
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.7453-0.56%15.52-7.84%0.0238✗1.144.8M2022-01-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.8028-0.54%30.09-2.84%0.0869✗1.2677.1M2022-01-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.097642-0.53%0.09008-8.23%0.0477✗1.464.8M2022-01-03
XEMNEMnative0.13910.138401-0.50%0.127-8.70%0.0103✗1.10175k2022-01-03
XMRMoneroMonero220.72219.6115-0.50%231.81+5.02%0.1409✗0.992.8M2022-01-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41126.8046-0.48%122.18-4.10%0.0494✗0.993.7M2022-01-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.024051-0.47%0.022053-8.74%0.0189✗1.202.3M2022-01-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.9296-0.39%23.72+3.04%0.1487✗1.3169.7M2022-01-03
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.08086-0.38%0.076988-5.15%0.0351✗0.96648k2022-01-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3284-0.37%2.265-3.08%0.0692✗1.103.3M2022-01-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.239.0771-0.31%35.08-10.51%0.0188✓1.0222.1M2022-01-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.4225-0.29%8.89-5.93%0.0001✓0.661.0M2022-01-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6051,065.44-0.25%46,018.20-10.11%0.0180✓0.988,5662022-01-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,621.60-0.19%46,459.56-8.40%0.0019✓1.00744.5M2022-01-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.