8=======>

2021-12-25 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1819
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.7%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0236.978-0.11%35.88-3.08%0.0256✗1.0122.7M2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3150,318.50-0.22%47,733.43-5.34%0.0022✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.4289-0.24%17.47+0.00%0.0743✗1.3114.6M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,882.43-0.25%47,429.60-7.02%0.0163✓0.988,5662022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.0394-0.26%4.221+4.22%0.0831✗0.71473k2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1222.0527-0.30%20.75-6.19%0.0108✗1.3069.7M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.3017-0.36%2.133-7.66%0.0154✓1.113.3M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.7505-0.38%28.61-0.87%0.0636✗1.2577.3M2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023714-0.40%0.022463-5.65%0.0118✗1.202.2M2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.08139-0.40%0.076625-6.23%0.0075✓0.96655k2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero211.35210.424-0.44%250.04+18.31%0.2267✗0.992.8M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.3834-0.47%16.08-2.31%0.0435✗1.134.9M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21127.6114-0.47%123.03-4.04%0.0177✗0.993.2M2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.288627-0.49%0.276802-4.57%0.0132✗1.0035.1M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36452.9086-0.54%445.07-2.26%0.0389✗1.0313.1M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum195.44194.3707-0.55%179.87-7.97%0.0259✓0.9412.0M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.1370.136223-0.57%0.126-8.03%0.0179✓1.10199k2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.18966-0.57%0.173118-9.24%0.0304✓1.116.1M2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1811.113-0.60%10.37-7.25%0.0268✓0.771.4M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.101141-0.64%0.093-8.64%0.0033✓1.474.8M2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.7118-0.66%2.53-7.33%0.0136✓1.024.4M2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3463-0.67%6.7635+5.86%0.1075✗0.804.3M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.057.9958-0.67%7.24-10.06%0.0646✓0.631.0M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.8381-0.69%34.87-8.48%0.0242✓1.055.9M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,068.22-0.71%3,765.72-8.10%0.0199✓1.05768.5M2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4308-0.72%5.211-4.73%0.0058✓0.65846k2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.4294-0.73%40.2-5.94%0.0041✓1.0621.2M2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.8745-0.76%8.94-10.15%0.0626✓0.671.0M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.2471-0.77%5.069+18.43%0.2225✗0.83719k2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.215591-0.83%0.2061-5.20%0.0026✓0.87756k2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana193.06191.4238-0.85%179.21-7.17%0.0100✓1.02257.1M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000118855-0.86%0.00011077-7.60%0.0162✓0.9911.6M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5207-0.89%3.7989+6.94%0.0713✗-0.09384k2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.139325-0.91%0.1339-4.77%0.0183✗1.06413k2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.1234-0.92%32.46-5.75%0.0132✓0.67611k2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.2899-0.93%1.276-2.00%0.0422✗0.963.7M2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum10.05269.9591-0.93%8.9613-10.86%0.0264✓1.44309k2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.854175-0.96%0.875736+1.54%0.0842✗1.083.4M2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.240064-0.96%0.2245-7.38%0.0412✓0.47393k2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44226.235-0.97%210.69-7.77%0.0109✓1.10239k2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.0997-0.97%3.1-0.96%0.0707✗1.293.2M2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4399-0.98%1.3797-5.12%0.0157✗1.06120.7M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7130,882.66-1.01%36,545.69+17.15%0.1971✗0.527.7M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7412-1.03%3.58-5.29%0.0141✗1.06819k2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.9084-1.03%8.39-6.79%0.0130✗1.33455k2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2927.0058-1.04%25.61-6.16%0.0239✗1.4024.1M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.3531-1.04%24.52-4.29%0.0255✗1.072.7M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.12197-1.10%0.11476-6.95%0.0006✓1.1029k2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.6209-1.11%1.651+0.73%0.0900✗1.304.8M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.711917-1.11%0.6647-7.67%0.0015✓1.2813.2M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.9297-1.14%1.748-10.45%0.0267✓1.327.9M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.8376-1.15%9.193-7.63%0.0332✓0.63388k2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.23-1.18%8.65-7.39%0.0224✓0.77934k2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.5075-1.20%3.35-5.63%0.0082✓0.991.2M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.8053-1.20%15.4-9.47%0.0495✓0.691.4M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.088408-1.22%0.0839-6.26%0.0076✓1.0919k2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8076-1.23%5.98+1.70%0.0902✗1.114.6M2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.755.679-1.24%5.18-9.91%0.0265✓1.193.0M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5271-1.24%4.7494+3.61%0.1187✗1.295.4M2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.048941-1.25%0.04964+0.16%0.0644✗0.9111.3M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28107.9122-1.25%94.1-13.89%0.0843✓0.968.4M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.6238-1.29%22.386-2.33%0.0819✗1.6820.1M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.1026-1.32%4.5517-11.97%0.0730✓0.7528k2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158155.8841-1.34%150.83-4.54%0.0434✗1.3956.9M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.5471-1.34%9.14+19.48%0.2672✗1.3815.1M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration293.74289.7823-1.35%289.04-1.60%0.0573✗1.091.5M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.928065-1.37%0.875-7.01%0.0215✗1.468.9M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019683-1.39%0.0202+1.20%0.0583✗0.5953k2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.3902-1.39%1.3805-2.08%0.0519✗1.071.3M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.3494-1.48%36.33+21.95%0.2602✗0.8539.4M2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5306-1.50%3.2078-10.50%0.0274✓1.253.4M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.11097-1.51%0.10295-8.63%0.0437✓0.57113k2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.063651-1.53%0.064208-0.67%0.0890✗1.469.2M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.463076-1.54%0.4264-9.33%0.0043✓1.421.1M2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.41106-1.57%0.3879-7.11%0.0255✗1.524.4M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash150147.6103-1.59%138.03-7.98%0.0024✓1.272.1M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91259.6624-1.61%266.48+0.97%0.0847✗1.0711.4M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5481-1.69%1.7433+10.70%0.1776✗1.0733.5M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.0989-1.71%1.2912+15.48%0.2427✗1.482.4M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.230443-1.73%0.2128-9.25%0.0127✓1.226.2M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.189-1.75%4.7558-9.95%0.0129✓1.355.4M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6365-1.77%4.83+2.33%0.0958✗1.002.5M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.2719-1.77%2.914-12.52%0.0695✓0.8499k2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.390345-1.78%0.3775-5.01%0.0364✗1.275.3M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000037043-1.79%0.00003416-9.44%0.0261✓1.002.1M2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.312528-1.81%0.2952-7.26%0.0130✓1.285.8M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2454-1.94%1.17-7.87%0.0075✓1.002.4M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.057875-1.94%0.05488-7.01%0.0081✓1.1116k2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.8506-2.07%11-0.72%0.0660✗0.952.0M2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.108503-2.16%0.1001-9.74%0.0057✓1.363.0M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.3099-2.16%1.2582-6.03%0.0565✗1.761.6M2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.8037-2.16%4.36-11.20%0.0420✓1.001.3M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.774448-2.17%0.7302-7.76%0.0099✓1.257.7M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5122-2.17%3.73+3.90%0.1160✗1.02787k2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4138.5409-2.21%35.27-10.50%0.0057✓1.511.3M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.037-2.23%0.033863-10.52%0.0325✓1.0211.6M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.2781-2.32%11.76-6.44%0.0587✓-0.284.9M2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.200992-2.34%0.1885-8.41%0.0015✓1.144.2M2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.8935-2.40%1.7-12.37%0.0146✓1.701.5M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.1512-2.43%0.9793-17.00%0.1068✓1.00184k2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.6923-2.44%6.1094-10.94%0.0259✓1.19819k2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.018380.017908-2.57%0.01775-3.43%0.0562✗1.182.8M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.018324-2.58%0.01654-12.07%0.0339✓1.252.9M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.2798-2.68%1.411+7.30%0.1547✗1.0422.8M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.6825-2.70%6.21+6.34%0.1607✗1.3128.7M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 298.495.6626-2.78%91.66-6.85%0.0122✓1.006.1M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.1418-2.80%4.37-17.39%0.1077✓1.006.5M2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.447-2.87%2.3965-4.87%0.0442✗1.18147k2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.761938-3.17%0.715-9.14%0.0066✓1.284.0M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.1555-3.18%3.609-15.91%0.0861✓1.003.6M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.4566-3.31%9.33-4.60%0.0456✗1.084.1M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5743.0804-3.34%41.07-7.85%0.0463✗1.714.2M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.2067-3.39%2.08-8.94%0.0477✗1.951.9M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum2.01621.9476-3.40%1.835-8.99%0.0211✓0.701.3M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05715.5047-3.44%13.69-14.74%0.1290✓-0.08134k2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.07965-3.57%0.0797-3.51%0.0725✗1.312.3M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase70.7768.2238-3.60%63.94-9.65%0.0181✓1.511.3M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86110.6708-3.65%114.26-0.52%0.0941✗1.13136.0M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.694565-3.67%0.633-12.21%0.0249✓1.243.0M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1515.5554-3.68%13.58-15.91%0.1371✓-0.025.1M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016125-3.73%0.01554-7.22%0.0144✓0.931.3M2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1343.0161-3.76%2.681-14.45%0.0645✓0.972.2M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458178.1211-4.00%189.4715+2.12%0.1242✗1.14704k2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.084469-4.02%0.08625-2.00%0.0869✗1.2021.7M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.35101-4.07%0.3671+0.33%0.0946✗0.91356k2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2312.6872-4.10%13.2-0.23%0.0686✗0.532.7M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.6507-4.26%1.5787-8.43%0.0103✓1.006.2M2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.513171-4.26%0.43-19.78%0.1370✓0.7345k2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.5726-4.68%3.3501-10.62%0.0162✓0.888.6M2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash169.64161.6146-4.73%150.36-11.37%0.0001✓1.3212.7M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4143.9965-5.20%40.17-13.45%0.0104✓1.858.6M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.65091.5633-5.31%1.5238-7.70%0.0468✓1.328.6M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.690409-6.12%1.0026+36.33%0.4698✗1.7617.7M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.021433-6.16%0.02333+2.15%0.1397✗1.0035.6M2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.8767-6.16%1.6281-18.59%0.1061✓0.667.5M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.202548-6.35%0.20032-7.38%0.0779✗1.6223k2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.6648-6.89%4.49-10.38%0.0167✓1.0012.1M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.