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2021-12-23 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0764
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.3%
in alpha space · 86.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8050,918.56-0.13%47,186.00-7.45%0.0013✓0.9810k2021-12-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3537.2824-0.18%34.96-6.40%0.0130✗1.0223.1M2021-12-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2050,726.90-0.23%47,122.08-7.32%0.0023✗1.00750.8M2021-12-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.289.2501-0.32%8.87-4.42%0.0096✗0.681.1M2021-12-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.3259-0.35%2.063-11.61%0.0356✓1.113.4M2021-12-30
XVSVenusEthereum16.1616.102-0.36%15.37-4.89%0.0399✗1.145.3M2021-12-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1922.1059-0.38%19.94-10.14%0.0036✓1.3169.7M2021-12-30
TRXTRONTron0.082610.082291-0.39%0.077853-5.76%0.0178✗0.96708k2021-12-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.096354-0.41%0.08851-8.52%0.0275✗1.485.9M2021-12-30
XMRMoneroMonero210.04209.1429-0.43%225.01+7.13%0.1485✗0.992.8M2021-12-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1729.0433-0.43%27.53-5.62%0.0416✗1.2577.3M2021-12-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.023999-0.47%0.022142-8.17%0.0111✗1.212.1M2021-12-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.370112-0.51%0.403+8.33%0.1425✗0.7646k2021-12-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.286315-0.51%0.268-6.87%0.0105✗1.0137.2M2021-12-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.183971-0.52%0.171183-7.44%0.0124✗1.115.5M2021-12-30
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1818.0821-0.54%17.81-2.04%0.0846✗1.3114.2M2021-12-30
QNTQuantEthereum195.7194.6255-0.55%178.71-8.68%0.0141✓0.9412.0M2021-12-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81129.0228-0.61%122.49-5.64%0.0232✗0.993.1M2021-12-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7452.9209-0.61%431.58-5.29%0.0298✗1.0314.2M2021-12-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1306-0.64%4.048-2.62%0.0342✗0.72487k2021-12-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.365-0.65%5.079-5.94%0.0054✓0.65936k2021-12-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.8989-0.65%10.11-7.84%0.0165✓0.771.6M2021-12-30
GTGateEthereum6.2596.2184-0.65%6.8152+8.89%0.1524✗0.804.6M2021-12-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5637.3107-0.66%34.57-7.96%0.0035✓1.056.2M2021-12-30
FTTFTXEthereum43.0842.7851-0.68%38.89-9.73%0.0150✓1.0621.8M2021-12-30
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.084,084.15-0.70%3,710.02-9.80%0.0165✓1.05768.5M2021-12-30
XEMNEMnative0.13930.138277-0.73%0.1255-9.91%0.0135✓1.10202k2021-12-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.212379-0.76%0.2007-6.21%0.0094✗0.87776k2021-12-30
SOLSolanaSolana190.07188.5858-0.78%172.52-9.23%0.0116✓1.02265.5M2021-12-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.8079-0.78%2.46-13.07%0.0550✓1.024.7M2021-12-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.7813-0.80%8.302-6.21%0.0452✗1.33560k2021-12-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.158.0838-0.81%7.13-12.52%0.0772✓0.641.1M2021-12-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1833.8936-0.84%32.06-6.20%0.0047✓0.67711k2021-12-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.29-0.85%1.267-2.61%0.0555✗0.974.4M2021-12-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.138199-0.86%0.1317-5.52%0.0323✗1.06445k2021-12-30
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000113383-0.91%0.00010959-4.22%0.0411✗0.9911.7M2021-12-30
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.249448-0.93%0.188-25.34%0.2470✓0.47410k2021-12-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8525.6057-0.95%24.01-7.12%0.0173✗1.072.7M2021-12-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.5725-0.95%3.8078+5.58%0.0572✗-0.09384k2021-12-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.2894-0.96%4.697+8.45%0.1542✗0.83714k2021-12-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11265.0627-0.98%4.57-10.61%0.0455✓0.7530k2021-12-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.4106.3075-1.02%95.03-11.52%0.0389✓0.969.0M2021-12-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.7261-1.02%0.6466-11.86%0.0184✓1.2814.9M2021-12-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.6278-1.05%1.533-6.81%0.0393✗1.315.2M2021-12-30
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.4587-1.06%1.3585-7.85%0.0102✓1.07130.4M2021-12-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5631,221.02-1.07%30,177.90-4.37%0.0054✓0.526.9M2021-12-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.11948-1.08%0.11126-7.89%0.0123✗1.1030k2021-12-30
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55228.0469-1.09%199.64-13.41%0.0496✓1.10239k2021-12-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.2435-1.11%3.09-5.79%0.0496✗1.293.2M2021-12-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.26910.1546-1.11%9.329-9.15%0.0369✓0.63455k2021-12-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.179.0669-1.12%8.72-4.91%0.0200✗0.78836k2021-12-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3828.0554-1.14%30.19+6.38%0.1390✗0.8641.0M2021-12-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.875892-1.16%0.795409-10.24%0.0140✓1.084.3M2021-12-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.5284-1.17%3.27-8.40%0.0010✓0.991.3M2021-12-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0126.694-1.17%24.78-8.26%0.0320✗1.4022.9M2021-12-30
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.7064-1.17%3.4868-7.03%0.0198✗1.06819k2021-12-30
BANDBandEthereum5.735.6614-1.20%5.13-10.47%0.0078✓1.193.0M2021-12-30
QTUMQtumQtum10.04769.9246-1.22%8.8384-12.03%0.0060✓1.45349k2021-12-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8516.6406-1.24%15.45-8.31%0.0217✓0.691.5M2021-12-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.9583-1.25%1.624-18.10%0.0874✓1.317.6M2021-12-30
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.7131-1.26%4.3407-9.06%0.0160✗1.295.4M2021-12-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.4198-1.27%1.3222-8.06%0.0106✓1.081.4M2021-12-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.088635-1.30%0.0828-7.80%0.0149✗1.0922k2021-12-30
KSMKusamaHydration291.44287.6532-1.30%280.04-3.91%0.0561✗1.091.5M2021-12-30
KCSKuCoinnative23.31623.0071-1.32%21.048-9.73%0.0391✗1.6921.7M2021-12-30
CBKCobakEthereum3.1113.0685-1.37%2.91-6.46%0.0114✓0.85101k2021-12-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.049789-1.37%0.04892-3.09%0.0520✗0.9214.3M2021-12-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.4492-1.39%1.7299+17.70%0.2583✗1.0734.9M2021-12-30
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.941551-1.41%0.863-9.63%0.0245✗1.4710.8M2021-12-30
SUSHISushiEthereum7.37.1948-1.44%10.25+40.41%0.4582✗1.3714.6M2021-12-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.062272-1.45%0.061787-2.22%0.1036✗1.479.8M2021-12-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.075.9797-1.49%5.55-8.57%0.0102✓1.125.3M2021-12-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.112031-1.50%0.10085-11.33%0.0615✓0.57143k2021-12-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.469365-1.56%0.4189-12.14%0.0051✓1.431.3M2021-12-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.4587-1.58%3.1771-9.59%0.0104✓1.254.0M2021-12-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.379979-1.59%0.3713-3.83%0.0924✗1.524.4M2021-12-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74161.0259-1.66%147.94-9.65%0.0208✗1.3959.6M2021-12-30
DASHDashDash146.65144.1749-1.69%133.04-9.28%0.0159✓1.272.2M2021-12-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.22581-1.69%0.208-9.45%0.0113✓1.236.8M2021-12-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10941.0902-1.73%1.203+8.44%0.2112✗1.482.7M2021-12-30
RADRadworksEthereum10.5210.3372-1.74%10.83+2.95%0.1190✗0.951.7M2021-12-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.020791-1.75%0.01945-8.08%0.0215✓0.5961k2021-12-30
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.6862-1.76%5.14+7.76%0.1684✗1.002.5M2021-12-30
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2242.8401-1.76%262.93+6.36%0.1604✗1.0711.4M2021-12-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.307474-1.80%0.2896-7.51%0.0376✗1.286.6M2021-12-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.718-1.83%1.69-3.43%0.1135✗1.711.6M2021-12-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23095.1346-1.84%4.7081-9.99%0.0166✓1.365.2M2021-12-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1136.4-1.91%33.99-8.41%0.0473✗1.521.4M2021-12-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.381519-1.92%0.37-4.88%0.0663✗1.286.4M2021-12-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.000037925-1.95%0.00003376-12.72%0.0404✓1.002.1M2021-12-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.245-1.97%1.13-11.02%0.0209✓1.002.4M2021-12-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.058098-1.99%0.0549-7.39%0.0283✗1.1217k2021-12-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5212.258-2.09%12.04-3.83%0.0394✓-0.285.3M2021-12-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.3132-2.18%1.1947-11.01%0.0396✗1.771.8M2021-12-30
API3Api3Ethereum5.185.0624-2.27%4.42-14.67%0.0597✓1.001.7M2021-12-30
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6236-2.33%3.59-3.23%0.0682✗1.02807k2021-12-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.798227-2.33%0.7283-10.89%0.0036✓1.257.7M2021-12-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.0682-2.35%5.11-1.54%0.1084✗1.3228.7M2021-12-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.2623-2.54%1.4266+10.15%0.2016✗1.0423.6M2021-12-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.4485-2.55%2.4417-2.82%0.0870✗1.18172k2021-12-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.038012-2.55%0.033799-13.35%0.0398✓1.0213.0M2021-12-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.018094-2.62%0.01653-11.03%0.0044✓1.253.5M2021-12-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.7633-2.65%4.33-26.86%0.2100✓1.006.6M2021-12-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.7353-2.68%3.579-6.75%0.0332✗1.003.6M2021-12-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.108598-2.69%0.0981-12.10%0.0022✓1.373.1M2021-12-30
XVGVergenative0.018430.017929-2.72%0.01711-7.16%0.0435✗1.192.8M2021-12-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8911.5637-2.74%12.93+8.75%0.1091✗-0.034.6M2021-12-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.215042-2.78%0.1856-16.09%0.0599✓1.154.3M2021-12-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.7106-2.80%6.0654-12.14%0.0104✓1.19876k2021-12-30
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76411.4313-2.83%12.775+8.59%0.1040✗-0.09129k2021-12-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.759906-3.00%0.6956-11.21%0.0091✓1.286.5M2021-12-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.3255-3.24%0.9199-32.85%0.2893✓1.00193k2021-12-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4342.9594-3.31%40.32-9.25%0.0670✗1.725.2M2021-12-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.871-3.40%2.643-11.07%0.0081✓0.982.3M2021-12-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7511.3428-3.47%11.98+1.96%0.0951✗0.532.7M2021-12-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.067598-3.57%0.0787+12.27%0.2506✗1.302.5M2021-12-30
ZENHorizenBase72.4569.8589-3.58%61.58-15.00%0.0112✓1.511.5M2021-12-30
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.4775-3.59%9.32-5.19%0.0653✗1.084.1M2021-12-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37116.9888-3.61%101.73-16.18%0.0535✓1.14148.6M2021-12-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.66395-3.64%0.634-7.98%0.0483✗1.243.2M2021-12-30
STORJStorjEthereum2.08462.0085-3.65%1.755-15.81%0.0813✓0.711.3M2021-12-30
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.016425-3.67%0.01531-10.21%0.0009✓0.941.5M2021-12-30
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.2297-3.72%1.9975-13.75%0.0382✗1.952.2M2021-12-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.348479-3.95%0.3349-7.69%0.0293✓0.91401k2021-12-30
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792181.6753-4.02%185.6988-1.89%0.1083✗1.14728k2021-12-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.086252-4.11%0.07911-12.05%0.0056✓1.2122.6M2021-12-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.6159-4.43%1.4845-12.20%0.0091✓1.007.2M2021-12-30
ZECZcashZcash167.41159.4183-4.77%153.9-8.07%0.0651✗1.3213.6M2021-12-30
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.4996-4.90%3.2879-10.65%0.0048✓0.889.0M2021-12-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5447.0497-5.03%39.06-21.15%0.0451✓1.869.4M2021-12-30
HIVEHivenative1.65031.5633-5.27%1.5179-8.02%0.0710✗1.3211.4M2021-12-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.7308-5.31%4.72+19.80%0.3112✗1.0012.1M2021-12-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.628542-5.70%0.9403+41.08%0.5360✗1.7512.6M2021-12-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23562.0929-6.38%1.6911-24.36%0.1623✓0.678.3M2021-12-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.02216-6.42%0.02166-8.53%0.0532✓1.0035.6M2021-12-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.202511-6.73%0.2-7.89%0.1108✗1.6229k2021-12-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.