8=======>

2021-12-21 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2108
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
23.5%
in alpha space · 36.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.0938+0.22%18.4+22.18%0.2343✓1.2714.2M2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.357113+0.03%0.423+18.49%0.1905✓0.7454k2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7993+0.01%4.564+20.14%0.2028✓0.68544k2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.4391-0.00%20.36+4.73%0.0825✗1.2769.7M2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.1563-0.05%27.84+10.61%0.1367✗1.2475.1M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1265-0.07%2.108-0.94%0.0229✗1.113.3M2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.5053-0.09%10.128+34.82%0.3374✗1.32635k2021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4616-0.10%9.7+14.52%0.1553✗0.661.2M2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022724-0.12%0.021978-3.39%0.0011✓1.211.9M2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.2693-0.12%36.25+2.66%0.0562✗1.0121.2M2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,855.48-0.12%47,543.09-2.80%0.0012✓1.00754.4M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,383.44-0.13%47,383.60-2.20%0.0071✗0.9915k2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero188.96188.6734-0.15%208.62+10.40%0.1276✗0.952.9M2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.2546-0.17%15.54+1.70%0.0511✗1.146.2M2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078688-0.21%0.077218-2.07%0.0086✗0.96787k2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4347-0.22%2.54+4.10%0.0693✗0.954.8M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.8365-0.23%9.06+54.87%0.4772✗1.3213.8M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0649-0.24%5.695+12.17%0.1353✗0.631.0M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16185.67-0.26%252.64+35.71%0.3356✗0.9711.0M2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9352-0.27%5.349+35.55%0.3298✗0.80734k2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.170421-0.28%0.173745+1.66%0.0506✗1.105.5M2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.267165-0.30%0.274101+2.29%0.0537✗0.9940.4M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1123.0376-0.31%24.71+6.92%0.1081✗1.3420.8M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.5609-0.38%26.57+12.35%0.1450✗0.8741.0M2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.1280.127488-0.40%0.1284+0.31%0.0380✗1.09202k2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2796.8638-0.42%99.74+2.54%0.0565✗0.969.8M2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.1745-0.44%34.96-1.05%0.0236✗1.046.5M2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2156-0.44%1.28+4.83%0.0796✗0.984.4M2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64124.0848-0.45%121.77-2.30%0.0092✗0.982.5M2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum186.26185.3388-0.49%188.78+1.35%0.0444✗0.9112.3M2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94435.7558-0.50%438.74+0.18%0.0362✗1.0314.2M2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.7484-0.50%40.01-4.65%0.0123✓1.0625.2M2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4744-0.51%1.537+3.71%0.0790✗1.325.6M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.101764-0.51%0.08977-12.24%0.0826✓1.516.8M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.111265-0.51%0.11446+2.34%0.0597✗1.1030k2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4193.395-0.52%209+7.51%0.1076✗1.05228k2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.04466.0132-0.52%6.459+6.86%0.0947✗0.814.9M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.332-0.52%5.85+9.14%0.1235✗1.085.5M2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.778786-0.55%0.798687+1.99%0.0556✗1.074.8M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000108654-0.57%0.00010951+0.21%0.0361✗0.9912.6M2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.311197-0.64%0.3781+20.72%0.2361✗1.454.9M2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.241527-0.65%0.2158-11.23%0.0996✓0.46428k2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2717-0.65%1.3998+9.35%0.1252✗1.03131.8M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.8932-0.67%10.76+8.03%0.1051✗0.741.9M2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.208488-0.67%0.1998-4.81%0.0177✓0.87756k2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.1553-0.69%9.0923-1.37%0.0343✗1.45349k2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9195-0.70%3.03+3.06%0.0738✗1.293.1M2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.925-0.71%33.51+1.06%0.0366✗0.67744k2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,988.52-0.71%3,793.67-5.56%0.0199✓1.06768.5M2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.134029-0.72%0.1358+0.59%0.0439✗1.08559k2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9417-0.73%4.8047-3.48%0.0065✓0.7631k2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.858666-0.73%0.911+5.32%0.1010✗1.479.9M2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.551-0.76%25.42+2.75%0.0651✗1.062.8M2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.9327-0.78%16.17+7.44%0.0985✗0.671.6M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana179.75178.3484-0.78%177.27-1.38%0.0226✗1.01275.4M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.70411-0.79%0.6659-6.17%0.0192✓1.2915.1M2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8831-0.82%2.98+2.51%0.0570✗0.84104k2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration267.01264.6997-0.87%294.8+10.41%0.1385✗1.081.5M2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2727-0.89%1.3011+1.32%0.0526✗1.081.6M2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.3001-0.90%3.34+0.30%0.0400✗0.981.3M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.7395-0.91%35.02+9.33%0.1412✗1.501.5M2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.3996-0.91%3.7465+9.20%0.1268✗1.04819k2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.325.2709-0.92%5.34+0.38%0.0467✗1.182.8M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.345-0.94%1.4667+8.03%0.1165✗1.0535.7M2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.6253-0.97%7.57-1.69%0.0107✗0.631.1M2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.194-0.98%4.4909+6.03%0.1054✗1.304.7M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.201875-0.99%0.2199+7.85%0.1195✗1.198.6M2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.085232-1.01%0.0838-2.67%0.0144✗1.1024k2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.6021-1.01%9.08+4.49%0.0760✗0.77934k2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.277453-1.02%0.3033+8.21%0.1249✗1.267.0M2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7576-1.04%1.664-6.31%0.0180✓1.296.8M2021-12-28
DASHDashDash133.6132.1425-1.09%134.75+0.86%0.0550✗1.252.2M2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5611-1.11%3.6-0.03%0.0083✓-0.09372k2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.25810.1437-1.11%9.798-4.48%0.0164✓0.64388k2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.6246-1.14%21.506-1.69%0.0425✗1.6922.7M2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8153.021-1.15%145.67-5.90%0.0094✓1.4060.7M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.103109-1.15%0.10316-1.10%0.0160✗0.54143k2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.443325-1.15%0.4301-4.10%0.0101✓1.421.8M2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.060945-1.17%0.05923-3.95%0.0139✗1.4913.0M2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1524-1.20%3.3661+5.50%0.0999✗1.214.7M2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.04777-1.26%0.05063+4.65%0.0851✗0.9515.8M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000032403-1.36%0.00003492+6.30%0.1033✗1.001.8M2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0891-1.39%1.2569+13.81%0.1865✗1.523.3M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.607-1.41%1.77+8.59%0.1449✗1.701.8M2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.6504-1.43%11.66+19.10%0.2162✗0.951.9M2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019426-1.44%0.01993+1.12%0.0413✗0.5561k2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.364137-1.50%0.3842+3.92%0.0905✗1.306.6M2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9934,172.73-1.51%28,691.22-17.31%0.1596✓0.536.8M2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1899-1.55%3.52+8.64%0.1261✗0.97807k2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.708774-1.56%0.7165-0.49%0.0455✗1.227.7M2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.055301-1.60%0.05427-3.43%0.0132✓1.1222k2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.3061-1.66%14.59+54.18%0.4448✗-0.17119k2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.9276-1.66%5.0292+0.37%0.0593✗1.375.2M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.3761-1.72%14.64+53.46%0.4423✗-0.123.7M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2412.0277-1.73%12.05-1.55%0.0071✓-0.315.7M2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.5282-1.78%4.87+5.64%0.1012✗1.002.5M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1455-1.79%1.2203+4.62%0.1129✗1.751.5M2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.535-1.84%4.72+2.16%0.0785✗1.3628.7M2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.097339-1.88%0.1045+5.34%0.1094✗1.353.3M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017711-1.93%0.01651-8.58%0.0345✓1.263.6M2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.017350.017006-1.98%0.0176+1.44%0.0678✗1.183.1M2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1655-2.06%1.18-0.84%0.0408✗1.002.4M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.3865-2.07%2.754+13.01%0.1694✗0.923.2M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.3833-2.11%2.4846+2.05%0.0759✗1.20169k2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.108-2.12%1.027-9.28%0.0475✓1.00215k2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.8351-2.12%4.56-7.69%0.0301✓1.001.9M2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.0037-2.15%6.2683+2.17%0.0769✗1.19833k2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.067314-2.16%0.0659-4.22%0.0176✓1.362.7M2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.6496-2.19%1.71+1.39%0.0509✗0.528.7M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.7471-2.24%3.891+1.51%0.0661✗1.003.6M2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.656062-2.26%0.7106+5.87%0.1150✗1.237.1M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase64.3762.7754-2.48%63.32-1.63%0.0519✗1.521.9M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.03734-2.50%0.033967-11.31%0.0657✓1.0215.0M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2815-2.52%1.4291+8.70%0.1393✗1.0623.6M2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum98.7644-2.62%9.59+6.56%0.1210✗1.094.1M2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5335.5418-2.71%38.45+5.26%0.1281✗1.745.5M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.606915-2.74%0.64+2.56%0.0879✗1.223.2M2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.015328-2.74%0.01563-0.82%0.0458✗0.921.6M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.323367-2.83%0.342+2.76%0.0813✗0.89544k2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.6177-2.86%11.57+5.86%0.1004✗0.514.1M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.4964-2.89%4.5-20.49%0.1716✓1.007.1M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7567-2.91%1.8135+0.22%0.0516✗0.701.4M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964178.4664-2.99%190.178+3.38%0.0960✗1.14853k2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.215751-2.99%0.1923-13.53%0.0824✓1.154.2M2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.4987-3.08%4.38+21.33%0.2531✗1.0012.1M2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.094306-3.54%0.07538-22.90%0.1888✓1.2422.6M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash162.44156.6366-3.57%149.45-8.00%0.0082✓1.3613.6M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27118.7942-3.63%107.05-13.16%0.0713✓1.15164.3M2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.4457-3.66%1.6826+12.13%0.1804✗1.017.8M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9239.346-3.85%39.7-2.98%0.0617✗1.8513.1M2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.3082-3.89%2.0752-13.59%0.0495✓2.002.4M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28693.1521-4.10%3.3399+1.61%0.0820✗0.8510.1M2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.47581.4132-4.24%1.6115+9.20%0.1686✗1.3111.9M2021-12-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.568445-5.57%0.7896+31.16%0.3810✗1.8412.4M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.193904-5.87%0.2085+1.21%0.1189✗1.6334k2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.021522-6.18%0.02187-4.66%0.0445✓1.0033.0M2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.