2021-12-20 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1054

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.44%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

29.6%

in alpha space · 16.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.08%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06558	0.066136	+0.85%	0.08443	+28.74%	0.1672	✓	0.99	22.6M	2021-12-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.52	14.578	+0.40%	19.11	+31.61%	0.1711	✓	1.28	14.2M	2021-12-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.350144	+0.33%	0.466	+33.52%	0.2281	✓	0.74	54k	2021-12-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.78	18.8152	+0.19%	23.02	+22.58%	0.1017	✓	1.29	69.7M	2021-12-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.08	24.1242	+0.18%	30.97	+28.61%	0.1530	✓	1.25	75.1M	2021-12-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,868.20	46,946.20	+0.17%	51,195.60	+9.23%	0.0097	✓	0.99	15k	2021-12-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.411	7.4203	+0.13%	10.034	+35.39%	0.1971	✓	1.35	635k	2021-12-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022282	0.022309	+0.12%	0.024165	+8.45%	0.0158	✗	1.23	1.9M	2021-12-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.48	5.4863	+0.11%	9.15	+66.97%	0.4100	✓	1.31	12.7M	2021-12-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.715	+0.11%	4.361	+17.52%	0.1076	✓	0.68	544k	2021-12-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08901	0.089106	+0.11%	0.09816	+10.28%	0.0161	✗	1.45	6.7M	2021-12-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.75	21.7712	+0.10%	28.24	+29.84%	0.1569	✓	1.33	20.8M	2021-12-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.04	2.0417	+0.08%	2.337	+14.56%	0.0485	✓	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,926.07	46,957.62	+0.07%	50,717.77	+8.08%	0.0007	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.84	14.8482	+0.06%	16.84	+13.48%	0.0364	✓	1.15	6.6M	2021-12-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5221	1.5225	+0.02%	2.0783	+36.54%	0.2747	✓	0.47	8.8M	2021-12-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	21.53	21.5272	-0.01%	29.68	+37.85%	0.2568	✗	0.83	42.5M	2021-12-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.86	34.8514	-0.02%	39.2	+12.45%	0.0375	✗	1.03	21.2M	2021-12-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07761	0.077579	-0.04%	0.081167	+4.58%	0.0311	✓	0.98	798k	2021-12-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.46	8.4564	-0.04%	9.45	+11.70%	0.0590	✗	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3889	-0.05%	2.8	+17.15%	0.0843	✗	0.96	4.9M	2021-12-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.11	5.1072	-0.05%	6.44	+26.03%	0.1482	✗	1.08	5.5M	2021-12-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.63	92.5769	-0.06%	107.04	+15.56%	0.0713	✗	0.95	10.6M	2021-12-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	181.01	180.9043	-0.06%	277.6	+53.36%	0.3524	✗	0.98	11.0M	2021-12-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6222	0.621741	-0.07%	0.7375	+18.53%	0.0753	✗	1.23	14.9M	2021-12-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1249	0.124759	-0.11%	0.1391	+11.37%	0.0232	✗	1.10	202k	2021-12-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.84	188.6177	-0.12%	220.72	+16.88%	0.0811	✗	0.98	2.9M	2021-12-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10877	0.108627	-0.13%	0.12484	+14.77%	0.0524	✗	1.12	31k	2021-12-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.409	1.4069	-0.15%	1.686	+19.66%	0.0784	✗	1.32	5.6M	2021-12-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.939	3.933	-0.15%	4.744	+20.44%	0.1235	✗	0.82	780k	2021-12-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.167179	0.1669	-0.17%	0.187814	+12.34%	0.0314	✗	1.12	5.3M	2021-12-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.033	5.0245	-0.17%	5.5	+9.28%	0.0406	✗	0.64	1.0M	2021-12-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.25839	0.257939	-0.17%	0.300288	+16.22%	0.0751	✗	0.99	40.4M	2021-12-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.195	1.1928	-0.18%	1.325	+10.88%	0.0280	✗	0.99	4.6M	2021-12-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.811	0.809386	-0.20%	1.017	+25.40%	0.1143	✗	1.47	10.9M	2021-12-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.57	40.4814	-0.22%	42.6	+5.00%	0.0320	✓	1.07	25.2M	2021-12-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.755084	0.753404	-0.22%	0.876137	+16.03%	0.0674	✗	1.07	4.8M	2021-12-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010638	0.000106133	-0.23%	0.00011859	+11.48%	0.0333	✗	1.00	13.4M	2021-12-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.71	121.415	-0.24%	127.41	+4.68%	0.0292	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.54	34.4475	-0.27%	37.61	+8.89%	0.0056	✗	1.06	6.5M	2021-12-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.43	187.8691	-0.30%	237.34	+25.96%	0.1513	✗	1.06	236k	2021-12-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9718	8.9438	-0.31%	9.9988	+11.45%	0.0029	✓	1.47	356k	2021-12-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.38	30.2826	-0.32%	39.59	+30.32%	0.1507	✗	1.51	1.6M	2021-12-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.838	2.8285	-0.34%	3.267	+15.12%	0.0781	✗	0.85	104k	2021-12-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.28	428.7297	-0.36%	465.3	+8.14%	0.0003	✓	1.05	14.2M	2021-12-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.8354	5.8143	-0.36%	6.8395	+17.21%	0.0989	✗	0.82	5.1M	2021-12-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	174.01	173.3674	-0.37%	206.05	+18.41%	0.1036	✗	0.89	12.3M	2021-12-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7587	-0.41%	3.39	+22.38%	0.1064	✗	1.28	3.0M	2021-12-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3017	0.300406	-0.43%	0.4014	+33.05%	0.1756	✗	1.47	4.9M	2021-12-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.65	9.6043	-0.47%	11.16	+15.65%	0.0930	✗	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2381	1.232	-0.50%	1.5164	+22.48%	0.1276	✗	1.03	131.8M	2021-12-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2405	0.239245	-0.52%	0.2391	-0.58%	0.0364	✓	0.46	434k	2021-12-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.99	31.8178	-0.54%	34.59	+8.13%	0.0322	✗	0.66	754k	2021-12-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2037	0.202602	-0.54%	0.2194	+7.71%	0.0114	✗	0.88	756k	2021-12-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2888	3.2709	-0.54%	3.9652	+20.57%	0.1116	✗	1.04	798k	2021-12-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2674	0.265944	-0.54%	0.3372	+26.10%	0.1389	✗	1.27	7.0M	2021-12-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1303	0.129578	-0.55%	0.1453	+11.51%	0.0299	✗	1.09	603k	2021-12-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1991	0.197925	-0.59%	0.2396	+20.34%	0.0970	✗	1.21	8.9M	2021-12-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	23.75	23.6088	-0.59%	26.71	+12.46%	0.0410	✗	1.06	2.9M	2021-12-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2978	1.2901	-0.60%	1.6631	+28.15%	0.1725	✗	1.05	35.8M	2021-12-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.06	5.0283	-0.63%	5.87	+16.01%	0.0631	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.901	4.8703	-0.63%	4.9574	+1.15%	0.0424	✓	0.77	31k	2021-12-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	263.85	262.1372	-0.65%	322.27	+22.14%	0.1207	✗	1.10	1.5M	2021-12-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,946.16	3,920.23	-0.66%	4,038.64	+2.34%	0.0544	✓	1.08	768.5M	2021-12-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.239	1.2305	-0.69%	1.415	+14.21%	0.0555	✗	1.08	1.6M	2021-12-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	127.33	126.4533	-0.69%	151.04	+18.62%	0.0805	✗	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.2071	-0.71%	3.6	+11.46%	0.0385	✗	0.99	1.3M	2021-12-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	174.06	172.8015	-0.72%	195.74	+12.46%	0.0455	✗	1.02	281.0M	2021-12-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0836	0.082975	-0.75%	0.0897	+7.30%	0.0085	✓	1.11	24k	2021-12-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	152.71	151.5242	-0.78%	155.78	+2.01%	0.0836	✓	1.43	60.7M	2021-12-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057981	0.05753	-0.78%	0.063833	+10.09%	0.0124	✓	1.50	13.8M	2021-12-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1064	4.074	-0.79%	5.1016	+24.24%	0.1226	✗	1.32	4.7M	2021-12-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.671	1.6575	-0.81%	1.884	+12.75%	0.0281	✗	1.29	7.6M	2021-12-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4213	0.417815	-0.83%	0.4709	+11.77%	0.0115	✗	1.39	1.8M	2021-12-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.51	1.4975	-0.83%	2.01	+33.11%	0.1632	✗	1.69	2.0M	2021-12-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.3	15.1633	-0.89%	16.81	+9.87%	0.0491	✗	0.69	1.6M	2021-12-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6692	0.663106	-0.91%	0.7943	+18.69%	0.0872	✗	1.20	7.8M	2021-12-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09914	0.098206	-0.94%	0.11486	+15.86%	0.1157	✗	0.53	143k	2021-12-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0483	1.038	-0.98%	1.3056	+24.54%	0.1114	✗	1.52	3.4M	2021-12-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.6037	-0.99%	9.33	+7.36%	0.0195	✗	0.79	838k	2021-12-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.103	20.8921	-1.00%	22.976	+8.88%	0.0388	✓	1.72	23.4M	2021-12-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.241	10.137	-1.02%	9.799	-4.32%	0.0855	✓	0.66	388k	2021-12-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1667	3.1328	-1.07%	3.6103	+14.01%	0.0462	✗	1.23	4.7M	2021-12-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04664	0.04613	-1.09%	0.05341	+14.52%	0.0725	✗	0.95	15.8M	2021-12-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.955	8.8563	-1.10%	14.106	+57.52%	0.4825	✗	-0.22	119k	2021-12-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0652	0.064472	-1.12%	0.0741	+13.65%	0.0336	✗	1.36	2.9M	2021-12-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.8506	-1.13%	8.01	+0.88%	0.0320	✓	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3532	0.34921	-1.13%	0.4183	+18.43%	0.0791	✗	1.30	6.8M	2021-12-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5742	3.5333	-1.14%	3.4608	-3.17%	0.0132	✓	-0.10	372k	2021-12-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003122	0.000030852	-1.18%	0.00003905	+25.08%	0.1579	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.16	3.1221	-1.20%	3.86	+22.15%	0.1359	✗	0.98	821k	2021-12-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.01	8.8997	-1.22%	14.16	+57.16%	0.4770	✗	-0.16	3.7M	2021-12-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01925	0.019014	-1.22%	0.02154	+11.90%	0.0819	✗	0.55	67k	2021-12-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.53	9.411	-1.25%	11.09	+16.37%	0.0897	✗	0.96	2.0M	2021-12-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.095	0.093803	-1.26%	0.1161	+22.21%	0.1076	✗	1.36	3.4M	2021-12-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01728	0.017062	-1.26%	0.01876	+8.56%	0.0027	✓	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05406	0.053362	-1.29%	0.05816	+7.58%	0.0017	✓	1.13	22k	2021-12-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.11	4.0552	-1.33%	5.28	+28.47%	0.1613	✗	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.2	3.1567	-1.35%	5.18	+61.87%	0.4176	✗	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.01664	0.016412	-1.37%	0.01908	+14.66%	0.0588	✗	1.18	3.1M	2021-12-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.2563	2.225	-1.39%	2.5471	+12.89%	0.0432	✗	1.18	169k	2021-12-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0799	1.0644	-1.43%	1.3793	+27.72%	0.1849	✗	0.96	23.6M	2021-12-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.14	11.9629	-1.46%	13.03	+7.33%	0.1111	✗	-0.33	5.9M	2021-12-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.312	2.2778	-1.48%	3.08	+33.22%	0.2306	✗	0.92	3.3M	2021-12-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.888	4.8155	-1.48%	5.2921	+8.27%	0.0126	✓	1.38	5.2M	2021-12-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.8629	5.7674	-1.63%	6.874	+17.24%	0.0835	✗	1.18	833k	2021-12-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.49	60.483	-1.64%	70.72	+15.01%	0.0372	✗	1.53	2.2M	2021-12-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1076	1.0892	-1.66%	1.3823	+24.80%	0.1006	✗	1.77	1.5M	2021-12-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6286	0.617514	-1.76%	0.8111	+29.03%	0.1775	✗	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.28	4.2023	-1.82%	5.5	+28.50%	0.1914	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.75	8.588	-1.85%	10.75	+22.86%	0.1389	✗	1.10	3.9M	2021-12-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01493	0.014648	-1.89%	0.01713	+14.74%	0.0856	✗	0.91	1.9M	2021-12-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	176.9138	173.5266	-1.91%	211.5789	+19.59%	0.1095	✗	1.14	1.1M	2021-12-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.6973	-1.94%	5.13	+7.10%	0.0104	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.801	3.7263	-1.97%	4.312	+13.44%	0.0683	✗	1.00	3.7M	2021-12-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6264	1.5941	-1.98%	2.0541	+26.30%	0.2033	✗	0.65	1.4M	2021-12-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.607	0.594628	-2.04%	0.723	+19.11%	0.0990	✗	1.24	3.4M	2021-12-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.1657	-2.04%	1.32	+10.92%	0.0466	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3175	0.310865	-2.09%	0.3756	+18.30%	0.1211	✗	0.88	693k	2021-12-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.035847	0.035076	-2.15%	0.037325	+4.12%	0.0160	✓	1.01	15.0M	2021-12-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,818.43	36,000.14	-2.22%	31,759.20	-13.74%	0.1717	✓	0.60	6.2M	2021-12-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.45	10.2066	-2.33%	12.74	+21.91%	0.1832	✗	0.50	4.2M	2021-12-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	33.29	-2.35%	43.58	+27.84%	0.1334	✗	1.75	6.0M	2021-12-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.02	152.9453	-2.60%	169.76	+8.11%	0.0032	✓	1.38	13.6M	2021-12-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.76	5.6043	-2.70%	5.06	-12.15%	0.1799	✓	1.00	9.3M	2021-12-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0189	1.9608	-2.88%	2.2578	+11.83%	0.0112	✓	1.96	2.3M	2021-12-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.37	39.1954	-2.91%	44.44	+10.08%	0.0246	✓	1.93	13.8M	2021-12-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.219	0.212329	-3.05%	0.21	-4.11%	0.1017	✓	1.17	3.9M	2021-12-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3895	1.3471	-3.05%	1.7264	+24.25%	0.1709	✗	0.99	7.8M	2021-12-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.55	109.7508	-3.35%	113.96	+0.36%	0.0509	✓	1.14	164.3M	2021-12-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4	1.3524	-3.40%	1.852	+32.29%	0.2115	✗	1.32	12.4M	2021-12-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1901	3.0752	-3.60%	3.7429	+17.33%	0.1287	✗	0.87	10.9M	2021-12-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01809	0.017388	-3.88%	0.0262	+44.83%	0.3323	✗	1.00	30.7M	2021-12-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19466	0.185348	-4.78%	0.22849	+17.38%	0.0819	✗	1.64	34k	2021-12-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5372	0.506637	-5.69%	0.8843	+64.61%	0.4144	✗	1.83	10.2M	2021-12-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.