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2022-08-04 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2921
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.3%
in alpha space · 38.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.7631-3.96%21.14-2.22%0.0299✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0144.2301-3.87%44.8-2.63%0.0906✓1.82266k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.5039-3.70%2.971+14.27%0.0995✗1.26448k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.8689-3.60%10.3+11.96%0.0709✗1.39334k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000095701-3.58%0.00009727-1.99%0.0995✓2.04516k2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.759489-3.37%0.769-2.16%0.0702✓1.463,1392022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,300.19-3.26%11,294.44+6.08%0.0113✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.1227-3.10%36.12+29.05%0.2095✗1.36946k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.083636-2.92%0.08708+1.08%0.0370✓1.3629k2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.989721-2.89%1.0027-1.62%0.0842✓1.71241k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.561087-2.86%0.5389-6.70%0.1184✓1.38234k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0523-2.84%3.2004+1.87%0.0040✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.040975-2.67%0.0439+4.28%0.0006✓1.2376k2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.0187-2.66%6.256+21.33%0.1905✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.7706-2.62%8.186+2.58%0.0172✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.294141-2.60%0.3078+1.92%0.0178✓1.11300k2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1067-2.47%3.1366-1.53%0.0791✓1.5612k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.2549-2.45%6.929-6.83%0.1442✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0249-2.44%1.2255+16.66%0.1194✗1.0513k2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.1687-2.43%0.1775+2.66%0.0185✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.184373-2.38%0.1952+3.35%0.0742✓2.311,1512022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.826033-2.36%0.889+5.08%0.0252✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74101.3102-2.34%124.47+19.98%0.1497✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.544972-2.33%0.551-1.25%0.0539✓1.1414k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.079045-2.29%0.09833+21.55%0.1340✗1.49871k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.6909-2.28%4.038+6.91%0.0090✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.888311-2.28%0.967+6.38%0.0152✓1.76496k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.14141-2.27%0.1497+3.46%0.0045✓1.08907k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4242-2.25%2.58+4.03%0.0012✓1.08507k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034185-2.24%0.03161-9.61%0.1601✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.555634-2.13%0.5522-2.73%0.0694✓1.1146k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1604-2.10%1.127-4.92%0.0786✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031641-2.07%0.05195+60.79%0.4259✗1.2314k2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.160833-2.05%0.1949+18.70%0.1217✗1.24518k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020112-2.01%0.019255-6.19%0.0674✓0.42167k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3043-2.01%3.3972+0.74%0.0228✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.643-2.00%8.964+1.64%0.0426✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1787-1.99%2.184-1.75%0.0696✓1.27626k2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3024-1.97%1.3595+2.33%0.0418✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7788-1.94%2.089+15.16%0.1249✗0.63206k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.7694-1.94%4.034+4.94%0.0347✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.213327-1.92%0.2554+17.43%0.1058✗1.311,5612022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5504-1.87%1.52-3.80%0.0367✓0.30242k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3131-1.82%6.61+2.80%0.0329✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.570793-1.81%0.6302+8.41%0.0318✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7436-1.79%4.8-0.62%0.0279✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.449106-1.74%0.47814+4.61%0.0193✗0.7668k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.4444-1.73%5.8+4.69%0.0297✗0.59873k2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9334-1.71%2.005+1.93%0.0437✓1.41266k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7251-1.70%1.767+0.68%0.0572✓1.43341k2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.356649-1.70%0.36776+1.36%0.0433✓1.3013k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3494.7592-1.64%107.55+11.64%0.0327✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0688-1.64%3.13+0.32%0.0664✓1.52211k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1094-1.59%1.1274+0.01%0.0616✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.50e-7-1.56%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1268✓0.99164k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.4086-1.55%17.0874+16.75%0.1054✗1.1558k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5034-1.55%5.28-5.55%0.0762✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.1328-1.55%63.11+12.70%0.0562✗1.3935k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.545-1.54%4.683+1.45%0.0020✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.01731-1.54%0.01787+1.65%0.0147✓0.82193k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049442-1.53%0.053086+5.73%0.0032✓1.2035k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.9016-1.52%11.8+6.59%0.0111✓1.20263k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4479-1.50%1.54+4.76%0.0183✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022113-1.49%0.024997+11.36%0.0679✗0.9611k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062075-1.47%0.0749+18.89%0.1150✗1.28802k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.219-1.47%2.326+3.29%0.0317✓1.39172k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8901-1.46%1.558-18.77%0.3051✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9252-1.43%4.091+2.74%0.0072✓0.86922k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001073-1.42%0.001521+39.72%0.2783✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.065762-1.41%0.0718+7.65%0.0345✗0.94183k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.6391-1.39%15.6-1.64%0.0823✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048425-1.37%0.05344+8.84%0.0483✗0.8915k2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.051-1.37%28.54+22.12%0.1239✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084236-1.36%0.0916+7.26%0.0186✗1.15126k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1975-1.36%0.993-18.20%0.2241✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0482-1.35%2.93-5.18%0.0676✓0.49109k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.2197-1.34%11.749+13.42%0.0626✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.9837-1.34%8.347+3.15%0.0148✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3804-1.33%1.456+4.07%0.0190✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.257689-1.31%0.2613+0.08%0.0133✗0.0129k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.433179-1.28%0.4591+4.63%0.0258✓1.48278k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002161-1.28%0.002212+1.05%0.0334✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075952-1.27%0.08332+8.31%0.0510✗0.739772022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6786-1.26%1.91+12.35%0.0543✗1.32122k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.657739-1.23%0.7242+8.75%0.0105✓1.5188k2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.772574-1.21%0.924+18.16%0.1106✗1.20225k2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.39e-7-1.20%0.00000102+7.37%0.0265✗1.0025k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.6449-1.20%8.57-2.06%0.0364✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,589.00-1.19%1,881.04+16.97%0.0963✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7859-1.15%4.044+5.59%0.0266✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.084426-1.15%0.08746+2.40%0.0199✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.884-1.15%2.9337+0.56%0.0386✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.5776-1.15%61.928+2.75%0.0086✓0.83321k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.790255-1.09%0.864+8.14%0.0313✗1.02377k2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0226-1.09%1.4845+43.58%0.3075✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.101-1.07%1.1706+5.18%0.0014✓1.1111k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7581-1.06%5.91+1.55%0.0124✓0.68746k2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2896-1.01%8.96+21.67%0.1353✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.108496-1.01%0.1215+10.86%0.0421✗1.25505k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.954-0.94%3.021+1.31%0.0411✓1.12591k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7032-0.91%2.849+4.44%0.0286✓1.4349k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.573-0.89%2.875+10.75%0.0115✗1.75109k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.67994-0.88%0.691+0.73%0.0632✓1.4088k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2856-0.88%1.324+2.08%0.0410✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.32791-0.81%0.3493+5.66%0.0029✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053266-0.81%0.0549+2.23%0.0424✓1.28284k2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.6394-0.79%60.91-0.34%0.0621✓1.17379k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8111-0.76%1.9022+4.24%0.0229✓1.27530k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.5735-0.65%42.06+20.86%0.1163✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.13386-0.62%0.1474+9.43%0.0243✗1.2761k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.259076-0.58%0.3041+16.69%0.0971✗1.1165k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4937-0.56%1.6643+10.81%0.0288✗1.40594k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.053973-0.54%0.057169+5.35%0.0246✗0.5825k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021017-0.53%0.02718+28.63%0.1995✗1.02159k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009743-0.48%0.01006+2.76%0.0180✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.338579-0.48%0.376118+10.55%0.0331✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.59386-0.44%0.6487+8.75%0.0235✗1.14690k2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043682-0.41%0.04793+9.28%0.0395✗0.942,0262022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1815-0.39%2.3938+9.31%0.0248✗1.2032k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.251249-0.38%0.2695+6.86%0.0042✗1.16768k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061369-0.37%0.078+26.62%0.1587✗1.43350k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011809-0.35%0.00001233+4.05%0.0275✓1.25951k2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.40296-0.34%0.4605+13.89%0.0659✗1.19107k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006678-0.33%0.006698-0.03%0.0261✓0.5140k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116428-0.32%0.1263+8.13%0.0204✗1.08370k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.414906-0.31%0.458+10.04%0.0242✗1.31127k2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0122-0.29%1.0862+7.00%0.0172✗0.9460k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.247778-0.29%0.2705+8.85%0.0184✗1.22101k2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.418422-0.27%0.40616-3.19%0.1080✓1.38583k2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.7057-0.25%18.45+3.94%0.0330✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.225736-0.25%0.2297+1.50%0.0658✓1.4787k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.00898-0.22%0.00871-3.22%0.1031✓1.28387k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.7703-0.13%42.8+10.25%0.0214✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003765-0.12%0.00393+4.24%0.0307✓1.30551k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25159.1059-0.09%160.49+0.78%0.0542✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.126807-0.07%0.134+5.59%0.0014✓1.004,7012022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.120121-0.07%0.1425+18.55%0.0931✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4138-0.05%3.611+49.52%0.3522✗0.89110k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.499633-0.01%0.5306+6.18%0.0081✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.073186+0.12%0.1304+78.39%0.5362✓0.73159k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.993879+0.14%1.0527+6.07%0.0162✗1.30532k2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003074+0.15%0.004951+61.32%0.4205✓0.991.0M2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.329527+0.16%0.4285+30.24%0.1987✓1.1377k2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.336666+0.17%0.3613+7.50%0.0064✓1.138.2M2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030438+0.19%0.03187+4.90%0.0279✗1.301,4012022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.139491+0.21%0.1646+18.25%0.1117✓0.953.6M2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9679+0.22%4.2149+6.46%0.0012✓1.0945k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,674.15+0.22%23,944.86+5.84%0.0022✗1.00427.9M2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000043035+0.22%0.00004644+8.15%0.0105✓1.161.9M2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.8264+0.30%61.89+3.76%0.0316✗1.1513.6M2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004554+0.32%0.00517+13.88%0.0526✓1.31112k2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.200154+0.33%0.2226+11.58%0.0270✓1.401,2762022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048377+0.37%0.0488+1.24%0.0651✗1.307,5232022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015653+0.37%0.015949+2.27%0.0319✗0.892.1M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.64e-7+0.37%0.00000101+5.21%0.0005✓0.846.4M2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.1238+0.39%9.201+13.70%0.0553✓1.2211.0M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.334525+0.46%0.321-3.60%0.1002✗1.041.1M2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.73151+0.62%0.74+1.79%0.0720✗1.47121k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,637.22+0.63%24,153.10+7.37%0.0092✓0.9813k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34135.2931+0.71%142.98+6.43%0.0127✗1.204.6M2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.477072+0.71%0.5032+6.23%0.0170✗1.24808k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.219575+0.72%0.228+4.59%0.0482✗1.51782k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.4482+0.74%21.63+24.88%0.1363✓1.38116k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.161213+0.76%0.17809+11.31%0.0126✓1.53212k2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059774+0.80%0.0621+4.72%0.0409✗1.39172k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001671+0.82%0.001703+2.78%0.0394✗1.039,0682022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5875+0.82%4.9372+8.51%0.0311✓0.75920k2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.449.8078+0.83%55.61+12.57%0.0480✓1.10574k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.746687+0.90%0.85+14.86%0.0956✓0.6079k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3865.0619+1.06%79.26+23.11%0.1265✓1.251.6M2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.098588+1.12%0.0988+1.33%0.0662✗1.207,1482022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.4737+1.15%30.52+4.74%0.0190✗0.9510.0M2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.746615+1.17%0.911+23.44%0.1301✓1.21968k2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0596+1.19%4.7078-5.84%0.0820✗0.17219k2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.115287+1.20%0.125283+9.97%0.0269✓0.996.9M2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.157989+1.21%0.1701+8.97%0.0041✓1.23107k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1645+1.24%1.2591+9.48%0.0186✓1.0543k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069915+1.35%0.070371+2.02%0.0329✗0.69345k2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.317662+1.37%0.38689+23.46%0.1334✓1.12396k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.074493+1.63%0.0819+11.73%0.0320✓1.111.1M2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.00836+1.70%0.00834+1.46%0.0536✗0.901.6M2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006258+1.82%0.006618+7.67%0.0078✓0.857,1222022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.068858+2.23%0.070882+5.24%0.0375✗1.171.7M2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.2889+2.53%10.512+4.75%0.0412✗1.102.0M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.567043+3.97%0.5937+8.86%0.0185✓1.14333k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.