QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · gru_s1

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0446

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0127

actual -0.0073

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.88041	0.862242	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.858247	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.83877	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.837035	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.855982	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.878135	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.888162	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.895518	-2.91%	0.88041	-4.55%	0.0317	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.919213	-3.02%	0.877405	-7.43%	0.0444	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.895716	-3.40%	0.86037	-7.21%	0.0415	✓	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.964375	-3.45%	0.858515	-14.04%	0.0960	✓	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	0.975609	-4.05%	0.87857	-13.59%	0.0860	✓	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.921408	-3.65%	0.90303	-5.57%	0.0073	✓	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.893273	-3.91%	0.914685	-1.61%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.898325	-4.04%	0.92235	-1.47%	0.0472	✗	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.937796	-3.77%	0.947825	-2.74%	0.0391	✗	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.959359	-3.73%	0.927235	-6.95%	0.0117	✓	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.956766	-3.80%	0.998795	+0.43%	0.0752	✗	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.950534	-4.20%	1.0168	+2.47%	0.0887	✗	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.950873	-4.33%	0.95631	-3.79%	0.0286	✓	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.943818	-4.39%	0.929655	-5.82%	0.0219	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.955038	-4.71%	0.936105	-6.60%	0.0167	✓	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.92951	-4.40%	0.97452	+0.23%	0.0250	✓	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.943109	-4.32%	0.996535	+1.10%	0.0285	✓	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	0.98744	-3.95%	0.99453	-3.26%	0.0159	✓	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	0.990381	-4.03%	0.992245	-3.85%	0.0018	✓	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.0052	-4.37%	0.99396	-5.44%	0.0159	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.963156	-3.73%	0.987135	-1.34%	0.0193	✓	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.923434	-3.50%	1.0022	+4.73%	0.0913	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	0.978295	-3.27%	0.97227	-3.87%	0.0226	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.967532	-2.93%	0.98568	-1.11%	0.0537	✗	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.91953	-3.26%	1.028	+8.16%	0.0724	✗	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.926971	-3.05%	1.0319	+7.93%	0.0697	✗	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.922667	-3.20%	1.0511	+10.28%	0.0917	✗	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.855459	-1.91%	1.0005	+14.72%	0.0628	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.859767	-1.76%	0.956945	+9.34%	0.0111	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.852095	-1.15%	1.0114	+17.33%	0.0460	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.909318	-1.69%	0.99676	+7.76%	0.0010	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.94325	-2.26%	0.95048	-1.51%	0.0430	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.91976	-1.07%	0.95615	+2.84%	0.0077	✓	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.876898	-0.07%	0.953185	+8.63%	0.0405	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.860369	+0.52%	0.872145	+1.90%	0.0159	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.894258	+0.64%	0.8752	-1.50%	0.0038	✓	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.897509	+0.86%	0.861965	-3.14%	0.0057	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.89428	+1.68%	0.92496	+5.17%	0.0447	✓	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.90264	+2.26%	0.96504	+9.33%	0.1094	✓	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.898095	+3.08%	0.929715	+6.71%	0.0654	✓	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.89275	+3.55%	0.877485	+1.78%	0.0124	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.898094	+4.42%	0.85591	-0.49%	0.0093	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.849089	+3.92%	0.88856	+8.75%	0.0325	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.853203	+3.42%	0.88987	+7.86%	0.0281	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.852167	+3.60%	0.879515	+6.93%	0.0250	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.816917	+2.58%	0.882675	+10.84%	0.0443	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.842176	+2.29%	0.871245	+5.82%	0.0146	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.831296	+1.75%	0.86216	+5.53%	0.0142	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.867734	+1.77%	0.86012	+0.88%	0.0204	✗	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.898572	+0.40%	0.81706	-8.71%	0.0738	✗	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.861583	+1.80%	0.82502	-2.52%	0.0294	✗	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.884921	+1.20%	0.822535	-5.93%	0.0680	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.887475	+0.67%	0.79638	-9.67%	0.1075	✗	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.847223	+0.64%	0.823295	-2.20%	0.0432	✗	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.863789	-0.28%	0.816995	-5.68%	0.0498	✓	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.786752	-1.09%	0.85261	+7.19%	0.0068	✓	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.708694	-1.17%	0.894995	+24.81%	0.1246	✗	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.673039	-1.47%	0.84638	+23.90%	0.0646	✗	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.671681	-1.44%	0.87443	+28.31%	0.0911	✗	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.665802	-1.59%	0.881595	+30.30%	0.0969	✗	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.664576	-1.53%	0.841845	+24.74%	0.0631	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.672986	-1.71%	0.86618	+26.51%	0.0632	✗	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.653931	-1.80%	0.79543	+19.45%	0.0724	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.643695	-1.39%	0.717075	+9.85%	0.0280	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.625173	-1.23%	0.683095	+7.92%	0.0728	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.637425	-1.42%	0.681495	+5.40%	0.0590	✗	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.657226	-1.45%	0.676565	+1.45%	0.0568	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.655727	-1.57%	0.674895	+1.31%	0.0549	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.644726	-1.52%	0.684685	+4.58%	0.0879	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.638583	-1.44%	0.6659	+2.77%	0.0541	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.634609	-1.39%	0.65275	+1.43%	0.0455	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.64121	-1.48%	0.632945	-2.75%	0.0054	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.638841	-1.68%	0.646575	-0.49%	0.0055	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.640094	-1.84%	0.666885	+2.27%	0.0211	✗	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.632958	-2.03%	0.666195	+3.11%	0.0196	✓	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.627059	-2.26%	0.654705	+2.04%	0.0128	✓	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.627042	-2.46%	0.647925	+0.79%	0.0396	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.630345	-2.26%	0.64355	-0.22%	0.0101	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.641931	-2.27%	0.650875	-0.91%	0.0108	✓	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.633249	-2.40%	0.64975	+0.14%	0.0292	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.667005	-2.22%	0.652095	-4.41%	0.0041	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.665637	-2.39%	0.646105	-5.25%	0.0070	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.664328	-2.60%	0.641585	-5.93%	0.0161	✓	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.698044	-2.64%	0.642835	-10.34%	0.0777	✓	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.701157	-1.83%	0.64495	-9.70%	0.0520	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.697049	-1.85%	0.65683	-7.51%	0.0209	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.697681	-2.30%	0.64881	-9.15%	0.0507	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.701827	-2.55%	0.682155	-5.28%	0.0379	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.683965	-2.53%	0.681935	-2.82%	0.0043	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.667975	-1.50%	0.68205	+0.57%	0.0181	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.662589	-1.23%	0.717005	+6.88%	0.0600	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.678255	-1.35%	0.714225	+3.88%	0.0315	✗	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.676633	-1.37%	0.71017	+3.52%	0.0259	✗	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.66072	-1.49%	0.714125	+6.48%	0.0319	✗	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.676136	-1.05%	0.7202	+5.40%	0.0485	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.680821	-1.05%	0.701725	+1.98%	0.0145	✗	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.684776	-1.17%	0.67816	-2.13%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.684567	-1.24%	0.670865	-3.21%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.693298	-1.41%	0.68752	-2.23%	0.0477	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.679053	-1.12%	0.686005	-0.11%	0.0165	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.700997	-1.26%	0.670695	-5.53%	0.0157	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.701774	-1.65%	0.683295	-4.24%	0.0292	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.707829	-1.31%	0.688075	-4.06%	0.0394	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.706158	-1.44%	0.69289	-3.29%	0.0448	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.688447	-1.18%	0.693145	-0.50%	0.0205	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.677653	-1.14%	0.70322	+2.59%	0.0009	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.672017	-0.87%	0.686755	+1.31%	0.0610	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.683968	-1.06%	0.709955	+2.70%	0.0282	✓	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.683876	-0.92%	0.713515	+3.37%	0.0319	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.667275	-1.17%	0.71721	+6.23%	0.0142	✗	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.675641	-0.46%	0.71646	+5.56%	0.0119	✗	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.652698	-0.31%	0.69666	+6.41%	0.0319	✗	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.679248	-0.13%	0.685435	+0.78%	0.0280	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.689297	-0.17%	0.677905	-1.82%	0.0621	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.705288	-0.40%	0.69129	-2.37%	0.0499	✗	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.707837	-0.19%	0.690225	-2.68%	0.0449	✗	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.733044	-0.53%	0.675145	-8.39%	0.0024	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.722683	-0.41%	0.67875	-6.47%	0.0024	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.723663	-0.43%	0.6547	-9.92%	0.0395	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.757477	-0.71%	0.680135	-10.84%	0.0437	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.741283	-0.67%	0.690495	-7.48%	0.0164	✓	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.746461	-0.81%	0.7081	-5.91%	0.0102	✓	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.738596	-0.80%	0.709205	-4.75%	0.0049	✓	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.732069	-0.52%	0.73695	+0.14%	0.0104	✗	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.714781	-0.22%	0.72568	+1.30%	0.0163	✗	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.71661	-0.24%	0.726765	+1.18%	0.0270	✗	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.687092	+0.50%	0.762855	+11.58%	0.0479	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.702892	+0.34%	0.74631	+6.53%	0.0132	✗	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.71187	+0.18%	0.75257	+5.91%	0.0037	✗	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.712668	+0.27%	0.744585	+4.76%	0.0004	✓	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.692448	+1.07%	0.73593	+7.42%	0.0063	✓	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.698215	+1.14%	0.71637	+3.77%	0.0215	✗	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.761178	-0.13%	0.71831	-5.75%	0.0537	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.805569	-0.61%	0.683675	-15.65%	0.1180	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.795984	-1.01%	0.70054	-12.88%	0.0378	✓	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.843496	-1.86%	0.71057	-17.33%	0.0344	✓	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.854406	-1.93%	0.71076	-18.42%	0.0129	✓	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.845873	-2.02%	0.6851	-20.64%	0.0067	✓	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.842668	-2.04%	0.69036	-19.75%	0.0084	✓	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.849794	-1.99%	0.76215	-12.10%	0.0502	✗	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.855798	-1.78%	0.81049	-6.98%	0.1121	✗	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.867592	-1.76%	0.80413	-8.95%	0.0696	✗	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.890917	-1.75%	0.85952	-5.21%	0.0574	✗	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.879876	-1.86%	0.871225	-2.83%	0.0428	✗	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.912286	-1.91%	0.86329	-7.18%	0.0111	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.884137	-1.96%	0.86026	-4.60%	0.0047	✓	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.908889	-1.68%	0.86704	-6.21%	0.0146	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.879704	-1.70%	0.87128	-2.64%	0.0387	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.87173	-1.27%	0.883135	+0.02%	0.0273	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.885304	-1.44%	0.906795	+0.95%	0.0194	✗	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.873271	-1.45%	0.89659	+1.18%	0.0328	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.894355	-1.63%	0.930025	+2.29%	0.0608	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.914624	-1.66%	0.90177	-3.04%	0.0401	✗	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.968308	-1.60%	0.924435	-6.06%	0.0048	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.966461	-1.89%	0.89491	-9.15%	0.0500	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.0112	-1.94%	0.882935	-14.37%	0.0820	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.013	-1.86%	0.89824	-12.98%	0.0534	✓	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0214	-2.27%	0.88611	-15.21%	0.0753	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.955886	-1.24%	0.909195	-6.07%	0.0151	✓	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.95463	-1.35%	0.930055	-3.89%	0.0108	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.910891	-1.21%	0.984055	+6.73%	0.0630	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.913981	-0.80%	0.98506	+6.91%	0.1020	✗	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.888751	-0.72%	1.0312	+15.19%	0.1541	✗	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.867307	-0.77%	1.0322	+18.10%	0.1498	✗	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.862191	-0.95%	1.0451	+20.07%	0.1453	✗	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.871815	-0.95%	0.96792	+9.97%	0.0787	✗	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.865012	-0.97%	0.96765	+10.78%	0.0865	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.851939	-1.13%	0.922025	+7.00%	0.0298	✗	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.862995	-1.28%	0.921375	+5.40%	0.0101	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.87567	-1.24%	0.89518	+0.96%	0.0394	✓	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.880921	-1.16%	0.87405	-1.93%	0.0412	✓	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.898962	-1.05%	0.87045	-4.19%	0.0307	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.885336	-1.15%	0.8802	-1.72%	0.0198	✓	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.89315	-1.20%	0.87351	-3.38%	0.0328	✓	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.89615	-1.19%	0.86168	-4.99%	0.0121	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.894923	-0.91%	0.8742	-3.21%	0.0104	✗	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.899336	-1.27%	0.88667	-2.66%	0.0138	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.903787	-1.30%	0.89128	-2.67%	0.0349	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.873422	-1.32%	0.90848	+2.64%	0.0286	✓	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.906999	-1.26%	0.8956	-2.50%	0.0393	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.945996	-1.35%	0.90403	-5.73%	0.0504	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.908457	-1.39%	0.906965	-1.55%	0.0448	✓	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.896234	-1.41%	0.90316	-0.65%	0.0391	✓	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.887397	-1.55%	0.910885	+1.06%	0.0047	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.908049	-1.66%	0.915695	-0.84%	0.0120	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.866571	-1.80%	0.88507	+0.30%	0.0252	✓	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.901525	-1.86%	0.918605	+0.00%	0.0200	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.900033	-1.82%	0.95899	+4.61%	0.0042	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.90567	-1.80%	0.921225	-0.11%	0.0328	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.893123	-1.77%	0.90905	-0.01%	0.0382	✓	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.935292	-2.07%	0.90133	-5.63%	0.0707	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.90673	-2.12%	0.92342	-0.32%	0.0671	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.946488	-2.35%	0.882435	-8.96%	0.0975	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.935355	-2.60%	0.918595	-4.34%	0.1095	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.941482	-2.90%	0.916705	-5.46%	0.1224	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.863248	-1.93%	0.922265	+4.78%	0.0119	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.913673	-2.61%	0.90918	-3.08%	0.0519	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.866603	-2.64%	0.95507	+7.30%	0.0395	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.798278	-1.40%	0.92641	+14.43%	0.1155	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.764289	-1.06%	0.969285	+25.48%	0.1898	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.808329	-1.18%	0.96028	+17.39%	0.1569	✗	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.809613	-1.14%	0.96962	+18.39%	0.1708	✗	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.839778	-1.18%	0.88023	+3.58%	0.0764	✗	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.896417	-1.31%	0.93812	+3.28%	0.0935	✗	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.919992	-1.04%	0.89006	-4.26%	0.0021	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.878328	-0.58%	0.80961	-8.36%	0.0178	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.824456	-0.33%	0.77248	-6.62%	0.0357	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.844783	-0.27%	0.818	-3.43%	0.0078	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.882449	-0.35%	0.81898	-7.52%	0.0119	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.875158	-0.35%	0.84978	-3.24%	0.0123	✓	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.890653	-0.40%	0.90831	+1.57%	0.0188	✗	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.943009	-0.48%	0.92962	-1.89%	0.0348	✗	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.947698	-0.47%	0.88349	-7.22%	0.0122	✓	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.930505	-0.65%	0.82721	-11.68%	0.0431	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.875137	-0.70%	0.84707	-3.88%	0.0019	✓	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.902012	-0.87%	0.885555	-2.67%	0.0117	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.868725	-0.80%	0.87821	+0.28%	0.0201	✗	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.886841	-0.81%	0.89425	+0.02%	0.0072	✓	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.872989	-0.69%	0.94753	+7.79%	0.0238	✗	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.862119	-0.66%	0.95221	+9.73%	0.0042	✓	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.846236	-0.36%	0.9366	+10.28%	0.0043	✓	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.858749	-0.51%	0.88128	+2.11%	0.0357	✓	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.886094	-0.77%	0.90989	+1.90%	0.0170	✓	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.923468	-1.04%	0.87576	-6.15%	0.0477	✓	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.931686	-1.08%	0.8941	-5.07%	0.0040	✓	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.904082	-0.99%	0.87908	-3.73%	0.0541	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.921624	-1.12%	0.86781	-6.89%	0.0537	✓	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.886732	-0.79%	0.84932	-4.97%	0.0465	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.902853	-1.06%	0.86311	-5.42%	0.0500	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.900959	-0.89%	0.89296	-1.77%	0.0474	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.916346	-1.09%	0.93319	+0.73%	0.0382	✓	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.937284	-1.66%	0.94185	-1.18%	0.0717	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.869126	+0.02%	0.91313	+5.09%	0.0230	✗	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.879288	-0.09%	0.93206	+5.90%	0.0112	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.908258	-0.66%	0.89376	-2.25%	0.0146	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.932978	-0.84%	0.91254	-3.01%	0.0059	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.9509	-1.10%	0.90907	-5.45%	0.0101	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.93333	-0.44%	0.926435	-1.17%	0.0159	✓	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.942022	-0.37%	0.95313	+0.80%	0.0141	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.960353	-0.38%	0.86893	-9.87%	0.0434	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.980329	-0.51%	0.880105	-10.68%	0.0382	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.978589	-0.50%	0.91432	-7.04%	0.0490	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	1.0179	-0.75%	0.940855	-8.27%	0.0497	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.993706	-0.12%	0.961455	-3.36%	0.0198	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.962553	+1.13%	0.937415	-1.51%	0.0389	✗	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.929558	+1.53%	0.94552	+3.28%	0.0268	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.918418	+2.21%	0.964055	+7.29%	0.0699	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.944149	+1.91%	0.98535	+6.36%	0.0622	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.944434	+2.18%	0.98353	+6.41%	0.0639	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.967498	+2.61%	1.0256	+8.78%	0.0498	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.977505	+2.56%	0.994905	+4.38%	0.0446	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.920503	+5.63%	0.951765	+9.22%	0.0280	✓	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0601	+2.02%	0.915535	-11.89%	0.0422	✗	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0851	+1.30%	0.89853	-16.12%	0.0722	✗	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.111	+0.76%	0.92647	-15.98%	0.0367	✗	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0805	+1.51%	0.924285	-13.16%	0.0477	✗	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0762	+1.31%	0.942885	-11.24%	0.0289	✓	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1427	-0.11%	0.953125	-16.68%	0.0447	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.164	-0.23%	0.871405	-25.31%	0.0936	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2458	-0.66%	1.0391	-17.14%	0.0764	✗	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2722	-0.74%	1.0712	-16.42%	0.0424	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2505	-0.52%	1.1027	-12.28%	0.0220	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.2171	-0.33%	1.0644	-12.83%	0.0179	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.2662	-0.74%	1.0623	-16.73%	0.0161	✓	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2696	-0.84%	1.1439	-10.65%	0.0253	✓	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2791	-1.01%	1.1667	-9.70%	0.0192	✓	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.3123	-1.00%	1.2541	-5.39%	0.0425	✓	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.2902	-0.97%	1.2817	-1.62%	0.0183	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.3524	-1.14%	1.2571	-8.11%	0.0110	✓	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3826	-1.25%	1.2211	-12.78%	0.0221	✓	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4556	-1.40%	1.2757	-13.58%	0.0478	✓	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4322	-1.52%	1.2804	-11.96%	0.0283	✓	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4084	-1.74%	1.2921	-9.86%	0.0009	✓	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.5391	-2.00%	1.3255	-15.60%	0.0465	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4392	-1.95%	1.3028	-11.24%	0.0043	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.3598	-2.16%	1.368	-1.57%	0.0125	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.4074	-2.04%	1.4	-2.56%	0.0427	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4511	-2.32%	1.4762	-0.63%	0.0474	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4498	-2.65%	1.4544	-2.35%	0.0682	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4475	-2.19%	1.4334	-3.14%	0.0741	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4295	-2.34%	1.5706	+7.30%	0.0023	✓	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.4763	-2.56%	1.4677	-3.13%	0.0338	✓	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4257	-2.45%	1.3898	-4.91%	0.0217	✓	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3598	-2.41%	1.4367	+3.11%	0.0662	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3426	-2.35%	1.4856	+8.05%	0.1052	✗	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3451	-2.68%	1.4893	+7.75%	0.0917	✗	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.3055	-2.38%	1.4799	+10.67%	0.0840	✗	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.2984	-2.92%	1.4637	+9.44%	0.0509	✗	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.254	-1.79%	1.5151	+18.66%	0.0936	✗	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2707	-1.78%	1.4615	+12.97%	0.0172	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.2494	-1.57%	1.3934	+9.78%	0.0427	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2776	-1.78%	1.3749	+5.69%	0.0224	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.186	-1.14%	1.3822	+15.22%	0.1049	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.201	-0.90%	1.3373	+10.34%	0.0789	✗	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2421	-1.00%	1.3375	+6.60%	0.0760	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2468	-1.06%	1.2769	+1.32%	0.0059	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2425	-0.82%	1.2937	+3.26%	0.0674	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.2404	-0.73%	1.2693	+1.58%	0.0373	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2823	-0.83%	1.3008	+0.60%	0.0241	✗	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.2965	-0.94%	1.1997	-8.34%	0.0624	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.225	-0.38%	1.2119	-1.44%	0.0436	✓	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.2671	-0.93%	1.2547	-1.90%	0.0365	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3519	-0.92%	1.2602	-7.64%	0.0623	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3657	-0.66%	1.2528	-8.87%	0.1268	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.4077	-1.09%	1.2495	-12.20%	0.1280	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.4928	-2.11%	1.2931	-15.20%	0.1082	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3898	-0.80%	1.3088	-6.58%	0.0201	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4285	-1.09%	1.2297	-14.86%	0.0193	✓	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.4665	-1.03%	1.279	-13.69%	0.0291	✓	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.4904	-1.17%	1.3645	-9.52%	0.0004	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.4356	-0.87%	1.3748	-5.07%	0.0340	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.4011	-0.70%	1.4232	+0.86%	0.0560	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4256	-0.59%	1.5249	+6.33%	0.0495	✗	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.4252	-0.61%	1.401	-2.29%	0.0339	✓	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4814	-0.83%	1.4442	-3.32%	0.0333	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5521	-1.01%	1.4817	-5.50%	0.0216	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.5148	-0.56%	1.508	-1.01%	0.0288	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.4202	+0.49%	1.4482	+2.47%	0.0615	✗	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.5348	-0.31%	1.411	-8.35%	0.0847	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.5884	-0.51%	1.4341	-10.17%	0.0743	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.6063	-0.47%	1.4338	-11.15%	0.0857	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.5997	-0.39%	1.4938	-6.98%	0.0823	✓	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5967	-0.24%	1.568	-2.04%	0.0704	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.6083	+0.09%	1.5234	-5.19%	0.1274	✗	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.5791	+0.20%	1.4132	-10.32%	0.0735	✗	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5435	+0.64%	1.5396	+0.39%	0.0674	✗	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.552	+0.87%	1.5966	+3.77%	0.0843	✗	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.5509	+0.70%	1.6139	+4.79%	0.0617	✗	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.6083	+0.28%	1.606	+0.14%	0.0821	✗	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6798	-0.66%	1.6006	-5.34%	0.0318	✓	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.7247	-0.90%	1.6068	-7.68%	0.0199	✗	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.6922	-0.66%	1.5759	-7.48%	0.0083	✓	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.6991	-0.84%	1.5337	-10.50%	0.0200	✗	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.7333	-1.19%	1.5386	-12.29%	0.0625	✗	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.7095	-0.79%	1.5401	-10.62%	0.0539	✗	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7495	-1.30%	1.6038	-9.52%	0.1357	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.8087	-1.69%	1.691	-8.09%	0.0994	✗	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.8192	-1.80%	1.7404	-6.05%	0.1209	✗	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.9177	-1.79%	1.7034	-12.76%	0.1038	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.8919	-1.84%	1.7135	-11.10%	0.0705	✗	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.9024	-1.89%	1.7541	-9.54%	0.0306	✗	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.9347	-2.30%	1.723	-12.99%	0.0255	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.7105	-1.71%	1.7726	+1.86%	0.0612	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.7396	-1.54%	1.8397	+4.13%	0.0895	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.66	-1.29%	1.8526	+10.17%	0.0868	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.6845	-1.64%	1.9526	+14.01%	0.1565	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.8635	-2.24%	1.9274	+1.11%	0.1186	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.8765	-2.31%	1.9391	+0.95%	0.1479	✗	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.8091	-2.43%	1.9803	+6.80%	0.1828	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.7749	-2.62%	1.7402	-4.52%	0.0853	✗	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.9085	-2.93%	1.7668	-10.14%	0.0117	✓	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.9036	-3.26%	1.6816	-14.54%	0.0446	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	1.9472	-3.35%	1.7127	-14.99%	0.0207	✓	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	1.9835	-3.53%	1.9062	-7.29%	0.0164	✓	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.9301	-3.61%	1.9209	-4.07%	0.0186	✓	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.9289	-3.66%	1.8542	-7.39%	0.0179	✓	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.9083	-3.71%	1.8227	-8.02%	0.0193	✓	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.8418	-3.59%	1.9662	+2.92%	0.0294	✓	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.8797	-3.80%	1.9677	+0.71%	0.0199	✓	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.9233	-4.09%	2.0146	+0.46%	0.0045	✓	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.8971	-3.96%	2.0561	+4.09%	0.0036	✓	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.8812	-3.58%	2.0024	+2.63%	0.0028	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.8411	-3.30%	2.0022	+5.16%	0.0168	✓	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.8821	-3.33%	1.9817	+1.79%	0.0235	✓	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.9348	-3.10%	1.9103	-4.33%	0.0344	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	2.0208	-3.00%	1.9539	-6.21%	0.0340	✗	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.075	-3.18%	2.0054	-6.42%	0.0323	✓	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	2.0066	-3.23%	1.9754	-4.74%	0.0734	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.8242	-2.14%	1.951	+4.66%	0.1157	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.8158	-2.19%	1.9039	+2.56%	0.1371	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.3519	-2.75%	1.9469	-19.50%	0.0746	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.2872	-3.12%	1.9967	-15.43%	0.0297	✓	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.0674	-2.11%	2.0833	-1.36%	0.0739	✗	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.2089	-1.66%	2.1431	-4.59%	0.0419	✗	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.1637	-1.71%	2.0736	-5.80%	0.0224	✗	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.1792	-1.79%	1.8642	-15.99%	0.0633	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.2433	-2.05%	1.8564	-18.94%	0.1158	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.223	-2.32%	2.4184	+6.27%	0.0759	✗	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.1927	-2.60%	2.361	+4.88%	0.0368	✗	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.0907	-1.63%	2.1119	-0.63%	0.0473	✓	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.1312	-1.77%	2.2461	+3.53%	0.0328	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.1449	-1.60%	2.2013	+0.99%	0.0727	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.1178	-1.29%	2.219	+3.43%	0.0688	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.1606	-1.37%	2.2901	+4.55%	0.0572	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	2.0379	-0.76%	2.2757	+10.82%	0.0048	✓	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.2046	-1.44%	2.2512	+0.64%	0.0227	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.1312	-1.21%	2.1253	-1.48%	0.0199	✓	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.1443	-1.26%	2.1696	-0.10%	0.0015	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.3097	-1.44%	2.1798	-6.98%	0.0346	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.3532	-1.55%	2.1455	-10.24%	0.0398	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.3621	-1.63%	2.1906	-8.77%	0.0231	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.4394	-1.82%	2.0536	-17.35%	0.1017	✓	0.99
2025-09-17	oos	2.4803	2.4269	-2.15%	2.2369	-9.81%	0.0543	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.