QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · gru_s1

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0197

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.88041	0.877147	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.873996	-0.39%	0.88041	+0.34%	0.0105	✗	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.856089	-0.50%	0.877405	+1.98%	0.0101	✗	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.854369	-0.48%	0.86037	+0.22%	0.0092	✗	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.874624	-0.45%	0.858515	-2.28%	0.0268	✓	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.898576	-0.49%	0.87857	-2.71%	0.0210	✓	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.909059	-0.62%	0.90303	-1.27%	0.0015	✓	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.917577	-0.52%	0.914685	-0.83%	0.0105	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.942939	-0.52%	0.92235	-2.69%	0.0021	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.922003	-0.56%	0.947825	+2.22%	0.0100	✗	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.991968	-0.68%	0.927235	-7.16%	0.0440	✓	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	1.0056	-1.09%	0.998795	-1.77%	0.0161	✓	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.949855	-0.67%	1.0168	+6.32%	0.0636	✗	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.923051	-0.71%	0.95631	+2.87%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.928763	-0.78%	0.929655	-0.69%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.967308	-0.74%	0.936105	-3.94%	0.0064	✓	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.989689	-0.69%	0.97452	-2.21%	0.0131	✓	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.987949	-0.66%	0.996535	+0.20%	0.0172	✗	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.985005	-0.73%	0.99453	+0.23%	0.0105	✓	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.986074	-0.79%	0.992245	-0.17%	0.0035	✓	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.979069	-0.82%	0.99396	+0.69%	0.0191	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.991425	-1.08%	0.987135	-1.50%	0.0195	✓	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.964126	-0.84%	1.0022	+3.08%	0.0397	✗	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.977799	-0.80%	0.97227	-1.36%	0.0078	✓	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	1.0208	-0.70%	0.98568	-4.12%	0.0235	✓	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	1.0235	-0.82%	1.028	-0.38%	0.0039	✓	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.0391	-1.15%	1.0319	-1.83%	0.0105	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.992699	-0.78%	1.0511	+5.06%	0.0605	✗	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.950386	-0.69%	1.0005	+4.55%	0.0513	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	1.0047	-0.66%	0.956945	-5.38%	0.0283	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.990462	-0.63%	1.0114	+1.47%	0.0253	✗	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.943846	-0.70%	0.99676	+4.87%	0.0091	✓	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.950097	-0.63%	0.95048	-0.59%	0.0013	✓	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.944799	-0.88%	0.95615	+0.31%	0.0076	✓	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.868807	-0.38%	0.953185	+9.29%	0.0387	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.871314	-0.44%	0.872145	-0.35%	0.0015	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.859736	-0.26%	0.8752	+1.54%	0.0108	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.920284	-0.51%	0.861965	-6.81%	0.0355	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.957085	-0.82%	0.92496	-4.15%	0.0504	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.925927	-0.41%	0.96504	+3.80%	0.0469	✗	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.875624	-0.21%	0.929715	+5.95%	0.0593	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.855317	-0.07%	0.877485	+2.52%	0.0175	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.887513	-0.12%	0.85591	-3.67%	0.0156	✓	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.889466	-0.05%	0.88856	-0.15%	0.0009	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.880106	+0.07%	0.88987	+1.18%	0.0187	✓	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.884287	+0.18%	0.879515	-0.36%	0.0094	✓	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.873908	+0.31%	0.882675	+1.31%	0.0040	✓	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.865382	+0.37%	0.871245	+1.05%	0.0049	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.864347	+0.49%	0.86216	+0.24%	0.0164	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.82073	+0.45%	0.86012	+5.27%	0.0044	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.828032	+0.37%	0.81706	-0.96%	0.0121	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.825611	+0.37%	0.82502	+0.30%	0.0140	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.798195	+0.23%	0.822535	+3.28%	0.0188	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.824565	+0.15%	0.79638	-3.27%	0.0278	✗	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.817588	+0.07%	0.823295	+0.77%	0.0021	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.852488	-0.01%	0.816995	-4.18%	0.0133	✓	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.891792	-0.36%	0.85261	-4.74%	0.0602	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.845813	-0.07%	0.894995	+5.74%	0.0504	✗	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.872403	-0.23%	0.84638	-3.21%	0.0248	✓	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.877273	-0.49%	0.87443	-0.81%	0.0187	✓	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.838691	-0.37%	0.881595	+4.72%	0.0415	✗	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.859199	-0.81%	0.841845	-2.81%	0.0049	✓	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.788577	-0.86%	0.86618	+8.89%	0.0293	✗	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.713275	-0.53%	0.79543	+10.93%	0.0658	✗	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.680317	-0.41%	0.717075	+4.97%	0.0059	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.679409	-0.31%	0.683095	+0.23%	0.0027	✓	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.674161	-0.36%	0.681495	+0.73%	0.0115	✓	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.672469	-0.36%	0.676565	+0.25%	0.0086	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.681776	-0.42%	0.674895	-1.43%	0.0107	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.662262	-0.55%	0.684685	+2.82%	0.0395	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.650418	-0.36%	0.6659	+2.01%	0.0233	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.631335	-0.25%	0.65275	+3.13%	0.0350	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.644359	-0.34%	0.632945	-2.11%	0.0125	✓	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.664335	-0.38%	0.646575	-3.05%	0.0143	✓	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.66316	-0.46%	0.666885	+0.10%	0.0064	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.652033	-0.41%	0.666195	+1.75%	0.0212	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.645901	-0.31%	0.654705	+1.05%	0.0046	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.641646	-0.30%	0.647925	+0.68%	0.0146	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.648829	-0.31%	0.64355	-1.13%	0.0161	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.647471	-0.35%	0.650875	+0.17%	0.0034	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.649742	-0.36%	0.64975	-0.36%	0.0005	✓	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.643675	-0.38%	0.652095	+0.93%	0.0021	✓	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.63892	-0.42%	0.646105	+0.70%	0.0121	✗	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.639267	-0.56%	0.641585	-0.19%	0.0323	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.642303	-0.41%	0.642835	-0.33%	0.0116	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.654171	-0.40%	0.64495	-1.81%	0.0149	✓	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.645776	-0.47%	0.65683	+1.24%	0.0147	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.679181	-0.44%	0.64881	-4.89%	0.0219	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.678316	-0.53%	0.682155	+0.03%	0.0096	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.67729	-0.70%	0.681935	-0.02%	0.0037	✓	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.710129	-0.96%	0.68205	-4.88%	0.0264	✓	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.711409	-0.39%	0.717005	+0.39%	0.0226	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.706699	-0.49%	0.714225	+0.57%	0.0167	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.708969	-0.72%	0.71017	-0.55%	0.0167	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.713951	-0.87%	0.714125	-0.84%	0.0074	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.695919	-0.83%	0.7202	+2.63%	0.0360	✗	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.675137	-0.45%	0.701725	+3.47%	0.0254	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.668908	-0.29%	0.67816	+1.09%	0.0119	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.684393	-0.45%	0.670865	-2.42%	0.0058	✓	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.682327	-0.54%	0.68752	+0.22%	0.0116	✗	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.667118	-0.53%	0.686005	+2.28%	0.0145	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.681784	-0.22%	0.670695	-1.84%	0.0070	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.686536	-0.22%	0.683295	-0.69%	0.0042	✓	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.690709	-0.31%	0.688075	-0.69%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.690863	-0.33%	0.69289	-0.04%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.700297	-0.42%	0.693145	-1.43%	0.0253	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.684663	-0.30%	0.70322	+2.40%	0.0446	✗	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.707406	-0.36%	0.686755	-3.27%	0.0186	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.709098	-0.62%	0.709955	-0.50%	0.0055	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.715117	-0.29%	0.713515	-0.52%	0.0103	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.713695	-0.39%	0.71721	+0.10%	0.0043	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.69486	-0.26%	0.71646	+2.84%	0.0138	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.683425	-0.29%	0.69666	+1.64%	0.0064	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.676414	-0.22%	0.685435	+1.11%	0.0122	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.689163	-0.31%	0.677905	-1.94%	0.0127	✗	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.688187	-0.30%	0.69129	+0.15%	0.0083	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.670905	-0.63%	0.690225	+2.23%	0.0371	✗	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.677456	-0.19%	0.675145	-0.53%	0.0021	✓	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.652614	-0.32%	0.67875	+3.67%	0.0336	✗	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.679368	-0.11%	0.6547	-3.74%	0.0132	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.689881	-0.09%	0.680135	-1.50%	0.0169	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.707117	-0.14%	0.690495	-2.49%	0.0002	✓	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.708532	-0.09%	0.7081	-0.16%	0.0135	✓	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.735712	-0.17%	0.709205	-3.76%	0.0188	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.724598	-0.15%	0.73695	+1.55%	0.0033	✗	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.725582	-0.16%	0.72568	-0.15%	0.0109	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.76136	-0.20%	0.726765	-4.73%	0.0180	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.745012	-0.17%	0.762855	+2.22%	0.0449	✗	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.751051	-0.20%	0.74631	-0.83%	0.0056	✗	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.742708	-0.25%	0.75257	+1.07%	0.0029	✗	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.734909	-0.14%	0.744585	+1.18%	0.0101	✓	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.715882	-0.07%	0.73593	+2.73%	0.0109	✗	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.717864	-0.06%	0.71637	-0.27%	0.0016	✓	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.684117	+0.06%	0.71831	+5.07%	0.0085	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.700771	+0.03%	0.683675	-2.41%	0.0201	✗	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.710726	+0.02%	0.70054	-1.41%	0.0119	✓	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.711039	+0.04%	0.71057	-0.03%	0.0038	✓	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.68615	+0.15%	0.71076	+3.75%	0.0112	✗	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.69154	+0.17%	0.6851	-0.76%	0.0059	✗	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.761899	-0.03%	0.69036	-9.42%	0.0488	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.809417	-0.13%	0.76215	-5.96%	0.0561	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.802522	-0.20%	0.81049	+0.79%	0.0564	✗	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.856141	-0.39%	0.80413	-6.44%	0.0126	✗	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.867905	-0.38%	0.85952	-1.34%	0.0258	✗	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.859787	-0.41%	0.871225	+0.92%	0.0162	✗	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.856659	-0.42%	0.86329	+0.35%	0.0015	✓	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.86308	-0.46%	0.86026	-0.78%	0.0010	✓	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.86799	-0.38%	0.86704	-0.49%	0.0111	✗	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.879637	-0.40%	0.87128	-1.34%	0.0132	✗	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.903368	-0.38%	0.883135	-2.61%	0.0010	✓	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.892067	-0.50%	0.906795	+1.14%	0.0122	✗	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.925514	-0.49%	0.89659	-3.60%	0.0366	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.896349	-0.60%	0.930025	+3.13%	0.0187	✗	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.919152	-0.57%	0.90177	-2.45%	0.0127	✗	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.889126	-0.65%	0.924435	+3.30%	0.0379	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.880674	-0.26%	0.89491	+1.36%	0.0054	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.895902	-0.26%	0.882935	-1.70%	0.0119	✓	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.883888	-0.25%	0.89824	+1.37%	0.0231	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.90624	-0.33%	0.88611	-2.54%	0.0121	✓	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.926743	-0.36%	0.909195	-2.24%	0.0050	✓	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.980484	-0.36%	0.930055	-5.49%	0.0238	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.980204	-0.49%	0.984055	-0.10%	0.0221	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.0251	-0.59%	0.98506	-4.47%	0.0228	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.0248	-0.72%	1.0312	-0.10%	0.0232	✗	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0335	-1.12%	1.0322	-1.23%	0.0052	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.964981	-0.30%	1.0451	+7.98%	0.0591	✗	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.963583	-0.42%	0.96792	+0.03%	0.0018	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.918116	-0.42%	0.96765	+4.95%	0.0501	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.91892	-0.27%	0.922025	+0.07%	0.0214	✗	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.893325	-0.21%	0.921375	+2.93%	0.0240	✗	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.872293	-0.20%	0.89518	+2.42%	0.0122	✗	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.868284	-0.25%	0.87405	+0.41%	0.0104	✓	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.877961	-0.25%	0.87045	-1.11%	0.0070	✓	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.871352	-0.25%	0.8802	+0.77%	0.0042	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.859541	-0.25%	0.87351	+1.37%	0.0099	✓	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.87161	-0.30%	0.86168	-1.43%	0.0190	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.884191	-0.28%	0.8742	-1.41%	0.0035	✓	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.888855	-0.27%	0.88667	-0.52%	0.0119	✗	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.906153	-0.26%	0.89128	-1.89%	0.0011	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.893223	-0.27%	0.90848	+1.44%	0.0031	✗	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.901422	-0.29%	0.8956	-0.93%	0.0091	✓	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.903478	-0.38%	0.90403	-0.32%	0.0118	✗	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.900866	-0.25%	0.906965	+0.42%	0.0058	✗	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.90829	-0.28%	0.90316	-0.85%	0.0314	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.912663	-0.33%	0.910885	-0.53%	0.0088	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.882723	-0.27%	0.915695	+3.46%	0.0076	✗	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.916067	-0.28%	0.88507	-3.65%	0.0071	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.955547	-0.36%	0.918605	-4.21%	0.0204	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.918469	-0.30%	0.95899	+4.10%	0.0162	✗	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.906186	-0.32%	0.921225	+1.34%	0.0118	✗	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.898051	-0.36%	0.90905	+0.86%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.919843	-0.39%	0.90133	-2.39%	0.0164	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.879424	-0.34%	0.92342	+4.64%	0.0067	✓	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.915204	-0.37%	0.882435	-3.94%	0.0012	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.913347	-0.37%	0.918595	+0.21%	0.0044	✗	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.918444	-0.41%	0.916705	-0.60%	0.0199	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.906193	-0.33%	0.922265	+1.44%	0.0067	✗	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.950954	-0.43%	0.90918	-4.80%	0.0324	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.922028	-0.47%	0.95507	+3.09%	0.0123	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.964339	-0.51%	0.92641	-4.42%	0.0377	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.953432	-0.71%	0.969285	+0.94%	0.0113	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.960711	-0.92%	0.96028	-0.96%	0.0059	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.876107	-0.47%	0.96962	+10.16%	0.1003	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.930202	-0.84%	0.88023	-6.17%	0.0354	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.881102	-1.01%	0.93812	+5.40%	0.0645	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.807183	-0.30%	0.89006	+9.94%	0.0742	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.770859	-0.21%	0.80961	+4.81%	0.0366	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.815845	-0.26%	0.77248	-5.56%	0.0488	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.816841	-0.26%	0.818	-0.12%	0.0019	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.847347	-0.29%	0.81898	-3.62%	0.0039	✗	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.903934	-0.48%	0.84978	-6.44%	0.0238	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.926256	-0.36%	0.90831	-2.29%	0.0310	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.881654	-0.21%	0.92962	+5.22%	0.0581	✗	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.826046	-0.14%	0.88349	+6.80%	0.0216	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.846222	-0.10%	0.82721	-2.34%	0.0065	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.8845	-0.12%	0.84707	-4.35%	0.0197	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.877251	-0.11%	0.885555	+0.84%	0.0009	✓	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.893185	-0.12%	0.87821	-1.79%	0.0028	✗	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.946003	-0.16%	0.89425	-5.62%	0.0176	✓	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.95038	-0.19%	0.94753	-0.49%	0.0105	✗	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.934526	-0.22%	0.95221	+1.67%	0.0105	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.87951	-0.20%	0.9366	+6.28%	0.0398	✗	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.907813	-0.23%	0.88128	-3.14%	0.0339	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.873736	-0.23%	0.90989	+3.90%	0.0344	✗	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.892164	-0.22%	0.87576	-2.05%	0.0234	✓	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.877628	-0.17%	0.8941	+1.71%	0.0149	✗	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.866448	-0.16%	0.87908	+1.30%	0.0089	✓	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.848387	-0.11%	0.86781	+2.18%	0.0165	✓	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.862072	-0.12%	0.84932	-1.60%	0.0059	✗	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.89138	-0.18%	0.86311	-3.34%	0.0189	✓	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.930915	-0.24%	0.89296	-4.31%	0.0010	✓	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.939509	-0.25%	0.93319	-0.92%	0.0201	✗	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.911096	-0.22%	0.94185	+3.15%	0.0351	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.929623	-0.26%	0.91313	-2.03%	0.0099	✓	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.891918	-0.21%	0.93206	+4.29%	0.0071	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.909483	-0.33%	0.89376	-2.06%	0.0032	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.90651	-0.28%	0.91254	+0.38%	0.0125	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.92357	-0.31%	0.90907	-1.87%	0.0123	✗	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.946883	-0.66%	0.926435	-2.80%	0.0133	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.868382	-0.06%	0.95313	+9.69%	0.0263	✗	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.879249	-0.10%	0.86893	-1.27%	0.0023	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.912804	-0.17%	0.880105	-3.74%	0.0136	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.939019	-0.20%	0.91432	-2.82%	0.0211	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.958228	-0.34%	0.940855	-2.14%	0.0178	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.936317	-0.12%	0.961455	+2.56%	0.0101	✗	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.943842	-0.18%	0.937415	-0.86%	0.0160	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.962526	-0.16%	0.94552	-1.92%	0.0007	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.983863	-0.15%	0.964055	-2.16%	0.0021	✗	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.98132	-0.22%	0.98535	+0.19%	0.0030	✗	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	1.0228	-0.28%	0.98353	-4.11%	0.0235	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.993439	-0.15%	1.0256	+3.09%	0.0166	✗	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.952406	+0.07%	0.994905	+4.53%	0.0017	✓	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.915998	+0.05%	0.951765	+3.96%	0.0515	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.901272	+0.31%	0.915535	+1.89%	0.0442	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.928993	+0.27%	0.89853	-3.02%	0.0130	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.927299	+0.33%	0.92647	+0.24%	0.0019	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.946567	+0.39%	0.924285	-1.97%	0.0402	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.956731	+0.38%	0.942885	-1.07%	0.0055	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.878614	+0.83%	0.953125	+9.38%	0.0533	✗	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0422	+0.29%	0.871405	-16.14%	0.0053	✓	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0729	+0.16%	1.0391	-3.00%	0.0119	✓	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.1035	+0.07%	1.0712	-2.86%	0.0193	✓	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0665	+0.20%	1.1027	+3.60%	0.0059	✓	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0642	+0.18%	1.0644	+0.20%	0.0287	✓	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1428	-0.10%	1.0623	-7.13%	0.0132	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.1656	-0.10%	1.1439	-1.95%	0.0126	✓	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2515	-0.21%	1.1667	-6.96%	0.0011	✓	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2782	-0.28%	1.2541	-2.16%	0.0197	✓	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2549	-0.17%	1.2817	+1.96%	0.0086	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.2199	-0.10%	1.2571	+2.94%	0.0052	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.2736	-0.17%	1.2211	-4.28%	0.0053	✓	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2782	-0.17%	1.2757	-0.36%	0.0037	✗	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2894	-0.21%	1.2804	-0.91%	0.0072	✓	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.323	-0.19%	1.2921	-2.52%	0.0250	✓	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.3006	-0.17%	1.3255	+1.74%	0.0038	✗	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.3647	-0.24%	1.3028	-4.77%	0.0148	✗	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3963	-0.26%	1.368	-2.29%	0.0055	✓	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4715	-0.32%	1.4	-5.16%	0.0297	✓	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4494	-0.34%	1.4762	+1.50%	0.0236	✗	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4271	-0.44%	1.4544	+1.46%	0.0201	✗	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.5587	-0.75%	1.4334	-8.73%	0.0659	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4611	-0.45%	1.5706	+7.01%	0.0520	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.3841	-0.41%	1.4677	+5.61%	0.0028	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.431	-0.39%	1.3898	-3.27%	0.0336	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4785	-0.48%	1.4367	-3.29%	0.0356	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4806	-0.58%	1.4856	-0.25%	0.0054	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4733	-0.45%	1.4893	+0.64%	0.0182	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4558	-0.54%	1.4799	+1.10%	0.0208	✗	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.5018	-0.87%	1.4637	-3.39%	0.0163	✗	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4509	-0.73%	1.5151	+3.67%	0.0459	✗	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3859	-0.54%	1.4615	+4.89%	0.0112	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3669	-0.58%	1.3934	+1.34%	0.0031	✓	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3715	-0.78%	1.3749	-0.53%	0.0091	✓	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.3294	-0.59%	1.3822	+3.36%	0.0168	✗	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.3228	-1.10%	1.3373	-0.02%	0.0121	✓	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.2716	-0.41%	1.3375	+4.75%	0.0672	✗	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2869	-0.52%	1.2769	-1.30%	0.0319	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.2645	-0.38%	1.2937	+1.92%	0.0372	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2925	-0.64%	1.2693	-2.42%	0.0194	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.1961	-0.30%	1.3008	+8.43%	0.0745	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.2099	-0.17%	1.1997	-1.01%	0.0107	✓	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.252	-0.21%	1.2119	-3.40%	0.0244	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2564	-0.30%	1.2547	-0.44%	0.0047	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2508	-0.17%	1.2602	+0.59%	0.0286	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.2477	-0.14%	1.2528	+0.27%	0.0056	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2908	-0.18%	1.2495	-3.37%	0.0384	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.3052	-0.27%	1.2931	-1.20%	0.0137	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.2278	-0.15%	1.3088	+6.43%	0.0136	✗	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.273	-0.46%	1.2297	-3.85%	0.0202	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3602	-0.31%	1.279	-6.27%	0.0305	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3721	-0.19%	1.3645	-0.75%	0.0329	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.4174	-0.40%	1.3748	-3.40%	0.0026	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.5094	-1.02%	1.4232	-6.67%	0.0206	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3978	-0.23%	1.5249	+8.84%	0.0874	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4393	-0.34%	1.401	-2.99%	0.0137	✗	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.4781	-0.25%	1.4442	-2.53%	0.0322	✓	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.5036	-0.29%	1.4817	-1.74%	0.0030	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.445	-0.22%	1.508	+4.13%	0.0068	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.4083	-0.19%	1.4482	+2.63%	0.0234	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4319	-0.16%	1.411	-1.61%	0.0352	✓	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.4314	-0.17%	1.4341	+0.02%	0.0033	✗	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4907	-0.21%	1.4338	-4.02%	0.0104	✗	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5635	-0.29%	1.4938	-4.73%	0.0218	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.5202	-0.21%	1.568	+2.93%	0.0066	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.4134	+0.01%	1.5234	+7.79%	0.0179	✗	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.5378	-0.12%	1.4132	-8.21%	0.0093	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.594	-0.16%	1.5396	-3.57%	0.0265	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.6114	-0.15%	1.5966	-1.07%	0.0079	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.6039	-0.13%	1.6139	+0.49%	0.0136	✗	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5988	-0.12%	1.606	+0.34%	0.0105	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.6061	-0.04%	1.6006	-0.38%	0.0614	✓	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.5755	-0.03%	1.6068	+1.96%	0.0373	✗	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5349	+0.08%	1.5759	+2.75%	0.0005	✓	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.5404	+0.12%	1.5337	-0.32%	0.0442	✗	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.5416	+0.10%	1.5386	-0.10%	0.0050	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.6042	+0.03%	1.5401	-3.97%	0.0151	✗	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6884	-0.16%	1.6038	-5.16%	0.0319	✗	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.737	-0.20%	1.691	-2.84%	0.0038	✓	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.7011	-0.14%	1.7404	+2.17%	0.0098	✗	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.7108	-0.16%	1.7034	-0.59%	0.0292	✗	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.7493	-0.28%	1.7135	-2.32%	0.0009	✓	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.7205	-0.15%	1.7541	+1.81%	0.0029	✗	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7684	-0.23%	1.723	-2.80%	0.0573	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.8325	-0.39%	1.7726	-3.65%	0.0015	✓	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.8441	-0.45%	1.8397	-0.69%	0.0191	✗	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.946	-0.34%	1.8526	-5.12%	0.0042	✓	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.9202	-0.37%	1.9526	+1.31%	0.0028	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.9316	-0.39%	1.9274	-0.60%	0.0403	✓	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.9685	-0.59%	1.9391	-2.08%	0.0004	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.7325	-0.45%	1.9803	+13.79%	0.1038	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.7613	-0.31%	1.7402	-1.50%	0.0268	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6761	-0.33%	1.7668	+5.06%	0.0171	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.7076	-0.30%	1.6816	-1.81%	0.0636	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.8976	-0.45%	1.7127	-10.15%	0.0452	✓	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.9124	-0.44%	1.9062	-0.77%	0.0102	✓	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.846	-0.44%	1.9209	+3.60%	0.0327	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.8136	-0.50%	1.8542	+1.73%	0.0042	✓	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.9555	-0.54%	1.8227	-7.30%	0.0460	✓	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.9545	-0.67%	1.9662	-0.08%	0.0467	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	2.0013	-0.66%	1.9677	-2.33%	0.0005	✓	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	2.0415	-0.71%	2.0146	-2.02%	0.0069	✓	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.9887	-0.68%	2.0561	+2.68%	0.0076	✓	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.9887	-0.67%	2.0024	+0.01%	0.0021	✓	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.9683	-0.68%	2.0022	+1.03%	0.0037	✓	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.8973	-0.68%	1.9817	+3.74%	0.0063	✓	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.9393	-0.75%	1.9103	-2.23%	0.0036	✓	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.9892	-0.81%	1.9539	-2.57%	0.0148	✗	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.9599	-0.79%	2.0054	+1.52%	0.0046	✓	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.9386	-0.64%	1.9754	+1.25%	0.0030	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.8931	-0.57%	1.951	+2.48%	0.0190	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.9355	-0.59%	1.9039	-2.21%	0.0093	✗	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.9837	-0.65%	1.9469	-2.49%	0.0193	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	2.0701	-0.63%	1.9967	-4.16%	0.0039	✓	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.1261	-0.79%	2.0833	-2.79%	0.0104	✗	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	2.0546	-0.92%	2.1431	+3.35%	0.0394	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.8561	-0.43%	2.0736	+11.24%	0.0543	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.8476	-0.47%	1.8642	+0.42%	0.0389	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.3981	-0.84%	1.8564	-23.24%	0.1837	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.3304	-1.30%	2.4184	+2.43%	0.0503	✗	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.1014	-0.50%	2.361	+11.79%	0.1016	✗	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.2375	-0.38%	2.1119	-5.97%	0.0330	✓	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.193	-0.38%	2.2461	+2.03%	0.0151	✗	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.21	-0.41%	2.2013	-0.80%	0.0119	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.2762	-0.61%	2.219	-3.11%	0.0265	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2584	-0.76%	2.2901	+0.63%	0.0009	✓	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.2303	-0.93%	2.2757	+1.09%	0.0044	✓	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.1174	-0.37%	2.2512	+5.92%	0.0249	✗	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.16	-0.45%	2.1253	-2.04%	0.0136	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.1714	-0.39%	2.1696	-0.47%	0.0204	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.1387	-0.32%	2.1798	+1.60%	0.0048	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.183	-0.34%	2.1455	-2.06%	0.0172	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	2.0494	-0.20%	2.1906	+6.67%	0.0603	✗	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.2287	-0.36%	2.0536	-8.19%	0.0449	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.1508	-0.30%	2.2369	+3.69%	0.0281	✗	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.1645	-0.33%	2.1573	-0.66%	0.0026	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.3357	-0.33%	2.1717	-7.33%	0.0536	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.3818	-0.35%	2.3435	-1.95%	0.0122	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.3925	-0.37%	2.3902	-0.46%	0.0015	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.4735	-0.45%	2.4013	-3.36%	0.0176	✓	0.99
2025-09-17	oos	2.4803	2.4642	-0.65%	2.4847	+0.18%	0.0028	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.