GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s1

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0943

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0160

actual +0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.289402	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.299024	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.311654	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.243661	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.217376	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.186712	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.190329	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.20841	-5.56%	0.305135	+38.26%	0.3766	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.211031	-6.14%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.4160	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.252241	-10.47%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.3057	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.17482	-3.68%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4237	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.175995	-5.15%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.3094	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.18113	-5.33%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0803	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.195154	-7.85%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0181	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.175833	-7.62%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2457	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.143312	-3.67%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4822	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.173905	-7.17%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5336	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.161092	-7.85%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1562	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.111914	-2.47%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5257	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.128197	-4.50%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4219	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.134385	-6.61%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4885	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.09259	-1.73%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7232	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085464	-0.96%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5368	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084696	-0.99%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7714	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090308	-0.65%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6411	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090127	-0.96%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2384	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.090752	-2.16%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3876	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.086122	-0.36%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5088	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082783	-0.26%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1375	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087499	-0.79%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0103	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.085829	-1.59%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0265	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.082887	-1.25%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0579	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084447	-1.47%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0417	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080077	-2.21%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1130	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075275	-2.34%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0524	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.074153	-2.17%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0249	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073536	-1.99%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0666	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076421	-1.22%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0419	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.076629	-1.61%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0424	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077292	-0.79%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0592	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.07602	-0.07%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0330	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075367	-0.20%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0247	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078196	-0.29%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0066	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082455	-0.29%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0598	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.080067	-0.12%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0232	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082678	+0.24%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0172	✗	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082252	+0.04%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0234	✗	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079334	+0.01%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0133	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.08151	+0.30%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0214	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078621	-0.16%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0144	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079063	-0.63%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0320	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080532	-0.91%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0107	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079386	-0.88%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0052	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.082957	-0.27%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0273	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084401	-0.59%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0832	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087419	-1.17%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0840	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084523	-0.93%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0512	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081717	-0.88%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0138	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085056	-0.60%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0410	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.087651	-1.12%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0895	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.085555	-1.57%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0416	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.090045	-1.69%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0534	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.084754	-1.43%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0383	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.082318	-2.04%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0766	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079365	-2.51%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1408	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081324	-2.50%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1379	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.082747	-2.79%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1383	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083148	-3.27%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1519	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.08089	-4.75%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.0903	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078699	-2.39%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0518	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.079873	-2.21%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0432	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.081085	-2.42%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0141	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083635	-2.88%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0120	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.085265	-3.81%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0350	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.085301	-3.55%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0401	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.081838	-3.04%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0694	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.078919	-3.50%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0356	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.07723	-2.47%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0760	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.073022	-2.32%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1377	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.07516	-3.21%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1286	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075514	-2.26%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1387	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.074657	-2.10%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1352	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.072819	-1.87%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1147	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.072196	-1.73%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1321	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.071895	-1.60%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0849	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.07531	-2.06%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0107	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.070009	-1.59%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1074	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068181	-1.15%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1566	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.067995	-1.17%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1406	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.065107	-0.84%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1515	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.06651	-0.92%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1045	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067253	-1.04%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1161	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067726	-1.06%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1676	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066639	-1.01%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0874	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065623	-1.18%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0406	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065453	-1.37%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0571	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065447	-1.44%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0007	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.066126	-1.55%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0003	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068222	-1.54%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0198	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.068777	-2.31%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0228	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066259	-1.69%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0197	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.067852	-1.93%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0327	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.067252	-1.79%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0272	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.067801	-2.32%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0176	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067082	-1.97%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0070	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068371	-1.15%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0210	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.069462	-1.52%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0091	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072814	-2.18%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0537	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.073583	-2.25%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0636	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073999	-1.83%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0865	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.077618	-3.41%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1323	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.072179	-2.12%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0745	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.071274	-2.93%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0595	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064936	-1.83%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0243	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.066673	-2.16%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0647	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.067472	-1.44%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0601	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066681	-2.32%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0846	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.066995	-2.35%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1512	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.066732	-2.14%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0780	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.068207	-2.37%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0855	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.069748	-2.60%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0027	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.07481	-1.86%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0504	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.073845	-1.86%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0330	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.076511	-2.35%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0670	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.073755	-2.90%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0350	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.074737	-1.93%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0562	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.078328	-2.32%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0789	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.079974	-2.75%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0808	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.077754	-3.91%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0033	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.078125	-3.92%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0127	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.076147	-3.54%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0305	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.074539	-3.16%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0194	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.077545	-1.47%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0109	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.072127	-0.49%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0814	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075809	-0.92%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0479	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073794	-0.71%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0762	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073901	-0.27%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0314	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076917	-0.59%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0233	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.080483	-1.50%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0202	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.087227	-1.69%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1609	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.087759	-2.07%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0897	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.095883	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.091964	-2.73%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1402	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.090871	-2.78%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1126	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.089982	-2.70%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0601	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.090795	-2.87%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0375	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.09336	-3.21%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0201	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.090202	-3.46%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0579	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.095247	-3.27%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0791	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.097944	-3.52%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0117	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.105088	-3.98%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.0963	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.104377	-4.65%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1057	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.104387	-3.84%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0800	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.100304	-3.88%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0155	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.098474	-3.94%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0456	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.092384	-3.26%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0615	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.094611	-3.43%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0738	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.097919	-4.32%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1222	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.099553	-4.65%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1223	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.109314	-5.31%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0166	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.113923	-4.61%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0741	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.128454	-5.89%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2007	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.159487	-10.27%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.4877	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.098342	-3.09%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0276	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.09723	-3.60%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0680	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.090649	-2.32%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2350	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.089387	-2.06%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.3069	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.086715	-1.87%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4575	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.091465	-2.20%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6471	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.090845	-2.23%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0768	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.090878	-2.20%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0854	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.091455	-2.11%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0232	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.091537	-2.03%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0608	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093739	-1.99%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1071	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.09534	-1.88%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0453	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.090282	-1.36%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0300	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.093136	-1.60%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0135	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.113119	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.106808	-2.39%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1113	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.100271	-2.09%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0425	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.104294	-2.57%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0862	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.110902	-2.99%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1500	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.105942	-3.32%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2052	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.095385	-2.21%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0317	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088284	-1.80%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2713	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.086542	-2.11%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1945	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.080908	-1.84%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1925	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078173	-1.78%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2861	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.081804	-1.94%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3164	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.074264	-1.75%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3482	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077089	-1.82%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.2012	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.07661	-1.76%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1076	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.076875	-1.71%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0958	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.078071	-1.70%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.078927	-1.82%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0216	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.078116	-1.81%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0110	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073372	-1.61%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0052	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.075416	-1.55%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0423	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072297	-1.30%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.073426	-1.31%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.077237	-1.52%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076381	-1.43%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0020	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075478	-1.13%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0211	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.075162	-0.87%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0537	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078483	-0.97%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0390	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078282	-0.86%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0756	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.076942	-0.95%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0049	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082721	-1.05%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0064	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084519	-1.09%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0525	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081652	-0.98%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0052	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079765	-0.78%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0214	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.078957	-0.80%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0437	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082714	-0.89%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0164	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088133	-0.97%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1089	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089784	-0.95%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0722	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092327	-0.85%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0271	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093377	-0.81%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0654	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093511	-0.93%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0749	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.093713	-0.98%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1276	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094465	-1.08%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1170	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.105901	-2.12%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1642	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.090912	-1.05%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0188	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.082823	-0.74%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0577	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081676	-0.59%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0447	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078514	-0.15%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0768	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078371	-0.24%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1259	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.08079	-0.36%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1230	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084182	-0.62%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2564	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.086658	-0.75%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0964	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086671	-0.47%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0649	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084277	-0.37%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0188	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083533	+0.10%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0639	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087377	-0.12%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1114	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089452	+0.01%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1372	✗	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.09101	-0.22%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1288	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091293	-0.23%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1221	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.087118	+0.78%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0761	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.087676	+0.76%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.1089	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090496	+0.16%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0487	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093565	+0.01%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0502	✗	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093548	+0.10%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0080	✗	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.093696	+0.37%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0359	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.096056	+0.43%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0761	✗	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.101403	+0.01%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.1029	✗	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.104317	-0.29%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1118	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.102634	-0.09%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.1086	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.105052	-0.33%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0868	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.104096	-0.01%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0946	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.099066	+1.03%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0719	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.096867	+1.29%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0030	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.096856	+1.11%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0669	✓	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.099261	+0.87%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0719	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.098481	+1.11%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0655	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.101521	+1.31%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0289	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.102239	+1.23%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0452	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.093892	+4.44%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0157	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.105381	+1.09%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0085	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.107795	+0.46%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0001	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.110876	-0.29%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0271	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.105323	+0.69%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0261	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.106164	+0.34%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.0973	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.116286	-1.12%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0665	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.118187	-1.18%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0770	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.127726	-1.82%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0273	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.128997	-1.83%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0064	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.128413	-1.75%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0092	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.122833	-1.38%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0231	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.13333	-1.82%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0909	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.129334	-1.57%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0250	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.12479	-1.35%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0218	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.12786	-1.42%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0199	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.124706	-1.26%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0420	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.135993	-1.60%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0123	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.136608	-1.51%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0059	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.144792	-1.64%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0060	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.138729	-1.47%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0162	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.134901	-1.39%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0073	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.140924	-1.38%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0041	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.146185	-1.69%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0611	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.133988	-1.55%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0152	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.139095	-1.63%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0351	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.140376	-1.63%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0081	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.142187	-1.67%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0709	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.142652	-1.69%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0958	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.143307	-1.64%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0940	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.148974	-1.73%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0284	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.151329	-1.80%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0619	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.147094	-1.74%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0290	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.144839	-1.67%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0111	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.142185	-1.60%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0074	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.138582	-1.51%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0074	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.128873	-1.10%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0599	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.132148	-1.16%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0502	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.130412	-0.98%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0534	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.131918	-1.04%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0652	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.133165	-1.14%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0546	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.12752	-0.92%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0811	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.124294	-0.72%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.0980	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.127646	-0.82%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0224	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.128063	-0.80%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0266	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.127509	-0.85%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0569	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.125078	-0.73%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0766	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.127172	-0.72%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0664	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.126297	-0.63%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0326	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119253	-0.04%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0190	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.121806	-0.16%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0308	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.125503	-0.39%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0356	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.127152	-0.23%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0260	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.127857	-0.38%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0228	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.13581	-0.72%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0255	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.137629	-0.77%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0422	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.139377	-0.94%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0326	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.141354	-0.94%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0456	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.149727	-1.30%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0903	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.143123	-0.92%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0436	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.13978	-0.79%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0477	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.142422	-0.75%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0570	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.135543	-0.48%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0072	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.142222	-0.89%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0181	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.143454	-0.93%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0181	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.142055	-0.66%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0425	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.140169	+0.12%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0509	✗	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.152001	-0.72%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0764	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.152778	-0.73%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0347	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.156563	-0.78%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1114	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.159804	-0.87%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1213	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.156848	-0.60%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1330	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.15626	+0.04%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1645	✗	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.15908	-0.14%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0891	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.16049	+0.12%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1164	✗	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.15731	+0.84%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1449	✗	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.155641	+1.07%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.1026	✗	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.161758	+0.66%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0976	✗	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.1553	+0.19%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0372	✓	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.159848	-0.09%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.0960	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.159361	+0.23%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0815	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.162552	-0.15%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1396	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.165185	-0.37%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1725	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.164764	-0.02%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1332	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.168463	-0.85%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2369	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.173365	-1.16%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1026	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.1754	-1.35%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1220	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.187329	-1.82%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1567	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.186427	-1.75%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1087	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.184695	-1.34%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0514	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.186832	-1.46%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0783	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.170391	-0.47%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0348	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.173186	-0.87%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0621	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.166035	-0.10%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0341	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.161573	-0.69%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1798	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.179166	-1.45%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1910	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.181314	-1.35%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2123	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.17845	-1.14%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2060	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.177247	-0.87%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1310	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.186022	-1.21%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0779	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.193399	-1.43%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1123	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.202402	-1.51%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0501	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.210418	-1.67%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0585	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.204366	-1.32%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0696	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.205438	-1.21%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0955	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.204449	-0.99%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0924	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.199438	-0.48%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1143	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.20803	-0.70%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1623	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.215268	-1.07%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1265	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.21814	-1.00%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1522	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.213044	-0.72%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1314	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.212471	-0.57%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1278	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.214943	-0.67%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0847	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.223971	-1.12%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0362	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.232649	-1.25%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0039	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.245105	-1.39%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0130	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.227493	-1.35%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1093	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.210228	-0.84%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.1016	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.199567	-0.64%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2200	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.274613	-1.29%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0059	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.279461	-1.41%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0113	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.267881	-1.37%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0187	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.280252	-1.56%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0445	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.274031	-1.60%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0241	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.27789	-1.70%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0611	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.282914	-1.80%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1770	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.281428	-1.82%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0305	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.273013	-1.72%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0451	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.252136	-1.32%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0579	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.260444	-1.46%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.0994	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.273907	-1.61%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2018	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.271011	-1.45%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2123	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.277839	-1.58%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2159	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.267707	-1.36%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1648	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.293387	-1.88%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1595	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.296322	-1.91%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1902	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.300088	-2.00%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1599	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.32648	-2.27%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.0985	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.333863	-2.29%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0722	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.328795	-2.26%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0310	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.359587	-2.51%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1203	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.354569	-2.51%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1092	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.342557	-2.42%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0305	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.340167	-2.46%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0525	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.349233	-2.56%	0.33405	-6.79%	0.0438	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.