GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s1

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +30d

assessed

367

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1681

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0410

actual +0.0035

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.262897	-13.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.277043	-13.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.294778	-13.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.228543	-13.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.20503	-13.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.171325	-11.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.176379	-11.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.194142	-12.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.198397	-11.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.242723	-13.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.163815	-9.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.167399	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.172172	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.188554	-10.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.172193	-9.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.140244	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.171363	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.161636	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.112931	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.127687	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.135952	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.096368	+2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.089169	+3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.087641	+2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.091439	+0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.092068	+1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.094037	+1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.08761	+1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.084994	+2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.091285	+3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.091458	+4.87%	0.305135	+249.87%	1.2421	✓	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.084157	+0.26%	0.3197	+280.89%	1.3160	✓	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.085978	+0.31%	0.34262	+299.74%	1.3762	✓	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.083018	+1.38%	0.262905	+221.07%	1.1406	✓	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075965	-1.45%	0.236285	+206.55%	1.0800	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.07458	-1.61%	0.194295	+156.33%	0.8994	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073471	-2.08%	0.19959	+166.01%	0.9267	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076522	-1.09%	0.22069	+185.26%	1.0217	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077647	-0.30%	0.22483	+188.69%	0.9936	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.07733	-0.74%	0.28174	+261.65%	1.2432	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.076284	+0.28%	0.181495	+138.59%	0.7951	✓	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075955	+0.58%	0.18555	+145.71%	0.8216	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.079579	+1.47%	0.191325	+143.96%	0.8303	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082957	+0.32%	0.21178	+156.10%	0.8996	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.081378	+1.51%	0.190335	+137.43%	0.8006	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.083369	+1.08%	0.14877	+80.37%	0.5198	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082929	+0.86%	0.187335	+127.85%	0.7473	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.080405	+1.36%	0.17482	+120.38%	0.7016	✓	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.084438	+3.90%	0.11475	+41.20%	0.2683	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.079951	+1.53%	0.13424	+70.47%	0.4338	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.081153	+2.00%	0.143895	+80.86%	0.4844	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.08426	+3.68%	0.09422	+15.93%	0.0550	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.081995	+2.38%	0.08629	+7.74%	0.0213	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.084394	+1.45%	0.085545	+2.84%	0.0451	✗	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.086733	+2.16%	0.0909	+7.07%	0.0273	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.092432	+4.50%	0.091	+2.88%	0.0609	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.087875	+3.00%	0.092755	+8.72%	0.0014	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.084748	+2.80%	0.086435	+4.85%	0.0446	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.086895	+1.55%	0.083	-3.00%	0.1028	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.089844	+1.36%	0.088195	-0.50%	0.1112	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.088787	+2.15%	0.087215	+0.34%	0.1218	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.092909	+1.44%	0.083935	-8.36%	0.1325	✗	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.083642	-2.72%	0.08571	-0.32%	0.0667	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.080087	-4.70%	0.081885	-2.56%	0.1099	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.0762	-6.40%	0.07708	-5.32%	0.1414	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.078493	-5.90%	0.0758	-9.12%	0.1897	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.079073	-7.11%	0.07503	-11.86%	0.2323	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.079634	-7.36%	0.077365	-10.00%	0.2393	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.078313	-7.79%	0.07788	-8.30%	0.2008	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.075807	-5.98%	0.077905	-3.38%	0.1695	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.076524	-6.31%	0.07607	-6.86%	0.2143	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.077809	-6.36%	0.075515	-9.12%	0.2181	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.080614	-6.39%	0.078425	-8.93%	0.2421	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.082835	-6.55%	0.082695	-6.71%	0.2232	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.082122	-7.15%	0.080165	-9.36%	0.2408	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.078534	-6.96%	0.08248	-2.28%	0.1819	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.076279	-6.73%	0.08222	+0.54%	0.1576	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.074283	-6.19%	0.079325	+0.18%	0.1601	✓	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.07059	-5.58%	0.08127	+8.71%	0.1064	✓	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.07261	-6.50%	0.078745	+1.40%	0.1292	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.072392	-6.30%	0.07956	+2.98%	0.1091	✓	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.071713	-5.96%	0.08127	+6.57%	0.1042	✓	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.069961	-5.72%	0.08009	+7.92%	0.0811	✓	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.069958	-4.77%	0.083185	+13.23%	0.0278	✓	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.069812	-4.45%	0.0849	+16.20%	0.0142	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.072823	-5.29%	0.08845	+15.03%	0.0498	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.068252	-4.06%	0.085315	+19.93%	0.0047	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.066669	-3.34%	0.08244	+19.52%	0.0091	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.066438	-3.43%	0.08557	+24.38%	0.0323	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.063867	-2.72%	0.08864	+35.01%	0.1272	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.065591	-2.29%	0.08692	+29.48%	0.1116	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.066624	-1.97%	0.09159	+34.77%	0.1509	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.066969	-2.16%	0.085985	+25.62%	0.1574	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.065975	-2.00%	0.084035	+24.83%	0.1852	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.064994	-2.13%	0.08141	+22.59%	0.2252	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.064701	-2.50%	0.08341	+25.69%	0.2586	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.064474	-2.91%	0.085125	+28.19%	0.2916	✗	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.065527	-2.44%	0.08596	+27.98%	0.2806	✗	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.067741	-2.24%	0.084925	+22.56%	0.2469	✗	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.06896	-2.05%	0.08063	+14.52%	0.1753	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.065214	-3.24%	0.081675	+21.18%	0.2110	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.066751	-3.53%	0.083095	+20.10%	0.2215	✗	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.06588	-3.79%	0.086115	+25.76%	0.2660	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.066945	-3.56%	0.088645	+27.70%	0.2710	✗	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.065671	-4.03%	0.088445	+29.25%	0.2740	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.067147	-2.92%	0.084405	+22.03%	0.1920	✗	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.068526	-2.85%	0.08178	+15.94%	0.1639	✗	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072322	-2.84%	0.079185	+6.38%	0.0826	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.073041	-2.97%	0.07476	-0.69%	0.0172	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073104	-3.02%	0.077655	+3.02%	0.0554	✗	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.077346	-3.75%	0.07726	-3.86%	0.0137	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.071455	-3.10%	0.07626	+3.42%	0.0490	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.071021	-3.27%	0.07421	+1.07%	0.0070	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064641	-2.27%	0.073465	+11.07%	0.0534	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.066282	-2.73%	0.073065	+7.22%	0.0532	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.066257	-3.22%	0.07689	+12.31%	0.0964	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066266	-2.93%	0.07114	+4.21%	0.0259	✓	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.066388	-3.24%	0.068975	+0.53%	0.0254	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.065876	-3.40%	0.0688	+0.89%	0.0118	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.067143	-3.89%	0.065655	-6.02%	0.0569	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.068484	-4.37%	0.06713	-6.26%	0.0479	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.072292	-5.17%	0.06796	-10.85%	0.0849	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.071385	-5.13%	0.06845	-9.03%	0.0772	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.074022	-5.52%	0.06732	-14.08%	0.1053	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.071833	-5.43%	0.06641	-12.57%	0.0910	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.071771	-5.82%	0.06636	-12.92%	0.0989	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.075374	-6.00%	0.066405	-17.19%	0.1212	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.077306	-5.99%	0.067165	-18.33%	0.1224	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.076475	-5.49%	0.06929	-14.37%	0.0832	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.07666	-5.72%	0.070405	-13.42%	0.0780	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.074309	-5.87%	0.0674	-14.62%	0.0763	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.072118	-6.30%	0.06919	-10.11%	0.0434	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.073173	-7.02%	0.068475	-12.99%	0.0683	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.06782	-6.44%	0.069415	-4.24%	0.0012	✓	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.071283	-6.83%	0.06843	-10.56%	0.0538	✓	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.06933	-6.71%	0.070535	-5.09%	0.0170	✓	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.069041	-6.83%	0.074435	+0.45%	0.0447	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.071648	-7.40%	0.07528	-2.70%	0.0250	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.075213	-7.95%	0.07538	-7.75%	0.0087	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.080861	-8.87%	0.08036	-9.43%	0.0079	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.081808	-8.71%	0.07374	-17.71%	0.0544	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.089978	-9.01%	0.073425	-25.75%	0.1274	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.086616	-8.39%	0.066145	-30.04%	0.1587	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.085657	-8.36%	0.068145	-27.09%	0.1319	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.084509	-8.61%	0.06846	-25.97%	0.1070	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.085219	-8.84%	0.068265	-26.97%	0.1238	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.087717	-9.06%	0.06861	-28.87%	0.1436	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.085058	-8.97%	0.068195	-27.01%	0.1013	✓	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.08937	-9.24%	0.06986	-29.05%	0.1233	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.09168	-9.69%	0.07161	-29.46%	0.1395	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.098223	-10.25%	0.07623	-30.35%	0.1550	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.09795	-10.52%	0.075245	-31.26%	0.1663	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.097723	-9.98%	0.07835	-27.82%	0.1139	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.094024	-9.90%	0.075955	-27.21%	0.1006	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.092211	-10.05%	0.076205	-25.66%	0.0792	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.086331	-9.60%	0.080185	-16.03%	0.0297	✓	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.08848	-9.69%	0.082235	-16.06%	0.0242	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.092587	-9.53%	0.08092	-20.93%	0.0393	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.094691	-9.31%	0.081315	-22.12%	0.0444	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.104635	-9.37%	0.07894	-31.62%	0.1599	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.107103	-10.32%	0.07697	-35.55%	0.2003	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.121564	-10.94%	0.0787	-42.34%	0.3104	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.153235	-13.79%	0.072485	-59.22%	0.6293	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.093619	-7.75%	0.07651	-24.61%	0.0516	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.092794	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.085483	-7.89%	0.0741	-20.16%	0.0032	✓	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.084695	-7.20%	0.07737	-15.23%	0.0941	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.082301	-6.86%	0.08171	-7.53%	0.1671	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.086568	-7.43%	0.08873	-5.12%	0.1889	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.085869	-7.59%	0.08961	-3.56%	0.1655	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.086184	-7.25%	0.09889	+6.42%	0.2123	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.086175	-7.76%	0.09347	+0.05%	0.1083	✗	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.086413	-7.51%	0.092475	-1.03%	0.0934	✗	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.088891	-7.06%	0.09348	-2.26%	0.0811	✗	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.090976	-6.37%	0.09646	-0.73%	0.0916	✗	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.087005	-4.94%	0.093435	+2.08%	0.1021	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.089677	-5.26%	0.09847	+4.03%	0.0979	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.10766	-7.46%	0.10152	-12.73%	0.0532	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.102286	-6.52%	0.109445	+0.02%	0.0862	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.096568	-5.71%	0.10947	+6.89%	0.1571	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.099931	-6.65%	0.108555	+1.41%	0.0688	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.106328	-6.99%	0.104355	-8.72%	0.0378	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.101875	-7.04%	0.10251	-6.46%	0.0300	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.092533	-5.14%	0.095495	-2.10%	0.0163	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.086987	-3.24%	0.09797	+8.98%	0.1150	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.085138	-3.70%	0.10234	+15.76%	0.1462	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.079428	-3.63%	0.10441	+26.68%	0.2196	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.076592	-3.77%	0.11545	+45.06%	0.3231	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.080461	-3.55%	0.11943	+43.17%	0.3339	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.071973	-4.79%	0.1365	+80.58%	0.5159	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.075403	-3.96%	0.177745	+126.38%	0.7503	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.074963	-3.87%	0.10148	+30.14%	0.1891	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.075054	-4.04%	0.10086	+28.96%	0.1837	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.076197	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.077312	-3.83%	0.092805	+15.44%	0.0798	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.075701	-4.85%	0.09127	+14.72%	0.0222	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.070923	-4.89%	0.088365	+18.50%	0.0638	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.072704	-5.09%	0.09352	+22.09%	0.0808	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.069551	-5.05%	0.09292	+26.85%	0.1305	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.070592	-5.12%	0.09292	+24.89%	0.1127	✗	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.07454	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.073726	-4.86%	0.093425	+20.56%	0.1237	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.072668	-4.81%	0.093435	+22.39%	0.1231	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.072313	-4.63%	0.095645	+26.15%	0.1318	✗	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.075706	-4.47%	0.09717	+22.61%	0.0937	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.075567	-4.30%	0.09153	+15.92%	0.0194	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.074669	-3.88%	0.094655	+21.85%	0.1112	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.081139	-2.94%	0.116335	+39.16%	0.2754	✗	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.082878	-3.01%	0.109425	+28.06%	0.1705	✗	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.0801	-2.86%	0.102415	+24.20%	0.1442	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.07766	-3.40%	0.10705	+33.16%	0.1983	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.077042	-3.20%	0.11432	+43.64%	0.2943	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.081316	-2.56%	0.109585	+31.31%	0.2505	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.086571	-2.73%	0.097545	+9.60%	0.0356	✗	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.088722	-2.13%	0.0899	-0.83%	0.0706	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092253	-0.93%	0.08841	-5.06%	0.0602	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093827	-0.33%	0.08242	-12.45%	0.1289	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093457	-0.99%	0.07959	-15.68%	0.1803	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.093466	-1.24%	0.08342	-11.86%	0.1614	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094643	-0.90%	0.07559	-20.85%	0.2219	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.106623	-1.45%	0.078515	-27.43%	0.3453	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091018	-0.94%	0.07798	-15.13%	0.1969	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.082589	-1.02%	0.07821	-6.27%	0.0824	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081035	-1.37%	0.07942	-3.33%	0.0612	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.077189	-1.84%	0.08039	+2.23%	0.0529	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.077234	-1.69%	0.07956	+1.27%	0.0041	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.079913	-1.44%	0.07457	-8.03%	0.0834	✓	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084005	-0.83%	0.0766	-9.57%	0.0357	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087061	-0.29%	0.07325	-16.10%	0.0831	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086058	-1.17%	0.0744	-14.56%	0.1211	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.083678	-1.08%	0.07843	-7.28%	0.0527	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.082355	-1.31%	0.07749	-7.14%	0.1024	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.086231	-1.43%	0.07634	-12.73%	0.1179	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.08804	-1.57%	0.07582	-15.23%	0.1511	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.089888	-1.45%	0.07925	-13.11%	0.1056	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.090193	-1.43%	0.07896	-13.70%	0.1046	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.085154	-1.49%	0.07768	-10.13%	0.1749	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.085707	-1.50%	0.0836	-3.92%	0.1388	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.088959	-1.54%	0.08545	-5.42%	0.0896	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.092021	-1.64%	0.08246	-11.86%	0.1586	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.091869	-1.69%	0.08039	-13.98%	0.1311	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.091713	-1.75%	0.07959	-14.74%	0.1750	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.09382	-1.90%	0.083455	-12.74%	0.1870	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.09908	-2.28%	0.089	-12.22%	0.1465	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.101959	-2.55%	0.09065	-13.36%	0.1550	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.100165	-2.50%	0.09312	-9.35%	0.1520	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.102484	-2.77%	0.09414	-10.68%	0.1621	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.101264	-2.73%	0.09439	-9.34%	0.1324	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.095885	-2.22%	0.09464	-3.49%	0.0923	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.09349	-2.24%	0.0955	-0.14%	0.0395	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.093501	-2.39%	0.108195	+12.95%	0.1192	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.095704	-2.75%	0.09188	-6.64%	0.0424	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.094759	-2.71%	0.08344	-14.33%	0.1223	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.097405	-2.80%	0.08216	-18.01%	0.1572	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.097614	-3.35%	0.078635	-22.14%	0.1428	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.087948	-2.17%	0.07856	-12.61%	0.1896	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.099746	-4.32%	0.08108	-22.23%	0.1214	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.102106	-4.84%	0.08471	-21.05%	0.1057	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.105121	-5.47%	0.08731	-21.48%	0.0852	✓	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.099063	-5.29%	0.08708	-16.75%	0.0079	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.099852	-5.62%	0.08459	-20.05%	0.0036	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.110109	-6.37%	0.08345	-29.04%	0.0125	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.111887	-6.45%	0.08748	-26.86%	0.0285	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.121938	-6.27%	0.08944	-31.25%	0.0389	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.123127	-6.30%	0.09121	-30.59%	0.0235	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.122354	-6.39%	0.0915	-29.99%	0.0150	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.116546	-6.43%	0.08644	-30.60%	0.0508	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.127244	-6.30%	0.08701	-35.93%	0.0184	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.123688	-5.87%	0.09035	-31.24%	0.0034	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.119309	-5.68%	0.093555	-26.04%	0.0673	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.122331	-5.68%	0.09345	-27.95%	0.0400	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.118985	-5.79%	0.09335	-26.09%	0.0698	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.131256	-5.02%	0.09564	-30.80%	0.0456	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.132134	-4.73%	0.10139	-26.90%	0.0961	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.140973	-4.23%	0.104625	-28.92%	0.0478	✗	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.13537	-3.86%	0.10273	-27.04%	0.0788	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.131749	-3.69%	0.1054	-22.95%	0.1169	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.138607	-3.00%	0.10411	-27.14%	0.0802	✗	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.143326	-3.61%	0.09806	-34.06%	0.0240	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.129863	-4.58%	0.09563	-29.74%	0.0191	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.134901	-4.60%	0.09579	-32.26%	0.0429	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.136237	-4.53%	0.09841	-31.04%	0.0486	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.138266	-4.38%	0.0974	-32.64%	0.0622	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.139303	-4.00%	0.10021	-30.94%	0.0279	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.139804	-4.05%	0.101	-30.68%	0.0648	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.146261	-3.52%	0.0899	-40.70%	0.1190	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.148916	-3.36%	0.10425	-32.35%	0.0262	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.144334	-3.58%	0.1073	-28.32%	0.0058	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.142196	-3.47%	0.1112	-24.51%	0.0296	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.139711	-3.31%	0.1046	-27.61%	0.0507	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.136022	-3.33%	0.1058	-24.80%	0.0682	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.126347	-3.03%	0.1176	-9.75%	0.0131	✓	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.130012	-2.76%	0.1196	-10.55%	0.0165	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.128112	-2.72%	0.1301	-1.21%	0.0200	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.129877	-2.57%	0.1314	-1.43%	0.0096	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.13116	-2.63%	0.1307	-2.97%	0.0110	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.125354	-2.60%	0.12455	-3.22%	0.0059	✓	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.122228	-2.37%	0.1358	+8.47%	0.0737	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.125691	-2.34%	0.1314	+2.10%	0.0135	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.126075	-2.34%	0.1265	-2.01%	0.0310	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.125732	-2.23%	0.1297	+0.86%	0.0175	✓	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.12329	-2.15%	0.1263	+0.24%	0.0297	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.125427	-2.09%	0.1382	+7.88%	0.0261	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.124486	-2.06%	0.1387	+9.13%	0.0159	✓	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.116779	-2.11%	0.1472	+23.39%	0.0714	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.119381	-2.15%	0.1408	+15.41%	0.0105	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.123311	-2.13%	0.1368	+8.57%	0.0238	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.12468	-2.17%	0.1429	+12.12%	0.0392	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.125626	-2.12%	0.1487	+15.86%	0.0479	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.133986	-2.06%	0.1361	-0.51%	0.0000	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.135855	-2.05%	0.1414	+1.95%	0.0300	✗	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.137942	-1.96%	0.1427	+1.42%	0.0705	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.140006	-1.89%	0.1446	+1.33%	0.0582	✗	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.148962	-1.80%	0.1451	-4.35%	0.0015	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.141434	-2.09%	0.1457	+0.87%	0.0193	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.138024	-2.04%	0.1516	+7.59%	0.0395	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.140546	-2.06%	0.1541	+7.39%	0.0156	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.133757	-1.79%	0.1497	+9.91%	0.0764	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.140921	-1.80%	0.1473	+2.65%	0.0692	✗	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.142046	-1.90%	0.1445	-0.21%	0.0754	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.140042	-2.07%	0.1407	-1.61%	0.0488	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.137192	-2.01%	0.1303	-6.93%	0.0745	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.149393	-2.42%	0.1337	-12.67%	0.0753	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.150229	-2.39%	0.1317	-14.42%	0.0642	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.15383	-2.52%	0.1333	-15.53%	0.0886	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.156846	-2.70%	0.1347	-16.44%	0.0889	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.153399	-2.79%	0.1287	-18.44%	0.1172	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.151781	-2.83%	0.1252	-19.85%	0.1895	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.154577	-2.96%	0.1287	-19.21%	0.1705	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.155619	-2.92%	0.1291	-19.46%	0.1991	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.151849	-2.66%	0.1286	-17.56%	0.2447	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.149914	-2.65%	0.126	-18.18%	0.2459	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.15572	-3.10%	0.1281	-20.29%	0.2311	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.149769	-3.37%	0.1271	-18.00%	0.0913	✓	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.1541	-3.69%	0.1193	-25.44%	0.0954	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.153308	-3.58%	0.122	-23.27%	0.1011	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.156438	-3.91%	0.126	-22.60%	0.0854	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.158969	-4.12%	0.12745	-23.13%	0.0298	✓	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.158124	-4.05%	0.12835	-22.12%	0.0762	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.162239	-4.51%	0.1368	-19.48%	0.0286	✓	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.167228	-4.66%	0.1387	-20.92%	0.0540	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.169304	-4.78%	0.1407	-20.87%	0.0371	✓	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.181409	-4.92%	0.1427	-25.21%	0.0823	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.180444	-4.90%	0.1517	-20.05%	0.1076	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.178086	-4.87%	0.14445	-22.84%	0.0729	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.179979	-5.07%	0.1409	-25.69%	0.0607	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.163438	-4.53%	0.1435	-16.18%	0.1551	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.166424	-4.74%	0.1362	-22.04%	0.1425	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.158853	-4.42%	0.1435	-13.66%	0.1190	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.155058	-4.70%	0.1448	-11.00%	0.2572	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.173259	-4.70%	0.143	-21.34%	0.2785	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.175178	-4.69%	0.14	-23.83%	0.3755	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.172236	-4.58%	0.1531	-15.18%	0.3570	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.170987	-4.37%	0.1539	-13.93%	0.3301	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.180397	-4.20%	0.1578	-16.20%	0.3324	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.187956	-4.20%	0.1612	-17.84%	0.3707	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.197122	-4.08%	0.1578	-23.21%	0.3492	✗	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.20551	-3.97%	0.1562	-27.01%	0.3933	✗	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.19869	-4.06%	0.1593	-23.08%	0.3682	✗	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.199418	-4.10%	0.1603	-22.91%	0.4003	✗	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.197969	-4.13%	0.156	-24.46%	0.4225	✗	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.19228	-4.05%	0.154	-23.15%	0.3719	✗	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.200841	-4.13%	0.1607	-23.29%	0.3451	✗	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.208306	-4.27%	0.155	-28.77%	0.1891	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.210101	-4.65%	0.16	-27.39%	0.1237	✗	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.204004	-4.94%	0.159	-25.91%	0.1353	✗	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.20289	-5.06%	0.1628	-23.82%	0.0891	✗	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.205499	-5.04%	0.1658	-23.38%	0.1011	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.214708	-5.21%	0.1648	-27.24%	0.1406	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.224401	-4.75%	0.1699	-27.89%	0.0458	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.237987	-4.25%	0.1754	-29.43%	0.0151	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.219396	-4.86%	0.1778	-22.90%	0.0634	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.199863	-5.73%	0.1908	-10.00%	0.0632	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.190172	-5.32%	0.18975	-5.53%	0.1921	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.270224	-2.87%	0.1872	-32.71%	0.0064	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.275912	-2.66%	0.1896	-33.11%	0.0086	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.262755	-3.26%	0.1712	-36.97%	0.0534	✓	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.276403	-2.91%	0.1747	-38.64%	0.0765	✓	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.269563	-3.21%	0.1662	-40.32%	0.0718	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.273097	-3.40%	0.1627	-42.45%	0.2274	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.278076	-3.48%	0.1818	-36.90%	0.2136	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.275413	-3.92%	0.1838	-35.88%	0.2118	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.265669	-4.37%	0.1805	-35.03%	0.2161	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.242598	-5.05%	0.1788	-30.02%	0.1950	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.250326	-5.29%	0.1883	-28.76%	0.2008	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.262264	-5.80%	0.1962	-29.53%	0.3045	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.258061	-6.16%	0.2055	-25.27%	0.3187	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.264201	-6.41%	0.214	-24.19%	0.3109	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.253802	-6.48%	0.2071	-23.69%	0.2584	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.279605	-6.49%	0.20795	-30.45%	0.2490	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.281643	-6.77%	0.2065	-31.65%	0.2707	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.285264	-6.84%	0.2004	-34.55%	0.2459	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.311899	-6.63%	0.2095	-37.28%	0.2591	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.318948	-6.66%	0.2176	-36.32%	0.2788	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.314057	-6.64%	0.22035	-34.50%	0.2116	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.344739	-6.54%	0.2146	-41.82%	0.2749	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.339676	-6.61%	0.2137	-41.24%	0.2614	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.328357	-6.46%	0.2164	-38.36%	0.2434	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.32503	-6.80%	0.2265	-35.05%	0.2691	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.333713	-6.89%	0.2356	-34.26%	0.3037	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.