HIVE

Hive · native · gru_s1

token id: #559
symbol: HIVE
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

66.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0482

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0073

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05055	0.049563	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.05045	0.049503	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04885	0.048101	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.04855	0.047878	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.04985	0.049132	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.05155	0.050682	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-15	oos	0.05165	0.050778	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.05155	0.050708	-1.63%	0.05055	-1.94%	0.0146	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.05265	0.051722	-1.76%	0.05045	-4.18%	0.0233	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05215	0.051273	-1.68%	0.04885	-6.33%	0.0494	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.05615	0.055002	-2.04%	0.04855	-13.54%	0.1089	✓	0.79
2026-10-10	oos	0.05585	0.054773	-1.93%	0.04985	-10.74%	0.0796	✓	0.78
2026-10-09	oos	0.05535	0.054326	-1.85%	0.05155	-6.87%	0.0425	✓	0.78
2026-10-08	oos	0.0534	0.052519	-1.65%	0.05165	-3.28%	0.0208	✓	0.78
2026-10-07	oos	0.05495	0.05395	-1.82%	0.05155	-6.19%	0.0296	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.05755	0.056337	-2.11%	0.05265	-8.51%	0.0462	✓	0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.05785	0.056646	-2.08%	0.05215	-9.85%	0.0474	✓	0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.05795	0.056978	-1.68%	0.05615	-3.11%	0.0103	✓	0.75
2026-10-03	oos	0.05655	0.055614	-1.65%	0.05585	-1.24%	0.0205	✗	0.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0562	0.055273	-1.65%	0.05535	-1.51%	0.0187	✗	0.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.05675	0.055797	-1.68%	0.0534	-5.90%	0.0159	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.05675	0.055711	-1.83%	0.05495	-3.17%	0.0112	✓	0.75
2026-09-29	oos	0.05585	0.054851	-1.79%	0.05755	+3.04%	0.0314	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	0.05595	0.054979	-1.74%	0.05785	+3.40%	0.0304	✗	0.76
2026-09-27	oos	0.0596	0.058395	-2.02%	0.05795	-2.77%	0.0258	✓	0.76
2026-09-26	oos	0.05995	0.058734	-2.03%	0.05655	-5.67%	0.0408	✓	0.75
2026-09-25	oos	0.05785	0.056839	-1.75%	0.0562	-2.85%	0.0149	✓	0.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.0576	0.056452	-1.99%	0.05675	-1.48%	0.0012	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	0.0541	0.053483	-1.14%	0.05675	+4.90%	0.0666	✗	0.75
2026-09-22	oos	0.05615	0.05541	-1.32%	0.05585	-0.53%	0.0293	✗	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.05555	0.054863	-1.24%	0.05595	+0.72%	0.0456	✗	0.70
2026-09-20	oos	0.05375	0.053133	-1.15%	0.0596	+10.88%	0.0857	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.05505	0.054326	-1.32%	0.05995	+8.90%	0.0705	✗	0.73
2026-09-18	oos	0.05345	0.052921	-0.99%	0.05785	+8.23%	0.0607	✗	0.73
2026-09-17	oos	0.0513	0.050986	-0.61%	0.0576	+12.28%	0.0489	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.0523	0.051857	-0.85%	0.0541	+3.44%	0.0318	✓	0.72
2026-09-15	oos	0.0544	0.053388	-1.86%	0.05615	+3.22%	0.0469	✓	0.74
2026-09-14	oos	0.0524	0.051965	-0.83%	0.05555	+6.01%	0.0147	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.05105	0.050399	-1.28%	0.05375	+5.29%	0.0209	✗	0.79
2026-09-12	oos	0.04885	0.048945	+0.19%	0.05505	+12.69%	0.0774	✓	0.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04565	0.04618	+1.16%	0.05345	+17.09%	0.1091	✓	0.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.04375	0.044427	+1.55%	0.0513	+17.26%	0.1458	✓	0.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.0456	0.046402	+1.76%	0.0523	+14.69%	0.1410	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.04565	0.046534	+1.94%	0.0544	+19.17%	0.1867	✓	0.82
2026-09-07	oos	0.0456	0.046638	+2.28%	0.0524	+14.91%	0.1260	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.04685	0.047969	+2.39%	0.05105	+8.96%	0.0996	✓	0.83
2026-09-05	oos	0.04675	0.047756	+2.15%	0.04885	+4.49%	0.0498	✓	0.83
2026-09-04	oos	0.04645	0.047299	+1.83%	0.04565	-1.72%	0.0107	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.04615	0.047059	+1.97%	0.04375	-5.20%	0.0247	✗	0.80
2026-09-02	oos	0.0442	0.044801	+1.36%	0.0456	+3.17%	0.0068	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	0.04375	0.044356	+1.38%	0.04565	+4.34%	0.0170	✓	0.88
2026-08-31	oos	0.04335	0.044105	+1.74%	0.0456	+5.19%	0.0274	✓	0.88
2026-08-30	oos	0.042	0.042592	+1.41%	0.04685	+11.55%	0.0694	✓	0.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.04285	0.043389	+1.26%	0.04675	+9.10%	0.0577	✓	0.84
2026-08-28	oos	0.04325	0.043643	+0.91%	0.04645	+7.40%	0.0431	✓	0.82
2026-08-27	oos	0.04395	0.044508	+1.27%	0.04615	+5.01%	0.0260	✓	0.83
2026-08-26	oos	0.0436	0.043976	+0.86%	0.0442	+1.38%	0.0234	✓	0.83
2026-08-25	oos	0.0419	0.042166	+0.64%	0.04375	+4.42%	0.0489	✓	0.83
2026-08-24	oos	0.04285	0.043073	+0.52%	0.04335	+1.17%	0.0108	✓	0.83
2026-08-23	oos	0.04395	0.043957	+0.01%	0.042	-4.44%	0.0448	✗	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.0438	0.043681	-0.27%	0.04285	-2.17%	0.0322	✓	0.85
2026-08-21	oos	0.04515	0.045098	-0.11%	0.04325	-4.21%	0.0366	✓	0.85
2026-08-20	oos	0.0421	0.041655	-1.06%	0.04395	+4.39%	0.0251	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.04015	0.039512	-1.59%	0.0436	+8.59%	0.0085	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	0.03805	0.037484	-1.49%	0.0419	+10.12%	0.0464	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.03865	0.038163	-1.26%	0.04285	+10.87%	0.0512	✓	0.82
2026-08-16	oos	0.03885	0.038387	-1.19%	0.04395	+13.13%	0.0448	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	0.03935	0.038871	-1.22%	0.0438	+11.31%	0.0501	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.0392	0.038731	-1.20%	0.04515	+15.18%	0.0318	✓	0.85
2026-08-13	oos	0.0396	0.039116	-1.22%	0.0421	+6.31%	0.0460	✓	0.85
2026-08-12	oos	0.03955	0.039065	-1.23%	0.04015	+1.52%	0.0496	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.04015	0.039668	-1.20%	0.03805	-5.23%	0.0574	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.04095	0.040424	-1.28%	0.03865	-5.62%	0.0529	✓	0.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.0416	0.041036	-1.36%	0.03885	-6.61%	0.0264	✓	0.90
2026-08-08	oos	0.04185	0.041206	-1.54%	0.03935	-5.97%	0.0196	✓	0.90
2026-08-07	oos	0.04145	0.040842	-1.47%	0.0392	-5.43%	0.0143	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.0414	0.040701	-1.69%	0.0396	-4.35%	0.0157	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.04165	0.041069	-1.39%	0.03955	-5.04%	0.0211	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.04135	0.040796	-1.34%	0.04015	-2.90%	0.0087	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.04185	0.041273	-1.38%	0.04095	-2.15%	0.0139	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.04245	0.04188	-1.34%	0.0416	-2.00%	0.0273	✓	0.98
2026-08-01	oos	0.04175	0.041217	-1.28%	0.04185	+0.24%	0.0172	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.04245	0.041876	-1.35%	0.04145	-2.36%	0.0414	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0425	0.041951	-1.29%	0.0414	-2.59%	0.0062	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.04215	0.041621	-1.25%	0.04165	-1.19%	0.0101	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	0.04395	0.043475	-1.08%	0.04135	-5.92%	0.0532	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	0.0439	0.043506	-0.90%	0.04185	-4.67%	0.0353	✓	0.98
2026-07-26	oos	0.0473	0.046888	-0.87%	0.04245	-10.25%	0.0726	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.04705	0.04664	-0.87%	0.04175	-11.26%	0.0878	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.04615	0.04582	-0.72%	0.04245	-8.02%	0.0578	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.0469	0.046591	-0.66%	0.0425	-9.38%	0.0871	✓	0.94
2026-07-22	oos	0.04805	0.047739	-0.65%	0.04215	-12.28%	0.0930	✓	0.93
2026-07-21	oos	0.04875	0.048423	-0.67%	0.04395	-9.85%	0.0587	✓	0.93
2026-07-20	oos	0.0482	0.047861	-0.70%	0.0439	-8.92%	0.0649	✓	0.91
2026-07-19	oos	0.04795	0.047638	-0.65%	0.0473	-1.36%	0.0163	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.04795	0.047682	-0.56%	0.04705	-1.88%	0.0063	✓	0.91
2026-07-17	oos	0.04845	0.048153	-0.61%	0.04615	-4.75%	0.0453	✓	0.96
2026-07-16	oos	0.0484	0.04812	-0.58%	0.0469	-3.10%	0.0445	✓	0.94
2026-07-15	oos	0.04945	0.049166	-0.57%	0.04805	-2.83%	0.0429	✓	0.95
2026-07-14	oos	0.0493	0.049042	-0.52%	0.04875	-1.12%	0.0283	✓	0.96
2026-07-13	oos	0.0482	0.047922	-0.58%	0.0482	+0.00%	0.0401	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.04885	0.048546	-0.62%	0.04795	-1.84%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.04945	0.049126	-0.65%	0.04795	-3.03%	0.0396	✓	0.97
2026-07-10	oos	0.0493	0.04898	-0.65%	0.04845	-1.72%	0.0074	✓	0.96
2026-07-09	oos	0.0488	0.048462	-0.69%	0.0484	-0.82%	0.0103	✓	0.96
2026-07-08	oos	0.0487	0.048334	-0.75%	0.04945	+1.54%	0.0146	✓	0.96
2026-07-07	oos	0.04885	0.048459	-0.80%	0.0493	+0.92%	0.0079	✓	0.97
2026-07-06	oos	0.0504	0.049918	-0.96%	0.0482	-4.37%	0.0085	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.0507	0.050173	-1.04%	0.04885	-3.65%	0.0291	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.05185	0.051222	-1.21%	0.04945	-4.63%	0.0456	✓	0.96
2026-07-03	oos	0.0516	0.051	-1.16%	0.0493	-4.46%	0.0578	✓	0.94
2026-07-02	oos	0.0504	0.049881	-1.03%	0.0488	-3.17%	0.0472	✓	0.93
2026-07-01	oos	0.0504	0.049948	-0.90%	0.0487	-3.37%	0.0608	✓	0.95
2026-06-30	oos	0.0481	0.047918	-0.38%	0.04885	+1.56%	0.0543	✓	0.93
2026-06-29	oos	0.0506	0.050231	-0.73%	0.0504	-0.40%	0.0531	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.0514	0.050934	-0.91%	0.0507	-1.36%	0.0655	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.0501	0.049798	-0.60%	0.05185	+3.49%	0.0067	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0503	0.050033	-0.53%	0.0516	+2.58%	0.0070	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.0491	0.048926	-0.35%	0.0504	+2.65%	0.0027	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.0479	0.04776	-0.29%	0.0504	+5.22%	0.0699	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.04835	0.048064	-0.59%	0.0481	-0.52%	0.0662	✗	0.96
2026-06-22	oos	0.0496	0.04927	-0.66%	0.0506	+2.02%	0.0849	✗	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.049	0.048682	-0.65%	0.0514	+4.90%	0.1127	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.04945	0.049143	-0.62%	0.0501	+1.31%	0.0845	✗	0.94
2026-06-19	oos	0.04845	0.04821	-0.49%	0.0503	+3.82%	0.0953	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.05005	0.049736	-0.63%	0.0491	-1.90%	0.0374	✗	0.97
2026-06-17	oos	0.0517	0.051217	-0.93%	0.0479	-7.35%	0.0134	✓	0.97
2026-06-16	oos	0.05125	0.050584	-1.30%	0.04835	-5.66%	0.0005	✓	0.99
2026-06-15	oos	0.0514	0.050753	-1.26%	0.0496	-3.50%	0.0125	✓	0.99
2026-06-14	oos	0.05065	0.050032	-1.22%	0.049	-3.26%	0.0167	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0504	0.049889	-1.01%	0.04945	-1.88%	0.0057	✓	0.99
2026-06-12	oos	0.05075	0.050256	-0.97%	0.04845	-4.53%	0.0356	✓	0.99
2026-06-11	oos	0.0521	0.051356	-1.43%	0.05005	-3.93%	0.0150	✓	0.99
2026-06-10	oos	0.0484	0.048219	-0.37%	0.0517	+6.82%	0.0244	✗	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	0.04705	0.047314	+0.56%	0.05125	+8.93%	0.0212	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.0492	0.049246	+0.09%	0.0514	+4.47%	0.0040	✗	0.94
2026-06-07	oos	0.0502	0.050215	+0.03%	0.05065	+0.90%	0.0259	✗	0.93
2026-06-06	oos	0.0508	0.05107	+0.53%	0.0504	-0.79%	0.0684	✗	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0511	0.051358	+0.50%	0.05075	-0.68%	0.0505	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.0561	0.055704	-0.71%	0.0521	-7.13%	0.0635	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.0585	0.057913	-1.00%	0.0484	-17.26%	0.1429	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0604	0.059197	-1.99%	0.04705	-22.10%	0.1612	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	0.0605	0.05932	-1.95%	0.0492	-18.68%	0.0737	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.0684	0.065067	-4.87%	0.0502	-26.61%	0.1332	✓	0.84
2026-05-30	oos	0.0583	0.057507	-1.36%	0.0508	-12.86%	0.0372	✗	0.84
2026-05-29	oos	0.05795	0.057191	-1.31%	0.0511	-11.82%	0.0423	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.05815	0.057374	-1.33%	0.0561	-3.53%	0.0963	✗	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.06	0.059074	-1.54%	0.0585	-2.50%	0.1159	✗	0.84
2026-05-26	oos	0.061	0.059913	-1.78%	0.0604	-0.98%	0.1160	✗	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.0631	0.061442	-2.63%	0.0605	-4.12%	0.0502	✗	0.82
2026-05-24	oos	0.06005	0.059097	-1.59%	0.0684	+13.91%	0.1831	✗	0.82
2026-05-23	oos	0.0612	0.05977	-2.34%	0.0583	-4.74%	0.0063	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0591	0.05851	-1.00%	0.05795	-1.95%	0.0131	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.06035	0.059677	-1.11%	0.05815	-3.65%	0.0176	✗	0.81
2026-05-20	oos	0.05955	0.058944	-1.02%	0.06	+0.76%	0.0516	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.0582	0.057683	-0.89%	0.061	+4.81%	0.0659	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.0594	0.05881	-0.99%	0.0631	+6.23%	0.0672	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	0.0581	0.057619	-0.83%	0.06005	+3.36%	0.0459	✗	0.82
2026-05-16	oos	0.0603	0.059716	-0.97%	0.0612	+1.49%	0.0398	✗	0.81
2026-05-15	oos	0.0612	0.060641	-0.91%	0.0591	-3.43%	0.0130	✗	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.0642	0.06353	-1.04%	0.06035	-6.00%	0.0149	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.06215	0.061601	-0.88%	0.05955	-4.18%	0.0152	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.0669	0.066049	-1.27%	0.0582	-13.00%	0.0898	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.0672	0.066252	-1.41%	0.0594	-11.61%	0.0634	✓	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	0.0667	0.066016	-1.02%	0.0581	-12.89%	0.0815	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.0662	0.065429	-1.16%	0.0603	-8.91%	0.0569	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.0676	0.066513	-1.61%	0.0612	-9.47%	0.0726	✓	0.75
2026-05-07	oos	0.0663	0.065333	-1.46%	0.0642	-3.17%	0.0271	✓	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0677	0.066564	-1.68%	0.06215	-8.20%	0.0484	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.0733	0.07074	-3.49%	0.0669	-8.73%	0.0513	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.0595	0.059315	-0.31%	0.0672	+12.94%	0.1056	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0596	0.059375	-0.38%	0.0667	+11.91%	0.0793	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0603	0.060063	-0.39%	0.0662	+9.78%	0.0770	✗	0.82
2026-05-01	oos	0.0595	0.059278	-0.37%	0.0676	+13.61%	0.1112	✗	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.05905	0.058758	-0.49%	0.0663	+12.28%	0.0815	✗	0.83
2026-04-29	oos	0.0595	0.059137	-0.61%	0.0677	+13.78%	0.0751	✗	0.83
2026-04-28	oos	0.0606	0.060206	-0.65%	0.0733	+20.96%	0.1475	✗	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	0.0605	0.060155	-0.57%	0.0595	-1.65%	0.0377	✓	0.85
2026-04-26	oos	0.0624	0.062066	-0.53%	0.0596	-4.49%	0.0393	✓	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	0.06275	0.062252	-0.79%	0.0603	-3.90%	0.0430	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.0615	0.060998	-0.82%	0.0595	-3.25%	0.0333	✓	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.06145	0.061016	-0.71%	0.05905	-3.91%	0.0110	✓	0.85
2026-04-22	oos	0.06095	0.060539	-0.67%	0.0595	-2.38%	0.0099	✗	0.85
2026-04-21	oos	0.0616	0.060999	-0.98%	0.0606	-1.62%	0.0062	✓	0.86
2026-04-20	oos	0.06175	0.061104	-1.05%	0.0605	-2.02%	0.0268	✓	0.86
2026-04-19	oos	0.0602	0.059433	-1.27%	0.0624	+3.65%	0.0067	✓	0.87
2026-04-18	oos	0.0646	0.063691	-1.41%	0.06275	-2.86%	0.0363	✓	0.86
2026-04-17	oos	0.0641	0.063449	-1.01%	0.0615	-4.06%	0.0353	✓	0.87
2026-04-16	oos	0.06175	0.061078	-1.09%	0.06145	-0.49%	0.0290	✓	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.0596	0.059026	-0.96%	0.06095	+2.27%	0.0058	✓	0.86
2026-04-14	oos	0.05845	0.057904	-0.93%	0.0616	+5.39%	0.0371	✗	0.86
2026-04-13	oos	0.0602	0.059578	-1.03%	0.06175	+2.57%	0.0196	✗	0.86
2026-04-12	oos	0.0585	0.057808	-1.18%	0.0602	+2.91%	0.0036	✓	0.87
2026-04-11	oos	0.0597	0.059022	-1.14%	0.0646	+8.21%	0.0592	✗	0.87
2026-04-10	oos	0.0603	0.059616	-1.13%	0.0641	+6.30%	0.0249	✗	0.87
2026-04-09	oos	0.0599	0.059177	-1.21%	0.06175	+3.09%	0.0026	✓	0.87
2026-04-08	oos	0.059	0.058311	-1.17%	0.0596	+1.02%	0.0229	✓	0.87
2026-04-07	oos	0.06045	0.059697	-1.25%	0.05845	-3.31%	0.0481	✓	0.87
2026-04-06	oos	0.0586	0.057841	-1.29%	0.0602	+2.73%	0.0263	✓	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	0.0586	0.057818	-1.33%	0.0585	-0.17%	0.0095	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.05905	0.058241	-1.37%	0.0597	+1.10%	0.0463	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0597	0.058743	-1.60%	0.0603	+1.01%	0.0482	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.056513	-1.20%	0.0599	+4.72%	0.0026	✓	0.86
2026-04-01	oos	0.058	0.057227	-1.33%	0.059	+1.72%	0.0063	✓	0.86
2026-03-31	oos	0.057	0.056292	-1.24%	0.06045	+6.05%	0.0260	✗	0.86
2026-03-30	oos	0.0568	0.056147	-1.15%	0.0586	+3.17%	0.0157	✗	0.87
2026-03-29	oos	0.05625	0.055709	-0.96%	0.0586	+4.18%	0.0119	✗	0.86
2026-03-28	oos	0.0578	0.057312	-0.84%	0.05905	+2.16%	0.0175	✗	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	0.0581	0.057578	-0.90%	0.0597	+2.75%	0.0284	✗	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	0.06065	0.059949	-1.16%	0.0572	-5.69%	0.0233	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.0626	0.062218	-0.61%	0.058	-7.35%	0.0310	✓	0.86
2026-03-24	oos	0.0627	0.062413	-0.46%	0.057	-9.09%	0.0622	✓	0.86
2026-03-23	oos	0.06175	0.061568	-0.29%	0.0568	-8.02%	0.0291	✓	0.86
2026-03-22	oos	0.05985	0.059779	-0.12%	0.05625	-6.02%	0.0366	✓	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	0.0609	0.060871	-0.05%	0.0578	-5.09%	0.0188	✓	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	0.0643	0.064286	-0.02%	0.0581	-9.64%	0.0496	✓	0.85
2026-03-19	oos	0.06275	0.062799	+0.08%	0.06065	-3.35%	0.0208	✗	0.85
2026-03-18	oos	0.06425	0.06432	+0.11%	0.0626	-2.57%	0.0278	✗	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	0.0671	0.067174	+0.11%	0.0627	-6.56%	0.0286	✗	0.86
2026-03-16	oos	0.0654	0.065657	+0.39%	0.06175	-5.58%	0.0135	✗	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	0.0635	0.063707	+0.33%	0.05985	-5.75%	0.0014	✓	0.86
2026-03-14	oos	0.06255	0.062706	+0.25%	0.0609	-2.64%	0.0006	✓	0.87
2026-03-13	oos	0.0627	0.062907	+0.33%	0.0643	+2.55%	0.0274	✓	0.87
2026-03-12	oos	0.0633	0.063472	+0.27%	0.06275	-0.87%	0.0038	✗	0.87
2026-03-11	oos	0.0636	0.06373	+0.20%	0.06425	+1.02%	0.0046	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.0621	0.062266	+0.27%	0.0671	+8.05%	0.0269	✓	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	0.0622	0.062341	+0.23%	0.0654	+5.14%	0.0308	✗	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	0.061	0.061228	+0.37%	0.0635	+4.10%	0.0510	✗	0.88
2026-03-07	oos	0.0613	0.061467	+0.27%	0.06255	+2.04%	0.0335	✗	0.89
2026-03-06	oos	0.0623	0.062386	+0.14%	0.0627	+0.64%	0.0308	✗	0.88
2026-03-05	oos	0.0639	0.063853	-0.07%	0.0633	-0.94%	0.0042	✓	0.89
2026-03-04	oos	0.0649	0.064823	-0.12%	0.0636	-2.00%	0.0117	✗	0.89
2026-03-03	oos	0.0641	0.064177	+0.12%	0.0621	-3.12%	0.0546	✗	0.92
2026-03-02	oos	0.06555	0.065531	-0.03%	0.0622	-5.11%	0.0468	✓	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.0641	0.064315	+0.34%	0.061	-4.84%	0.0558	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0658	0.065927	+0.19%	0.0613	-6.84%	0.0769	✗	0.94
2026-02-27	oos	0.06555	0.065732	+0.28%	0.0623	-4.96%	0.0853	✗	0.94
2026-02-26	oos	0.0683	0.068137	-0.24%	0.0639	-6.44%	0.1103	✓	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.0663	0.066217	-0.13%	0.0649	-2.11%	0.0829	✓	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.06355	0.063938	+0.61%	0.0641	+0.87%	0.0590	✗	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.0636	0.064122	+0.82%	0.06555	+3.07%	0.0373	✗	0.94
2026-02-22	oos	0.066	0.066162	+0.25%	0.0641	-2.88%	0.0055	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.06845	0.068483	+0.05%	0.0658	-3.87%	0.0261	✗	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0684	0.068453	+0.08%	0.06555	-4.17%	0.0134	✗	0.94
2026-02-19	oos	0.0684	0.068579	+0.26%	0.0683	-0.15%	0.0114	✗	0.95
2026-02-18	oos	0.06855	0.068724	+0.25%	0.0663	-3.28%	0.0582	✗	0.95
2026-02-17	oos	0.072	0.072106	+0.15%	0.06355	-11.74%	0.0785	✗	0.93
2026-02-16	oos	0.0724	0.072391	-0.01%	0.0636	-12.15%	0.0706	✓	0.93
2026-02-15	oos	0.0719	0.071968	+0.09%	0.066	-8.21%	0.0705	✗	0.93
2026-02-14	oos	0.0763	0.076023	-0.36%	0.06845	-10.29%	0.0804	✓	0.92
2026-02-13	oos	0.0739	0.073916	+0.02%	0.0684	-7.44%	0.0664	✗	0.92
2026-02-12	oos	0.07205	0.072631	+0.81%	0.0684	-5.07%	0.0707	✗	0.93
2026-02-11	oos	0.0711	0.071746	+0.91%	0.06855	-3.59%	0.0374	✗	0.91
2026-02-10	oos	0.07045	0.071087	+0.90%	0.072	+2.20%	0.0308	✓	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.073	0.073364	+0.50%	0.0724	-0.82%	0.0032	✓	0.92
2026-02-08	oos	0.0716	0.072136	+0.75%	0.0719	+0.42%	0.0165	✓	0.92
2026-02-07	oos	0.0768	0.07698	+0.23%	0.0763	-0.65%	0.0162	✗	0.94
2026-02-06	oos	0.0736	0.074363	+1.04%	0.0739	+0.41%	0.0172	✓	0.95
2026-02-05	oos	0.0666	0.069505	+4.36%	0.07205	+8.18%	0.0154	✓	0.97
2026-02-04	oos	0.0789	0.079346	+0.56%	0.0711	-9.89%	0.0296	✗	0.94
2026-02-03	oos	0.0809	0.08083	-0.09%	0.07045	-12.92%	0.0491	✓	0.93
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.081152	-0.55%	0.073	-10.54%	0.0054	✓	0.97
2026-02-01	oos	0.0801	0.080103	+0.00%	0.0716	-10.61%	0.0247	✗	0.97
2026-01-31	oos	0.0812	0.081192	-0.01%	0.0768	-5.42%	0.0775	✗	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.08735	0.086538	-0.93%	0.0736	-15.74%	0.0215	✗	1.04
2026-01-29	oos	0.0871	0.086374	-0.83%	0.0666	-23.54%	0.0513	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.09345	0.092368	-1.16%	0.0789	-15.57%	0.0481	✗	1.03
2026-01-27	oos	0.0946	0.093384	-1.29%	0.0809	-14.48%	0.0279	✗	1.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.0928	0.091966	-0.90%	0.0816	-12.07%	0.0008	✓	1.03
2026-01-25	oos	0.0914	0.090778	-0.68%	0.0801	-12.36%	0.0024	✓	1.04
2026-01-24	oos	0.0953	0.094468	-0.87%	0.0812	-14.80%	0.0230	✓	1.03
2026-01-23	oos	0.0947	0.093911	-0.83%	0.08735	-7.76%	0.0084	✓	1.04
2026-01-22	oos	0.09465	0.093936	-0.75%	0.0871	-7.98%	0.0168	✓	1.03
2026-01-21	oos	0.0968	0.09594	-0.89%	0.09345	-3.46%	0.0240	✓	1.03
2026-01-20	oos	0.094	0.093349	-0.69%	0.0946	+0.64%	0.0040	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.1001	0.099151	-0.95%	0.0928	-7.29%	0.0179	✓	1.01
2026-01-18	oos	0.1021	0.101087	-0.99%	0.0914	-10.48%	0.0208	✓	1.02
2026-01-17	oos	0.1067	0.105495	-1.13%	0.0953	-10.68%	0.0364	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.1066	0.105409	-1.12%	0.0947	-11.16%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.10445	0.103333	-1.07%	0.09465	-9.38%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.1084	0.107162	-1.14%	0.0968	-10.70%	0.0207	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.1093	0.107844	-1.33%	0.094	-14.00%	0.0593	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	0.1039	0.102468	-1.38%	0.1001	-3.66%	0.0385	✓	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.106	0.104469	-1.44%	0.1021	-3.68%	0.0536	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.1103	0.108463	-1.67%	0.1067	-3.26%	0.0696	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	0.1082	0.106399	-1.66%	0.1066	-1.48%	0.0561	✓	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.1098	0.107764	-1.85%	0.10445	-4.87%	0.0837	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1084	0.106263	-1.97%	0.1084	+0.00%	0.0647	✓	1.40
2026-01-06	oos	0.1026	0.101223	-1.34%	0.1093	+6.53%	0.0511	✗	1.46
2026-01-05	oos	0.102	0.100508	-1.46%	0.1039	+1.86%	0.0755	✗	1.46
2026-01-04	oos	0.0992	0.097829	-1.38%	0.106	+6.85%	0.0902	✗	1.46
2026-01-03	oos	0.0988	0.097476	-1.34%	0.1103	+11.64%	0.1272	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.0985	0.097103	-1.42%	0.1082	+9.85%	0.0991	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.0967	0.095335	-1.41%	0.1098	+13.55%	0.1040	✗	1.46
2025-12-31	oos	0.0965	0.095287	-1.26%	0.1084	+12.33%	0.0669	✗	1.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1011	0.099398	-1.68%	0.1026	+1.48%	0.0535	✓	1.46
2025-12-29	oos	0.1048	0.1026	-2.10%	0.102	-2.67%	0.1158	✓	1.47
2025-12-28	oos	0.0991	0.096849	-2.27%	0.0992	+0.10%	0.0357	✓	1.48
2025-12-27	oos	0.095	0.094083	-0.97%	0.0988	+4.00%	0.0033	✓	1.46
2025-12-26	oos	0.09	0.089485	-0.57%	0.0985	+9.44%	0.0527	✗	1.44
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090375	-0.58%	0.0967	+6.38%	0.0420	✗	1.44
2025-12-24	oos	0.0922	0.091646	-0.60%	0.0965	+4.66%	0.0534	✗	1.45
2025-12-23	oos	0.09415	0.093403	-0.79%	0.1011	+7.38%	0.0632	✗	1.45
2025-12-22	oos	0.0955	0.094227	-1.33%	0.1048	+9.74%	0.1302	✗	1.45
2025-12-21	oos	0.0884	0.088271	-0.15%	0.0991	+12.10%	0.1282	✗	1.44
2025-12-20	oos	0.08965	0.089553	-0.11%	0.095	+5.97%	0.0676	✗	1.46
2025-12-19	oos	0.0899	0.089775	-0.14%	0.09	+0.11%	0.0157	✗	1.46
2025-12-18	oos	0.0854	0.085668	+0.31%	0.0909	+6.44%	0.0305	✓	1.45
2025-12-17	oos	0.08915	0.089221	+0.08%	0.0922	+3.42%	0.0095	✓	1.45
2025-12-16	oos	0.0938	0.093558	-0.26%	0.09415	+0.37%	0.0133	✗	1.44
2025-12-15	oos	0.0947	0.094479	-0.23%	0.0955	+0.84%	0.0249	✓	1.46
2025-12-14	oos	0.09845	0.097813	-0.65%	0.0884	-10.21%	0.1089	✓	1.45
2025-12-13	oos	0.1024	0.101421	-0.96%	0.08965	-12.45%	0.0921	✓	1.45
2025-12-12	oos	0.10175	0.100644	-1.09%	0.0899	-11.65%	0.0774	✓	1.45
2025-12-11	oos	0.1031	0.101705	-1.35%	0.0854	-17.17%	0.0583	✓	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.1031	0.101876	-1.19%	0.08915	-13.53%	0.0377	✓	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.1059	0.104463	-1.36%	0.0938	-11.43%	0.0296	✓	1.46
2025-12-08	oos	0.1024	0.101088	-1.28%	0.0947	-7.52%	0.0039	✓	1.44
2025-12-07	oos	0.1009	0.099746	-1.14%	0.09845	-2.43%	0.0229	✗	1.44
2025-12-06	oos	0.1047	0.103211	-1.42%	0.1024	-2.20%	0.0240	✓	1.46
2025-12-05	oos	0.1028	0.101782	-0.99%	0.10175	-1.02%	0.0155	✓	1.46
2025-12-04	oos	0.1056	0.104293	-1.24%	0.1031	-2.37%	0.0187	✓	1.47
2025-12-03	oos	0.1081	0.106711	-1.29%	0.1031	-4.63%	0.0119	✓	1.48
2025-12-02	oos	0.1063	0.105217	-1.02%	0.1059	-0.38%	0.0158	✓	1.48
2025-12-01	oos	0.1008	0.10054	-0.26%	0.1024	+1.59%	0.0571	✓	1.53
2025-11-30	oos	0.1069	0.106034	-0.81%	0.1009	-5.61%	0.0502	✓	1.54
2025-11-29	oos	0.1088	0.107731	-0.98%	0.1047	-3.77%	0.0019	✓	1.54
2025-11-28	oos	0.1091	0.108062	-0.95%	0.1028	-5.77%	0.0234	✓	1.54
2025-11-27	oos	0.1102	0.109172	-0.93%	0.1056	-4.17%	0.0463	✓	1.54
2025-11-26	oos	0.107	0.106365	-0.59%	0.1081	+1.03%	0.0329	✓	1.51
2025-11-25	oos	0.10675	0.106598	-0.14%	0.1063	-0.42%	0.0724	✓	1.56
2025-11-24	oos	0.1064	0.106178	-0.21%	0.1008	-5.26%	0.0164	✓	1.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.1023	0.102615	+0.31%	0.1069	+4.50%	0.0221	✗	1.57
2025-11-22	oos	0.102	0.102901	+0.88%	0.1088	+6.67%	0.0561	✗	1.60
2025-11-21	oos	0.1023	0.103217	+0.90%	0.1091	+6.65%	0.0502	✗	1.59
2025-11-20	oos	0.1078	0.108372	+0.53%	0.1102	+2.23%	0.0684	✗	1.58
2025-11-19	oos	0.1102	0.109945	-0.23%	0.107	-2.90%	0.0087	✓	1.69
2025-11-18	oos	0.111	0.110616	-0.35%	0.10675	-3.83%	0.0697	✗	1.70
2025-11-17	oos	0.1078	0.107898	+0.09%	0.1064	-1.30%	0.0582	✓	1.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.1099	0.109667	-0.21%	0.1023	-6.92%	0.0692	✗	1.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.1138	0.11325	-0.48%	0.102	-10.37%	0.1004	✗	1.70
2025-11-14	oos	0.1124	0.112179	-0.20%	0.1023	-8.99%	0.0866	✗	1.70
2025-11-13	oos	0.1136	0.112725	-0.77%	0.1078	-5.11%	0.2119	✗	1.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1187	0.117	-1.43%	0.1102	-7.16%	0.1320	✗	1.82
2025-11-11	oos	0.1196	0.117707	-1.58%	0.111	-7.19%	0.1284	✗	1.81
2025-11-10	oos	0.1261	0.124441	-1.32%	0.1078	-14.51%	0.1078	✗	1.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.1244	0.123059	-1.08%	0.1099	-11.66%	0.0776	✗	1.80
2025-11-08	oos	0.1233	0.122257	-0.85%	0.1138	-7.70%	0.0527	✗	1.83
2025-11-07	oos	0.124	0.122666	-1.08%	0.1124	-9.35%	0.0718	✗	1.79
2025-11-06	oos	0.1119	0.112044	+0.13%	0.1136	+1.52%	0.0430	✓	1.75
2025-11-05	oos	0.1111	0.111225	+0.11%	0.1187	+6.84%	0.1037	✓	1.78
2025-11-04	oos	0.1068	0.107718	+0.86%	0.1196	+11.99%	0.0778	✓	1.78
2025-11-03	oos	0.1126	0.112779	+0.16%	0.1261	+11.99%	0.1217	✓	1.84
2025-11-02	oos	0.1278	0.127264	-0.42%	0.1244	-2.66%	0.0740	✗	1.78
2025-11-01	oos	0.1281	0.127668	-0.34%	0.1233	-3.75%	0.0960	✗	1.79
2025-10-31	oos	0.1237	0.123483	-0.18%	0.124	+0.24%	0.1093	✗	1.78
2025-10-30	oos	0.1225	0.122343	-0.13%	0.1119	-8.65%	0.0305	✗	1.79
2025-10-29	oos	0.1309	0.130248	-0.50%	0.1111	-15.13%	0.0577	✓	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.1323	0.131423	-0.66%	0.1068	-19.27%	0.0152	✓	1.80
2025-10-27	oos	0.1349	0.133662	-0.92%	0.1126	-16.53%	0.0485	✓	1.80
2025-10-26	oos	0.1407	0.139095	-1.14%	0.1278	-9.17%	0.0206	✓	1.80
2025-10-25	oos	0.1365	0.135036	-1.07%	0.1281	-6.15%	0.0263	✓	1.82
2025-10-24	oos	0.1379	0.136388	-1.10%	0.1237	-10.30%	0.0731	✓	1.82
2025-10-23	oos	0.1371	0.135483	-1.18%	0.1225	-10.65%	0.0705	✓	1.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.1338	0.13248	-0.99%	0.1309	-2.17%	0.0533	✓	1.84
2025-10-21	oos	0.1366	0.135181	-1.04%	0.1323	-3.15%	0.0970	✓	1.84
2025-10-20	oos	0.1413	0.139379	-1.36%	0.1349	-4.53%	0.0906	✓	1.85
2025-10-19	oos	0.1419	0.140252	-1.16%	0.1407	-0.85%	0.0946	✓	1.86
2025-10-18	oos	0.1382	0.137058	-0.83%	0.1365	-1.23%	0.0797	✓	1.86
2025-10-17	oos	0.1367	0.135644	-0.77%	0.1379	+0.88%	0.0613	✓	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.1379	0.136949	-0.69%	0.1371	-0.58%	0.0316	✓	1.86
2025-10-15	oos	0.1435	0.142406	-0.76%	0.1338	-6.76%	0.0076	✓	1.86
2025-10-14	oos	0.1494	0.148055	-0.90%	0.1366	-8.57%	0.0015	✓	1.86
2025-10-13	oos	0.1552	0.153631	-1.01%	0.1413	-8.96%	0.0061	✓	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.1486	0.147419	-0.79%	0.1419	-4.51%	0.0666	✗	1.83
2025-10-11	oos	0.1377	0.137563	-0.10%	0.1382	+0.36%	0.0639	✗	1.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.1381	0.137767	-0.24%	0.1367	-1.01%	0.1009	✗	1.83
2025-10-09	oos	0.182	0.180418	-0.87%	0.1379	-24.23%	0.1105	✓	1.34
2025-10-08	oos	0.1872	0.185604	-0.85%	0.1435	-23.34%	0.1138	✓	1.34
2025-10-07	oos	0.18265	0.1811	-0.85%	0.1494	-18.20%	0.1005	✓	1.29
2025-10-06	oos	0.1907	0.189154	-0.81%	0.1552	-18.62%	0.0976	✓	1.27
2025-10-05	oos	0.1849	0.183492	-0.76%	0.1486	-19.63%	0.1209	✓	1.27
2025-10-04	oos	0.1866	0.18515	-0.78%	0.1377	-26.21%	0.1689	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.1926	0.190779	-0.95%	0.1381	-28.30%	0.2223	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1918	0.189798	-1.04%	0.182	-5.11%	0.0535	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.1894	0.187259	-1.13%	0.1872	-1.16%	0.0502	✓	1.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.1807	0.178944	-0.97%	0.18265	+1.08%	0.0600	✓	1.29
2025-09-29	oos	0.1803	0.178454	-1.02%	0.1907	+5.77%	0.0523	✓	1.37
2025-09-28	oos	0.182	0.180027	-1.08%	0.1849	+1.59%	0.1094	✓	1.42
2025-09-27	oos	0.1793	0.177435	-1.04%	0.1866	+4.07%	0.1069	✓	1.43
2025-09-26	oos	0.1806	0.178432	-1.20%	0.1926	+6.64%	0.0794	✓	1.43
2025-09-25	oos	0.1762	0.174227	-1.12%	0.1918	+8.85%	0.0480	✓	1.43
2025-09-24	oos	0.1869	0.184156	-1.47%	0.1894	+1.34%	0.0371	✓	1.42
2025-09-23	oos	0.1858	0.183089	-1.46%	0.1807	-2.74%	0.0391	✓	1.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.1843	0.181302	-1.63%	0.1803	-2.17%	0.0259	✓	1.42
2025-09-21	oos	0.1974	0.193801	-1.82%	0.182	-7.80%	0.0253	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.1992	0.195182	-2.02%	0.1793	-9.99%	0.0082	✓	1.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.19885	0.194377	-2.25%	0.1806	-9.18%	0.0024	✓	1.43
2025-09-18	oos	0.206	0.201127	-2.37%	0.1762	-14.47%	0.0300	✓	1.43
2025-09-17	oos	0.204	0.199113	-2.40%	0.1869	-8.38%	0.0243	✓	1.43

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.