METRONOME

METRONOME · · gru_s1

token id: #733
symbol: METRONOME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 4,302

Track record at +7d

assessed

375

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1087

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0180

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.346955	0.337897	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.338725	0.330701	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.33786	0.330136	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.33508	0.327498	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.348475	0.340206	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-16	oos	0.37041	0.36029	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.376245	0.364996	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.381055	0.369197	-3.11%	0.346955	-8.95%	0.0772	✓	1.10
2026-10-13	oos	0.386015	0.373085	-3.35%	0.338725	-12.25%	0.0944	✓	1.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.384375	0.37195	-3.23%	0.33786	-12.10%	0.0975	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.42445	0.407674	-3.95%	0.33508	-21.06%	0.1753	✓	1.03
2026-10-10	oos	0.42258	0.40251	-4.75%	0.348475	-17.54%	0.1251	✓	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.408225	0.389769	-4.52%	0.37041	-9.26%	0.0378	✓	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.442135	0.416005	-5.91%	0.376245	-14.90%	0.1060	✓	1.05
2026-10-07	oos	0.445645	0.415049	-6.87%	0.381055	-14.49%	0.0639	✓	1.04
2026-10-06	oos	0.32764	0.315944	-3.57%	0.386015	+17.82%	0.2382	✗	1.31
2026-10-05	oos	0.296605	0.28821	-2.83%	0.384375	+29.59%	0.3505	✗	1.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.302195	0.293066	-3.02%	0.42445	+40.46%	0.4146	✗	1.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.304885	0.295079	-3.22%	0.42258	+38.60%	0.3885	✗	1.34
2026-10-02	oos	0.29436	0.284516	-3.34%	0.408225	+38.68%	0.3925	✗	1.34
2026-10-01	oos	0.30098	0.290697	-3.42%	0.442135	+46.90%	0.4695	✗	1.32
2026-09-30	oos	0.316625	0.305342	-3.56%	0.445645	+40.75%	0.3827	✗	1.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.32638	0.314422	-3.66%	0.32764	+0.39%	0.0111	✓	1.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.330185	0.318015	-3.69%	0.296605	-10.17%	0.1068	✓	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.38139	0.366431	-3.92%	0.302195	-20.76%	0.2242	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.350575	0.337604	-3.70%	0.304885	-13.03%	0.1071	✓	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.359145	0.344425	-4.10%	0.29436	-18.04%	0.1636	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.3288	0.316444	-3.76%	0.30098	-8.46%	0.0576	✓	1.36
2026-09-23	oos	0.34299	0.327087	-4.64%	0.316625	-7.69%	0.0192	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.331615	0.317666	-4.21%	0.32638	-1.58%	0.0691	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.284465	0.274241	-3.59%	0.330185	+16.07%	0.2391	✗	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.2558	0.247853	-3.11%	0.38139	+49.10%	0.3755	✗	1.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.258475	0.249811	-3.35%	0.350575	+35.63%	0.2860	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.260795	0.251017	-3.75%	0.359145	+37.71%	0.3051	✗	1.36
2026-09-17	oos	0.22627	0.220661	-2.48%	0.3288	+45.31%	0.2688	✗	1.30
2026-09-16	oos	0.20022	0.198222	-1.00%	0.34299	+71.31%	0.4098	✗	1.35
2026-09-15	oos	0.196575	0.195	-0.80%	0.331615	+68.70%	0.3510	✗	1.37
2026-09-14	oos	0.220695	0.216843	-1.75%	0.284465	+28.90%	0.1401	✗	1.28
2026-09-13	oos	0.220065	0.21608	-1.81%	0.2558	+16.24%	0.0965	✗	1.31
2026-09-12	oos	0.226265	0.222155	-1.82%	0.258475	+14.24%	0.0855	✗	1.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.231085	0.224765	-2.73%	0.260795	+12.86%	0.0875	✗	1.32
2026-09-10	oos	0.21234	0.209838	-1.18%	0.22627	+6.56%	0.0786	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.21066	0.208921	-0.83%	0.20022	-4.96%	0.0058	✓	1.33
2026-09-08	oos	0.19427	0.194183	-0.04%	0.196575	+1.19%	0.0626	✗	1.35
2026-09-07	oos	0.19936	0.19909	-0.14%	0.220695	+10.70%	0.1188	✗	1.35
2026-09-06	oos	0.212595	0.211313	-0.60%	0.220065	+3.51%	0.0998	✗	1.32
2026-09-05	oos	0.19052	0.191189	+0.35%	0.226265	+18.76%	0.2109	✓	1.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.18475	0.185793	+0.56%	0.231085	+25.08%	0.2575	✓	1.25
2026-09-03	oos	0.19852	0.200041	+0.77%	0.21234	+6.96%	0.1332	✓	1.23
2026-09-02	oos	0.1945	0.19452	+0.01%	0.21066	+8.31%	0.0618	✓	1.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.19183	0.19211	+0.15%	0.19427	+1.27%	0.0083	✗	1.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.19649	0.197271	+0.40%	0.19936	+1.46%	0.0014	✓	1.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.187005	0.187326	+0.17%	0.212595	+13.68%	0.0852	✓	1.22
2026-08-29	oos	0.202865	0.202869	+0.00%	0.19052	-6.09%	0.0863	✗	1.16
2026-08-28	oos	0.20862	0.208013	-0.29%	0.18475	-11.44%	0.1457	✓	1.16
2026-08-27	oos	0.222835	0.222418	-0.19%	0.19852	-10.91%	0.1276	✓	1.14
2026-08-26	oos	0.2163	0.215098	-0.56%	0.1945	-10.08%	0.0757	✓	1.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.21093	0.209441	-0.71%	0.19183	-9.06%	0.0713	✓	1.14
2026-08-24	oos	0.226415	0.224255	-0.95%	0.19649	-13.22%	0.1261	✓	1.14
2026-08-23	oos	0.245235	0.240965	-1.74%	0.187005	-23.74%	0.2526	✓	1.16
2026-08-22	oos	0.220335	0.216855	-1.58%	0.202865	-7.93%	0.0840	✓	1.14
2026-08-21	oos	0.217115	0.214029	-1.42%	0.20862	-3.91%	0.0185	✓	1.14
2026-08-20	oos	0.210285	0.205138	-2.45%	0.222835	+5.97%	0.0351	✓	1.24
2026-08-19	oos	0.200015	0.19346	-3.28%	0.2163	+8.14%	0.0609	✓	1.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.17428	0.167906	-3.66%	0.21093	+21.03%	0.0065	✓	1.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.16274	0.157072	-3.48%	0.226415	+39.13%	0.1210	✗	1.21
2026-08-16	oos	0.161375	0.15624	-3.18%	0.245235	+51.97%	0.1886	✗	1.23
2026-08-15	oos	0.16419	0.158909	-3.22%	0.220335	+34.20%	0.0791	✗	1.23
2026-08-14	oos	0.163555	0.158119	-3.32%	0.217115	+32.75%	0.0475	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.16973	0.163748	-3.52%	0.210285	+23.89%	0.0754	✗	1.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.15757	0.152136	-3.45%	0.200015	+26.94%	0.1628	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.158535	0.153177	-3.38%	0.17428	+9.93%	0.1065	✗	1.26
2026-08-10	oos	0.157425	0.151969	-3.47%	0.16274	+3.38%	0.0571	✗	1.30
2026-08-09	oos	0.162275	0.156637	-3.47%	0.161375	-0.55%	0.0709	✗	1.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.168105	0.161939	-3.67%	0.16419	-2.33%	0.0524	✗	1.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.16172	0.155551	-3.81%	0.163555	+1.13%	0.0885	✗	1.28
2026-08-06	oos	0.162615	0.156914	-3.51%	0.16973	+4.38%	0.0954	✗	1.28
2026-08-05	oos	0.16908	0.162732	-3.75%	0.15757	-6.81%	0.0083	✓	1.28
2026-08-04	oos	0.16407	0.157883	-3.77%	0.158535	-3.37%	0.0143	✓	1.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.16092	0.155021	-3.67%	0.157425	-2.17%	0.0067	✓	1.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.163095	0.157077	-3.69%	0.162275	-0.50%	0.0066	✓	1.24
2026-08-01	oos	0.16794	0.161668	-3.73%	0.168105	+0.10%	0.0034	✓	1.26
2026-07-31	oos	0.178355	0.171106	-4.06%	0.16172	-9.33%	0.0974	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.173235	0.166357	-3.97%	0.162615	-6.13%	0.0134	✓	1.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.173	0.166324	-3.86%	0.16908	-2.27%	0.0018	✓	1.33
2026-07-28	oos	0.16936	0.163286	-3.59%	0.16407	-3.12%	0.0006	✓	1.33
2026-07-27	oos	0.161515	0.156251	-3.26%	0.16092	-0.37%	0.0342	✗	1.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.17849	0.171447	-3.95%	0.163095	-8.63%	0.0136	✓	1.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.1624	0.157175	-3.22%	0.16794	+3.41%	0.0962	✗	1.24
2026-07-24	oos	0.162015	0.156879	-3.17%	0.178355	+10.09%	0.1531	✗	1.25
2026-07-23	oos	0.162055	0.1572	-3.00%	0.173235	+6.90%	0.1035	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.160925	0.156372	-2.83%	0.173	+7.50%	0.1443	✗	1.28
2026-07-21	oos	0.162495	0.157698	-2.95%	0.16936	+4.22%	0.1236	✗	1.28
2026-07-20	oos	0.16915	0.162784	-3.76%	0.161515	-4.51%	0.0233	✓	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.144955	0.142209	-1.89%	0.17849	+23.13%	0.2138	✗	1.32
2026-07-18	oos	0.13779	0.135729	-1.50%	0.1624	+17.86%	0.1897	✗	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.129155	0.128178	-0.76%	0.162015	+25.44%	0.2304	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.14296	0.140839	-1.48%	0.162055	+13.36%	0.1138	✗	1.33
2026-07-15	oos	0.15883	0.154765	-2.56%	0.160925	+1.32%	0.0125	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.149005	0.146408	-1.74%	0.162495	+9.05%	0.0745	✗	1.28
2026-07-13	oos	0.14746	0.145199	-1.53%	0.16915	+14.71%	0.0895	✗	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.147985	0.145629	-1.59%	0.144955	-2.05%	0.0250	✓	1.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.15215	0.149376	-1.82%	0.13779	-9.44%	0.1025	✓	1.37
2026-07-10	oos	0.155895	0.152765	-2.01%	0.129155	-17.15%	0.1627	✓	1.41
2026-07-09	oos	0.16099	0.15751	-2.16%	0.14296	-11.20%	0.1104	✓	1.44
2026-07-08	oos	0.160795	0.157242	-2.21%	0.15883	-1.22%	0.0466	✓	1.45
2026-07-07	oos	0.15845	0.154915	-2.23%	0.149005	-5.96%	0.0768	✓	1.46
2026-07-06	oos	0.170965	0.166173	-2.80%	0.14746	-13.75%	0.0792	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.174945	0.170016	-2.82%	0.147985	-15.41%	0.1424	✓	1.46
2026-07-04	oos	0.177015	0.171794	-2.95%	0.15215	-14.05%	0.1373	✓	1.46
2026-07-03	oos	0.19151	0.18426	-3.79%	0.155895	-18.60%	0.2045	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.175245	0.169713	-3.16%	0.16099	-8.13%	0.0917	✓	1.44
2026-07-01	oos	0.17795	0.171466	-3.64%	0.160795	-9.64%	0.1194	✓	1.48
2026-06-30	oos	0.16175	0.157475	-2.64%	0.15845	-2.04%	0.1081	✓	1.45
2026-06-29	oos	0.1678	0.162362	-3.24%	0.170965	+1.89%	0.0380	✓	1.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.157895	0.153968	-2.49%	0.174945	+10.80%	0.0340	✗	1.40
2026-06-27	oos	0.16549	0.160307	-3.13%	0.177015	+6.96%	0.0276	✓	1.40
2026-06-26	oos	0.1664	0.160426	-3.59%	0.19151	+15.09%	0.1194	✗	1.40
2026-06-25	oos	0.149765	0.145904	-2.58%	0.175245	+17.01%	0.1425	✗	1.39
2026-06-24	oos	0.1521	0.147857	-2.79%	0.17795	+17.00%	0.2063	✗	1.25
2026-06-23	oos	0.16124	0.156027	-3.23%	0.16175	+0.32%	0.1202	✗	1.24
2026-06-22	oos	0.156905	0.151752	-3.28%	0.1678	+6.94%	0.1786	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.162165	0.155624	-4.03%	0.157895	-2.63%	0.0942	✗	1.30
2026-06-20	oos	0.1601	0.153413	-4.18%	0.16549	+3.37%	0.1606	✗	1.23
2026-06-19	oos	0.1357	0.130461	-3.86%	0.1664	+22.62%	0.3103	✗	1.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.10642	0.106082	-0.32%	0.149765	+40.73%	0.4029	✗	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.112555	0.111735	-0.73%	0.1521	+35.13%	0.3692	✗	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.114125	0.113013	-0.97%	0.16124	+41.28%	0.4063	✗	1.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.11853	0.117036	-1.26%	0.156905	+32.38%	0.3326	✗	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.109245	0.108572	-0.62%	0.162165	+48.44%	0.4430	✗	1.09
2026-06-13	oos	0.105045	0.104673	-0.35%	0.1601	+52.41%	0.4285	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.103575	0.10335	-0.22%	0.1357	+31.02%	0.2734	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.10421	0.104024	-0.18%	0.10642	+2.12%	0.0344	✗	1.07
2026-06-10	oos	0.0975	0.098282	+0.80%	0.112555	+15.44%	0.0854	✓	1.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.101115	0.101763	+0.64%	0.114125	+12.87%	0.0498	✓	1.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.1019	0.102288	+0.38%	0.11853	+16.32%	0.0945	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.0992	0.099887	+0.69%	0.109245	+10.13%	0.0502	✓	1.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.0983	0.099748	+1.47%	0.105045	+6.86%	0.0095	✓	1.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.1041	0.105286	+1.14%	0.103575	-0.50%	0.0596	✗	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.1215	0.12067	-0.68%	0.10421	-14.23%	0.1430	✓	0.96
2026-06-03	oos	0.1327	0.13114	-1.18%	0.0975	-26.53%	0.2584	✓	0.92
2026-06-02	oos	0.13	0.128249	-1.35%	0.101115	-22.22%	0.1612	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.1322	0.12999	-1.67%	0.1019	-22.92%	0.1170	✓	1.03
2026-05-31	oos	0.1291	0.127021	-1.61%	0.0992	-23.16%	0.0838	✓	1.09
2026-05-30	oos	0.127	0.125191	-1.42%	0.0983	-22.60%	0.0446	✓	1.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.12515	0.123523	-1.30%	0.1041	-16.82%	0.0175	✗	1.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.1275	0.12571	-1.40%	0.1215	-4.71%	0.1106	✗	1.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.13255	0.130399	-1.62%	0.1327	+0.11%	0.1667	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.136	0.133404	-1.91%	0.13	-4.41%	0.1031	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.1323	0.13036	-1.47%	0.1322	-0.08%	0.0929	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.1323	0.130393	-1.44%	0.1291	-2.42%	0.0346	✗	0.99
2026-05-23	oos	0.1383	0.135999	-1.66%	0.127	-8.17%	0.0291	✓	1.03
2026-05-22	oos	0.13665	0.134545	-1.54%	0.12515	-8.42%	0.0435	✓	1.03
2026-05-21	oos	0.1478	0.144933	-1.94%	0.1275	-13.73%	0.0745	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.14585	0.143135	-1.86%	0.13255	-9.12%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.1409	0.138747	-1.53%	0.136	-3.48%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1438	0.141439	-1.64%	0.1323	-8.00%	0.0708	✓	1.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.1436	0.141288	-1.61%	0.1323	-7.87%	0.0601	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1471	0.144566	-1.72%	0.1383	-5.98%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1533	0.150457	-1.85%	0.13665	-10.86%	0.0492	✓	1.01
2026-05-14	oos	0.16025	0.157172	-1.92%	0.1478	-7.77%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1536	0.150787	-1.83%	0.14585	-5.05%	0.0100	✓	1.01
2026-05-12	oos	0.17095	0.167182	-2.20%	0.1409	-17.58%	0.1255	✓	0.96
2026-05-11	oos	0.1787	0.174716	-2.23%	0.1438	-19.53%	0.1384	✓	0.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.1787	0.174878	-2.14%	0.1436	-19.64%	0.1410	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.1799	0.175672	-2.35%	0.1471	-18.23%	0.1473	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.1814	0.176898	-2.48%	0.1533	-15.49%	0.1300	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.1734	0.169476	-2.26%	0.16025	-7.58%	0.0682	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.16795	0.164735	-1.91%	0.1536	-8.54%	0.0452	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.1666	0.163414	-1.91%	0.17095	+2.61%	0.0499	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.1678	0.16424	-2.12%	0.1787	+6.50%	0.0629	✗	0.92
2026-05-03	oos	0.1622	0.158689	-2.16%	0.1787	+10.17%	0.0775	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.1645	0.161353	-1.91%	0.1799	+9.36%	0.0860	✗	0.92
2026-05-01	oos	0.1595	0.156793	-1.70%	0.1814	+13.73%	0.1232	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.1549	0.152423	-1.60%	0.1734	+11.94%	0.0850	✗	0.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.1522	0.149969	-1.47%	0.16795	+10.35%	0.0461	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.1531	0.150972	-1.39%	0.1666	+8.82%	0.0455	✗	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.1546	0.152643	-1.27%	0.1678	+8.54%	0.0659	✗	0.91
2026-04-26	oos	0.1622	0.160043	-1.33%	0.1622	+0.00%	0.0147	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.1564	0.15449	-1.22%	0.1645	+5.18%	0.0508	✗	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.163	0.16068	-1.42%	0.1595	-2.15%	0.0166	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.1759	0.172748	-1.79%	0.1549	-11.94%	0.0854	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.18475	0.179671	-2.75%	0.1522	-17.62%	0.1364	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.1801	0.175727	-2.43%	0.1531	-14.99%	0.1375	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.14705	0.145505	-1.05%	0.1546	+5.13%	0.0427	✗	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.1406	0.139322	-0.91%	0.1622	+15.36%	0.0923	✗	0.94
2026-04-18	oos	0.14645	0.145524	-0.63%	0.1564	+6.79%	0.0487	✗	0.94
2026-04-17	oos	0.1514	0.150466	-0.62%	0.163	+7.66%	0.0757	✗	0.93
2026-04-16	oos	0.1517	0.150313	-0.91%	0.1759	+15.95%	0.1192	✗	0.94
2026-04-15	oos	0.141	0.140239	-0.54%	0.18475	+31.03%	0.2345	✗	0.93
2026-04-14	oos	0.1345	0.134012	-0.36%	0.1801	+33.90%	0.2687	✗	0.93
2026-04-13	oos	0.1398	0.139221	-0.41%	0.14705	+5.19%	0.0372	✗	0.93
2026-04-12	oos	0.1314	0.130784	-0.47%	0.1406	+7.00%	0.0330	✗	0.93
2026-04-11	oos	0.1431	0.141697	-0.98%	0.14645	+2.34%	0.0006	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.1364	0.135777	-0.46%	0.1514	+11.00%	0.0592	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.13315	0.132589	-0.42%	0.1517	+13.93%	0.0931	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.1326	0.131997	-0.45%	0.141	+6.33%	0.0193	✗	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.1428	0.141421	-0.97%	0.1345	-5.81%	0.0782	✓	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.1347	0.133414	-0.95%	0.1398	+3.79%	0.0231	✓	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.1287	0.127651	-0.82%	0.1314	+2.10%	0.0066	✓	0.89
2026-04-04	oos	0.1271	0.126116	-0.77%	0.1431	+12.59%	0.0516	✗	0.90
2026-04-03	oos	0.1282	0.126992	-0.94%	0.1364	+6.40%	0.0064	✓	0.90
2026-04-02	oos	0.1287	0.127473	-0.95%	0.13315	+3.46%	0.0203	✓	0.90
2026-04-01	oos	0.1348	0.133157	-1.22%	0.1326	-1.63%	0.0431	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.1343	0.13277	-1.14%	0.1428	+6.33%	0.0245	✗	0.92
2026-03-30	oos	0.1353	0.133971	-0.98%	0.1347	-0.44%	0.0234	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.132	0.13106	-0.71%	0.1287	-2.50%	0.0598	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.1404	0.138999	-1.00%	0.1271	-9.47%	0.1029	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.15035	0.147947	-1.60%	0.1282	-14.73%	0.1516	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.1362	0.134951	-0.92%	0.1287	-5.51%	0.0205	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1438	0.142255	-1.07%	0.1348	-6.26%	0.0094	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1359	0.134816	-0.80%	0.1343	-1.18%	0.0283	✗	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.14015	0.138942	-0.86%	0.1353	-3.46%	0.0314	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1415	0.140414	-0.77%	0.132	-6.71%	0.0338	✓	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.149	0.14738	-1.09%	0.1404	-5.77%	0.0107	✓	0.99
2026-03-20	oos	0.1528	0.150967	-1.20%	0.15035	-1.60%	0.0559	✗	0.99
2026-03-19	oos	0.1542	0.152221	-1.28%	0.1362	-11.67%	0.0947	✓	1.00
2026-03-18	oos	0.156	0.153798	-1.41%	0.1438	-7.82%	0.0680	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.1648	0.162409	-1.45%	0.1359	-17.54%	0.1309	✓	1.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.1716	0.168839	-1.61%	0.14015	-18.33%	0.1301	✓	1.02
2026-03-15	oos	0.1623	0.159795	-1.54%	0.1415	-12.82%	0.0501	✓	1.01
2026-03-14	oos	0.1645	0.161819	-1.63%	0.149	-9.42%	0.0491	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.1699	0.16656	-1.97%	0.1528	-10.06%	0.0797	✓	1.03
2026-03-12	oos	0.1603	0.157808	-1.55%	0.1542	-3.81%	0.0142	✓	1.02
2026-03-11	oos	0.1621	0.15961	-1.54%	0.156	-3.76%	0.0379	✓	1.02
2026-03-10	oos	0.1587	0.156703	-1.26%	0.1648	+3.84%	0.0055	✓	1.01
2026-03-09	oos	0.158	0.156483	-0.96%	0.1716	+8.61%	0.0003	✓	1.02
2026-03-08	oos	0.155	0.154305	-0.45%	0.1623	+4.71%	0.0502	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.1602	0.159273	-0.58%	0.1645	+2.68%	0.0260	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.1708	0.169473	-0.78%	0.1699	-0.53%	0.0386	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.17205	0.170592	-0.85%	0.1603	-6.83%	0.0571	✓	1.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.1771	0.17553	-0.89%	0.1621	-8.47%	0.0440	✓	1.03
2026-03-03	oos	0.1729	0.172095	-0.47%	0.1587	-8.21%	0.1057	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.1774	0.176417	-0.55%	0.158	-10.94%	0.1042	✓	1.05
2026-03-01	oos	0.1789	0.178674	-0.13%	0.155	-13.36%	0.1455	✓	1.10
2026-02-28	oos	0.1838	0.183208	-0.32%	0.1602	-12.84%	0.1390	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.1825	0.182409	-0.05%	0.1708	-6.41%	0.1032	✓	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.1848	0.184234	-0.31%	0.17205	-6.90%	0.1234	✓	1.12
2026-02-25	oos	0.1859	0.185437	-0.25%	0.1771	-4.73%	0.1208	✓	1.12
2026-02-24	oos	0.181	0.182072	+0.59%	0.1729	-4.48%	0.1264	✗	1.16
2026-02-23	oos	0.1834	0.184798	+0.76%	0.1774	-3.27%	0.1119	✗	1.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.1999	0.199355	-0.27%	0.1789	-10.51%	0.0779	✓	1.09
2026-02-21	oos	0.2101	0.208677	-0.68%	0.1838	-12.52%	0.1107	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.2132	0.211299	-0.89%	0.1825	-14.40%	0.1121	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.2146	0.213205	-0.65%	0.1848	-13.89%	0.1514	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.2079	0.207306	-0.29%	0.1859	-10.58%	0.1345	✓	1.09
2026-02-17	oos	0.2246	0.222317	-1.02%	0.181	-19.41%	0.1477	✓	1.12
2026-02-16	oos	0.22215	0.220128	-0.91%	0.1834	-17.44%	0.1099	✓	1.15
2026-02-15	oos	0.2167	0.215005	-0.78%	0.1999	-7.75%	0.0531	✓	1.15
2026-02-14	oos	0.2296	0.226568	-1.32%	0.2101	-8.49%	0.0448	✓	1.15
2026-02-13	oos	0.2222	0.220053	-0.97%	0.2132	-4.05%	0.0178	✓	1.15
2026-02-12	oos	0.2114	0.210968	-0.20%	0.2146	+1.51%	0.0041	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.2095	0.209064	-0.21%	0.2079	-0.76%	0.0038	✗	1.04
2026-02-10	oos	0.2094	0.208664	-0.35%	0.2246	+7.26%	0.0944	✗	1.06
2026-02-09	oos	0.213	0.21167	-0.62%	0.22215	+4.30%	0.0671	✗	1.05
2026-02-08	oos	0.2119	0.210518	-0.65%	0.2167	+2.27%	0.0505	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.2196	0.217698	-0.87%	0.2296	+4.55%	0.0451	✗	1.04
2026-02-06	oos	0.2177	0.215466	-1.03%	0.2222	+2.07%	0.0560	✗	1.02
2026-02-05	oos	0.1972	0.200654	+1.75%	0.2114	+7.20%	0.0041	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.22765	0.224448	-1.41%	0.2095	-7.97%	0.0299	✗	1.16
2026-02-03	oos	0.23515	0.230584	-1.94%	0.2094	-10.95%	0.0145	✓	1.17
2026-02-02	oos	0.2402	0.234475	-2.38%	0.213	-11.32%	0.0420	✗	1.20
2026-02-01	oos	0.2286	0.224338	-1.86%	0.2119	-7.31%	0.0455	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.2326	0.227753	-2.08%	0.2196	-5.59%	0.1165	✗	1.20
2026-01-30	oos	0.2533	0.246265	-2.78%	0.2177	-14.05%	0.0845	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.2629	0.255367	-2.87%	0.1972	-24.99%	0.0909	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.2686	0.260749	-2.92%	0.22765	-15.25%	0.1060	✗	1.21
2026-01-27	oos	0.2708	0.262815	-2.95%	0.23515	-13.16%	0.0838	✗	1.19
2026-01-26	oos	0.2391	0.233111	-2.50%	0.2402	+0.46%	0.1624	✗	1.15
2026-01-25	oos	0.24365	0.237386	-2.57%	0.2286	-6.18%	0.0991	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.2692	0.261222	-2.96%	0.2326	-13.60%	0.0230	✓	1.12
2026-01-23	oos	0.2704	0.261924	-3.13%	0.2533	-6.32%	0.0350	✗	1.11
2026-01-22	oos	0.2684	0.259627	-3.27%	0.2629	-2.05%	0.0751	✗	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.276	0.266632	-3.39%	0.2686	-2.68%	0.0098	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.2557	0.248221	-2.92%	0.2708	+5.91%	0.0773	✗	1.07
2026-01-19	oos	0.286	0.276729	-3.24%	0.2391	-16.40%	0.0984	✓	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.2962	0.286268	-3.35%	0.24365	-17.74%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.2857	0.27686	-3.09%	0.2692	-5.78%	0.0387	✗	1.02
2026-01-16	oos	0.315	0.301632	-4.24%	0.2704	-14.16%	0.0432	✓	1.01
2026-01-15	oos	0.2512	0.244305	-2.74%	0.2684	+6.85%	0.1608	✗	1.01
2026-01-14	oos	0.2669	0.259609	-2.73%	0.276	+3.41%	0.1423	✗	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.27	0.262195	-2.89%	0.2557	-5.30%	0.0524	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.2555	0.247413	-3.17%	0.286	+11.94%	0.1303	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.2624	0.253845	-3.26%	0.2962	+12.88%	0.1248	✗	0.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.2505	0.242776	-3.08%	0.2857	+14.05%	0.1131	✗	0.97
2026-01-09	oos	0.2652	0.256558	-3.26%	0.315	+18.78%	0.1530	✗	0.97
2026-01-08	oos	0.2732	0.264348	-3.24%	0.2512	-8.05%	0.0985	✓	0.97
2026-01-07	oos	0.2711	0.263178	-2.92%	0.2669	-1.55%	0.0446	✓	0.97
2026-01-06	oos	0.2852	0.277039	-2.86%	0.27	-5.33%	0.0426	✓	0.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.292	0.283147	-3.03%	0.2555	-12.50%	0.0750	✓	0.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.2783	0.270168	-2.92%	0.2624	-5.71%	0.0228	✓	0.93
2026-01-03	oos	0.2846	0.275761	-3.11%	0.2505	-11.98%	0.0938	✓	0.94
2026-01-02	oos	0.2823	0.272686	-3.41%	0.2652	-6.06%	0.0336	✓	0.94
2026-01-01	oos	0.2637	0.256786	-2.62%	0.2732	+3.60%	0.0389	✗	0.90
2025-12-31	oos	0.2514	0.24579	-2.23%	0.2711	+7.84%	0.0608	✗	0.88
2025-12-30	oos	0.2556	0.249825	-2.26%	0.2852	+11.58%	0.0810	✗	0.88
2025-12-29	oos	0.2542	0.248839	-2.11%	0.292	+14.87%	0.0943	✗	0.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.2559	0.250544	-2.09%	0.2783	+8.75%	0.0695	✗	0.88
2025-12-27	oos	0.2562	0.251112	-1.99%	0.2846	+11.09%	0.0977	✗	0.88
2025-12-26	oos	0.2508	0.246182	-1.84%	0.2823	+12.56%	0.1107	✗	0.87
2025-12-25	oos	0.2399	0.236899	-1.25%	0.2637	+9.92%	0.0918	✗	0.86
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.240268	-1.25%	0.2514	+3.33%	0.0464	✗	0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.2395	0.237049	-1.02%	0.2556	+6.72%	0.0659	✗	0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.2455	0.242367	-1.28%	0.2542	+3.54%	0.0618	✗	0.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.2415	0.239182	-0.96%	0.2559	+5.96%	0.0749	✗	0.85
2025-12-20	oos	0.2338	0.232466	-0.57%	0.2562	+9.58%	0.1022	✗	0.84
2025-12-19	oos	0.2195	0.219515	+0.01%	0.2508	+14.26%	0.1408	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.208	0.210145	+1.03%	0.2399	+15.34%	0.1170	✓	0.78
2025-12-17	oos	0.2219	0.222926	+0.46%	0.2433	+9.64%	0.0751	✓	0.77
2025-12-16	oos	0.2455	0.244456	-0.43%	0.2395	-2.44%	0.0169	✓	0.73
2025-12-15	oos	0.2413	0.241141	-0.07%	0.2455	+1.74%	0.0004	✓	0.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.2389	0.238377	-0.22%	0.2415	+1.09%	0.0091	✗	0.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.2591	0.256861	-0.86%	0.2338	-9.76%	0.0789	✓	0.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.2586	0.256318	-0.88%	0.2195	-15.12%	0.1379	✓	0.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.265	0.262012	-1.13%	0.208	-21.51%	0.1748	✓	0.70
2025-12-10	oos	0.2906	0.286732	-1.33%	0.2219	-23.64%	0.2084	✓	0.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.3209	0.315779	-1.60%	0.2455	-23.50%	0.2130	✓	0.72
2025-12-08	oos	0.3238	0.318658	-1.59%	0.2413	-25.48%	0.2427	✓	0.74
2025-12-07	oos	0.3252	0.320033	-1.59%	0.2389	-26.54%	0.2739	✓	0.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.3261	0.32112	-1.53%	0.2591	-20.55%	0.2228	✓	0.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.3232	0.318338	-1.50%	0.2586	-19.99%	0.2155	✓	0.74
2025-12-04	oos	0.3359	0.32991	-1.78%	0.265	-21.11%	0.2226	✓	0.73
2025-12-03	oos	0.326	0.32031	-1.75%	0.2906	-10.86%	0.0858	✓	0.75
2025-12-02	oos	0.3233	0.317785	-1.71%	0.3209	-0.74%	0.0015	✓	0.75
2025-12-01	oos	0.299	0.296399	-0.87%	0.3238	+8.29%	0.0585	✗	0.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.3245	0.319467	-1.55%	0.3252	+0.22%	0.0176	✗	0.51
2025-11-29	oos	0.3338	0.328112	-1.70%	0.3261	-2.31%	0.0027	✓	0.51
2025-11-28	oos	0.3244	0.318904	-1.69%	0.3232	-0.37%	0.0220	✗	0.50
2025-11-27	oos	0.3494	0.341991	-2.12%	0.3359	-3.86%	0.0222	✓	0.50
2025-11-26	oos	0.3366	0.330431	-1.83%	0.326	-3.15%	0.0287	✓	0.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.3447	0.338935	-1.67%	0.3233	-6.21%	0.0714	✓	0.54
2025-11-24	oos	0.30815	0.304767	-1.10%	0.299	-2.97%	0.0061	✓	0.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.284	0.283272	-0.26%	0.3245	+14.26%	0.1183	✗	0.44
2025-11-22	oos	0.2968	0.297017	+0.07%	0.3338	+12.47%	0.0801	✓	0.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.3199	0.31908	-0.26%	0.3244	+1.41%	0.0498	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.3305	0.328946	-0.47%	0.3494	+5.72%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.373	0.366493	-1.74%	0.3366	-9.76%	0.0742	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.4208	0.409915	-2.59%	0.3447	-18.08%	0.1112	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.4043	0.396444	-1.94%	0.30815	-23.78%	0.2094	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.4342	0.423586	-2.44%	0.284	-34.59%	0.3182	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.4311	0.420219	-2.52%	0.2968	-31.15%	0.2270	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.4591	0.444859	-3.10%	0.3199	-30.32%	0.2246	✓	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.4211	0.408807	-2.92%	0.3305	-21.52%	0.0719	✓	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.4632	0.443748	-4.20%	0.373	-19.47%	0.0682	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.4332	0.417747	-3.57%	0.4208	-2.86%	0.1104	✗	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.3909	0.379065	-3.03%	0.4043	+3.43%	0.2048	✗	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3523	0.344368	-2.25%	0.4342	+23.25%	0.3376	✗	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.3654	0.357807	-2.08%	0.4311	+17.98%	0.2545	✗	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.3836	0.374083	-2.48%	0.4591	+19.68%	0.2936	✗	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.3544	0.348294	-1.72%	0.4211	+18.82%	0.2065	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3667	0.358717	-2.18%	0.4632	+26.32%	0.2773	✗	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.3522	0.346722	-1.56%	0.4332	+23.00%	0.2076	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3589	0.351494	-2.06%	0.3909	+8.92%	0.1117	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.4039	0.393364	-2.61%	0.3523	-12.78%	0.0560	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4405	0.428602	-2.70%	0.3654	-17.05%	0.0863	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.1504	0.150836	+0.29%	–	pending	–	–	-1.49
2025-03-13	in	0.1504	0.151901	+1.00%	–	pending	–	–	-1.56
2025-03-12	in	0.2152	0.21318	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	-1.90
2025-03-11	in	0.2021	0.201915	-0.09%	–	pending	–	–	-1.92
2025-03-10	in	0.2911	0.285076	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	-1.28
2025-03-09	in	0.539	0.482778	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	-1.74
2025-03-08	in	0.1749	0.175513	+0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2025-03-07	in	0.2203	0.217501	-1.27%	0.1504	-31.73%	0.3561	✓	0.39
2025-03-06	in	0.2163	0.214266	-0.94%	0.1504	-30.47%	0.3080	✓	0.44
2025-03-02	in	0.2357	0.233346	-1.00%	0.539	+128.68%	0.8918	✗	0.35
2025-02-28	in	0.2236	0.223504	-0.04%	0.2203	-1.48%	0.0247	✓	0.36
2025-02-27	in	0.2237	0.224058	+0.16%	0.2163	-3.31%	0.0573	✗	0.36
2025-02-26	in	0.2358	0.235842	+0.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-24	in	0.2306	0.229522	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2025-02-20	in	0.269	0.265956	-1.13%	0.2237	-16.84%	0.1440	✓	0.19
2025-02-17	in	0.2305	0.228535	-0.85%	0.2306	+0.04%	0.0180	✗	0.20
2025-02-16	in	0.2488	0.244723	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-15	in	0.2178	0.217644	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-14	in	0.2622	0.260939	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-13	in	0.262	0.260654	-0.51%	0.269	+2.67%	0.0272	✗	0.25
2025-02-12	in	0.2635	0.261904	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2025-02-11	in	0.2235	0.223266	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2025-02-09	in	0.2656	0.264592	-0.38%	0.2488	-6.33%	0.0610	✓	0.14
2025-02-07	in	0.2947	0.292197	-0.85%	0.2622	-11.03%	0.1108	✓	0.24
2025-02-06	in	0.2796	0.277637	-0.70%	0.262	-6.29%	0.0581	✓	0.25
2025-02-05	in	0.2741	0.272537	-0.57%	0.2635	-3.87%	0.0369	✓	0.25
2025-02-03	in	0.3005	0.298747	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-02	in	0.2933	0.29249	-0.28%	0.2656	-9.44%	0.0926	✓	0.31
2025-02-01	in	0.3298	0.328038	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2025-01-31	in	0.3449	0.342692	-0.64%	0.2947	-14.55%	0.1372	✓	0.23
2025-01-30	in	0.3276	0.325493	-0.64%	0.2796	-14.65%	0.1306	✓	0.26
2025-01-29	in	0.3277	0.323107	-1.40%	0.2741	-16.36%	0.1460	✓	0.26
2025-01-28	in	0.3246	0.322674	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2025-01-27	in	0.2782	0.277253	-0.34%	0.3005	+8.02%	0.0823	✗	0.31
2025-01-26	in	0.287	0.286855	-0.05%	0.2933	+2.20%	0.0395	✗	0.35
2025-01-24	in	0.2781	0.278435	+0.12%	0.3449	+24.02%	0.2223	✓	0.35
2025-01-23	in	0.3231	0.322736	-0.11%	0.3276	+1.39%	0.0122	✗	0.36
2025-01-22	in	0.3872	0.385826	-0.35%	0.3277	-15.37%	0.1636	✓	0.35
2025-01-21	in	0.3045	0.304169	-0.11%	0.3246	+6.60%	0.0873	✗	0.48
2025-01-20	in	0.3486	0.347689	-0.26%	0.2782	-20.20%	0.2225	✓	0.56
2025-01-19	in	0.3346	0.33293	-0.50%	0.287	-14.23%	0.1558	✓	0.55
2025-01-18	in	0.3351	0.334279	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2025-01-17	in	0.3974	0.394959	-0.61%	0.2781	-30.02%	0.3545	✓	0.52
2025-01-16	in	0.3835	0.380886	-0.68%	0.3231	-15.75%	0.1839	✓	0.50
2025-01-15	in	0.4014	0.395097	-1.57%	0.3872	-3.54%	0.0350	✓	0.48

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.