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2022-08-01 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1396
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.4%
in alpha space · 44.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.728814-5.90%0.6064-21.70%0.2107✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0901-4.36%0.9875-13.36%0.1368✓1.65205k2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,122.12-4.21%11,448.81-1.40%0.0032✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.797773-4.00%0.841+1.20%0.0185✓1.493,6872022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.0001007-3.90%0.00009929-5.25%0.0588✓1.94592k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.4983-3.65%21.84+13.75%0.1462✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.427-3.56%30.04+5.63%0.0590✗1.39641k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.144943-2.98%0.1526+2.14%0.0260✓1.11698k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.081737-2.91%0.08557+1.64%0.0149✓1.3429k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035779-2.77%0.03513-4.54%0.0534✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.1143-2.71%8.259-0.97%0.0110✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0505-2.55%1.1739+8.90%0.0874✗1.0313k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.7988-2.44%6.031+22.61%0.2158✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.298438-2.44%0.3126+2.19%0.0205✓1.12300k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040294-2.44%0.0454+9.93%0.0911✗1.2371k2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6693-2.42%5.71-1.72%0.0069✓0.61732k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.188079-2.30%0.19653+2.09%0.0093✓2.311,2222022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2099-2.29%3.4773+5.85%0.0595✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.933442-2.26%0.944-1.15%0.0295✓1.77513k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.841849-2.22%0.898+4.30%0.0249✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.8225-2.22%10.19+27.37%0.2329✗1.37263k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.5814-2.22%8.73-0.52%0.0073✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.078724-2.21%0.11272+40.02%0.3244✗1.50773k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46101.2148-2.17%128.79+24.48%0.2176✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8828-2.11%3.2115+9.05%0.0902✗0.77978k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5276-2.08%1.55-0.64%0.0096✓0.22268k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.173914-2.08%0.1804+1.58%0.0077✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5312-2.05%4.095+13.59%0.1083✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3987-2.01%5.62-13.94%0.1440✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.529307-2.00%0.561+3.87%0.0256✗1.41234k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9693-1.99%5.02-0.99%0.0062✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3682-1.98%2.498+3.39%0.0209✗1.41177k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.344-1.93%2.74+14.64%0.1315✗1.07301k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.3871-1.89%6.92+6.30%0.0479✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.168935-1.78%0.1759+2.27%0.0117✓1.25491k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.283-1.78%1.4281+9.33%0.0725✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7811-1.76%4.125+7.17%0.0734✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023217-1.71%0.023579-0.18%0.0070✓0.989,6292022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.510589-1.62%0.553+6.55%0.0534✗1.1513k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8129-1.61%3.0082+5.22%0.0311✗1.5612k2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.2303-1.61%8.791+5.09%0.0337✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.479334-1.60%0.48293-0.86%0.0106✓0.7863k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019679-1.59%0.018974-5.12%0.0483✓0.51165k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.340031-1.58%0.36941+6.92%0.0526✗1.3112k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4884-1.56%1.899+25.60%0.1980✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.20735-1.54%0.2677+27.11%0.2242✗1.361,6972022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.463878-1.51%0.4659-1.08%0.0295✓1.47273k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.05067-1.51%0.052476+2.00%0.0077✓1.1938k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.7033-1.49%8.84-10.25%0.1052✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.0575-1.43%62.01+5.28%0.0338✗1.3932k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.5498-1.42%7.314+10.08%0.0705✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.050965-1.40%0.05269+1.93%0.0125✓0.9015k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2841-1.38%3.05-8.41%0.0852✓0.4994k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7713-1.32%2.06+14.76%0.1363✗0.64189k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.084708-1.27%0.0896+4.43%0.0291✗1.18137k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1841-1.25%1.1648-2.87%0.0418✓1.1010k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.9469-1.24%19.4666+28.63%0.2371✗1.1868k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066579-1.22%0.0737+9.35%0.0796✗0.96229k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8316-1.17%3.99+2.91%0.0202✗0.88754k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.2781-1.16%11.817+13.64%0.1079✗1.3714.4M2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5895.4722-1.15%102.58+6.21%0.0336✗1.6610.2M2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002401-1.14%0.00224-7.78%0.0925✓1.001.8M2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9994-1.12%2.141+5.89%0.0390✗1.28637k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0329-1.10%6.04-0.98%0.0141✓0.66623k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.703841-1.09%0.69895-1.77%0.0418✓1.5188k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8696-1.08%2.058+8.89%0.0632✗1.42234k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031695-1.08%0.0332+3.62%0.0178✗1.2414k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9156-1.07%2.9-1.59%0.0382✓1.4349k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.1366-1.01%11.72+4.18%0.0231✗1.21243k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.50e-7-1.00%0.000001+4.17%0.0278✗1.0025k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.6731-0.99%38.06+8.68%0.0607✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.3726-0.92%27.92+18.36%0.1410✗1.6027.5M2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0691-0.91%1.2133+12.46%0.0940✗1.411.4M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017738-0.90%0.01763-1.51%0.0241✓0.78229k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8986-0.90%4.04+2.69%0.0191✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0222-0.90%1.0662+3.36%0.0152✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7029-0.88%1.875+9.14%0.0629✗1.45327k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.326-0.87%4.707+7.86%0.0710✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.14257-0.86%0.1447+0.63%0.0147✓1.2859k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.091582-0.84%0.08629-6.57%0.0651✓0.241.1M2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.786474-0.82%0.894+12.74%0.0998✗1.23218k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0713-0.80%1.084+0.37%0.0044✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115271-0.80%0.1199+3.18%0.0095✗1.30472k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.0671-0.80%16.74+18.05%0.1416✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,617.87-0.79%1,777.36+8.99%0.0651✗1.26387.0M2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078355-0.79%0.08965+13.51%0.1178✗0.731,1722022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.274823-0.79%0.2733-1.34%0.0303✓1.0867k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001088-0.78%0.001192+8.77%0.0623✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4093-0.76%1.56+9.86%0.0685✗1.441.1M2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5176-0.74%8.607+13.64%0.1062✗1.2616.9M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.7716-0.71%64.6+0.58%0.0144✓1.18354k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.27e-7-0.67%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0071✗0.96178k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.333825-0.65%0.3474+3.39%0.0126✗1.183.1M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.422-0.59%45.63+35.72%0.2666✗1.94229k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045921-0.56%0.04665+1.02%0.0064✓0.962,3002022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.3405-0.55%62.317+2.70%0.0128✗0.85345k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.260443-0.52%0.2614-0.15%0.0034✓0.0128k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.494083-0.51%0.5796+16.71%0.1339✗1.1247k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056947-0.50%0.05725+0.03%0.0085✓0.6022k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052938-0.49%0.0543+2.07%0.0034✓1.25269k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4168-0.43%1.438+1.05%0.0144✓1.272.5M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.623-0.43%1.85+13.50%0.0994✗1.37114k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.060943-0.42%0.068+11.11%0.0796✗1.30799k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.36126-0.41%0.363104+0.09%0.0248✓1.301.0M2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021472-0.41%0.029+34.51%0.2768✗1.03159k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.93506-0.40%1.1662+24.22%0.2003✗0.903.2M2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8488-0.39%3.02+5.59%0.0234✗1.52192k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009344-0.38%0.00911-2.88%0.0544✓1.26359k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5687-0.38%1.6087+2.16%0.0079✓1.44589k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7865-0.37%2.9975+7.18%0.0505✗0.981.0M2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9492-0.36%3.052+3.11%0.0085✗1.12619k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.417957-0.34%0.42996+2.52%0.0004✓1.21118k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.5456-0.30%42.2+1.27%0.0157✓1.3681.1M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.01018-0.30%0.01044+2.25%0.0031✗0.974.7M2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5583-0.26%2.889+12.63%0.0812✗1.7595k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3197-0.25%1.351+2.12%0.0051✓1.241.2M2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.618276-0.21%0.6657+7.44%0.0473✗1.16642k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.77044-0.20%0.835+8.16%0.0578✗0.99377k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8167-0.17%1.894+4.07%0.0126✗1.26492k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.262706-0.15%0.2624-0.27%0.0294✓1.23101k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0252.023-0.10%3.023+49.28%0.3724✗1.27415k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011959-0.09%0.00001229+2.67%0.0011✓1.23986k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.12064-0.05%0.1267+4.97%0.0244✗1.07352k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.265612-0.03%0.2624-1.24%0.0381✓1.13768k2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.154112+0.01%0.1674+8.63%0.0599✓0.993.5M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.207313+0.15%0.2282+10.24%0.0639✓1.401,1792022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2716+0.15%2.385+5.15%0.0203✓1.2329k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.647035+0.16%0.697+7.89%0.0421✓1.4088k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003261+0.16%0.003433+5.44%0.0279✓1.021.0M2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.9819+0.18%167.1+3.99%0.0117✓1.111.3M2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123836+0.19%0.1491+20.63%0.1539✓1.382.8M2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.9177+0.21%18.67+4.42%0.0101✓1.351.3M2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1557+0.23%4.1656+0.47%0.0228✗1.0939k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006666+0.24%0.0063-5.26%0.0689✗0.5438k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004794+0.30%0.00474-0.84%0.0416✗1.32112k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.030102+0.31%0.03333+11.06%0.0718✓1.311,2932022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0218+0.32%1.0843+6.46%0.0374✓0.9660k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.02+0.37%1.0855+6.81%0.0318✓1.32525k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.231586+0.38%0.2285-0.95%0.0475✗1.4897k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.414491+0.41%0.42203+2.24%0.0141✗1.39583k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.126015+0.41%0.1317+4.94%0.0213✓0.994,9522022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060472+0.45%0.0607+0.83%0.0285✗1.40339k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.515347+0.50%0.5372+4.76%0.0128✓1.2541.9M2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.325516+0.53%0.5111+57.84%0.4248✓1.1576k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4491+0.58%2.626+7.84%0.0486✓0.92105k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,431.77+0.68%23,815.65+2.33%0.0068✗1.00414.2M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064539+0.69%0.1545+141.03%0.8542✓0.81155k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,332.95+0.69%23,846.60+2.91%0.0008✓0.9814k2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003776+0.70%0.00377+0.53%0.0317✗1.31559k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.77e-7+0.71%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0058✓0.836.4M2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045467+0.72%0.00004589+1.66%0.0174✗1.161.9M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2552+0.74%1.2304-1.25%0.0445✗1.0643k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.1668+0.84%0.17585+6.31%0.0173✓1.54212k2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.337844+0.85%0.339+1.19%0.0203✗1.03959k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.34531+0.85%0.3629+5.99%0.0235✓1.147.7M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7531.0192+0.88%31.49+2.41%0.0068✓0.9510.2M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4760.0326+0.95%62.61+5.28%0.0154✓1.1613.6M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.3337+0.96%19.15+5.45%0.0120✓1.37116k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.16631+0.98%0.163-1.03%0.0487✗1.2494k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048778+0.99%0.0517+7.04%0.0272✓1.347,6872022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.223249+1.02%0.23+4.07%0.0051✓1.51821k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.2439+1.04%4.8-7.51%0.0933✗0.21210k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.2655+1.04%9.276+13.40%0.0868✓1.2410.0M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.065537+1.14%0.062-4.32%0.0886✗1.44154k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.428772+1.15%0.4704+10.97%0.0621✓1.33127k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.789477+1.21%0.79+1.28%0.0133✗0.6179k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015205+1.25%0.016131+7.42%0.0389✓0.881.6M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.467877+1.43%0.5085+10.23%0.0546✓1.25778k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.120007+1.44%0.130156+10.02%0.0583✓0.996.8M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7550.4668+1.44%56.22+13.01%0.0825✓1.11574k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87139.9011+1.47%143.54+4.11%0.0017✓1.194.3M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4837+1.52%4.9055+11.07%0.0731✓0.73916k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.071093+1.60%0.070047+0.11%0.0327✗0.78373k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.743721+1.74%0.767+4.92%0.0035✓1.4980k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008576+1.85%0.00837-0.59%0.0453✗0.911.6M2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8764.1328+2.01%77.53+23.32%0.1609✓1.251.5M2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.070262+2.24%0.070056+1.94%0.0293✗1.151.7M2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.316295+2.32%0.33107+7.10%0.0188✓1.17398k2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001738+2.42%0.001764+3.95%0.0087✓1.0211k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.745932+2.60%0.774+6.46%0.0090✓1.21806k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006488+2.65%0.006716+6.25%0.0137✓0.909,1592022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.072688+3.10%0.0826+17.16%0.1031✓1.08567k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.098288+3.35%0.1038+9.15%0.0268✓1.216,7862022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.3086+3.47%10.767+8.07%0.0186✓1.082.1M2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.57998+4.05%0.6088+9.22%0.0223✓1.14341k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.