8=======>

2022-06-15 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0060
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.1%
in alpha space · 21.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.025062-0.67%0.02377-5.79%0.1818✗1.9240.1M2022-06-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.518-0.06%1.563+2.90%0.2134✗1.51879k2022-06-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47755.4549-0.04%61.895+11.57%0.2183✗0.891.2M2022-06-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.071997-0.00%0.0609-15.42%0.0115✗1.46410k2022-06-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.051336+0.20%0.05289+3.23%0.1184✓0.7367k2022-06-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.7835+0.27%2.386-14.05%0.0057✓1.311.1M2022-06-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.361992+0.38%0.36639+1.60%0.1706✓1.30105k2022-06-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5863+0.40%1.71+8.23%0.1578✓0.68166k2022-06-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.790083+0.78%0.765-2.42%0.1666✓1.633.2M2022-06-22
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.4495+0.78%4.977+12.73%0.2773✓1.353.2M2022-06-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.6144+0.83%6.39-2.59%0.0256✓0.492.1M2022-06-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.016399+0.84%0.017121+5.28%0.1158✓0.60469k2022-06-22
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.5282+0.85%4.86+8.24%0.2811✓1.721.7M2022-06-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5786+0.89%2.475-3.17%0.0829✓1.0163k2022-06-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.929336+0.90%0.83608-9.23%0.0649✓1.40789k2022-06-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.5101+0.94%1.397-6.62%0.1070✓1.515.5M2022-06-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.066116+0.94%0.0542-17.25%0.0052✓1.59141k2022-06-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.091174+0.97%0.0726-19.60%0.0491✗1.46354k2022-06-22
BANDBandEthereum1.571.5857+1.00%1.366-12.99%0.0430✓1.57374k2022-06-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.060401+1.01%0.0505-15.55%0.0020✓1.481.7M2022-06-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.145881+1.03%0.1178-18.42%0.0933✗0.99256k2022-06-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3951+1.03%6.616-9.62%0.0492✓1.3140.5M2022-06-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.727454+1.04%0.67-6.94%0.0955✓1.46195k2022-06-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.823995+1.10%0.774-5.03%0.0597✓1.001.7M2022-06-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.2457+1.16%2.11-4.95%0.0512✓0.933.4M2022-06-22
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.540553+1.17%0.4589-14.11%0.0109✓1.4365.8M2022-06-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.674936+1.24%0.8371+25.56%0.3636✓1.212.8M2022-06-22
PROPropyEthereum0.910.9217+1.29%0.87-4.40%0.0351✓0.76187k2022-06-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0532+1.31%1.8171-10.34%0.0447✓1.3768k2022-06-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0664+1.34%2.908-3.90%0.0533✓0.871.9M2022-06-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.671+1.36%2.5053-4.93%0.0718✓1.113.1M2022-06-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.4616+1.36%2.4267-0.07%0.2143✓1.8717k2022-06-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.243329+1.39%0.236-1.67%0.1830✓1.751.3M2022-06-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.130414+1.41%0.1225-4.74%0.0588✓0.993.3M2022-06-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.054903+1.45%0.05045-6.78%0.1146✓1.632.0M2022-06-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.05012+1.46%0.0446-9.72%0.0724✓1.5520k2022-06-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.1398+1.47%4.04-0.98%0.0616✓0.701.7M2022-06-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.312+1.47%3.081-5.61%0.0151✓0.724.4M2022-06-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99475.0684+1.47%5.8136+16.40%0.1695✓0.26235k2022-06-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.558114+1.48%0.5-9.09%0.0600✓1.39771k2022-06-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.6173+1.49%7.384-13.04%0.0063✓1.3213.5M2022-06-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.104334+1.59%0.0919-10.52%0.0246✓1.24852k2022-06-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.100071+1.59%0.0881-10.56%0.0593✓1.531.2M2022-06-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.345382+1.61%0.3136-7.74%0.0556✓1.2514.6M2022-06-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.181584+1.67%0.1831+2.52%0.1564✓1.213,0802022-06-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.010027+1.69%0.00932-5.48%0.0580✓1.0712.1M2022-06-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.319705+1.70%0.293-6.80%0.0969✓1.5114k2022-06-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.045506+1.73%0.04676+4.54%0.1648✓1.1314k2022-06-22
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.3615+1.75%13.84-13.93%0.0104✓1.4665k2022-06-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.123163+1.77%0.112877-6.73%0.0467✓1.1010.7M2022-06-22
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.14051+1.82%0.1206-12.61%0.0248✓1.454.4M2022-06-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.291102+1.82%0.2842-0.59%0.1333✓1.296.1M2022-06-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.4748+1.84%2.37-2.47%0.1726✓1.77304k2022-06-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.5322+1.85%4.4-1.12%0.0578✓0.721.6M2022-06-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.984.0536+1.85%3.55-10.80%0.0636✗0.572.1M2022-06-22
QTUMQtumQtum2.95663.0114+1.85%2.7336-7.54%0.0501✓1.2041k2022-06-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2163.2778+1.92%2.725-15.27%0.1210✗0.524.5M2022-06-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.980924+1.97%0.758-21.21%0.0077✓2.0529.5M2022-06-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6629+2.02%1.48-9.20%0.0348✓1.24270k2022-06-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.042026+2.05%0.04219+2.45%0.1417✓1.132,9602022-06-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.9924+2.07%5.514-6.08%0.0827✓1.362.6M2022-06-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.3118+2.09%1.437+11.83%0.2744✓1.5079k2022-06-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9866.1121+2.11%5.447-9.00%0.0613✓1.4411.1M2022-06-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.000895506+2.11%0.000767-12.54%0.0170✓1.412.0M2022-06-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.110182+2.12%0.1023-5.19%0.0638✓1.137,2892022-06-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.169236+2.13%0.1482-10.56%0.0463✓1.47917k2022-06-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.01962+2.14%0.01586-17.44%0.1285✗0.69631k2022-06-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.534+2.14%3.19-7.80%0.0081✓0.771.7M2022-06-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.1339+2.15%1.19+7.21%0.2436✓1.601.1M2022-06-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.4232+2.16%2.319-2.23%0.1391✓1.50104k2022-06-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.493732+2.22%0.463-4.14%0.1151✓1.47116k2022-06-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.5703+2.22%1.3099-14.73%0.0234✗1.292.0M2022-06-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.064112+2.23%0.061566-1.83%0.1143✓1.271.3M2022-06-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.705562+2.26%0.606-12.17%0.0159✓1.38578k2022-06-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.9349+2.26%2.55-11.15%0.0038✓1.12663k2022-06-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7916.1486+2.27%13.98-11.46%0.0339✓1.462.4M2022-06-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.8255+2.29%3.636-2.78%0.0346✓0.707.0M2022-06-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.4884+2.30%7.047-3.73%0.1023✓1.3415.2M2022-06-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.009997+2.32%0.00951-2.66%0.0789✓1.051.5M2022-06-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.9994+2.32%2.964+51.69%0.6143✓1.812.9M2022-06-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.9628+2.33%4.5-7.22%0.0782✓1.44405k2022-06-22
FTTFTXEthereum25.5626.1595+2.35%25.18-1.49%0.0747✓0.929.4M2022-06-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.007198+2.37%0.006945-1.22%0.0626✓0.81167k2022-06-22
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.901602+2.38%0.793151-9.93%0.0063✓1.10120k2022-06-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.312.5983+2.43%10.91-11.30%0.0653✓1.71333k2022-06-22
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.5641+2.44%1.3432-12.03%0.0106✓1.33914k2022-06-22
GTGateEthereum4.40014.509+2.48%4.0753-7.38%0.0208✓0.662.1M2022-06-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.428397+2.49%0.448+7.18%0.2430✓1.624,1942022-06-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.354627+2.49%0.33-4.62%0.0744✓1.2015k2022-06-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.137657+2.50%0.1337-0.45%0.1451✓1.43169k2022-06-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.280914+2.51%0.270138-1.42%0.1421✓1.482.4M2022-06-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.028757+2.52%0.02917+3.99%0.1858✓1.4018k2022-06-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003315+2.52%0.00274-15.25%0.0423✗1.214,5492022-06-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.007058+2.57%0.005947-13.58%0.0401✗1.072,5562022-06-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8883+2.58%1.7619-4.29%0.0438✓0.933.2M2022-06-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.105352+2.58%0.0924-10.03%0.0140✓1.19733k2022-06-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.248572+2.59%0.2371-2.15%0.1146✓1.3231k2022-06-22
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.064632+2.59%0.062991-0.01%0.0964✓1.00756k2022-06-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3323,155.13+2.63%19,968.46-11.50%0.0259✗1.00602.3M2022-06-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0287+2.64%1.0404+3.80%0.1636✓1.2549k2022-06-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.0728+2.72%1.776-11.99%0.0385✓1.5897k2022-06-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.222807+2.72%0.2296+5.86%0.1785✓1.22100k2022-06-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.5748+2.73%8.49-8.91%0.0863✓1.692.7M2022-06-22
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.53e-7+2.76%7.70e-7-7.23%0.0064✓0.895.5M2022-06-22
QNTQuantEthereum50.852.2042+2.76%52.28+2.91%0.1218✓0.992.0M2022-06-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.219827+2.77%0.2137-0.09%0.1472✓1.44472k2022-06-22
SOLSolanaSolana34.7235.6872+2.79%34.1-1.79%0.1269✓1.41107.4M2022-06-22
KSMKusamaHydration58.2659.8844+2.79%51.87-10.97%0.0074✓1.241.0M2022-06-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.480762+2.81%0.5232+11.89%0.3276✓1.993.5M2022-06-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.110422+2.81%0.082-23.65%0.1376✗1.314,0262022-06-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.63781+2.87%0.42-32.26%0.2845✗1.0956k2022-06-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.5123+2.88%1.35-8.16%0.0875✓1.65596k2022-06-22
XECeCashnative0.000040390.000041553+2.88%0.00003694-8.54%0.0499✓1.373.0M2022-06-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.423781+2.88%0.376-8.72%0.0690✓1.54160k2022-06-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.926027+2.89%0.602-33.11%0.2101✗1.81319k2022-06-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.115321+2.97%0.1046-6.61%0.0819✓1.475.4M2022-06-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0815+2.99%0.73856-29.67%0.2828✗0.816242022-06-22
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.431118+3.03%0.37412-10.59%0.0601✗0.67276k2022-06-22
STXStacksnative0.36490.376074+3.06%0.3795+4.00%0.1739✓1.35165k2022-06-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.7298+3.07%7.94-6.26%0.0335✓1.05283k2022-06-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9131.8366+3.08%112.6-11.96%0.0123✓1.194.4M2022-06-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6352.1977+3.10%52.07+2.84%0.1445✓1.2017.5M2022-06-22
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.202708+3.16%0.2187+11.30%0.2353✓1.31629k2022-06-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.8703+3.17%16.06-12.19%0.0204✓1.4949.3M2022-06-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.0000091+3.17%0.00000966+9.52%0.2154✓1.28850k2022-06-22
DASHDashDash45.8647.3218+3.19%45.07-1.72%0.0916✓1.15837k2022-06-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003151+3.21%0.002535-16.97%0.0740✗1.172.1M2022-06-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.051395+3.27%0.04824-3.07%0.1057✓1.3870k2022-06-22
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.042872+3.29%0.040606-2.17%0.1102✓1.3529k2022-06-22
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.2986+3.31%3.975-4.47%0.1576✓1.9317.0M2022-06-22
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.5548+3.35%10.8704-27.77%0.1939✗1.35222k2022-06-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.02049+3.36%0.02105+6.19%0.1808✓1.269,2752022-06-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.413068+3.38%0.61535+54.00%0.5890✓1.5663k2022-06-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.650374+3.40%0.686+9.06%0.1826✓1.06372k2022-06-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.007166+3.41%0.0064-7.65%0.0188✓1.08582k2022-06-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.146849+3.44%0.13181-7.15%0.0936✓1.65260k2022-06-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-74.00e-7+3.44%3.14e-7-18.68%0.1391✗0.831.1M2022-06-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.3562+3.45%1.185-9.61%0.0766✓1.73231k2022-06-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.91212+3.52%0.95479+8.36%0.2049✓1.305,7412022-06-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,280.01+3.52%1,048.96-15.16%0.0639✗1.11365.6M2022-06-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.112365+3.56%0.1121+3.32%0.1773✓1.4749k2022-06-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4023,348.77+3.58%19,947.30-11.51%0.0368✗0.9929k2022-06-22
XVGVergenative0.003310.003429+3.61%0.00309-6.65%0.0760✓1.48648k2022-06-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.27773+3.63%0.263-1.87%0.0813✓1.11890k2022-06-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8816.4628+3.67%15.18-4.41%0.0782✓1.302.6M2022-06-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.262656+3.70%0.26926+6.31%0.1889✓1.34453k2022-06-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.03163+3.71%0.0277-9.18%0.0328✓1.36247k2022-06-22
ZECZcashZcash68.5771.1496+3.76%63.11-7.96%0.0465✓1.363.6M2022-06-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.039643+3.78%0.0359-6.02%0.0762✓1.44374k2022-06-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.066645+3.81%0.0522-18.69%0.1494✗0.78313k2022-06-22
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.003945+3.82%0.00383+0.79%0.1622✓1.57228k2022-06-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.8022+4.04%7.87-6.97%0.0305✓1.17508k2022-06-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.000064511+4.15%0.00005646-8.85%0.1641✓2.431.7M2022-06-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.013039+4.16%0.012055-3.71%0.0335✓0.922.0M2022-06-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9611.0019+4.25%0.936-2.60%0.0541✓1.001.6M2022-06-22
HIVEHivenative0.37880.394976+4.27%0.3821+0.87%0.1448✓1.461.2M2022-06-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.710249+4.30%0.729+7.05%0.2494✓1.831.8M2022-06-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.792865+4.32%0.49-35.53%0.3482✗1.0971k2022-06-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.193584+4.36%0.1708-7.92%0.0551✓1.48196k2022-06-22
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5969.5394+4.43%61.89-7.06%0.0881✓1.687.7M2022-06-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.061091+4.43%0.0605+3.42%0.1382✓1.21139k2022-06-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.021749+4.46%0.02012-3.36%0.0560✓1.10149k2022-06-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.823416+4.49%0.648-17.77%0.0994✗1.151.0M2022-06-22
KCSKuCoinnative11.83212.3745+4.58%10.437-11.79%0.0344✓1.115.3M2022-06-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.065959+4.63%0.05098-19.13%0.1355✗1.001,7292022-06-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,595.82+4.64%4,972.79-7.01%0.0405✓1.303.7M2022-06-22
XMRMoneroMonero118.21123.7315+4.67%110.94-6.15%0.0304✓1.141.7M2022-06-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.806965+5.07%0.698-9.11%0.0252✓1.395.0M2022-06-22
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5237.5469+5.71%40.06+12.78%0.2437✓1.4728k2022-06-22
FLOWFlownative1.6721.7677+5.72%1.448-13.40%0.0774✗1.00580k2022-06-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.335629+6.21%0.293-7.28%0.0640✓1.64407k2022-06-22
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.636508+7.52%0.462-21.96%0.1983✗1.006.5M2022-06-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.