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2022-06-09 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0954
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.3%
in alpha space · 59.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3331.2179-8.63%0.822-38.33%0.4867✗2.264.0M2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9061.766-7.35%1.31-31.27%0.3429✗1.655.0M2022-06-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000075060.000071066-5.32%0.000058-22.73%1.1418✗3.452.4M2022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.45041.3759-5.14%0.91995-36.57%0.1083✓0.764,7612022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6853.5313-4.17%2.909-21.06%0.0652✗0.663.4M2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9343.7768-4.00%3.078-21.76%0.1251✗0.852.1M2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9920.954425-3.79%0.593-40.22%0.4083✗2.272.1M2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.854.6681-3.75%3.57-26.39%0.0361✓0.781.9M2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum10.965729-3.43%0.86-14.00%0.1894✗0.78186k2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0960.092802-3.33%0.0558-41.88%0.0130✓1.27396k2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.658-3.24%3.6-25.22%0.0356✗0.756.4M2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2670.25846-3.20%0.212-20.60%0.5862✗2.011.3M2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.684890.663047-3.19%0.49666-27.48%0.5848✗2.243.0M2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25710.2493-3.03%0.1854-27.89%0.2902✗1.50585k2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.681.6301-2.97%1.47-12.50%0.2739✗0.97153k2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.052495-2.97%0.0345-36.23%0.1629✗1.50443k2022-06-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2931.2547-2.96%0.833-35.58%0.0199✓1.001.3M2022-06-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070830.068821-2.84%0.06111-13.72%0.2709✗1.001,4072022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8122.7349-2.74%1.699-39.58%0.2279✗1.81108k2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89641.8466-2.63%1.3599-28.29%0.2205✗1.352.2M2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.009730.009475-2.62%0.00623-35.97%0.0242✓1.142,4432022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.27421.2416-2.56%0.84123-33.98%0.0937✗1.246,7502022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.33182.2721-2.56%1.7294-25.83%0.1471✗1.083.6M2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.059960.058436-2.54%0.04577-23.67%0.2107✗1.1716k2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2161.1871-2.38%0.667-45.15%0.1552✓1.081.1M2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.314.2076-2.38%3.11-27.84%0.0661✗0.951.5M2022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.1383.0663-2.29%2.2619-27.92%0.5298✗2.1415k2022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.18020.176179-2.23%0.1219-32.35%0.3013✗1.722.9M2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.067.8943-2.06%6.05-24.94%0.0232✓0.621.9M2022-06-16
FLOWFlownative2.3862.3377-2.02%1.391-41.70%0.1295✓1.00608k2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0693.989-1.97%2.845-30.08%0.0420✗0.971.8M2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9830.964422-1.89%0.685-30.32%0.4216✗1.962.7M2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.914.8175-1.88%3.86-21.38%0.1211✗0.881.1M2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065980.064743-1.88%0.04718-28.49%0.5248✗2.162.2M2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3927730.385545-1.84%0.261084-33.53%0.2112✗1.542.3M2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.893545-1.81%0.62-31.87%0.3247✗1.77232k2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.6111.5836-1.70%1.284-20.30%0.4717✗1.75826k2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05980.058789-1.69%0.043-28.09%0.4205✗1.8830k2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0564870.055548-1.66%0.0501-11.31%0.2204✗0.8374k2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29650.291595-1.65%0.2052-30.79%0.1677✗1.33105k2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0277020.027269-1.56%0.018988-31.46%0.1058✗1.2011k2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59552.5584-1.43%2.1202-18.31%0.2484✗1.123.6M2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02420.023855-1.43%0.01773-26.74%0.0450✓0.65608k2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.052561-1.39%0.03838-27.99%0.1100✗1.094,6802022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15440.152341-1.33%0.085-44.95%0.0982✗1.753,4822022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7175.6415-1.32%3.372-41.02%0.3512✗2.2218.8M2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum2.0131.9867-1.31%1.348-33.04%0.2997✗1.76342k2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum76.9115-1.26%4.34-38.00%0.1502✗1.58427k2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9221.8979-1.25%1.23-36.00%0.3169✗1.93291k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6942.6635-1.13%1.743-35.30%0.3744✗2.053.0M2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0807680.079869-1.11%0.058994-26.96%0.0547✗0.92715k2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.393460.389161-1.09%0.27575-29.92%0.2678✗1.5717k2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.65.5408-1.06%4.04-27.86%0.0126✗0.841.7M2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86455.2761-1.05%50.901-8.88%0.3289✗1.061.1M2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159690.015814-0.97%0.014896-6.72%0.2481✗0.79268k2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.8912.7649-0.97%10.81-16.14%0.6389✗2.07252k2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011670.011559-0.95%0.00889-23.82%0.3918✗1.6814.5M2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.1499-0.92%1.52-29.95%0.1650✗1.31268k2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.5111.4049-0.91%8.02-30.32%0.4409✗2.042.9M2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.476634-0.91%0.324-32.64%0.1231✗1.3116k2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0792810.078586-0.88%0.055166-30.42%0.1471✗1.291.5M2022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5550.550188-0.87%0.381-31.35%0.3368✗1.814,8372022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42725.3805-0.86%5.0538-6.88%0.0649✗0.33265k2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17310.171679-0.82%0.1237-28.54%0.0672✗1.01278k2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0273.0025-0.81%2.344-22.56%0.1815✗1.1072k2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.73212.7103-0.80%1.7941-34.33%0.1659✗1.4868k2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.163.135-0.79%2.29-27.53%0.4983✗2.08294k2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10210.10134-0.74%0.0817-19.98%0.5363✗1.93445k2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.373340.37057-0.74%0.24344-34.79%0.1721✗1.52493k2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08210.0815-0.73%0.052-36.66%0.0608✗1.31159k2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.844047-0.58%0.785-7.54%0.4156✗1.251.9M2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero185.9184.9448-0.51%106.33-42.80%0.1065✓1.152.1M2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.07663.0611-0.50%2.3926-22.23%0.3323✗1.483.8M2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative15.98915.9154-0.46%11.087-30.66%0.0601✗1.086.5M2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1398290.139192-0.46%0.10905-22.01%0.2243✗1.2010.7M2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.63210.629493-0.41%0.4756-24.76%0.3606✗1.6449.8M2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.723.705-0.40%2.57-30.91%0.0674✗1.11686k2022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum28.5428.426-0.40%23.28-18.43%0.1928✗1.019.6M2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.13130.130803-0.38%0.0869-33.82%0.2810✗1.771.2M2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027140.027044-0.36%0.01905-29.81%0.0690✗1.08156k2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.02053-0.34%0.02059-0.05%0.9858✗2.5238.7M2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.321.3157-0.33%0.6-54.55%0.3340✓1.1671k2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.269.2324-0.30%6.352-31.40%0.2188✗1.5232.1M2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.22620.225544-0.29%0.1448-35.99%0.1712✗1.58696k2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum5.49955.4837-0.29%3.9508-28.16%0.0960✓0.593.4M2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos2.2232.2167-0.28%1.355-39.05%0.0460✗1.38928k2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0147860.01475-0.24%0.011964-19.09%0.2727✗1.242.1M2022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.511060.509949-0.22%0.37966-25.71%0.0339✓0.67240k2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000051540.000051437-0.20%0.00003702-28.17%0.2791✗1.563.3M2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62160.620427-0.19%0.6143-1.17%0.5664✗1.482.9M2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.34971.3477-0.15%0.954432-29.29%0.1659✗1.3149k2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum3.9093.9035-0.14%2.6461-32.31%0.1274✗1.3239k2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14790.147732-0.11%0.1134-23.33%0.4141✗1.743.5M2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.40410.403751-0.09%0.3018-25.32%0.2684✗1.4414.6M2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004670.004666-0.09%0.003262-30.15%0.1589✗1.335,7382022-06-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.03590.035876-0.07%0.0289-19.50%0.0895✓0.33138k2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8010.800613-0.05%0.574-28.34%0.1409✗1.22372k2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51150.511304-0.04%0.362-29.23%0.3544✗1.80159k2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8195-0.03%1.27-30.22%0.4119✗1.98603k2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration66.3966.3833-0.01%49.2-25.89%0.2245✗1.341.1M2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,079.6230,078.06-0.01%20,372.00-32.27%0.0001✓1.00602.3M2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011860.001186-0.00%0.000783-33.98%0.2560✗1.721.8M2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.674032+0.00%0.5-25.82%0.3980✓1.79886k2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.54430.544477+0.03%0.345-36.62%0.1241✓1.491.6M2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15580.155873+0.05%0.1016-34.79%0.1872✓1.5855k2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392760.39299+0.06%0.32127-18.20%0.3711✓1.47111k2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4913+0.09%0.96-35.57%0.2493✓1.771.3M2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34630.346627+0.09%0.2551-26.34%0.2693✓1.486.3M2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,087.8030,117.85+0.10%20,300.70-32.53%0.0146✗0.9752k2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1995.2047+0.11%3.829-26.35%0.2784✓1.502.6M2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08950.089601+0.11%0.0581-35.08%0.1592✗0.70313k2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum63.1263.1997+0.13%44.42-29.63%0.1236✓1.222.1M2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.11950.119695+0.16%0.0922-22.85%0.3260✓1.51913k2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.069085+0.17%0.04558-33.91%0.1053✓1.3463k2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037780.037844+0.17%0.02555-32.37%0.2167✓1.5618k2022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.99e-75.00e-7+0.18%3.34e-7-33.08%0.0223✗0.98877k2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,787.551,790.89+0.19%1,066.87-40.32%0.0862✗1.11340.5M2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9862.992+0.20%2.64-11.59%0.4406✓1.451.3M2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190430.190863+0.23%0.12518-34.26%0.3098✓1.88276k2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3819.4272+0.24%13.61-29.77%0.3149✓1.722.6M2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8612.868+0.25%1.978-30.86%0.3113✓1.75227k2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07340.073581+0.25%0.0526-28.34%0.3750✓1.821.7M2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001050.000001053+0.28%7.60e-7-27.62%0.0311✓0.926.4M2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.995.004+0.28%4.05-18.84%0.5737✓2.021.6M2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28180.282606+0.29%0.1959-30.48%0.2131✓1.49330k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038313+0.30%0.0275-28.01%0.3187✓1.67269k2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80.80246+0.31%0.48-40.00%0.0456✗1.2070k2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29750.298483+0.33%0.158-46.89%0.1073✗1.36268k2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.1101+0.33%7.13-40.93%0.0312✗1.28536k2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.2247.249+0.35%5.302-26.61%0.3101✓1.602.6M2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0619.1261+0.35%13.48-29.28%0.3279✓1.7472k2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.560830.562793+0.35%0.42782-23.72%0.3918✓1.7163k2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18170.182373+0.37%0.124-31.76%0.2315✓1.58183k2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum55.3955.5962+0.37%30.16-45.55%0.0038✓1.5829k2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.611.6434+0.37%7.91-31.81%0.0343✓1.08289k2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.4124.5077+0.40%15.77-35.40%0.2258✓1.7152.5M2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2289.2657+0.41%7.11-22.95%0.3457✓1.5713.5M2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008510.008548+0.44%0.006722-21.01%0.1090✓0.90184k2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2691.2746+0.44%0.807-36.41%0.3690✓2.12369k2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7768.8166+0.46%6.329-27.88%0.2721✓1.5515.2M2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.53780.540319+0.47%0.3286-38.90%0.0461✓1.39165k2022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971280.97605+0.49%0.80833-16.78%0.5417✓1.87838k2022-06-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4550.457342+0.51%0.278-38.90%0.2527✓1.93627k2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash175.48176.4068+0.53%109.37-37.67%0.0195✓1.284.5M2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.0498610.050129+0.54%0.038032-23.72%0.3491✓1.6045k2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14770.148495+0.54%0.0973-34.12%0.2699✓1.786.0M2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.011120.01118+0.54%0.00877-21.13%0.2221✓1.191.5M2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.1421.2572+0.55%13.82-34.63%0.1041✓1.372.7M2022-06-16
DASHDashDash57.6657.9884+0.57%41.86-27.40%0.1919✓1.33862k2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase20.157820.281+0.61%12.9736-35.64%0.1779✓1.60229k2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase1.16511.1722+0.61%0.798118-31.50%0.1535✓1.38144k2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6220.625902+0.63%0.425-31.67%0.2756✓1.70123k2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7211.7322+0.65%1.105-35.79%0.2231✓1.7376k2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.317754+0.65%0.2314-26.70%0.2802✓1.5331k2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana39.9340.1949+0.66%30.1-24.62%0.3460✓1.63112.7M2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005350.005386+0.68%0.00341-36.26%0.2292✓1.76239k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash92.1192.7476+0.69%58.94-36.01%0.1028✓1.434.0M2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1760.5953+0.71%44.74-25.64%0.2190✓1.3417.9M2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum95.7296.4645+0.78%56.51-40.96%0.1897✓1.868.2M2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8290.835457+0.78%0.593-28.47%0.3707✓1.83604k2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.004320.004354+0.78%0.00286-33.80%0.2248✓1.66705k2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.07590.076508+0.80%0.0552-27.27%0.4837✓2.08142k2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12780.128854+0.82%0.0928-27.39%0.1996✓1.35842k2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004210.004247+0.89%0.002801-33.47%0.0705✓1.252.1M2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008720.008811+1.04%0.00641-26.49%0.1439✓1.19698k2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010560.000010674+1.08%0.00000795-24.72%0.2864✓1.49861k2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3560.359888+1.09%0.253-28.93%0.1399✓1.26932k2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3996.4706+1.12%5.311-17.00%0.5011✓1.7910.9M2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1461.1589+1.13%0.664-42.06%0.0068✓1.455.2M2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,472.657,558.09+1.14%4,598.44-38.46%0.0138✓1.313.8M2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12530.126739+1.15%0.1049-16.28%0.3181✓1.309,7902022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17170.174079+1.39%0.1494-12.99%0.4760✓1.612,3482022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.