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2022-06-08 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2257
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.1%
in alpha space · 49.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000047470.000050908+7.24%0.00006194+30.48%1.1971✓3.442.4M2022-06-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010580.000010818+2.25%0.00000882-16.64%0.2292✓1.49898k2022-06-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.4924.9078+1.71%18.29-25.32%0.1887✓1.7153.9M2022-06-15
SOLSolanaSolana38.7939.4419+1.68%34.72-10.49%0.3463✓1.63114.5M2022-06-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,431.857,556.45+1.68%5,347.81-28.04%0.0353✓1.313.9M2022-06-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4560.463387+1.62%0.316-30.70%0.1765✓1.92627k2022-06-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60190.611376+1.57%0.6667+10.77%0.5175✓1.482.9M2022-06-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12770.129604+1.49%0.1079-15.51%0.1948✓1.3011k2022-06-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152210.015444+1.46%0.012519-17.75%0.1491✓1.232.2M2022-06-15
KSMKusamaHydration66.1667.1058+1.43%58.26-11.94%0.2493✓1.341.2M2022-06-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.6811.84+1.37%8.47-27.48%0.0220✗1.08307k2022-06-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7538.8727+1.37%7.32-16.37%0.2574✓1.5515.2M2022-06-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3462.1552+1.33%50.63-17.46%0.1827✓1.3318.2M2022-06-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6571.679+1.33%1.285-22.45%0.2344✓1.7379k2022-06-15
XVGVergenative0.004840.004904+1.32%0.00331-31.61%0.0888✓1.66705k2022-06-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1490.150951+1.31%0.112-24.83%0.2178✓1.786.2M2022-06-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9959.1118+1.30%8.491-5.60%0.3817✓1.5613.7M2022-06-15
QNTQuantEthereum64.3465.1527+1.26%50.8-21.04%0.1067✓1.222.1M2022-06-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1581.1725+1.25%0.768-33.68%0.0019✓1.455.5M2022-06-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.850334+1.23%0.69-17.86%0.3229✓1.83622k2022-06-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06920.070043+1.22%0.0598-13.58%0.3729✓1.831.7M2022-06-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.4561.4731+1.17%1.519+4.33%0.5416✓1.76826k2022-06-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32090.324661+1.17%0.2423-24.49%0.1492✓1.5232k2022-06-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020620.020853+1.13%0.02523+22.36%0.9226✓2.5240.1M2022-06-15
FTTFTXEthereum28.128.4151+1.12%25.56-9.04%0.1861✓1.009.6M2022-06-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3490.352768+1.08%0.268-23.21%0.0901✓1.25969k2022-06-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.011130.011249+1.07%0.00977-12.22%0.2068✓1.201.6M2022-06-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.3221.5447+1.05%15.88-25.52%0.0932✓1.372.9M2022-06-15
SCSiacoinnative0.005540.005598+1.05%0.0038-31.41%0.1244✓1.76249k2022-06-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.978090.988354+1.05%0.92106-5.83%0.4740✓1.87865k2022-06-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.368680.372513+1.04%0.25328-31.30%0.0562✓1.52520k2022-06-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6180.624188+1.00%0.483-21.84%0.2373✓1.70135k2022-06-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80.807622+0.95%0.62-22.50%0.0842✓1.2075k2022-06-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00430.004341+0.95%0.003053-29.00%0.0122✓1.252.1M2022-06-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.07490.075609+0.95%0.0655-12.55%0.4598✓2.07146k2022-06-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3112.4239+0.92%8.46-31.28%0.0109✗1.28541k2022-06-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8142.84+0.92%2.372-15.71%0.3292✓1.75256k2022-06-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008720.008801+0.92%0.00693-20.53%0.1044✓1.18805k2022-06-15
BANDBandEthereum1.6661.6814+0.92%1.57-5.76%0.4436✓1.76342k2022-06-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.4619.6377+0.91%15.79-18.86%0.2817✓1.722.8M2022-06-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8363+0.89%1.47-19.23%0.3545✓1.98636k2022-06-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.1787.2418+0.89%5.871-18.21%0.2548✓1.602.7M2022-06-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.19170.193384+0.88%0.14196-25.95%0.2364✓1.88289k2022-06-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001060.000001069+0.87%8.30e-7-21.70%0.0131✓0.926.6M2022-06-15
COMPCompoundEthereum55.9456.4059+0.83%35.52-36.50%0.0040✓1.5831k2022-06-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5026.5541+0.80%5.986-7.94%0.4306✓1.7910.9M2022-06-15
MOVRMoonriverBase20.365920.5279+0.80%15.0504-26.10%0.1565✓1.61235k2022-06-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0792970.079927+0.79%0.062714-20.91%0.1308✓1.281.5M2022-06-15
DIADIAEthereum0.465660.469265+0.77%0.41844-10.14%0.0786✓0.66233k2022-06-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.261.2694+0.75%0.9-28.57%0.2729✓2.12399k2022-06-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.189574+0.73%0.1343-28.64%0.1153✓1.58191k2022-06-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.572440.576618+0.73%0.39957-30.20%0.1317✓1.7165k2022-06-15
DASHDashDash58.0458.4634+0.73%45.86-20.99%0.1469✓1.34882k2022-06-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15920.160352+0.72%0.1444-9.30%0.1907✓1.02279k2022-06-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00120.001209+0.72%0.000877-26.92%0.1801✓1.721.8M2022-06-15
STXStacksnative0.55040.554241+0.70%0.3649-33.70%0.0091✗1.41180k2022-06-15
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3597.0075+0.68%66.59-30.89%0.1640✓1.868.7M2022-06-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8160.821077+0.62%0.629-22.92%0.0876✓1.22393k2022-06-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.170.171036+0.61%0.1786+5.06%0.5110✓1.612,8762022-06-15
XEMNEMnative0.05010.050403+0.61%0.041506-17.15%0.2724✓1.6050k2022-06-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.291.2978+0.61%0.76-41.09%0.1986✗1.1672k2022-06-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.9662.9833+0.58%2.776-6.41%0.3508✓1.451.3M2022-06-15
ZECZcashZcash96.2996.8386+0.57%68.57-28.79%0.0697✓1.434.1M2022-06-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08970.090202+0.56%0.0642-28.43%0.1355✗0.70323k2022-06-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12820.128863+0.52%0.1027-19.89%0.1664✓1.35880k2022-06-15
NANOnanopayBase1.15341.1592+0.50%0.880603-23.65%0.1254✓1.38144k2022-06-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8340.838012+0.48%0.815-2.28%0.3379✓1.261.9M2022-06-15
ZENHorizenBase19.3519.4405+0.47%16.08-16.90%0.3194✓1.7577k2022-06-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394910.396614+0.43%0.36061-8.69%0.3329✓1.47122k2022-06-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51830.520435+0.41%0.4119-20.53%0.2880✓1.79177k2022-06-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,360.2030,471.00+0.36%22,542.40-25.75%0.0179✗0.9752k2022-06-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,790.721,796.79+0.34%1,236.45-30.95%0.0516✗1.11344.3M2022-06-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash176.62177.2137+0.34%127.9-27.58%0.0443✓1.274.6M2022-06-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41640.41764+0.30%0.3399-18.37%0.2121✓1.4414.9M2022-06-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14560.145984+0.26%0.1286-11.68%0.3803✓1.743.6M2022-06-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34920.35012+0.26%0.2859-18.13%0.2270✓1.486.4M2022-06-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.37421.3778+0.26%1.0023-27.07%0.0634✓1.3151k2022-06-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28860.28922+0.21%0.2139-25.88%0.1295✓1.48384k2022-06-15
HIVEHivenative0.56140.562536+0.20%0.3788-32.53%0.0395✓1.501.6M2022-06-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.27e-75.28e-7+0.19%3.87e-7-26.62%0.0230✗0.99961k2022-06-15
XECeCashnative0.000053520.000053617+0.18%0.00004039-24.53%0.1735✓1.573.4M2022-06-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008490.008504+0.16%0.007031-17.18%0.0712✓0.90200k2022-06-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.924.9251+0.10%4.49-8.74%0.4916✓2.011.6M2022-06-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1399410.140076+0.10%0.121018-13.52%0.2010✓1.1910.7M2022-06-15
XTZTezosTezos2.08632.0879+0.08%1.5269-26.81%0.0887✓1.38928k2022-06-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027610.027631+0.08%0.02082-24.59%0.0291✓1.07162k2022-06-15
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0775.0808+0.07%4.415-13.04%0.2960✓1.502.6M2022-06-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.485.4841+0.07%4.45-18.80%0.0338✓0.831.7M2022-06-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.573.5716+0.04%2.87-19.61%0.1051✓1.11686k2022-06-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,177.0030,170.25-0.02%22,562.33-25.23%0.0002✗1.00621.0M2022-06-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11990.119866-0.03%0.1027-14.35%0.2829✗1.50968k2022-06-15
KCSKuCoinnative15.96815.9634-0.03%11.832-25.90%0.0141✗1.086.6M2022-06-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.35235.3494-0.05%4.9947-6.68%0.0263✗0.33270k2022-06-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4910.490732-0.05%0.346-29.53%0.0293✗1.3016k2022-06-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03810.03807-0.08%0.0305-19.95%0.2637✗1.67269k2022-06-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004550.004545-0.11%0.003233-28.95%0.0444✗1.325,7382022-06-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3811.3625-0.15%9.32-18.10%0.3931✗2.033.3M2022-06-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4977-0.16%1.11-26.00%0.2150✗1.771.4M2022-06-15
ADACardanoCardano0.64050.639357-0.18%0.5343-16.58%0.2986✗1.6449.8M2022-06-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038110.03804-0.18%0.02805-26.40%0.1524✗1.5720k2022-06-15
APEApeCoinEthereum5.75.6892-0.19%4.161-27.00%0.3333✗2.2220.0M2022-06-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6362.6305-0.21%1.954-25.87%0.3002✗2.053.0M2022-06-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05230.052189-0.21%0.0382-26.96%0.1206✗1.49473k2022-06-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6680.66655-0.22%0.55-17.66%0.3279✗1.79934k2022-06-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069140.068984-0.23%0.04977-28.02%0.0622✗1.3463k2022-06-15
QTUMQtumQtum3.92933.9188-0.27%2.9566-24.76%0.1033✗1.3244k2022-06-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6968.6703-0.30%7.32-15.82%0.2723✗1.5232.1M2022-06-15
XMRMoneroMonero186.67186.0848-0.31%118.21-36.67%0.1187✓1.152.2M2022-06-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06860.068383-0.32%0.072+4.96%0.4228✗1.28396k2022-06-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11243.1021-0.33%2.6352-15.33%0.2538✗1.434.1M2022-06-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3060.304961-0.34%0.1855-39.38%0.1035✓1.35276k2022-06-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15880.15826-0.34%0.1085-31.68%0.0827✗1.5868k2022-06-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.2733.2614-0.35%2.556-21.91%0.0744✗1.0972k2022-06-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.65122.641-0.38%2.0265-23.56%0.1682✗1.4968k2022-06-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.683.6651-0.40%3.026-17.77%0.0890✗0.961.6M2022-06-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.113.0969-0.42%2.43-21.86%0.3630✗2.08294k2022-06-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.76.6715-0.42%4.85-27.61%0.1392✗1.58427k2022-06-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.13670.136108-0.43%0.0985-27.94%0.1915✗1.771.2M2022-06-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10250.102049-0.44%0.0903-11.90%0.4389✗1.93451k2022-06-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90.895786-0.47%0.72-20.00%0.2959✗1.77232k2022-06-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05910.058822-0.47%0.0494-16.41%0.3694✗1.8737k2022-06-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.4312.3662-0.51%12.3-1.05%0.5955✗2.07252k2022-06-15
TRXTRONTron0.0805190.080091-0.53%0.062998-21.76%0.0261✗0.92756k2022-06-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0150190.014933-0.57%0.016262+8.28%0.3157✗0.79268k2022-06-15
GTGateEthereum5.52315.4904-0.59%4.4001-20.33%0.0488✓0.593.6M2022-06-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.86956.4583-0.72%55.477-2.45%0.2888✗1.051.1M2022-06-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0091.9944-0.73%1.311-34.74%0.1400✗1.92291k2022-06-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23580.234054-0.74%0.1657-29.73%0.1128✗1.58696k2022-06-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3976310.394486-0.79%0.274033-31.08%0.0843✗1.542.4M2022-06-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011840.011739-0.85%0.00986-16.72%0.3203✗1.7015.2M2022-06-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.28710.284656-0.85%0.2169-24.45%0.1122✗1.32105k2022-06-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0568250.05626-0.99%0.051233-9.84%0.1480✗0.8378k2022-06-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08420.083359-1.00%0.0585-30.52%0.0266✗1.31162k2022-06-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15030.148784-1.01%0.1074-28.54%0.1823✗1.753,4432022-06-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9560.945601-1.09%0.784-17.99%0.3754✗1.942.7M2022-06-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.009920.00981-1.11%0.006882-30.63%0.0261✓1.132,4432022-06-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0279780.027625-1.26%0.019823-29.15%0.0163✗1.2011k2022-06-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.2288-1.38%1.63-27.88%0.0679✗1.31298k2022-06-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.401010.395452-1.39%0.31437-21.61%0.2275✗1.5718k2022-06-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.54352.5077-1.41%2.22-12.72%0.1912✗1.083.5M2022-06-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5550.546832-1.47%0.418-24.68%0.2556✗1.804,8372022-06-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023860.023482-1.58%0.01921-19.49%0.0143✓0.64608k2022-06-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.1013.0513-1.60%2.4285-21.69%0.3938✗2.1415k2022-06-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052710.051863-1.61%0.04118-21.87%0.0865✗1.094,6802022-06-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065990.064912-1.63%0.05412-17.99%0.4458✗2.162.3M2022-06-15
PROPropyEthereum1.010.993386-1.64%0.91-9.90%0.1421✗0.79187k2022-06-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9680.951581-1.70%0.681-29.65%0.3245✗2.272.1M2022-06-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.944.8525-1.77%4.08-17.41%0.0797✗0.871.0M2022-06-15
FLOWFlownative2.3872.3445-1.78%1.672-29.95%0.0472✓1.00623k2022-06-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.26991.2469-1.82%0.88114-30.61%0.0127✓1.246,7502022-06-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.2962.2537-1.84%1.8408-19.83%0.1016✗1.053.5M2022-06-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.674.5794-1.94%3.98-14.78%0.0846✗0.771.7M2022-06-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2081.1836-2.02%0.788-34.77%0.0927✓1.081.2M2022-06-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.270.264462-2.05%0.24-11.11%0.4876✗2.011.4M2022-06-15
STEEMSteemnative0.25440.249048-2.10%0.1965-22.76%0.2003✗1.50585k2022-06-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.2732-2.22%3.46-20.82%0.0605✗0.931.4M2022-06-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.617.4358-2.29%6.56-13.80%0.0549✗0.621.8M2022-06-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.87341.8302-2.30%1.5362-18.00%0.2199✗1.362.3M2022-06-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1850.180716-2.32%0.138-25.41%0.2285✗1.712.9M2022-06-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.061910.060421-2.40%0.04473-27.75%0.0366✗1.1615k2022-06-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2911.2573-2.61%0.961-25.56%0.0220✓1.001.3M2022-06-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.791270.768622-2.86%0.46762-40.90%0.1557✗2.243.0M2022-06-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8812.796-2.95%2.018-29.95%0.1993✗1.81108k2022-06-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.691.6301-3.55%1.496-11.48%0.3942✗1.655.0M2022-06-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7414.5638-3.74%3.74-21.11%0.0071✓0.666.4M2022-06-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.881.8064-3.92%1.58-15.96%0.1488✗0.97152k2022-06-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2461.1972-3.92%0.962-22.79%0.4378✗2.263.4M2022-06-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.46941.4116-3.94%1.0501-28.54%0.0747✓0.764,7612022-06-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7923.635-4.14%3.216-15.19%0.0676✗0.653.0M2022-06-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.13.8645-5.74%3.264-20.39%0.0742✗0.842.0M2022-06-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.