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2022-06-07 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1255
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 46.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000063240.000065209+3.11%0.00006063-4.13%1.0196✓3.202.5M2022-06-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010730.000010969+2.23%0.00000819-23.67%0.2102✓1.47957k2022-06-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.131241+1.74%0.0988-23.41%0.1515✓1.2811k2022-06-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5624.9845+1.73%16.54-32.65%0.1630✓1.6954.6M2022-06-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60690.616918+1.65%0.6004-1.07%0.4734✓1.472.9M2022-06-14
SOLSolanaSolana39.2839.9236+1.64%29.54-24.80%0.2491✓1.61117.0M2022-06-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0149540.015189+1.57%0.012422-16.93%0.2151✓1.222.4M2022-06-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,602.197,721.50+1.57%4,887.88-35.70%0.0123✓1.313.9M2022-06-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.484321+1.53%0.296-37.95%0.1492✓1.88683k2022-06-14
FTTFTXEthereum27.0627.4539+1.46%23.96-11.46%0.2096✓1.019.6M2022-06-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.6611.8297+1.46%8.31-28.73%0.0092✓1.06342k2022-06-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6841.7076+1.40%1.177-30.11%0.2088✓1.7079k2022-06-14
KSMKusamaHydration67.2568.179+1.38%51.18-23.90%0.1698✓1.341.4M2022-06-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06870.069641+1.37%0.058-15.57%0.4302✓1.801.8M2022-06-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.4771.4972+1.37%1.173-20.58%0.3438✓1.72826k2022-06-14
XVGVergenative0.00490.004964+1.32%0.00303-38.16%0.0670✓1.64747k2022-06-14
QNTQuantEthereum64.4565.2947+1.31%47.79-25.85%0.0962✓1.202.2M2022-06-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1879.3038+1.27%6.357-30.80%0.1400✓1.5315.2M2022-06-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2149.3261+1.22%7.349-20.24%0.2847✓1.5313.8M2022-06-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.86738+1.21%0.655-23.57%0.3337✓1.80622k2022-06-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15470.156556+1.20%0.1042-32.64%0.1895✓1.756.4M2022-06-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.7764.5341+1.20%46.1-27.71%0.1099✓1.3118.4M2022-06-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1871.2009+1.17%0.731-38.42%0.0084✓1.435.8M2022-06-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33580.339709+1.16%0.2234-33.47%0.0967✓1.5132k2022-06-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6260.633046+1.13%0.454-27.48%0.2379✓1.67153k2022-06-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7492.7788+1.09%2.061-25.03%0.2956✓1.74263k2022-06-14
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.005711+1.08%0.00359-36.46%0.1272✓1.73259k2022-06-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.5321.7577+1.06%14.59-32.23%0.0632✓1.363.1M2022-06-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.1953+1.04%8.06-33.22%0.0196✓1.27541k2022-06-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3610.364735+1.03%0.26-27.98%0.0877✓1.251.0M2022-06-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.781.798+1.01%1.33-25.28%0.3656✓1.96603k2022-06-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004333+1.01%0.00288-32.87%0.0111✓1.232.1M2022-06-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.375990.379734+1.00%0.24528-34.76%0.0685✓1.48546k2022-06-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.827731+0.94%0.62-24.39%0.1134✓1.1878k2022-06-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.011590.011699+0.94%0.00972-16.13%0.2077✓1.151.6M2022-06-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02111.0306+0.93%0.82109-19.58%0.3988✓1.84918k2022-06-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14960.150983+0.92%0.1366-8.69%0.2438✓1.01286k2022-06-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3227.3877+0.90%5.468-25.32%0.2361✓1.582.7M2022-06-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.6919.864+0.88%14.07-28.54%0.2306✓1.693.0M2022-06-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001080.00000109+0.88%8.10e-7-25.00%0.0103✓0.906.7M2022-06-14
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.7231+0.88%1.453-14.93%0.4250✓1.75342k2022-06-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.07810.078763+0.85%0.0609-22.02%0.4374✓2.04154k2022-06-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.197310.198972+0.84%0.13793-30.09%0.2674✓1.86298k2022-06-14
MOVRMoonriverBase20.159420.3257+0.82%15.1911-24.65%0.2547✓1.60239k2022-06-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.080340.080998+0.82%0.05555-30.86%0.0548✓1.271.5M2022-06-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012380.001248+0.82%0.000824-33.44%0.1643✓1.701.8M2022-06-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009050.009123+0.81%0.00658-27.29%0.0645✓1.15917k2022-06-14
STXStacksnative0.54210.546459+0.80%0.3431-36.71%0.0600✗1.19180k2022-06-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8110.817239+0.77%0.822+1.36%0.4267✓1.231.9M2022-06-14
ZECZcashZcash93.4794.1873+0.77%64.06-31.46%0.0684✓1.334.3M2022-06-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023410.02358+0.73%0.02014-13.97%0.6835✓2.4740.1M2022-06-14
COMPCompoundEthereum57.1257.5311+0.72%34.25-40.04%0.0118✓1.5636k2022-06-14
DASHDashDash58.3358.7383+0.70%43.47-25.48%0.1322✓1.27907k2022-06-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.584970.588977+0.69%0.37199-36.41%0.0969✓1.6368k2022-06-14
DIADIAEthereum0.467930.471133+0.68%0.39753-15.04%0.0557✓0.66215k2022-06-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8286.8739+0.67%5.558-18.60%0.3862✓1.7610.9M2022-06-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2981.3063+0.64%0.867-33.20%0.2957✓2.07399k2022-06-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13060.131402+0.61%0.0982-24.81%0.1639✓1.34951k2022-06-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.0173.035+0.60%2.816-6.66%0.4216✓1.461.3M2022-06-14
AAVEAaveEthereum99.1999.7817+0.60%62.11-37.38%0.1524✓1.848.9M2022-06-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.31.3077+0.59%0.82-36.92%0.0755✗1.1574k2022-06-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392790.395096+0.59%0.29215-25.62%0.1850✓1.43125k2022-06-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8450.849709+0.56%0.593-29.82%0.0404✓1.17423k2022-06-14
XEMNEMnative0.0521310.052404+0.52%0.040001-23.27%0.2666✓1.5754k2022-06-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09050.090953+0.50%0.0643-28.95%0.1009✗0.72323k2022-06-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39890.400873+0.49%0.3083-22.71%0.2272✓1.4414.9M2022-06-14
ZENHorizenBase19.819.8978+0.49%14.65-26.01%0.2680✓1.6878k2022-06-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4650.467033+0.44%0.338-27.31%0.1250✓1.3216k2022-06-14
NANOnanopayBase1.17381.1787+0.42%0.830219-29.27%0.1108✓1.35151k2022-06-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17970.180445+0.41%0.13-27.66%0.2078✓1.572,8762022-06-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.20170.202488+0.39%0.127-37.04%0.0595✓1.54199k2022-06-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.52910.530996+0.36%0.3815-27.90%0.2691✓1.76188k2022-06-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.82.8097+0.35%2.28-18.57%0.5112✓2.11294k2022-06-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.891,817.88+0.33%1,207.58-33.35%0.0342✗1.10363.3M2022-06-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.4369+0.31%4.42-18.45%0.0739✓0.821.7M2022-06-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.38391.3881+0.31%0.963038-30.41%0.0512✓1.2254k2022-06-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35260.353577+0.28%0.2666-24.39%0.2077✓1.446.5M2022-06-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash181.8182.2737+0.26%125.88-30.76%0.0608✓1.264.8M2022-06-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.34e-75.35e-7+0.24%3.77e-7-29.33%0.0025✓1.03961k2022-06-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,177.9031,251.55+0.24%22,084.60-29.17%0.0146✗0.9865k2022-06-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.423.4275+0.22%2.79-18.42%0.1717✓1.11663k2022-06-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.12680.127072+0.21%0.0951-25.00%0.3126✓1.771.2M2022-06-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1402330.14045+0.16%0.112638-19.68%0.1859✓1.1911.2M2022-06-14
XTZTezosTezos2.06792.0709+0.15%1.4566-29.56%0.1143✓1.37928k2022-06-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9521.9544+0.13%1.3-33.40%0.2453✓1.92291k2022-06-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008550.008558+0.09%0.00686-19.77%0.0752✓0.87228k2022-06-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31875.3221+0.06%5.4+1.53%0.1236✓0.32279k2022-06-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.1093.1109+0.06%2.441-21.49%0.1424✓1.1372k2022-06-14
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2115.2135+0.05%3.857-25.98%0.2052✓1.492.6M2022-06-14
ADACardanoCardano0.61360.613733+0.02%0.4828-21.32%0.3192✓1.6449.8M2022-06-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30170.301714+0.00%0.1982-34.31%0.0772✓1.46432k2022-06-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.526.5189-0.02%4.73-27.45%0.2087✗1.55420k2022-06-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028430.028418-0.04%0.0204-28.24%0.0253✗1.05170k2022-06-14
KCSKuCoinnative16.18916.1784-0.07%11.914-26.41%0.0577✗1.076.9M2022-06-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.156797-0.07%0.1259-19.76%0.3687✗1.733.6M2022-06-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00470.004696-0.09%0.0032-31.91%0.0641✗1.316,8092022-06-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,106.9031,072.10-0.11%22,120.25-28.89%0.0011✓1.00656.1M2022-06-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06660.066504-0.14%0.0577-13.36%0.2887✗1.26396k2022-06-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.12320.123015-0.15%0.0943-23.46%0.2340✗1.47996k2022-06-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.00013.9936-0.16%2.776-30.60%0.0746✗1.2945k2022-06-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5572-0.18%1-35.90%0.1530✗1.751.4M2022-06-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.5343.5275-0.18%2.992-15.34%0.1662✗0.971.5M2022-06-14
XECeCashnative0.000055710.000055603-0.19%0.00003807-31.66%0.1249✗1.483.4M2022-06-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070190.070046-0.21%0.04722-32.73%0.0403✗1.2737k2022-06-14
HIVEHivenative0.59830.597035-0.21%0.3572-40.30%0.0277✓1.431.6M2022-06-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.722.7141-0.22%1.854-31.84%0.3076✗2.023.1M2022-06-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.63272.6269-0.22%1.9235-26.94%0.1667✗1.4068k2022-06-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1343.1264-0.24%2.6493-15.47%0.2570✗1.244.4M2022-06-14
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0286.0129-0.25%3.615-40.03%0.2495✗2.2223.4M2022-06-14
XMRMoneroMonero187.45186.9782-0.25%118.2-36.94%0.0663✓1.152.3M2022-06-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.054037-0.30%0.0375-30.81%0.1338✗1.46498k2022-06-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.7058.6787-0.30%6.713-22.88%0.2585✗1.5132.1M2022-06-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038974-0.32%0.0291-25.58%0.2677✗1.64257k2022-06-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6990.696691-0.33%0.515-26.32%0.2998✗1.771.1M2022-06-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.9311.8894-0.34%8.22-31.10%0.3100✗1.993.8M2022-06-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0149670.014913-0.36%0.014658-2.06%0.2549✗0.80268k2022-06-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039150.039007-0.37%0.02637-32.64%0.1245✗1.5120k2022-06-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31430.313025-0.41%0.1768-43.75%0.1117✓1.35286k2022-06-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16380.163123-0.41%0.1016-37.97%0.0738✗1.6176k2022-06-14
GTGateEthereum5.47365.45-0.43%4.4459-18.78%0.0039✓0.613.7M2022-06-14
TRXTRONTron0.0819950.081629-0.45%0.055589-32.20%0.0790✓0.90907k2022-06-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.061956-0.55%0.0475-23.76%0.3429✗1.7940k2022-06-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10720.106572-0.59%0.0896-16.42%0.4687✗1.88455k2022-06-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.49457.094-0.70%53.965-6.14%0.3035✗1.061.2M2022-06-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92.8796-0.70%2.283-21.28%0.5010✗2.1515k2022-06-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.950.94268-0.77%0.69-27.37%0.2826✗1.74232k2022-06-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23530.233472-0.78%0.1597-32.13%0.1567✗1.57664k2022-06-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4084220.405247-0.78%0.250986-38.55%0.0381✗1.522.4M2022-06-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012230.012121-0.89%0.00934-23.63%0.2588✗1.5216.2M2022-06-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.29520.29254-0.90%0.2016-31.71%0.0802✗1.33107k2022-06-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.815.7574-0.91%4.19-27.88%0.3419✗1.931.6M2022-06-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0579760.057447-0.91%0.050449-12.98%0.1493✗0.8292k2022-06-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9690.959738-0.96%0.71-26.73%0.3501✗1.913.0M2022-06-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0870.08611-1.02%0.0559-35.75%0.0372✗1.38162k2022-06-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15470.153003-1.10%0.1105-28.57%0.2759✗1.763,2022022-06-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.010190.010076-1.11%0.00656-35.62%0.0491✓1.112,4432022-06-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.51542.4862-1.16%2.1251-15.52%0.2090✗1.073.3M2022-06-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0284410.028071-1.30%0.018367-35.42%0.0201✓1.1912k2022-06-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.6828-1.41%4.03-15.16%0.1536✗0.89893k2022-06-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.409510.403677-1.42%0.27244-33.47%0.1457✗1.5818k2022-06-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.575554-1.45%0.402-31.16%0.2474✗1.785,3382022-06-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2753-1.50%1.61-30.30%0.0929✗1.29275k2022-06-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.063.9984-1.52%3.49-14.04%0.1815✗0.931.3M2022-06-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023890.023523-1.54%0.01919-19.67%0.0062✓0.62608k2022-06-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.364.2913-1.58%3.96-9.17%0.1834✗0.771.5M2022-06-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.2672.2302-1.62%1.8133-20.01%0.1484✗1.043.5M2022-06-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2414.0077-1.63%11.75-17.49%0.5157✗2.03252k2022-06-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053670.052781-1.66%0.0391-27.15%0.0674✗1.084,6802022-06-14
PROPropyEthereum1.041.0227-1.66%0.93-10.58%0.1723✗0.78187k2022-06-14
FLOWFlownative2.4332.3918-1.69%1.595-34.44%0.0642✓1.00671k2022-06-14
DODODODOEthereum0.17980.176748-1.70%0.1351-24.86%0.3118✗1.702.9M2022-06-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.30311.2805-1.73%0.81622-37.36%0.0346✓1.226,7502022-06-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2680.263348-1.74%0.216-19.40%0.4787✗1.991.4M2022-06-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06950.068277-1.76%0.05078-26.94%0.4436✗2.172.4M2022-06-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9580.941052-1.77%0.633-33.92%0.3889✗2.302.2M2022-06-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.457.3029-1.97%6.53-12.35%0.1075✗0.641.7M2022-06-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2067-1.98%0.75-39.07%0.1041✓1.091.2M2022-06-14
STEEMSteemnative0.26140.255659-2.20%0.1927-26.28%0.2331✗1.51585k2022-06-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.06180.060414-2.24%0.04428-28.35%0.0834✗1.1615k2022-06-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89631.8513-2.37%1.35-28.81%0.1565✗1.392.5M2022-06-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8092.7399-2.46%3.264+16.20%0.4989✗0.952.0M2022-06-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.2786-2.47%0.883-32.65%0.0292✓1.001.2M2022-06-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9292.8383-3.10%1.909-34.82%0.2281✗1.83109k2022-06-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.837120.810296-3.20%0.46115-44.91%0.1937✗2.223.0M2022-06-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0822.9823-3.24%3.195+3.67%0.3200✗0.742.6M2022-06-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6774.4876-4.05%3.625-22.49%0.0188✓0.686.4M2022-06-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.50771.4465-4.06%1.0032-33.46%0.1148✓0.744,7612022-06-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7731.6964-4.32%1.429-19.40%0.3779✗1.615.0M2022-06-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.8051.6881-6.48%0.926-48.70%0.1355✗2.163.2M2022-06-14
AVTAventusEthereum2.32.1484-6.59%1.63-29.13%0.0356✓0.91152k2022-06-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.