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2022-05-10 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0582
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-66.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.7%
in alpha space · 13.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.57762-1.23%0.4947-15.41%0.1339✓1.1012.6M2022-05-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.10e-7-0.94%7.15e-7-12.60%0.1186✓0.351.1M2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7275-0.52%4.2187-11.22%0.0916✓1.16134k2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9669-0.51%1.389-29.74%0.3219✓1.355.3M2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum5.83485.8123-0.39%5.7521-1.42%0.0013✓0.474.7M2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,335.71-0.21%2,088.96-10.75%0.0922✓1.01464.2M2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,688.68-0.03%9,984.13-27.08%0.2941✓1.122.6M2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.6778-0.01%15.21-13.97%0.1263✓1.25695k2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.4027+0.02%10.34-28.19%0.3060✗1.32134k2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0436+0.06%0.958-8.15%0.0639✗1.13574k2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.081354+0.07%0.0697-14.27%0.1416✗0.67619k2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3931,047.73+0.15%30,412.12-1.90%0.0015✓1.00634.5M2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.2001+0.15%3.314-20.98%0.2079✗1.512.2M2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.082446+0.18%0.0711-13.61%0.1296✗0.96416k2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1581+0.20%12.44-11.96%0.1021✗1.423.5M2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66232.2107+0.24%206.73-10.76%0.0956✗1.075.2M2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.077255+0.26%0.072142-6.38%0.0525✗0.83463k2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001454+0.30%0.00000113-22.07%0.2384✗0.737.7M2022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9437+0.32%1.6818-13.20%0.1333✗0.6015k2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.246649+0.35%0.1798-26.85%0.2913✗1.296.8M2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4155+0.39%1.21-14.18%0.1461✗0.56528k2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.094+0.40%5.47-9.88%0.0862✗1.144.1M2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.4461+0.40%4.98-8.19%0.0841✗0.28284k2022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.098087+0.46%0.07213-26.13%0.2902✗0.8918k2022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.5325+0.48%22.14-12.87%0.1147✗1.45173k2022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.584+0.51%55.75-11.87%0.1142✗0.902.0M2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.63172+0.54%0.577-8.16%0.0671✗1.2242.0M2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.102782+0.57%0.0907-11.25%0.1091✗0.83169k2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6311+0.68%1.47-9.26%0.0838✗1.05134k2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1292+0.72%1.8568-12.17%0.1138✗1.20866k2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.149494+0.74%0.141543-4.62%0.0351✗1.0113.8M2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.156973+0.75%0.121-22.34%0.2324✗1.451.8M2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8631+0.81%1.83-35.56%0.4189✗1.49371k2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5347+0.82%3.057-12.81%0.1264✗0.9881k2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.126+0.94%2.5786-16.74%0.1699✗1.17188k2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108954+0.98%0.0892-17.33%0.1731✗1.40204k2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3987+0.98%1.1607-16.20%0.1643✗1.16161k2022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1280.9306+1.01%73.04-8.84%0.0815✗1.0917.5M2022-05-17
DASHDashDash73.3374.0777+1.02%60.11-18.03%0.1879✗1.101.0M2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.6791+1.03%8.62-18.45%0.1898✗1.278.0M2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021597+1.06%0.0187-12.49%0.1326✗0.59405k2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.7226+1.12%11.46-15.55%0.1559✗1.2619.8M2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011655+1.17%0.0104-9.72%0.0943✗1.021.0M2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.063616+1.17%0.05523-12.17%0.1244✗0.8826k2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.6826+1.20%7.71-10.14%0.0947✗1.2519.6M2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5445.0845+1.22%34.38-22.81%0.2461✗1.3045.0M2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.340309+1.25%0.2547-24.22%0.2809✗0.46514k2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.5046+1.28%32.03-3.17%0.0268✗0.9412.7M2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.109301+1.28%0.090151-16.46%0.1730✗1.027.1M2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.51339+1.29%0.424817-16.19%0.1660✗1.225.7M2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8189.9854+1.32%74.69-15.90%0.1614✗1.3037k2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.283716+1.33%0.2109-24.68%0.2812✗0.802,9402022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.473589+1.36%0.4149-11.20%0.1095✗1.19144k2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8426+1.36%3.13-17.44%0.1800✗1.31190k2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.396459+1.37%0.3906-0.13%0.0070✓1.148.5M2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7708+1.38%2.034-25.58%0.2806✗1.4884k2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative13.91914.1138+1.40%14.916+7.16%0.0716✓0.854.1M2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.155552+1.40%0.1493-2.67%0.0218✗1.001.1M2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.144103+1.41%0.12-15.55%0.1590✗1.251.2M2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana66.8667.8136+1.43%57.02-14.72%0.1484✗1.3087.4M2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5621+1.44%1.16-24.68%0.2867✗0.57221k2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.516+1.46%11.02-2.91%0.0209✗1.2011.8M2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046965+1.48%0.04094-11.54%0.1140✗1.2187k2022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.922608+1.50%0.817-10.12%0.1007✗1.093.3M2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2785+1.58%1.765-21.31%0.2295✗1.35537k2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8924.2699+1.59%21.76-8.92%0.0862✗1.204.4M2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.59690.606448+1.60%0.5411-9.35%0.0920✗1.141.5M2022-05-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.277809+1.61%0.2705-1.06%0.0036✓1.20186k2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8816.1397+1.64%13.66-13.98%0.1504✗0.86473k2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014958+1.69%0.01468-0.20%0.0096✓1.4745.0M2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1989+1.69%4.126-0.07%0.0022✓0.801.4M2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.054207+1.70%0.04738-11.11%0.1179✗0.879,7632022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.761828+1.71%0.623-16.82%0.1759✗1.321.7M2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.2124+1.71%0.913-23.41%0.2563✗1.428.3M2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.8209+1.73%1.43-20.11%0.2153✗1.374.0M2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.195328+1.73%0.1311-31.72%0.3859✗0.6719k2022-05-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4692+1.73%2.58-24.34%0.2652✗1.61357k2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041714+1.74%0.0353-13.90%0.1432✗1.24179k2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum72.3973.6526+1.74%74.46+2.86%0.0306✓1.023.5M2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero163.04165.9403+1.78%172.72+5.94%0.0589✓0.983.0M2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.5631+1.79%8.56-24.65%0.2785✗1.167.4M2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.309673+1.80%0.2589-14.89%0.1585✗1.07316k2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.01111+1.81%0.008963-17.86%0.1960✗0.9738k2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.015036+1.81%0.015368+4.06%0.0351✓0.69198k2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.157993+1.93%0.1525-1.61%0.0072✓1.47108k2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,651.76+1.97%30,409.80-2.03%0.0215✗0.9640k2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.515157+2.01%0.342-32.28%0.3809✗1.501.7M2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.116305+2.02%0.0913-19.91%0.2154✗1.393.7M2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006142+2.03%0.00512-14.95%0.1610✗1.091.7M2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4592+2.05%1.1-23.08%0.2588✗1.24755k2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006296+2.05%0.00561-9.08%0.0904✗1.30382k2022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.485801+2.06%0.384-19.33%0.2193✗0.831.1M2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.2176+2.08%8.877-1.69%0.0061✓2.2777.0M2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.192154+2.10%0.1804-4.14%0.0385✗1.28372k2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.7923+2.11%22.4-7.74%0.0756✗1.353.8M2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2968+2.11%0.97-23.62%0.2751✗0.80142k2022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.030043+2.12%0.02971+0.99%0.0061✓0.90227k2022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.964.0439+2.12%3.76-5.05%0.0600✗0.67804k2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031752+2.13%0.02904-6.59%0.0721✗0.8930k2022-05-17
STXStacksnative0.680.694474+2.13%0.58-14.71%0.1598✗1.06260k2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016493+2.18%0.00001255-22.24%0.2500✗1.211.2M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.773571+2.19%0.593-21.66%0.2415✗1.26869k2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1378+2.19%1.2159+9.21%0.0912✓1.29805k2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.579288+2.20%0.5004-11.71%0.1203✗1.36299k2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.109368+2.21%0.0712-33.46%0.4152✗0.73117k2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.4221+2.24%1.231-11.50%0.1277✗0.8725k2022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.833501+2.27%0.74-9.20%0.0926✗1.37344k2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.669279+2.28%0.61254-6.40%0.0632✗1.3293k2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24107.6545+2.29%92.53-12.08%0.1242✗1.418.6M2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash93.0895.2291+2.31%114.63+23.15%0.2090✓1.225.1M2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.210164+2.32%0.2022-1.56%0.0112✓1.43634k2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.00630.00645+2.38%0.00546-13.33%0.1438✗1.18885k2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3443+2.40%1.2954-1.32%0.0189✓0.9489k2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.7083+2.44%2.85-21.27%0.2491✗0.74429k2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.485+2.50%2.75-19.12%0.2067✗1.5720k2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027681+2.52%0.0167-38.15%0.4672✗1.9923.0M2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000059901+2.54%0.00004936-15.51%0.1713✗1.166.7M2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.8006+2.59%2.04-25.27%0.3007✗0.84443k2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1801+2.62%0.91-20.87%0.2330✗1.40892k2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.510.523341+2.62%0.39763-22.03%0.2634✗0.5970k2022-05-17
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352529.0942+2.62%24.7107-12.84%0.1368✗1.38195k2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.1687+2.68%3.61-11.08%0.1289✗0.78829k2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.780864+2.70%0.7365-3.13%0.0331✗1.326.1M2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.013812+2.77%0.01407+4.69%0.0365✓0.933.2M2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.311721+2.78%0.346+14.08%0.1261✓1.13486k2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration93.0395.6458+2.81%82.04-11.81%0.1314✗1.141.1M2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.898.1167+2.87%6.53-17.24%0.1958✗1.13666k2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.798338+2.88%0.629-18.94%0.2173✗1.1050k2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.3739+2.89%2.883-12.08%0.1266✗1.597.4M2022-05-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.131821+2.90%0.0844-34.11%0.4267✗1.004.0M2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.308714+2.90%0.20963-30.12%0.3595✗1.44250k2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.5621+2.95%2.74-20.81%0.2459✗0.86557k2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.06080.06261+2.98%0.0614+0.99%0.0024✓1.1469k2022-05-17
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7912+3.06%1.395-19.74%0.2307✗1.005.2M2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.516+3.10%4.73-11.59%0.1292✗1.272.9M2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.2009+3.13%1.748-18.09%0.2148✗0.81748k2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.11502+3.16%0.0803-27.98%0.3268✗1.69232k2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.245806+3.28%0.168-29.41%0.3553✗1.314.7M2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019776+3.45%0.016233-15.08%0.1782✗1.004.3M2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7808+3.48%1.399-18.71%0.2112✗1.57582k2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2954+3.49%1.674-24.53%0.3016✗0.73903k2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.4588+3.49%2.9271-12.42%0.1427✗1.267.7M2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.00236+3.53%0.00144-36.84%0.4706✗1.233.9M2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.877.1229+3.68%5.35-22.13%0.2743✗0.622.8M2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.173765+3.80%0.1452-13.26%0.1509✗1.496.2M2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.7008+3.92%2.115-18.62%0.2123✗1.671.1M2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.4607+3.92%1.905-19.55%0.2319✗1.252.6M2022-05-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8715+3.97%1.58-12.22%0.1501✗1.009.5M2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.064683+3.99%0.0562-9.65%0.1220✗0.971.9M2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.184084+4.00%0.1418-19.89%0.2297✗1.63902k2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.9913+4.04%5.86-12.80%0.1645✗0.631.2M2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005583+4.16%0.00443-17.35%0.2168✗0.7620k2022-05-17
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.305523+4.31%0.2999+2.39%0.0006✓1.002.7M2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.5637+4.43%3.148+28.23%0.2148✓0.491.9M2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.521026+4.43%0.3614-27.56%0.3424✗1.2297k2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.543741+4.57%0.38508-25.95%0.3182✗1.40383k2022-05-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.4444+4.59%1.413+2.32%0.0013✓1.2117.4M2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011771+4.63%0.00905-19.56%0.2483✗0.76238k2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.495479+4.70%0.38048-19.60%0.2364✗1.441.4M2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.231+5.78%1.9688-6.65%0.1099✗0.782.5M2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.448039+6.23%0.39337-6.73%0.1048✗1.3244k2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.1444+6.39%1.6841-16.45%0.2264✗0.794.6M2022-05-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.8883+6.51%0.64-23.26%0.3039✗1.2531k2022-05-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.316257+6.84%0.253-14.53%0.1983✗1.294.1M2022-05-17
LUNATerraTerra 217.4118.6354+7.04%0.00019-100.00%11.4595✗1.777.5M2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.1575+8.46%2.18+9.59%0.0307✓1.0610.0M2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.