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2022-05-09 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1935
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-80.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
10.2%
in alpha space · 7.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.574675+0.15%0.4598-19.87%0.2143✗1.1012.4M2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.68145.7295+0.85%5.4363-4.31%0.0488✗0.474.5M2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.9299+0.94%1.361-28.82%0.3385✗1.365.1M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5475+1.14%1.13-26.14%0.3096✗0.60528k2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.4785+1.22%3.9461-10.82%0.1175✗1.15120k2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00892.0336+1.23%1.7113-14.81%0.1677✗0.6216k2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,463.59+1.28%29,839.89-0.79%0.0127✓1.00580.1M2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,257.23+1.29%2,020.58-9.33%0.1027✗1.01437.0M2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.3054+1.32%4.961-5.26%0.0651✗0.26278k2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.1846+1.37%2.988-27.62%0.3247✗1.521.8M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.6926+1.39%14.58-16.45%0.1834✗1.27608k2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.00000145+1.40%0.00000111-22.38%0.2614✗0.737.7M2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.104513+1.57%0.0887-13.80%0.1574✗0.84152k2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.58e-7+1.62%6.93e-7+7.12%0.0550✓0.28855k2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0281+1.69%0.916-9.40%0.1065✗1.13547k2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.5774+1.78%2.907-17.30%0.1996✗0.9973k2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.07388+1.78%0.069019-4.92%0.0615✗0.82402k2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.7211+1.84%1.11-34.32%0.4338✗0.60242k2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.5895+1.89%1.41-9.62%0.1115✗1.05134k2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.243464+1.91%0.1736-27.33%0.3279✗1.306.5M2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.956.0657+1.95%5.03-15.46%0.1782✗1.144.1M2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0499+2.05%1.7722-11.78%0.1361✗1.20855k2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92222.4336+2.07%197.37-9.43%0.1111✗1.074.9M2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.063833+2.08%0.05342-14.57%0.1710✗0.8926k2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7214.0159+2.16%10.65-22.38%0.2633✗1.432.8M2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8961+2.19%1.9-32.96%0.4094✗1.5179k2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.615288+2.24%0.5561-7.59%0.0914✗1.2241.1M2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.8871+2.28%9.27-26.43%0.3192✗1.29134k2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.4002+2.30%1.0859-20.66%0.2449✗1.17153k2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.8341+2.31%1.69-38.99%0.5051✗1.50355k2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.078798+2.33%0.0702-8.83%0.1080✗0.95416k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,804.03+2.46%9,743.68-22.03%0.2644✗1.102.5M2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006682+2.49%0.00527-19.17%0.2285✗1.121.7M2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero173.09177.4225+2.50%161.82-6.51%0.0840✗1.013.0M2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.105582+2.51%0.0861-16.41%0.1929✗1.40192k2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1978.1379+2.56%67.13-11.89%0.1431✗1.0917.3M2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2261.7713+2.58%53.59-11.01%0.1350✗0.892.0M2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.202087+2.58%0.1178-40.20%0.5343✗0.6821k2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.144257+2.59%0.136163-3.16%0.0497✗1.0113.6M2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.4335+2.71%13.03-18.56%0.2252✗0.87468k2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020966+2.73%0.01902-6.81%0.0928✗0.58405k2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase24.425.065+2.73%20.3-16.80%0.1993✗1.45173k2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.104594+2.77%0.087881-13.65%0.1661✗1.017.1M2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.076726+2.85%0.068-8.85%0.1155✗0.65619k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.344291+2.87%0.2098-37.32%0.4917✗0.46514k2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.400599+2.88%0.3587-7.88%0.1013✗1.158.1M2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.515433+2.95%0.401596-19.78%0.2398✗1.235.6M2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.9858+2.98%2.4311-16.15%0.1963✗1.17177k2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative13.60814.0189+3.02%13.821+1.57%0.0074✓0.854.0M2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.345+3.02%7.41-8.52%0.1089✗1.2518.3M2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum69.8171.929+3.04%70.49+0.97%0.0121✓1.023.4M2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.454337+3.06%0.3914-11.22%0.1397✗1.18141k2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.053417+3.12%0.0461-11.00%0.1404✗0.8710k2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2031,200.90+3.18%30,058.30-0.60%0.0296✓0.9738k2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.882208+3.18%0.753-11.93%0.1498✗1.083.2M2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.953.0442+3.19%1.93-34.58%0.4488✗0.87443k2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.14862+3.21%0.149+3.47%0.0105✓1.001.1M2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1531.1296+3.25%31.82+5.54%0.0293✓0.9311.7M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.031612+3.27%0.03061+0.00%0.0249✓0.92227k2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.6655+3.28%2.66-25.05%0.3103✗1.30186k2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.2756+3.29%1.602-27.28%0.3402✗1.36504k2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.749956+3.30%0.61-15.98%0.1961✗1.321.7M2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.149009+3.34%0.1097-23.93%0.2948✗1.451.8M2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.044919+3.36%0.03791-12.77%0.1601✗1.2070k2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7523.5147+3.36%20.77-8.70%0.1146✗1.204.4M2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.087494+3.38%0.07067-16.50%0.2067✗0.8618k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.443+3.39%2.26-32.13%0.4081✗1.62339k2022-05-16
DASHDashDash69.8972.2642+3.40%57.82-17.27%0.2143✗1.091.0M2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.194501+3.40%0.1733-7.87%0.1051✗1.29372k2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.57750.597193+3.41%0.4896-15.22%0.1896✗1.141.5M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.2182+3.41%3.379-17.16%0.2154✗0.801.5M2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.273027+3.42%0.1988-24.70%0.3110✗0.792,9402022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.837+3.42%2.54-31.54%0.4065✗0.76470k2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.304723+3.44%0.2463-16.40%0.2043✗1.07305k2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014487+3.45%0.012762-8.87%0.1213✗0.69195k2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.9247+3.48%11.07-11.37%0.1449✗1.2519.4M2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.774047+3.48%0.477-36.23%0.4739✗1.29954k2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.273975+3.50%0.254-4.04%0.0662✗1.20186k2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8125.6849+3.53%20.95-15.56%0.1929✗1.363.8M2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010956+3.55%0.00978-7.56%0.1055✗1.011.0M2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.01502+3.59%0.01489+2.69%0.0031✓1.4845.5M2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.1842+3.61%0.872-23.71%0.2947✗1.428.2M2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6411.0238+3.61%10.62-0.19%0.0278✓1.1911.7M2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.9110.2675+3.61%8.1-18.26%0.2271✗1.268.0M2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.469+3.62%2.298-31.36%0.3992✗1.5819k2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2142.7155+3.65%32.49-21.16%0.2634✗1.2944.2M2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7933+3.66%1.27-26.59%0.3341✗1.373.6M2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3977+3.77%1.178-12.55%0.1641✗0.8624k2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.530.550126+3.80%0.37994-28.31%0.3653✗0.6170k2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.9136+3.81%3.52-6.63%0.1008✗0.66804k2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana62.1364.5026+3.82%53.69-13.58%0.1732✗1.2985.8M2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.006158+3.84%0.00517-12.82%0.1645✗1.30373k2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9911.4129+3.85%8.29-24.57%0.3105✗1.156.6M2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.039681+3.88%0.0317-17.02%0.2148✗1.22179k2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.031611+3.92%0.02818-7.36%0.1078✗0.9031k2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash92.6896.3116+3.92%102.47+10.56%0.0717✓1.235.1M2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.4104+3.93%1.1933-12.06%0.1594✗0.9784k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.2334+4.01%3.15-22.60%0.2893✗0.79835k2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.1028+4.03%1.1653+9.93%0.0653✓1.28760k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.49856+4.08%0.307-35.91%0.4730✗1.501.6M2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.938.2545+4.09%6.06-23.58%0.3000✗1.14666k2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013826+4.11%0.00903-32.00%0.4195✗0.81222k2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2601+4.14%0.92-23.97%0.3083✗0.79151k2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.121118+4.14%0.0795-31.64%0.4072✗1.74232k2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.567612+4.15%0.4618-15.27%0.1955✗1.36296k2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.488499+4.16%0.316-32.62%0.4290✗0.831.1M2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.650.677098+4.17%0.56-13.85%0.1815✗1.05260k2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration94.2698.2573+4.24%73.47-22.06%0.2815✗1.161.1M2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6484.0729+4.26%68.67-14.84%0.1922✗1.2831k2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.138669+4.26%0.1137-14.51%0.1886✗1.251.2M2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.807217+4.29%0.619-20.03%0.2564✗1.1546k2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.006110.006378+4.39%0.00486-20.46%0.2624✗1.19885k2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2999+4.40%1.504-31.73%0.4181✗0.83763k2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.652131+4.47%0.53418-14.42%0.1890✗1.3288k2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.150034+4.48%0.1449+0.91%0.0233✓1.45108k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.026452+4.55%0.0152-39.92%0.5382✗1.9922.0M2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45104.0075+4.58%83.79-15.75%0.2049✗1.418.3M2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.4119+4.59%1.042-22.81%0.2940✗1.23755k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.4516+4.59%2.53-23.33%0.3038✗0.86565k2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013943+4.60%0.01387+4.05%0.0022✓0.942.9M2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.105658+4.61%0.068-32.67%0.4350✗0.72124k2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.20158+4.66%0.1872-2.80%0.0627✗1.42634k2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.80112+4.72%0.699-8.63%0.1255✗1.37327k2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.757842+4.73%0.6732-6.97%0.1080✗1.326.1M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.0580.060761+4.76%0.0583+0.52%0.0323✓1.1469k2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1526+4.79%0.81-26.36%0.3417✗1.40842k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010982+4.79%0.008554-18.38%0.2422✗0.9738k2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.311064+4.81%0.3018+1.68%0.0212✓1.13486k2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.3485+4.84%1.446-35.45%0.4790✗0.74975k2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.068063+4.87%0.0537-17.26%0.2291✗0.992.0M2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.109564+4.95%0.0809-22.51%0.2923✗1.383.7M2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002457+4.98%0.00133-43.16%0.6037✗1.253.9M2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.019157+5.02%0.015316-16.04%0.2157✗1.014.2M2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.294055+5.02%0.19391-30.75%0.4050✗1.43250k2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0088.4159+5.09%8.069+0.76%0.0242✓2.2576.4M2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.4056+5.14%2.723-15.93%0.2109✗1.617.1M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460528.8817+5.18%23.5002-14.42%0.1952✗1.39188k2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.6065+5.18%2.5916-24.42%0.3203✗1.287.7M2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.817.1646+5.21%4.56-33.04%0.4468✗0.632.8M2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.734+5.27%1.976-23.91%0.3112✗1.701.2M2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000014689+5.30%0.00001196-14.27%0.1962✗1.181.2M2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.7807+5.37%1.733-34.33%0.4686✗0.532.2M2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.7681+5.37%1.367-18.53%0.2494✗1.005.3M2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005729+5.50%0.00432-20.44%0.2761✗0.7720k2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000056368+5.62%0.00004677-12.37%0.1776✗1.146.7M2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.4401+5.63%4.54-11.84%0.1707✗1.282.8M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.796+5.65%1.289-24.18%0.3191✗1.58582k2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.4412+5.68%1.805-21.86%0.2919✗1.262.6M2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.687.0624+5.72%4.95-25.90%0.3504✗0.631.2M2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.128257+5.74%0.0764-37.02%0.5101✗1.003.9M2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.319034+5.82%0.284-5.80%0.1084✗1.002.9M2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.173099+5.94%0.139-14.93%0.2074✗1.506.0M2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.534285+6.09%0.34-32.49%0.4422✗1.2395k2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.8772+6.12%1.433-18.99%0.2620✗1.008.8M2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.23886+6.16%0.151-32.89%0.4482✗1.314.7M2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.181293+6.52%0.1577-7.34%0.1265✗1.621.1M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.532669+6.53%0.35987-28.03%0.3811✗1.39398k2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.433+6.63%1.249-7.07%0.1278✗1.2117.4M2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.474065+7.25%0.37002-16.29%0.2364✗1.431.3M2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.3129+7.58%1.5881-26.13%0.3695✗0.812.5M2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.936593+7.65%0.628-27.82%0.3896✗1.2732k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.2147+7.87%1.3834-32.62%0.4641✗0.814.8M2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.450214+8.66%0.38073-8.11%0.1571✗1.3347k2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.2517+9.56%1.6704-18.73%0.2901✗1.0810.0M2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.298034+9.57%0.213-21.69%0.3257✗1.294.2M2022-05-16
LUNATerraTerra 230.3533.6812+10.98%0.0002-100.00%12.0186✗1.957.1M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.