8=======>

2022-03-21 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2044
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.3%
in alpha space · 5.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.061790.06163-0.26%0.069168+11.94%0.0262✗0.64259k2022-03-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6570.651385-0.85%0.763+16.13%0.0314✗0.911.9M2022-03-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191840.11808-0.93%0.142307+19.40%0.0727✗0.822.6M2022-03-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,105.8040,583.76-1.27%47,634.90+15.88%0.0263✗0.9652k2022-03-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1030.101647-1.31%0.125+21.36%0.1319✗0.5429k2022-03-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.2112.1805-1.38%2.688+21.57%0.0996✗0.7921k2022-03-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.226.1322-1.41%6.42+3.22%0.0546✓0.721.3M2022-03-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25060.246905-1.47%0.2732+9.02%0.0133✓0.821.9M2022-03-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7519.4579-1.48%22.99+16.41%0.0177✓1.33246k2022-03-28
XYMSymbolnative0.13710.135069-1.48%0.1499+9.34%0.0058✓0.79298k2022-03-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7632.7198-1.56%3.061+10.79%0.0424✓1.15514k2022-03-28
KCSKuCoinnative18.0917.8019-1.59%19.506+7.83%0.0340✓0.906.2M2022-03-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.0000018-1.65%0.00000209+14.21%0.0628✗0.6212.1M2022-03-28
XVGVergenative0.00990.009737-1.65%0.01205+21.72%0.0530✗1.151.7M2022-03-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51050.50208-1.65%0.5753+12.69%0.0332✗0.74399k2022-03-28
SCSiacoinnative0.009560.009402-1.65%0.01178+23.22%0.0720✗1.10441k2022-03-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07520.073946-1.67%0.0824+9.57%0.0228✓0.94146k2022-03-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.19696.0919-1.69%6.1415-0.89%0.0497✓0.42179k2022-03-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,017.7140,311.07-1.72%47,144.92+14.94%0.0174✗1.00680.6M2022-03-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041260.040546-1.73%0.04895+18.64%0.0714✗0.8423k2022-03-28
PROPropyEthereum1.591.5625-1.73%1.64+3.14%0.0935✓1.02242k2022-03-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011575-1.74%0.01399+18.76%0.0192✗1.223.2M2022-03-28
XEMNEMnative0.10710.105181-1.79%0.1127+5.23%0.0487✓0.8540k2022-03-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2281.2059-1.80%1.358+10.59%0.0191✓0.992.8M2022-03-28
XMRMoneroMonero191.87188.395-1.81%214.66+11.88%0.0019✓0.951.7M2022-03-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012620.01239-1.82%0.01375+8.95%0.0060✓0.709,3002022-03-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.46.2802-1.87%7+9.37%0.0053✓0.741.6M2022-03-28
FTTFTXEthereum44.6743.8252-1.89%51.74+15.83%0.0217✗1.0414.3M2022-03-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2036920.199663-1.98%0.229783+12.81%0.0024✓0.9917.0M2022-03-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.372.3227-1.99%2.72+14.77%0.0216✗0.98142k2022-03-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8515.5327-2.00%18.66+17.73%0.0014✓1.312.6M2022-03-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.16541.142-2.00%1.2726+9.20%0.0709✓1.291.7M2022-03-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.456.32-2.02%7+8.53%0.0006✓0.74822k2022-03-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1962.1517-2.02%2.585+17.71%0.0006✓1.319.5M2022-03-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7723.6935-2.08%4.1594+10.27%0.0328✗0.623.9M2022-03-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.74430.728619-2.11%0.8484+13.99%0.0242✗0.927.2M2022-03-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.10491.0816-2.11%1.2969+17.38%0.0238✗1.13128k2022-03-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.13113.6813-2.11%127.59+9.87%0.0249✓1.0125.9M2022-03-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.9883.1817-2.12%95.28+12.12%0.0312✗0.751.1M2022-03-28
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.6394-2.12%5.05+6.54%0.0364✓0.87626k2022-03-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.0453-2.14%2.59+23.92%0.0911✗1.04354k2022-03-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094860.092828-2.14%0.11222+18.30%0.0670✗0.8828k2022-03-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.891.8486-2.19%2.2+16.40%0.0043✓1.281.0M2022-03-28
AAVEAaveEthereum153.89150.4722-2.22%167.77+9.02%0.0710✓1.298.5M2022-03-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.329-2.25%21.97+17.17%0.0310✗1.0824.4M2022-03-28
DIADIAEthereum0.940.918812-2.25%1.05+11.70%0.0827✗0.36248k2022-03-28
SUSHISushiEthereum3.313.2353-2.26%3.81+15.11%0.0023✓1.166.4M2022-03-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3133.2381-2.26%3.85+16.21%0.0720✗0.731.2M2022-03-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025750.025164-2.28%0.03317+28.82%0.1260✗1.08211k2022-03-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9834.869-2.29%6.372+27.87%0.1775✗0.66716k2022-03-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5311.4956-2.31%1.725+12.67%0.0010✓1.02644k2022-03-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.48130.470175-2.31%0.5541+15.13%0.0250✗1.001.3M2022-03-28
COMPCompoundEthereum113.52110.8775-2.33%122.91+8.27%0.0594✓1.1748k2022-03-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022940.000022406-2.33%0.00002648+15.43%0.0038✓1.172.3M2022-03-28
GTGateEthereum6.36916.2202-2.34%6.7648+6.21%0.0046✓0.643.6M2022-03-28
XVSVenusEthereum9.379.1497-2.35%10.74+14.62%0.0153✓1.043.0M2022-03-28
AVTAventusEthereum2.272.2165-2.36%2.76+21.59%0.1651✗0.39309k2022-03-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.15442.1036-2.36%2.5454+18.15%0.0813✗0.79126k2022-03-28
ADACardanoCardano0.91790.896119-2.37%1.1694+27.40%0.1258✗1.0160.9M2022-03-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018960.018508-2.39%0.02025+6.80%0.0533✓1.031.4M2022-03-28
QNTQuantEthereum119.55116.6976-2.39%142.25+18.99%0.0713✗0.914.2M2022-03-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.5613-2.41%21.79+28.40%0.1347✗1.0014.5M2022-03-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.850.829531-2.41%1.004+18.12%0.0060✓1.332.1M2022-03-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053580.052262-2.46%0.05633+5.13%0.0714✓1.05474k2022-03-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8513.7561-2.46%4.028+4.60%0.0181✓0.63683k2022-03-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum1514.6296-2.47%16.51+10.07%0.0275✓1.0733.1M2022-03-28
XTZTezosTezos3.24073.1603-2.48%3.7138+14.60%0.0099✓1.091.1M2022-03-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4331.3975-2.48%1.71+19.33%0.0119✓1.36466k2022-03-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.2684.1132-2.49%89.58+3.85%0.1183✓1.30118.0M2022-03-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.816550.79621-2.49%0.87181+6.77%0.0648✓1.12118k2022-03-28
HIVEHivenative0.91430.891493-2.49%1.16+26.87%0.1074✗1.122.1M2022-03-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.93326.5574-2.50%368.1+9.90%0.0108✓0.947.0M2022-03-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41180.401491-2.50%0.4334+5.25%0.0850✓1.169.3M2022-03-28
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5296.3652-2.51%7.142+9.39%0.0754✓1.3724k2022-03-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.0916-2.53%1.39+24.11%0.0967✗1.04525k2022-03-28
ZENHorizenBase43.5942.479-2.55%47.68+9.38%0.0668✓1.31309k2022-03-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.3066-2.57%5.34+20.81%0.0186✓1.41375k2022-03-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,891.082,816.20-2.59%3,334.47+15.34%0.0224✓1.05492.6M2022-03-28
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000078337-2.59%0.00009365+16.45%0.0447✗0.964.8M2022-03-28
STXStacksnative1.31.2663-2.59%1.41+8.46%0.0232✓0.94481k2022-03-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.8217.358-2.59%25.29+41.92%0.2400✗0.985.1M2022-03-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.359.1075-2.59%10.91+16.68%0.0377✗1.036.1M2022-03-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.3993-2.61%0.5048+23.12%0.0321✓1.912.1M2022-03-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.29330.285519-2.65%0.3353+14.32%0.0027✓1.13192k2022-03-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8812.5376-2.66%13.55+5.20%0.0184✓0.433.0M2022-03-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.5728.7832-2.66%30.82+4.23%0.0582✓0.91767k2022-03-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.40892.3448-2.66%2.6767+11.12%0.0316✓1.181.3M2022-03-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.08970.087291-2.69%0.121+34.89%0.1551✗1.23504k2022-03-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94680.921087-2.72%1.2251+29.39%0.1171✗1.214.7M2022-03-28
SOLSolanaSolana88.6286.2038-2.73%105.84+19.43%0.0297✗1.2692.6M2022-03-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4991.4577-2.75%1.507+0.53%0.1576✓1.37204k2022-03-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9327.1522-2.78%29.36+5.12%0.0765✓1.1140.2M2022-03-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.5990.582264-2.79%0.6223+3.89%0.0727✓1.004,8802022-03-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.2120.206059-2.80%0.258+21.70%0.0445✗1.291.8M2022-03-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.5723-2.82%1.935+19.59%0.0691✗0.992.3M2022-03-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.230.223415-2.86%0.2622+14.00%0.0209✓1.00372k2022-03-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.097.8581-2.87%8.52+5.32%0.0185✓0.712.6M2022-03-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.026170.025416-2.88%0.02704+3.32%0.0424✓0.752.7M2022-03-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79690.773893-2.89%0.9441+18.47%0.1514✗0.34620k2022-03-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,359.4019,769.56-2.90%22,270.34+9.39%0.0348✓1.115.7M2022-03-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074440.07228-2.90%0.08807+18.31%0.0871✗0.799,2172022-03-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15240.147952-2.92%0.1695+11.22%0.0089✓1.04215k2022-03-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.1748.683-2.96%66.44+32.43%0.1364✗1.254.8M2022-03-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34150.331262-3.00%0.4031+18.04%0.0126✓1.32997k2022-03-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0345.8517-3.02%6.365+5.49%0.0477✓0.9582k2022-03-28
DASHDashDash123.68119.9081-3.05%127.73+3.27%0.0727✓0.981.7M2022-03-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.713.2817-3.05%14.47+5.62%0.0163✓0.502.0M2022-03-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256440.024855-3.08%0.039005+52.10%0.3468✗0.75198k2022-03-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34390.333266-3.09%0.3815+10.93%0.0642✓1.439.4M2022-03-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.7525.9167-3.12%28.79+7.63%0.0733✓1.28735k2022-03-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.20320.196868-3.12%0.2589+27.41%0.1129✗1.162.3M2022-03-28
KSMKusamaHydration154.99150.1516-3.12%168.16+8.50%0.0442✓1.13685k2022-03-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5501760.532891-3.14%0.697186+26.72%0.1233✗1.041.6M2022-03-28
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6871.6339-3.14%1.98+17.37%0.0794✗0.8150k2022-03-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13260.128409-3.16%0.1721+29.79%0.1271✗1.192.1M2022-03-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.8280.801644-3.18%0.9075+9.60%0.0151✓1.0016.8M2022-03-28
UMAUMAEthereum7.5757.3339-3.18%7.75+2.31%0.1264✓1.306.0M2022-03-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9714.8126-3.19%5.361+7.85%0.0708✓1.282.6M2022-03-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82754.6734-3.19%5.3424+10.67%0.0037✓0.93208k2022-03-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.23580.228159-3.24%0.2631+11.58%0.0033✓1.00173k2022-03-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.12323.9895-3.24%4.2216+2.39%0.0345✓0.654.7M2022-03-28
NANOnanopayBase2.2122.1399-3.26%2.4853+12.35%0.0100✓1.15139k2022-03-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5992.5137-3.28%2.889+11.16%0.0001✓1.0052k2022-03-28
ZECZcashZcash181.56175.5333-3.32%192.22+5.87%0.0453✓0.9813.8M2022-03-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22070.213363-3.32%0.237+7.39%0.0342✓1.001.7M2022-03-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403440.039002-3.33%0.043+6.58%0.0349✓0.954.1M2022-03-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4137.1161-3.37%47.08+22.57%0.1011✗0.983.9M2022-03-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3476.1307-3.41%7.355+15.88%0.0428✗1.00475k2022-03-28
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.0763-3.43%2.29+6.51%0.0043✓0.67176k2022-03-28
QTUMQtumQtum6.82366.5883-3.45%8.1779+19.85%0.0606✗1.1297k2022-03-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039030.037677-3.47%0.04219+8.10%0.0211✓0.66963k2022-03-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.9174.7456-3.49%5.55+12.87%0.0692✗0.637.0M2022-03-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6081.5513-3.52%1.596-0.75%0.1463✓1.253.7M2022-03-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5215.9343-3.55%15.64-5.33%0.1868✓1.21510k2022-03-28
MOVRMoonriverBase62.259660.0361-3.57%66.3939+6.64%0.0860✓1.34154k2022-03-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1915.9673-3.61%6.28+1.44%0.0152✓0.485.9M2022-03-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.244631-3.69%0.268+5.51%0.0214✓0.8129k2022-03-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.16353.0467-3.69%3.61+14.11%0.0552✗0.824.1M2022-03-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074220.071473-3.70%0.08479+14.24%0.0232✓1.0659k2022-03-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0064.8177-3.76%5.572+11.31%0.0132✓0.95102k2022-03-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06250.060134-3.79%0.0805+28.80%0.0524✗1.7243.9M2022-03-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.615443-3.84%0.75+17.19%0.0145✓1.52440k2022-03-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5181.4582-3.94%1.751+15.35%0.0443✗1.001.6M2022-03-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.556.2912-3.95%7.37+12.52%0.0351✓1.39447k2022-03-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128140.012303-3.99%0.014818+15.64%0.0593✗0.9111k2022-03-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152260.146137-4.02%0.16823+10.49%0.0220✓0.8514k2022-03-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.9675.7255-4.05%6.276+5.18%0.0474✓1.00498k2022-03-28
BANDBandEthereum3.7493.5948-4.11%4.31+14.96%0.0263✓1.11590k2022-03-28
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1412.0526-4.13%2.68+25.18%0.1328✗0.964.0M2022-03-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80750.773753-4.18%1.1283+39.73%0.1937✗1.32111k2022-03-28
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.400655-4.38%0.484+15.51%0.0361✓1.102.8M2022-03-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001128-4.40%0.000001135-3.88%0.0646✗-0.421.7M2022-03-28
LUNATerraTerra 295.8291.5444-4.46%97.24+1.48%0.1319✓1.389.1M2022-03-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62320.594244-4.65%0.716+14.89%0.0110✓1.26447k2022-03-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.30432.1956-4.72%2.734+18.65%0.1193✗0.7213k2022-03-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6940.659157-5.02%0.581-16.28%0.2898✓1.182.1M2022-03-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.067557-5.12%0.0794+11.52%0.0037✓1.19337k2022-03-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035880.033942-5.40%0.03419-4.71%0.2072✓1.5413.3M2022-03-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004410.004145-6.01%0.00426-3.40%0.1551✓1.315.3M2022-03-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.95268.2216-8.17%7.7079-13.90%0.2037✓1.0047.9M2022-03-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.