2022-03-04 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1870

152 of 152 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.37%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

62.5%

in alpha space · 67.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.11%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.216	8.7396	-5.17%	7.075	-23.23%	0.1962	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-03-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.51	8.1319	-4.44%	7.84	-7.87%	0.0278	✓	0.78	480k	2022-03-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	83.49	79.8938	-4.31%	88.28	+5.74%	0.1154	✗	1.40	5.0M	2022-03-11
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.37e-7	7.06e-7	-4.24%	0.000001164	+57.99%	0.5119	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-11
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.72	2.6189	-3.72%	2.19	-19.49%	0.1677	✓	1.00	443k	2022-03-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.5067	2.4156	-3.63%	2.5749	+2.72%	0.0729	✗	0.81	2.9M	2022-03-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.317	3.2022	-3.46%	5.761	+73.68%	0.5931	✗	0.52	955k	2022-03-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.311	6.1054	-3.26%	4.776	-24.32%	0.2391	✓	0.58	7.0M	2022-03-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.4	16.8406	-3.22%	13.84	-20.46%	0.1896	✓	0.60	2.8M	2022-03-11
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.36	2.2914	-2.91%	2.09	-11.44%	0.0835	✓	0.76	393k	2022-03-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.438	0.425621	-2.83%	0.3924	-10.41%	0.0584	✓	2.05	2.3M	2022-03-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.51	29.6638	-2.77%	27.47	-9.96%	0.0636	✓	1.19	52.8M	2022-03-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0566	0.055071	-2.70%	0.0576	+1.77%	0.0642	✗	1.73	66.8M	2022-03-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.799	1.7518	-2.62%	1.662	-7.62%	0.0427	✓	0.89	68k	2022-03-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.97	0.945512	-2.52%	0.93	-4.12%	0.0129	✓	0.33	277k	2022-03-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.027008	-2.50%	0.02301	-16.93%	0.1468	✓	1.21	503k	2022-03-11
ALPINE	Alpine F1 Team Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7326	2.6649	-2.48%	8.8928	+225.43%	1.2162	✗	1.00	12.7M	2022-03-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011391	0.01111	-2.47%	0.011862	+4.13%	0.0766	✗	1.00	13k	2022-03-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1952	0.190427	-2.45%	0.1931	-1.08%	0.0280	✗	1.26	2.7M	2022-03-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5292	0.517079	-2.29%	0.5009	-5.35%	0.0227	✓	0.82	545k	2022-03-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.76	1.7201	-2.27%	1.51	-14.20%	0.1175	✓	1.15	411k	2022-03-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,859.01	19,410.15	-2.26%	18,538.11	-6.65%	0.0352	✓	0.97	5.8M	2022-03-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03451	0.033748	-2.21%	0.04078	+18.17%	0.1976	✗	0.75	1.1M	2022-03-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0851	0.083255	-2.17%	0.0787	-7.52%	0.0396	✓	1.50	592k	2022-03-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7817	0.764937	-2.14%	0.7156	-8.46%	0.0633	✓	0.31	1.2M	2022-03-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	60.2327	58.9656	-2.10%	48.7591	-19.05%	0.1748	✓	1.37	223k	2022-03-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6818	6.5449	-2.05%	6.328	-5.29%	0.0260	✓	0.69	2.8M	2022-03-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.044148	0.043244	-2.05%	0.040059	-9.26%	0.0649	✓	1.04	8.1M	2022-03-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000183	0.000001793	-2.05%	0.00000178	-2.73%	0.0001	✓	0.64	13.7M	2022-03-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.11	1.0873	-2.04%	1.36	+22.52%	0.2368	✗	1.17	517k	2022-03-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7304	0.715677	-2.02%	0.6706	-8.19%	0.0506	✓	1.29	2.7M	2022-03-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.72	3.6451	-2.01%	3.44	-7.53%	0.0445	✓	1.20	1.7M	2022-03-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.62	17.2666	-2.01%	16.01	-9.14%	0.0633	✓	1.10	19.5M	2022-03-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.68	28.1132	-1.98%	27.91	-2.68%	0.0032	✓	0.94	1.5M	2022-03-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.346	1.3196	-1.96%	1.157	-14.04%	0.1179	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-03-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	4.9717	-1.94%	4.44	-12.43%	0.1021	✓	0.98	862k	2022-03-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.09	3.0303	-1.93%	2.42	-21.68%	0.2125	✓	1.11	660k	2022-03-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9091	1.8728	-1.90%	2.1155	+10.81%	0.1326	✗	0.96	82k	2022-03-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7354	0.721454	-1.90%	0.6978	-5.11%	0.0171	✓	1.45	227k	2022-03-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	10.1738	-1.89%	10.59	+2.12%	0.0467	✗	0.59	984k	2022-03-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3464	0.339875	-1.88%	0.3152	-9.01%	0.0573	✓	1.62	14.3M	2022-03-11
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9048	0.888414	-1.81%	0.8661	-4.28%	0.0120	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-03-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15063	0.147907	-1.81%	0.15536	+3.14%	0.0595	✗	0.93	21k	2022-03-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.883	2.831	-1.80%	2.741	-4.93%	0.0230	✓	0.83	276k	2022-03-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2576	1.235	-1.80%	1.1514	-8.44%	0.0545	✓	1.39	3.1M	2022-03-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.877	2.8256	-1.79%	2.869	-0.28%	0.0241	✗	0.80	457k	2022-03-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.105	0.103148	-1.76%	0.111	+5.71%	0.0800	✗	0.60	44k	2022-03-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.82	18.4881	-1.76%	17.37	-7.70%	0.0510	✓	1.02	9.1M	2022-03-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04735	0.046532	-1.73%	0.0472	-0.32%	0.0270	✗	1.15	605k	2022-03-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0679	0.066741	-1.71%	0.06831	+0.60%	0.0335	✗	0.92	13k	2022-03-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	75.82	74.5444	-1.68%	71.25	-6.03%	0.0297	✓	1.39	123.1M	2022-03-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.05	115.0825	-1.68%	153.51	+31.15%	0.3003	✗	1.10	7.4M	2022-03-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1472	0.144771	-1.65%	0.1489	+1.15%	0.0394	✗	1.01	330k	2022-03-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.71	0.698299	-1.65%	0.7111	+0.15%	0.0296	✗	1.02	9.6M	2022-03-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0266	0.026162	-1.65%	0.02468	-7.22%	0.0497	✓	0.77	4.0M	2022-03-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,623.07	2,580.02	-1.64%	2,556.42	-2.54%	0.0029	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0692	0.06808	-1.62%	0.0661	-4.48%	0.0157	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.438	4.3663	-1.62%	4.326	-2.52%	0.0005	✓	0.78	463k	2022-03-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0093	2.9612	-1.60%	3.707	+23.18%	0.2329	✗	0.74	2.4M	2022-03-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9678	3.9046	-1.59%	4.0628	+2.39%	0.0518	✗	1.09	244k	2022-03-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2623	0.258145	-1.58%	0.2585	-1.45%	0.0151	✓	1.23	284k	2022-03-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	159.78	157.2579	-1.58%	170.68	+6.82%	0.0929	✗	0.99	1.4M	2022-03-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.412	0.405509	-1.58%	0.385	-6.55%	0.0388	✓	1.18	4.1M	2022-03-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01761	0.017335	-1.56%	0.01714	-2.67%	0.0004	✓	1.05	2.2M	2022-03-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.4781	2.4397	-1.55%	2.3033	-7.05%	0.0433	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-03-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.22	2.1861	-1.53%	2.16	-2.70%	0.0008	✓	1.00	242k	2022-03-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0789	3.0323	-1.51%	2.9889	-2.92%	0.0005	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-03-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.26	15.0335	-1.48%	13.72	-10.09%	0.0761	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-03-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.82	5.7337	-1.48%	5.57	-4.30%	0.0137	✓	1.37	829k	2022-03-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.018594	0.018318	-1.48%	0.01489	-19.92%	0.1979	✓	0.84	143k	2022-03-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.618	3.565	-1.47%	4.165	+15.12%	0.1690	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-03-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06438	0.063475	-1.40%	0.07118	+10.56%	0.1276	✗	1.17	60k	2022-03-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.7	49.0164	-1.38%	45.9	-7.65%	0.0511	✓	1.30	6.3M	2022-03-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.86	22.5513	-1.35%	22.89	+0.13%	0.0300	✗	1.35	1.4M	2022-03-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.413	1.394	-1.34%	1.464	+3.61%	0.0611	✗	1.08	1.8M	2022-03-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,166.51	38,640.60	-1.34%	38,732.04	-1.11%	0.0135	✓	1.00	706.4M	2022-03-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.9254	5.8469	-1.33%	5.8755	-0.84%	0.0190	✗	1.26	226k	2022-03-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.039	1.0252	-1.32%	0.959	-7.70%	0.0557	✓	0.99	1.2M	2022-03-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01111	0.010964	-1.31%	0.01151	+3.60%	0.0636	✗	1.34	2.9M	2022-03-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	290.67	286.9744	-1.27%	287.73	-1.01%	0.0131	✗	0.94	7.3M	2022-03-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.38	12.226	-1.24%	12.74	+2.91%	0.0534	✗	1.10	312k	2022-03-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.27	6.1931	-1.23%	6.28	+0.16%	0.0231	✗	0.82	518k	2022-03-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.004	0.003951	-1.22%	0.00353	-11.75%	0.0947	✓	1.61	6.6M	2022-03-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4243	1.4071	-1.21%	1.4867	+4.38%	0.0694	✗	1.29	293k	2022-03-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.61	33.2039	-1.21%	37.86	+12.65%	0.1470	✗	1.41	280k	2022-03-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.72	1.6993	-1.20%	1.64	-4.65%	0.0208	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7529	1.7319	-1.20%	1.6874	-3.74%	0.0136	✓	1.12	171k	2022-03-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08893	0.087887	-1.17%	0.09115	+2.50%	0.0473	✗	0.97	42k	2022-03-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.642417	-1.17%	0.59	-9.23%	0.0664	✓	1.68	988k	2022-03-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01211	0.011969	-1.17%	0.01186	-2.06%	0.0007	✓	0.76	13k	2022-03-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.04	3.0052	-1.15%	2.89	-4.93%	0.0257	✓	1.20	6.5M	2022-03-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5	4.943	-1.14%	4.594	-8.12%	0.0625	✓	0.96	166k	2022-03-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0177	2.9833	-1.14%	3.4608	+14.68%	0.1567	✗	0.74	3.6M	2022-03-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.74	13.5842	-1.13%	13.05	-5.02%	0.0272	✓	1.15	50.1M	2022-03-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.21	18.006	-1.12%	17.81	-2.20%	0.0043	✓	1.37	325k	2022-03-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.252	2.2269	-1.12%	1.97	-12.52%	0.1067	✓	1.43	12.7M	2022-03-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	89.59	88.5901	-1.12%	94.95	+5.98%	0.0813	✗	1.07	1.5M	2022-03-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.358	1.3428	-1.12%	1.307	-3.76%	0.0104	✓	1.49	797k	2022-03-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.79	16.6046	-1.10%	17.7	+5.42%	0.0769	✗	1.17	26.4M	2022-03-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7605	0.752393	-1.07%	0.7014	-7.77%	0.0577	✓	1.12	19.7M	2022-03-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1169	0.115673	-1.05%	0.1144	-2.14%	0.0024	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-03-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.5379	5.4805	-1.04%	5.8362	+5.39%	0.0671	✗	0.38	300k	2022-03-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	118.5	117.3009	-1.01%	113.22	-4.46%	0.0241	✓	1.01	6.3M	2022-03-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	88.32	87.4286	-1.01%	80.7	-8.63%	0.0659	✓	1.27	121.6M	2022-03-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.209	0.206954	-0.98%	0.1962	-6.12%	0.0371	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-03-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.495114	0.490301	-0.97%	0.48841	-1.35%	0.0082	✓	1.08	2.8M	2022-03-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.238	18.0624	-0.96%	18.17	-0.37%	0.0171	✗	1.00	9.1M	2022-03-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.02	2.0007	-0.96%	1.75	-13.37%	0.1214	✓	1.12	354k	2022-03-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		79.36	78.6045	-0.95%	78.04	-1.66%	0.0019	✓	0.82	908k	2022-03-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.97	4.9228	-0.95%	4.778	-3.86%	0.0193	✓	0.94	72k	2022-03-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.5	40.1221	-0.93%	40.81	+0.77%	0.0292	✗	1.10	19.7M	2022-03-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.05	4.0135	-0.90%	3.82	-5.68%	0.0329	✓	1.48	458k	2022-03-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1405	0.139233	-0.90%	0.1335	-4.98%	0.0330	✓	0.81	299k	2022-03-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.35	0.346871	-0.89%	0.2924	-16.46%	0.1554	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-03-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4504	0.44639	-0.89%	0.4152	-7.82%	0.0568	✓	1.40	452k	2022-03-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.34	0.337077	-0.86%	0.3189	-6.21%	0.0409	✓	1.31	8.7M	2022-03-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.232986	-0.86%	0.2186	-6.98%	0.0537	✓	0.90	2.0M	2022-03-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.79	107.869	-0.85%	102.07	-6.18%	0.0422	✓	1.17	57k	2022-03-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007061	0.000070013	-0.85%	0.0000731	+3.53%	0.0549	✗	1.05	4.5M	2022-03-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.78	0.773409	-0.85%	0.807	+3.46%	0.0564	✗	1.25	2.4M	2022-03-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.3347	-0.84%	5.49	+2.04%	0.0378	✗	0.82	584k	2022-03-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.00944	0.009361	-0.83%	0.00939	-0.53%	0.0162	✗	1.18	1.4M	2022-03-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.348	1.3368	-0.83%	1.321	-2.00%	0.0005	✓	1.03	917k	2022-03-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	124.3	123.3044	-0.80%	116.61	-6.19%	0.0413	✓	1.30	7.2M	2022-03-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.845	0.838296	-0.79%	0.7884	-6.70%	0.0492	✓	1.09	92.2M	2022-03-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.65401	0.648912	-0.78%	0.65584	+0.28%	0.0254	✗	1.32	180k	2022-03-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.81	8.7453	-0.73%	8.51	-3.41%	0.0148	✓	1.12	9.2M	2022-03-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.114	1.106	-0.72%	1.113	-0.09%	0.0180	✗	1.05	3.0M	2022-03-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.58	8.5213	-0.68%	8.54	-0.47%	0.0154	✗	1.18	3.6M	2022-03-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.0304	2.0167	-0.67%	2.0529	+1.11%	0.0260	✗	0.73	25k	2022-03-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.238401	-0.67%	0.226	-5.83%	0.0446	✓	0.79	66k	2022-03-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.94943	0.943197	-0.66%	0.96652	+1.80%	0.0386	✗	1.27	162k	2022-03-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03781	0.037562	-0.66%	0.03906	+3.31%	0.0493	✗	0.91	29k	2022-03-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.134	2.1202	-0.65%	2.114	-0.94%	0.0064	✓	0.84	23k	2022-03-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.17	1.1631	-0.59%	1.06	-9.40%	0.0816	✓	1.00	770k	2022-03-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,591.90	39,359.17	-0.59%	38,852.80	-1.87%	0.0022	✓	0.96	59k	2022-03-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.096	0.095483	-0.54%	0.0935	-2.60%	0.0110	✓	0.89	40k	2022-03-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.0704	-0.49%	5.85	-4.10%	0.0283	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-03-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.69	0.686791	-0.47%	0.636	-7.83%	0.0661	✓	0.96	2.6M	2022-03-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.17606	0.175319	-0.42%	0.183591	+4.28%	0.0578	✗	1.05	19.8M	2022-03-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.63	27.526	-0.38%	26.5	-4.09%	0.0264	✓	1.04	5.2M	2022-03-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00847	0.008442	-0.33%	0.00879	+3.78%	0.0534	✗	1.17	546k	2022-03-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	101.05	100.8525	-0.20%	104.55	+3.46%	0.0479	✗	1.07	29.3M	2022-03-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.122392	0.122168	-0.18%	0.11539	-5.72%	0.0470	✓	0.90	3.7M	2022-03-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.274013	+0.00%	0.262	-4.38%	0.0309	✗	1.25	2.1M	2022-03-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	120.67	120.6874	+0.01%	124.19	+2.92%	0.0411	✓	1.12	910k	2022-03-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002353	0.000023546	+0.07%	0.00002206	-6.25%	0.0514	✗	1.24	3.9M	2022-03-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0671	0.067165	+0.10%	0.0696	+3.73%	0.0466	✓	0.99	159k	2022-03-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.851	5.8591	+0.14%	5.556	-5.04%	0.0380	✗	1.35	25k	2022-03-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.32	1.3232	+0.25%	1.705	+29.17%	0.2651	✓	1.04	3.4M	2022-03-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058264	0.058433	+0.29%	0.060203	+3.33%	0.0381	✓	0.74	307k	2022-03-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01443	0.014586	+1.08%	0.0143	-0.90%	0.0034	✓	1.47	12.7M	2022-03-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.