8=======>

2022-02-28 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1241
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-8.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.4%
in alpha space · 87.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 291.3886.2501-5.61%77.85-14.81%0.0843✗1.464.5M2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.1816-4.61%5.302-29.58%0.2428✓0.472.3M2022-03-07
UMAUMAEthereum7.2286.9367-4.03%7.8+7.91%0.2905✗1.351.9M2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.3419-3.99%2.469+1.23%0.1655✗0.882.7M2022-03-07
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.5362-3.93%2.28-13.64%0.0217✓1.00490k2022-03-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.067794-3.56%0.0544-22.62%0.0082✓1.7876.7M2022-03-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.18e-7-3.49%0.000001442+125.18%0.9755✗1.001.2M2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2133-3.13%3.353+1.09%0.1666✗0.97741k2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.3155-3.11%7.76+2.78%0.1740✗0.90461k2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.488604-3.05%0.4075-19.15%0.0750✗2.002.1M2022-03-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2920,937.95-3.02%18,376.27-14.88%0.0044✓0.985.7M2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum1.841.786-2.93%1.59-13.59%0.0402✗1.22483k2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1319.5413-2.92%16.42-18.43%0.0233✓1.1821.3M2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.034012-2.90%0.03434-1.97%0.1256✗0.901.2M2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.44838-2.74%0.381-17.35%0.0016✓1.284.2M2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3830.5291-2.71%28.29-9.85%0.0718✗1.1550.3M2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.022055-2.65%0.017437-23.03%0.1249✓0.86117k2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.801783-2.58%0.7051-14.33%0.0580✗1.45270k2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.075989-2.58%0.0672-13.85%0.0463✗1.321.0M2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.739275-2.52%0.73-3.74%0.0331✗0.361.3M2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028271-2.51%0.0248-14.48%0.0407✗1.34494k2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0432-2.51%0.93-13.08%0.0799✓0.27286k2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.2051-2.50%0.976-21.04%0.0734✓1.071.2M2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.011846-2.49%0.011201-7.80%0.0763✗1.0316k2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.1829-2.47%17.82-17.96%0.0273✓1.148.6M2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76366.0935-2.46%52.8584-22.00%0.0444✓1.40214k2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.7915-2.43%1.725-6.05%0.0743✗0.8776k2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.12887-2.37%0.1-24.24%0.1798✓0.5844k2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.213.8661-2.35%12.47-12.18%0.0353✗1.10331k2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.631-2.34%5.62-17.23%0.0166✓1.421.1M2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1575-2.34%2.878-10.98%0.0189✓0.87477k2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.251.2211-2.31%1.04-16.80%0.0074✓1.19610k2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.0579-2.31%3.62-12.86%0.0447✗1.242.3M2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0442-2.27%2.706-13.13%0.0025✓0.90218k2022-03-07
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.463-2.26%2.32-7.94%0.0684✗1.00486k2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.020916-2.26%0.01691-20.98%0.0709✓1.112.2M2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.3871-2.17%2.11-13.52%0.0057✓1.01254k2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.548678-2.14%0.4925-12.16%0.0086✓0.91641k2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.64-2.11%1.3125-21.66%0.0595✓1.27272k2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3625.8072-2.10%22.43-14.91%0.0371✗1.381.6M2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.4741-2.09%2.9274-17.50%0.0053✓1.292.1M2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.7491-2.08%4.4-9.28%0.0517✗1.00828k2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.4682-2.03%2.88-18.64%0.0226✓1.276.8M2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.00000195-2.02%0.00000177-11.06%0.0109✓0.6714.0M2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.028787-1.98%0.02497-14.98%0.0419✓0.784.1M2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.188691-1.98%0.1942+0.88%0.2048✗1.372.8M2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative0.98030.9614-1.93%0.8412-14.19%0.0177✓1.182.0M2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.781844-1.86%0.694-12.89%0.0214✗1.109.6M2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.158227-1.84%0.1422-11.79%0.0255✗1.03446k2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.771-1.84%18.4-13.04%0.0630✗1.44325k2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1815.8905-1.79%17.31+6.98%0.1779✗0.722.2M2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.8636-1.79%3.496-11.13%0.0659✗1.291.8M2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.852896-1.79%0.7277-16.20%0.0118✓1.1520.7M2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3283-1.76%1.243-8.06%0.1027✗1.322.0M2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.5328-1.73%4.618-17.98%0.0605✓0.9468k2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.084225-1.72%0.0802-6.42%0.1391✗1.47613k2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5983.1431-1.71%71.75-15.18%0.0367✗1.44116.5M2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4253.5036-1.68%46.15-15.20%0.0176✗1.296.7M2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1414.8888-1.66%12.7-16.12%0.0071✓1.1853.4M2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.8282-1.65%5.3807-9.20%0.0402✓0.31385k2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.56584-1.60%0.472233-17.88%0.0345✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.6467-1.60%16.4-13.46%0.0283✗1.2227.9M2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.3617-1.60%8.31-21.08%0.0681✓1.1910.8M2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.28981-1.59%0.2527-14.19%0.0324✗1.32367k2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.4083-1.59%28.16-8.87%0.0431✗0.941.5M2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3071-1.56%1.1872-10.59%0.0785✗1.362.7M2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.7848-1.55%3.97-18.31%0.0081✓1.52430k2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.371437-1.53%0.3298-12.57%0.0568✗1.378.7M2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75118.9052-1.53%98.5-18.43%0.0328✓1.2164k2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero170.31167.7146-1.52%157.95-7.26%0.0674✗0.991.0M2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83143.6679-1.48%116.88-19.85%0.0329✓1.356.6M2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.070949-1.47%0.06777-5.89%0.1130✗1.2469k2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.8099-1.43%2.3622-17.14%0.0182✓1.213.2M2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.739448-1.41%0.6-20.00%0.0110✓1.72995k2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum6.716.6156-1.41%6.77+0.89%0.1142✗0.712.8M2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5442-1.39%1.307-16.54%0.0190✗1.45863k2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.8342-1.39%1.7-8.60%0.0931✗1.321.9M2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,883.20-1.36%2,491.58-14.76%0.0119✓1.05540.3M2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.4088-1.36%1.98-18.92%0.0088✓1.4613.6M2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.360769-1.35%0.3173-13.23%0.0789✗1.6214.6M2022-03-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.6283-1.34%2.56-3.90%0.1451✗1.34584k2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,613.83-1.34%37,994.00-12.04%0.0135✗1.00630.5M2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27334.7407-1.34%273.86-19.28%0.0743✓0.997.3M2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.494025-1.33%0.4144-17.24%0.0001✓1.37484k2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.1785-1.32%3.6598-13.57%0.0141✗1.14244k2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.865453-1.32%0.762-13.11%0.0376✗1.292.2M2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.5062-1.29%4.234-7.25%0.0471✗0.85435k2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.3648-1.27%39.76-13.47%0.0063✓1.0820.8M2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.048641-1.26%0.041733-15.29%0.0157✓1.078.1M2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.1829-1.23%1.84-16.74%0.0199✓1.18343k2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012159-1.23%0.012-2.52%0.0824✗0.7512k2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1665-1.20%1.9115-12.83%0.0346✓0.7126k2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.4603-1.19%33.73-11.03%0.0801✗1.44280k2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5524-1.18%1.435-8.66%0.0686✗1.151.8M2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.128766-1.18%0.1105-15.20%0.0115✓1.282.9M2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.4185-1.14%5.712-12.02%0.0550✗1.34184k2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana99.7498.649-1.09%81.66-18.13%0.0253✓1.28127.4M2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.229581-1.09%0.1993-14.13%0.0490✗1.482.6M2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010871-1.08%0.01182+7.55%0.2618✗1.392.7M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.151449-1.08%0.1333-12.93%0.0226✓0.82295k2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1510.0407-1.08%10.23+0.79%0.1042✗0.67928k2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.733194-1.08%0.63315-14.57%0.0298✗1.38206k2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.068767-1.05%0.0671-3.45%0.1040✗1.0012k2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.8136-1.05%4.783-18.59%0.0591✓1.06189k2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.235-1.02%8.37-10.29%0.0582✗1.223.1M2022-03-07
DASHDashDash100.5199.4949-1.01%85.9-14.54%0.0009✓1.141.5M2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.4781-0.96%17.761-14.10%0.0138✓1.009.3M2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.164821-0.94%0.14835-10.84%0.0502✗1.2127k2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.091287-0.92%0.08764-4.87%0.0960✗1.0745k2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.0916-0.90%2.8817-7.63%0.0428✗0.883.6M2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000077988-0.89%0.0000689-12.44%0.0176✗1.104.4M2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4552-0.88%2.085-15.83%0.0441✓0.9321k2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.390926-0.86%0.3195-18.97%0.0173✓1.441.2M2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.2395-0.85%13.71-10.80%0.0847✗1.492.4M2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041588-0.84%0.03834-8.58%0.0467✗1.0029k2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,775.22-0.84%37,523.40-13.01%0.0059✓0.9846k2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9222-0.82%1.6162-16.61%0.0210✓1.19179k2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.048311-0.82%0.04852-0.39%0.1597✗1.21686k2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.305545-0.80%0.268-12.99%0.0364✗1.312.1M2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.4931-0.79%1.274-15.35%0.0148✓1.12931k2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0346-0.77%0.89059-14.58%0.0207✗1.33162k2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.010370.010296-0.72%0.00883-14.85%0.0066✓1.251.2M2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash118.68117.8618-0.69%109.5-7.74%0.0722✗1.147.2M2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.0893-0.68%2.8397-8.70%0.0299✗0.892.4M2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.5557-0.67%5.93-10.15%0.0139✗0.89452k2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004362-0.63%0.00392-10.71%0.1018✗1.639.6M2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.958214-0.60%0.7932-17.72%0.0453✓1.1296.0M2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1574-0.57%1.085-6.79%0.0907✗1.212.9M2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.4796-0.55%5.01-9.07%0.0209✗0.86510k2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.244077-0.54%0.2184-11.00%0.0049✓0.911.9M2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.7073-0.52%1.8793+9.50%0.2255✗1.0172k2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.7247-0.37%5.615-16.81%0.0010✓1.4027k2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration130.28129.8102-0.36%120.6-7.43%0.0731✗1.14930k2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.4254-0.34%26.15-14.35%0.0121✓1.095.1M2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009652-0.29%0.00866-10.54%0.0529✗1.26546k2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.568014-0.28%0.6711+17.82%0.3366✗1.322.4M2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82113.5265-0.26%98.35-13.59%0.0015✓1.1329.3M2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.19719-0.25%0.169685-14.16%0.0128✓1.0719.8M2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum115.74115.4613-0.24%110.5-4.53%0.0824✗0.996.3M2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.10810.107862-0.22%0.0935-13.51%0.0181✓0.9740k2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.696079-0.13%0.649-6.89%0.0680✗1.082.4M2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6788.5549-0.13%76.42-13.82%0.0387✓0.85905k2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3592-0.06%1.13-16.91%0.0482✓1.06932k2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5661+0.13%1.585+1.34%0.1469✓1.053.4M2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.13394+0.37%0.116934-12.38%0.0147✗0.943.7M2022-03-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.073298+0.41%0.0657-10.00%0.0174✓0.99160k2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.6317+0.48%6.17-6.52%0.0066✗0.511.1M2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.062124+0.55%0.058556-5.23%0.0397✓0.77286k2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.237975+0.84%0.231-2.12%0.0797✓0.8559k2022-03-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000026036+0.95%0.00002279-11.63%0.0261✓1.243.8M2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.018157+1.10%0.01158-35.52%0.2513✗1.5512.5M2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.