8=======>

2022-02-27 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1777
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.6%
in alpha space · 58.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2243.083-4.37%3.369+4.50%0.0686✗1.11687k2022-03-06
LUNATerraTerra 272.5169.6859-3.89%79.23+9.27%0.1029✗1.404.5M2022-03-06
API3Api3Ethereum6.66.3568-3.68%5.559-15.77%0.1407✓0.362.2M2022-03-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02670.025922-2.91%0.02514-5.84%0.0573✓1.47479k2022-03-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.140.135945-2.90%0.1-28.57%0.3240✓0.9344k2022-03-06
PROPropyEthereum1.811.7581-2.87%1.66-8.29%0.0866✓1.61502k2022-03-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.1394-2.86%7.79+23.26%0.2234✗0.81435k2022-03-06
CELLCellframeEthereum1.5411.4979-2.80%1.3889-9.87%0.1017✓1.44262k2022-03-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0022.9215-2.68%2.876-4.20%0.0327✓0.94477k2022-03-06
DIADIAEthereum0.990.963474-2.68%0.95-4.04%0.0161✓0.11286k2022-03-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0112860.010991-2.61%0.011572+2.53%0.0311✗1.1225k2022-03-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06050.059041-2.41%0.0524-13.39%0.1550✓1.9676.7M2022-03-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.2416.8368-2.34%16.6-3.71%0.0355✓1.1821.6M2022-03-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1791.1516-2.33%0.98-16.88%0.1835✓1.221.2M2022-03-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.53e-75.40e-7-2.33%0.000001612+191.39%1.0749✗1.001.3M2022-03-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.826.2114-2.20%28.14+5.00%0.0499✗1.1650.3M2022-03-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51510.504209-2.11%0.5029-2.37%0.0204✓0.98643k2022-03-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.41160.402967-2.10%0.418+1.55%0.0011✓2.082.1M2022-03-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.3792.3316-1.99%2.108-11.39%0.1199✓1.0520k2022-03-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224010.021974-1.91%0.017916-20.02%0.2227✓1.02114k2022-03-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.9119.5343-1.89%17.6-11.60%0.1339✓1.63325k2022-03-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0461510.04531-1.82%0.042886-7.07%0.0767✓1.208.1M2022-03-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9515.8449-1.78%5.3709-9.75%0.0917✓0.39433k2022-03-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,385.4319,044.99-1.76%18,244.52-5.89%0.0615✓1.025.6M2022-03-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79350.780914-1.59%0.749-5.61%0.0516✓0.551.3M2022-03-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.3820.0581-1.58%18.46-9.42%0.1060✓1.268.6M2022-03-06
XMRMoneroMonero150.62148.2671-1.56%158.98+5.55%0.0515✗1.01960k2022-03-06
MOVRMoonriverBase61.544860.5933-1.55%55.607-9.65%0.1136✓1.53211k2022-03-06
UMAUMAEthereum4.7954.721-1.54%8.411+75.41%0.5594✗1.001.8M2022-03-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.031820.031347-1.49%0.03483+9.46%0.0893✗0.881.3M2022-03-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018390.018118-1.48%0.01701-7.50%0.0830✓1.092.2M2022-03-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6811.6566-1.45%1.794+6.72%0.0616✗0.9976k2022-03-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001840.000001814-1.40%0.00000178-3.26%0.0318✓0.7014.0M2022-03-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9623.6257-1.40%22.08-7.85%0.0953✓1.521.6M2022-03-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8971.8711-1.36%2.227+17.40%0.1616✗0.692.6M2022-03-06
DODODODOEthereum0.4160.410501-1.32%0.395-5.05%0.0635✓1.384.2M2022-03-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7413.6918-1.31%3.553-5.03%0.0625✓1.332.3M2022-03-06
XYMSymbolnative0.1410.139316-1.19%0.136-3.55%0.0394✓0.85299k2022-03-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72660.718029-1.18%0.7112-2.12%0.0377✓1.55270k2022-03-06
BANDBandEthereum3.4523.4114-1.18%3.706+7.36%0.0582✗1.361.9M2022-03-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.935.8628-1.13%5.58-5.90%0.0767✓1.501.1M2022-03-06
STXStacksnative1.121.1073-1.13%1.08-3.57%0.0486✓1.30610k2022-03-06
SUSHISushiEthereum3.123.0849-1.12%2.91-6.73%0.0824✓1.336.8M2022-03-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.26840.26539-1.12%0.2571-4.21%0.0582✓1.45398k2022-03-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.79830.789374-1.12%0.7462-6.53%0.0788✓1.2421.7M2022-03-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6472.6184-1.08%2.732+3.21%0.0273✗0.83213k2022-03-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1466-1.08%2.17+0.00%0.0078✓1.03254k2022-03-06
DASHDashDash88.387.3628-1.06%85.59-3.07%0.0418✓1.171.5M2022-03-06
FTTFTXEthereum41.5141.0713-1.06%39.81-4.10%0.0521✓1.1519.7M2022-03-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.142.1175-1.05%2.31+7.94%0.0689✗1.00529k2022-03-06
UNIUniswapEthereum9.779.6714-1.01%8.48-13.20%0.1552✓1.3110.8M2022-03-06
ORCAOrcaSolana2.412.3857-1.01%2.26-6.22%0.0723✓1.00492k2022-03-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.064.0209-0.96%4.307+6.08%0.0533✗0.85414k2022-03-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14470.143326-0.95%0.1441-0.41%0.0142✓1.08420k2022-03-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.61.5849-0.94%1.71+6.87%0.0514✗1.351.9M2022-03-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55762.5338-0.93%2.4146-5.59%0.0718✓1.303.1M2022-03-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88832.8615-0.93%2.9225+1.18%0.0036✓0.962.3M2022-03-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06440.063805-0.92%0.0672+4.35%0.0320✗1.0912k2022-03-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.17191.1611-0.92%1.1901+1.55%0.0019✓1.462.6M2022-03-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.0974.4009-0.92%72.47-3.49%0.0544✓1.55113.8M2022-03-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70970.703265-0.91%0.6929-2.37%0.0355✓1.149.6M2022-03-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.1328.8684-0.90%28.82-1.06%0.0206✓1.041.5M2022-03-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044360.043965-0.89%0.05+12.71%0.1049✗1.31703k2022-03-06
NANOnanopayBase1.74251.7274-0.87%1.69-3.01%0.0448✓1.26181k2022-03-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.9847.5684-0.86%48.83+1.77%0.0016✓1.356.5M2022-03-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.517.3507-0.85%16.99-2.91%0.0454✓1.3426.4M2022-03-06
AAVEAaveEthereum131.61130.4969-0.85%116.73-11.31%0.1382✓1.476.5M2022-03-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6025-0.84%5.97+5.66%0.0484✗0.83430k2022-03-06
COMPCompoundEthereum108.08107.1724-0.84%102-5.63%0.0728✓1.2964k2022-03-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1852.1667-0.84%2.06-5.72%0.0791✓1.5813.2M2022-03-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.214.1748-0.84%3.82-9.26%0.1181✓1.61432k2022-03-06
KCSKuCoinnative19.03518.876-0.84%18.061-5.12%0.0637✓1.089.3M2022-03-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039260.038963-0.76%0.03826-2.55%0.0381✓1.0929k2022-03-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.86675.8224-0.76%5.7763-1.54%0.0342✓1.45184k2022-03-06
HIVEHivenative0.88490.878223-0.75%0.87-1.68%0.0324✓1.271.9M2022-03-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31740.315107-0.72%0.3243+2.17%0.0031✓1.7514.7M2022-03-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.6414.5347-0.72%17.3+18.17%0.1610✗0.722.0M2022-03-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.8592.8386-0.71%2.9812+4.27%0.0320✗0.943.3M2022-03-06
RADRadworksEthereum4.34.2699-0.70%4.9+13.95%0.1193✗1.01696k2022-03-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.668230.663595-0.69%0.63843-4.46%0.0660✓1.51211k2022-03-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.359.2855-0.69%10.3+10.16%0.0912✗0.69917k2022-03-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1150.114213-0.68%0.1112-3.30%0.0513✓1.352.9M2022-03-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.026890.026708-0.68%0.02606-3.09%0.0391✓0.804.3M2022-03-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3841.3747-0.67%1.3-6.07%0.0780✓1.22939k2022-03-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.665529-0.67%0.64-4.48%0.0738✓1.91995k2022-03-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.280.278149-0.66%0.271-3.21%0.0518✓1.422.1M2022-03-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.6513.5609-0.65%13.32-2.42%0.0409✓1.2752.3M2022-03-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009650.009592-0.60%0.0114+18.13%0.1459✗1.482.7M2022-03-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06980.069384-0.60%0.0687-1.58%0.0357✓1.421.0M2022-03-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1971.1902-0.57%1.211+1.17%0.0076✓1.372.0M2022-03-06
XTZTezosTezos3.12193.1047-0.55%2.9738-4.74%0.0679✓1.372.1M2022-03-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum1211.9344-0.55%12.47+3.92%0.0245✗1.07331k2022-03-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8120.807592-0.54%0.775-4.56%0.0671✓1.432.1M2022-03-06
ADACardanoCardano0.85690.852273-0.54%0.823-3.96%0.0562✓1.1794.8M2022-03-06
KSMKusamaHydration117.66117.0247-0.54%119.71+1.74%0.0009✓1.20930k2022-03-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5215550.518775-0.53%0.478814-8.19%0.1023✓1.222.9M2022-03-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.33630.334515-0.53%0.329-2.17%0.0434✓1.478.3M2022-03-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6824.658-0.51%4.983+6.43%0.0521✗0.8565k2022-03-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1810080.18011-0.50%0.172791-4.54%0.0624✓1.1519.2M2022-03-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.971.9607-0.47%1.92-2.54%0.0436✓1.24343k2022-03-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1231150.122545-0.46%0.120679-1.98%0.0337✓1.013.7M2022-03-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4234-0.46%1.447+1.19%0.0060✓1.241.8M2022-03-06
GTGateEthereum6.33556.3077-0.44%6.8076+7.45%0.0622✗0.772.8M2022-03-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.48590.483779-0.44%0.6795+39.84%0.3152✗1.352.2M2022-03-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.3044-0.43%1.11-15.27%0.1837✓1.23934k2022-03-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,618.012,607.24-0.41%2,550.77-2.57%0.0416✓1.08525.4M2022-03-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.52931.5231-0.41%2.0803+36.03%0.2930✗1.0369k2022-03-06
XECeCashnative0.000072350.000072072-0.38%0.0000699-3.39%0.0524✓1.204.5M2022-03-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3582.3495-0.36%2.702+14.59%0.1142✗1.41584k2022-03-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3771.3722-0.35%1.342-2.54%0.0504✓1.55897k2022-03-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.93590.932791-0.33%0.91478-2.26%0.0457✓1.44165k2022-03-06
XVGVergenative0.009230.0092-0.32%0.00921-0.22%0.0229✓1.321.2M2022-03-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.82863.8163-0.32%3.778-1.32%0.0323✓1.22269k2022-03-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083630.083394-0.28%0.08726+4.34%0.0247✗1.1345k2022-03-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.16740.166929-0.28%0.2075+23.95%0.1914✗1.442.7M2022-03-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004040.004029-0.27%0.00377-6.68%0.0999✓1.8411.3M2022-03-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0811.0782-0.25%1.088+0.65%0.0153✓1.342.8M2022-03-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,686.7037,592.35-0.25%38,936.90+3.32%0.0175✗0.9742k2022-03-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.7181.5132-0.24%77.72-4.88%0.0638✓0.89908k2022-03-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.2213.1927-0.21%14.03+6.13%0.0335✗1.542.5M2022-03-06
XEMNEMnative0.10.099803-0.20%0.0955-4.50%0.0632✓1.0538k2022-03-06
ZENHorizenBase32.6432.5845-0.17%33.26+1.90%0.0067✓1.50280k2022-03-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,717.0837,657.28-0.16%38,408.38+1.83%0.0016✗1.00603.6M2022-03-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.6341-0.13%5.1+9.91%0.0817✗0.77483k2022-03-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011580.011567-0.12%0.01217+5.09%0.0362✗0.8013k2022-03-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash304.19303.8435-0.11%282.11-7.26%0.0927✓1.027.2M2022-03-06
SOLSolanaSolana85.785.6672-0.04%84.57-1.32%0.0365✓1.30127.4M2022-03-06
TRXTRONTron0.0581120.058101-0.02%0.058875+1.31%0.0019✓0.83270k2022-03-06
QNTQuantEthereum105.8105.7958-0.00%110.38+4.33%0.0233✗1.056.3M2022-03-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23260.232691+0.04%0.2294-1.38%0.0325✗1.011.9M2022-03-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34190.342047+0.04%0.322-5.82%0.0878✗1.511.3M2022-03-06
XVSVenusEthereum8.48.4039+0.05%8.47+0.83%0.0159✗1.313.2M2022-03-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06750.067536+0.05%0.0678+0.44%0.0155✗1.07163k2022-03-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008670.008678+0.09%0.00845-2.54%0.0511✗1.35546k2022-03-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.07730.077399+0.13%0.0829+7.24%0.0396✓1.60633k2022-03-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.063330.063417+0.14%0.06662+5.20%0.0257✓1.3064k2022-03-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.3727.4219+0.19%26.55-3.00%0.0530✗1.145.1M2022-03-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44260.443502+0.20%0.4255-3.86%0.0679✗1.45521k2022-03-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.19850.198905+0.20%0.197-0.76%0.0377✗1.542.6M2022-03-06
ZECZcashZcash102.66102.8749+0.21%107.41+4.63%0.0221✓1.167.4M2022-03-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151230.15156+0.22%0.14543-3.84%0.0657✗1.3427k2022-03-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2170.217489+0.23%0.242+11.52%0.0906✓0.8959k2022-03-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6480.650085+0.32%0.66+1.85%0.0063✗1.182.4M2022-03-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023420.000023498+0.33%0.00002355+0.56%0.0223✗1.353.8M2022-03-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin103.05103.5282+0.46%101.1-1.89%0.0456✗1.2128.8M2022-03-06
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8545.8843+0.52%5.586-4.58%0.0786✗1.4627k2022-03-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.232.2425+0.56%2.0504-8.05%0.1051✗0.8626k2022-03-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.066.1091+0.81%6.28+3.63%0.0191✓0.471.1M2022-03-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0365.0872+1.02%4.82-4.29%0.0728✗1.03189k2022-03-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4121.4275+1.10%1.152-18.41%0.2344✗1.103.4M2022-03-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016090.0163+1.31%0.01199-25.48%0.3374✗1.6712.7M2022-03-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.