8=======>

2022-02-09 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0160
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.7%
in alpha space · 82.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.9085.6104-5.04%5.046-14.59%0.0942✓1.001.0M2022-02-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.3511.286-4.81%1.2019-11.04%0.0558✓1.001.9M2022-02-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046990.044963-4.31%0.04583-2.47%0.0309✓1.004.9M2022-02-16
FIDABonfidaSolana3.2693.1449-3.80%2.348-28.17%0.2804✓1.0067k2022-02-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.82020.789673-3.72%0.625-23.80%0.2122✓1.841.8M2022-02-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.86943.7328-3.53%3.7402-3.34%0.0124✓0.8828k2022-02-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037470.036204-3.38%0.028284-24.52%0.2318✓1.28114k2022-02-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.764.6123-3.10%4.3-9.66%0.0540✓1.378.0M2022-02-16
PROPropyEthereum2.462.3841-3.09%2.34-4.88%0.0069✓1.001.4M2022-02-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.96791.913-2.79%2.2822+15.97%0.1837✗0.622.8M2022-02-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.230580.224252-2.74%0.17624-23.57%0.2222✓1.5936k2022-02-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.1617.7089-2.48%16.75-7.76%0.0474✓0.70919k2022-02-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60170.586895-2.46%0.602+0.05%0.0380✗1.071.2M2022-02-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.319.0812-2.46%8.24-11.49%0.0931✓0.351.6M2022-02-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,293.9825,652.82-2.44%23,690.00-9.90%0.0685✓0.9411.3M2022-02-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38521.3519-2.41%1.6305+17.71%0.2056✗1.55107k2022-02-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.80526.6424-2.39%5.8668-13.79%0.1207✓0.29407k2022-02-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.431.3966-2.34%1.12-21.68%0.2048✓1.35523k2022-02-16
STXStacksnative1.721.682-2.21%1.55-9.88%0.0699✓1.001.2M2022-02-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.058190.05694-2.15%0.056084-3.62%0.0011✓1.198.8M2022-02-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.9430.2766-2.14%28.51-7.85%0.0470✓1.1196.8M2022-02-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.845.7158-2.13%4.9-16.10%0.1396✓1.222.6M2022-02-16
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0474-2.11%0.97-9.35%0.0650✓1.00286k2022-02-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0673-2.08%1.05-3.67%0.0065✓1.941.1M2022-02-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08670.084958-2.01%0.09+3.81%0.0739✗1.38548k2022-02-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.125468-1.98%0.116-9.37%0.0667✓1.0072k2022-02-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002320.000002275-1.96%0.00000218-6.03%0.0307✓1.0015.1M2022-02-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.122.6526-1.94%22.08-4.42%0.0120✓1.1526.1M2022-02-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032980.000032367-1.86%0.00003095-6.16%0.0283✓1.401.4M2022-02-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.8853.8153-1.79%3.9514+1.71%0.0464✗0.962.2M2022-02-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.282.2401-1.75%1.86-18.42%0.1697✓1.383.1M2022-02-16
XTZTezosTezos4.44294.3666-1.72%4.0382-9.11%0.0627✓1.312.3M2022-02-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.02161.0041-1.72%0.8933-12.56%0.1046✓1.0413.5M2022-02-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0860.084537-1.70%0.0695-19.19%0.1761✓1.6727.8M2022-02-16
MOVRMoonriverBase107.0699105.3249-1.63%95.5515-10.76%0.0806✓1.42320k2022-02-16
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34153.2877-1.61%3.2632-2.35%0.0039✓0.972.8M2022-02-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.56650.557511-1.59%0.4482-20.88%0.1971✓1.7940.2M2022-02-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.043.9761-1.58%4.58+13.37%0.1453✗0.331.5M2022-02-16
AAVEAaveEthereum188.2185.2273-1.58%170.44-9.44%0.0668✓1.399.5M2022-02-16
GTGateEthereum7.04236.9314-1.58%6.8827-2.27%0.0035✓0.894.1M2022-02-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum33.9233.3986-1.54%28.63-15.60%0.1363✓1.512.0M2022-02-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03370.033212-1.45%0.0335-0.59%0.0263✗1.50490k2022-02-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7963.7419-1.42%3.514-7.43%0.0525✓0.87536k2022-02-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.825.4372-1.41%24.03-6.86%0.0384✓1.57398k2022-02-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2638.1473-1.40%7.454-9.79%0.0770✓1.01460k2022-02-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.24120.23794-1.35%0.2202-8.71%0.0611✓1.393.7M2022-02-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.32180.317456-1.35%0.285-11.44%0.0896✓1.554.0M2022-02-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9110.7631-1.35%10.78-1.19%0.0099✓0.71660k2022-02-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4828.0997-1.34%28.31-0.60%0.0189✗0.97566k2022-02-16
XMRMoneroMonero185.83183.3514-1.33%179.36-3.48%0.0097✓1.041.5M2022-02-16
UMAUMAEthereum6.666.5714-1.33%6.53-1.95%0.0052✓0.981.9M2022-02-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.942.9015-1.31%2.65-9.86%0.0756✓1.28401k2022-02-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0170070.016785-1.31%0.016969-0.22%0.0248✗1.181.6M2022-02-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.1889.0069-1.30%95.39+5.78%0.0852✗1.3587.1M2022-02-16
ETHEthereumEthereum3,246.223,204.94-1.27%3,124.45-3.75%0.0123✓1.11544.5M2022-02-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8014.74-1.27%4.803+0.04%0.0230✗0.83346k2022-02-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.53.4561-1.25%3.17-9.43%0.0700✓1.3920.5M2022-02-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.3224.018-1.24%23.08-5.10%0.0258✓1.1910.4M2022-02-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.36335.2967-1.24%4.8292-9.96%0.0780✓1.22442k2022-02-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.718.4724-1.22%17.14-8.34%0.0608✓1.1975.4M2022-02-16
XEMNEMnative0.12120.119731-1.21%0.1142-5.78%0.0350✓1.0535k2022-02-16
COMPCompoundEthereum144.23142.5159-1.19%136.01-5.70%0.0317✓1.2765k2022-02-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.89683.8508-1.18%3.6017-7.57%0.0539✓1.102.5M2022-02-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.085730.084726-1.17%0.08117-5.32%0.0340✓0.7689k2022-02-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0833.0469-1.17%2.809-8.89%0.0654✓1.351.1M2022-02-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07940.078484-1.15%0.0757-4.66%0.0233✓1.0921k2022-02-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8321.8113-1.13%1.688-7.86%0.0570✓1.151.6M2022-02-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.76090.752411-1.12%0.6989-8.15%0.0557✓1.53938k2022-02-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107850.10666-1.10%0.09789-9.24%0.0733✓1.0649k2022-02-16
GITCOINGITCOIN9.3299.2302-1.06%8.239-11.68%0.1097✓0.3338k2022-02-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.8976.8247-1.05%6.358-7.81%0.0602✓0.9081k2022-02-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3473.3122-1.04%3.217-3.88%0.0196✓0.81206k2022-02-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,416.3543,972.40-1.00%43,895.56-1.17%0.0100✓1.00642.7M2022-02-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.166197-0.96%0.1678+0.00%0.0219✗1.04412k2022-02-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.162.1394-0.96%1.952-9.63%0.0765✓1.281.2M2022-02-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.5100.5311-0.95%94.6-6.80%0.0502✓0.901.4M2022-02-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash346.21343.0904-0.90%334.55-3.37%0.0132✓1.027.9M2022-02-16
QTUMQtumQtum7.20427.1424-0.86%7.8678+9.21%0.1138✗1.45156k2022-02-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015090.014962-0.84%0.01344-10.93%0.0897✓1.491.7M2022-02-16
BANDBandEthereum4.174.135-0.84%4.87+16.79%0.1785✗1.261.9M2022-02-16
FTTFTXEthereum47.9747.5715-0.83%46.38-3.31%0.0116✓1.1732.3M2022-02-16
LUNATerraTerra 257.5657.0856-0.82%56.02-2.68%0.0023✓1.418.8M2022-02-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin140.21139.0579-0.82%127.84-8.82%0.0687✓1.3032.4M2022-02-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7067280.700986-0.81%0.677091-4.19%0.0211✓1.153.5M2022-02-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.9147-0.79%1.81-6.22%0.0415✓1.251.5M2022-02-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04680.046443-0.76%0.04466-4.57%0.0260✓1.1230k2022-02-16
DASHDashDash114.95114.09-0.75%115.33+0.33%0.0242✗1.132.2M2022-02-16
ADACardanoCardano1.19471.1858-0.75%1.0833-9.32%0.0773✓1.11109.8M2022-02-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.147.0871-0.74%6.52-8.68%0.0739✓0.81463k2022-02-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.187.1268-0.74%6.76-5.85%0.0425✓0.88416k2022-02-16
XVSVenusEthereum10.069.987-0.73%11.78+17.10%0.1804✗1.292.5M2022-02-16
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3312.2407-0.72%11.22-9.00%0.0715✓1.3212.5M2022-02-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.29071.2815-0.71%1.4263+10.50%0.1209✗1.182.3M2022-02-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.12370.122823-0.71%0.1052-14.96%0.1366✓1.551.5M2022-02-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14290.14191-0.69%0.1562+9.31%0.1122✗1.383.2M2022-02-16
RADRadworksEthereum6.086.0379-0.69%6.07-0.16%0.0175✗1.04773k2022-02-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.941170.934678-0.69%0.83537-11.24%0.0949✓1.48311k2022-02-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,492.6044,187.84-0.68%43,960.80-1.20%0.0062✓0.9741k2022-02-16
QNTQuantEthereum150.18149.1567-0.68%129.55-13.74%0.1291✓1.007.6M2022-02-16
HIVEHivenative1.17281.1648-0.68%1.1125-5.14%0.0288✓1.461.9M2022-02-16
NANOnanopayBase2.42.3838-0.68%2.2584-5.90%0.0401✓1.19845k2022-02-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.6092.5917-0.66%2.452-6.02%0.0430✓1.0522k2022-02-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03711.0304-0.65%0.9791-5.59%0.0381✓1.1029.2M2022-02-16
XECeCashnative0.000097210.000096581-0.65%0.00008539-12.16%0.1097✓1.145.6M2022-02-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013240.013155-0.64%0.01389+4.91%0.0637✗0.7912k2022-02-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9721.8297-0.64%19.78-9.97%0.0827✓1.3537.4M2022-02-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.832.8119-0.64%2.67-5.65%0.0398✓1.02489k2022-02-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0242330.02408-0.63%0.021773-10.15%0.0864✓1.212.5M2022-02-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29630.294437-0.63%0.2693-9.11%0.0765✓1.081.7M2022-02-16
KCSKuCoinnative20.70520.5854-0.58%20.855+0.72%0.0288✗1.3410.4M2022-02-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana65.9655-0.57%5.47-8.83%0.0775✓0.78377k2022-02-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.99821.9871-0.56%1.8241-8.71%0.0726✓1.1079k2022-02-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.431.4223-0.54%1.274-10.91%0.0955✓1.243.2M2022-02-16
ZECZcashZcash126.05125.3832-0.53%125.58-0.37%0.0164✗1.266.6M2022-02-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0410.040786-0.52%0.03198-22.00%0.2300✓1.129.1M2022-02-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.8433.6721-0.50%32.25-4.70%0.0306✓1.064.0M2022-02-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0861.0806-0.49%0.983-9.48%0.0785✓1.372.3M2022-02-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum67.6267.3065-0.46%63.42-6.21%0.0451✓1.228.4M2022-02-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.31850.317088-0.44%0.3067-3.70%0.0202✓1.11518k2022-02-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2388540.237812-0.44%0.21874-8.42%0.0715✓1.0224.9M2022-02-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.54060.53829-0.43%0.4754-12.06%0.1068✓1.482.2M2022-02-16
ZENHorizenBase47.8347.627-0.42%40.62-15.07%0.1410✓1.54461k2022-02-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.067.0301-0.42%6.08-13.88%0.1322✓1.10733k2022-02-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059410.059171-0.40%0.05759-3.06%0.0102✓1.431.2M2022-02-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.282.2713-0.38%2.13-6.58%0.0489✓1.302.2M2022-02-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48770.485887-0.37%0.4872-0.10%0.0182✗1.329.2M2022-02-16
SOLSolanaSolana114.04113.6958-0.30%101.94-10.61%0.0946✓1.24179.7M2022-02-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.812.8019-0.29%2.4-14.59%0.1439✓0.922.6M2022-02-16
KSMKusamaHydration192.22191.736-0.25%166.77-13.24%0.1253✓1.201.0M2022-02-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.35191.3486-0.24%1.1915-11.86%0.1117✓1.03279k2022-02-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.287329-0.23%0.288+0.00%0.0136✗0.9570k2022-02-16
XVGVergenative0.012530.012501-0.23%0.01171-6.54%0.0493✓1.361.3M2022-02-16
DODODODOEthereum0.5910.589858-0.19%0.539-8.80%0.0732✓1.444.6M2022-02-16
XYMSymbolnative0.18680.186508-0.16%0.1747-6.48%0.0570✓0.71423k2022-02-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007440.007429-0.15%0.00601-19.22%0.1884✓2.0019.8M2022-02-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5116.4876-0.14%15.91-3.63%0.0233✓1.05590k2022-02-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.487.4759-0.05%7.24-3.21%0.0283✓0.321.0M2022-02-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1590480.159044-0.00%0.148737-6.48%0.0549✓1.037.1M2022-02-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62330.623365+0.01%0.5683-8.82%0.0770✗1.312.6M2022-02-16
SCSiacoinnative0.012050.012052+0.02%0.01078-10.54%0.0997✗1.01572k2022-02-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.03120.031246+0.15%0.03216+3.08%0.0393✓0.896.6M2022-02-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.212.2134+0.15%1.86-15.84%0.1601✗1.181.7M2022-02-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09430.094619+0.34%0.0851-9.76%0.0915✗1.23219k2022-02-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4060.407807+0.45%0.373-8.13%0.0732✗1.361.8M2022-02-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8270.831035+0.49%0.787-4.84%0.0416✗1.091.6M2022-02-16
TRXTRONTron0.0699430.070303+0.51%0.066472-4.96%0.0454✗0.90362k2022-02-16
LRCLoopringEthereum1.09761.1037+0.56%0.9602-12.52%0.1211✗1.54672k2022-02-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.2721.4513+0.85%17.65-17.02%0.1747✗1.723.8M2022-02-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.