2022-02-05 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2422

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.77%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.3%

in alpha space · 68.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.03%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.04	20.2416	+1.01%	17.04	-14.97%	0.2069	✗	1.73	3.8M	2022-02-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9682	0.97739	+0.95%	0.9401	-2.90%	0.0719	✗	1.64	725k	2022-02-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064762	0.06528	+0.80%	0.063473	-1.99%	0.0461	✗	0.90	379k	2022-02-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002254	0.000022705	+0.73%	0.0000292	+29.55%	0.2260	✓	1.27	1.3M	2022-02-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.354	0.356467	+0.70%	0.37	+4.52%	0.0115	✓	1.28	1.7M	2022-02-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.778	0.782497	+0.58%	0.745	-4.24%	0.0699	✗	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00674	0.006775	+0.52%	0.00616	-8.61%	0.1359	✗	2.03	20.1M	2022-02-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.31	2.3211	+0.48%	1.92	-16.88%	0.2137	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0869	0.087274	+0.43%	0.0857	-1.38%	0.0418	✗	1.18	244k	2022-02-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.040382	0.040545	+0.40%	0.044288	+9.67%	0.0632	✓	1.25	8.4M	2022-02-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.24	7.2608	+0.29%	7.93	+9.53%	0.0819	✓	0.31	1.1M	2022-02-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147026	0.147395	+0.25%	0.144281	-1.87%	0.0417	✗	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01122	0.011246	+0.23%	0.01149	+2.41%	0.0039	✗	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4733	+0.06%	5.48	+0.18%	0.0132	✗	0.72	377k	2022-02-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.265	0.265145	+0.05%	0.338	+27.55%	0.2244	✓	0.91	63k	2022-02-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.42	29.4286	+0.03%	31.67	+7.65%	0.0527	✓	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01113	0.011133	+0.02%	0.01276	+14.65%	0.1105	✓	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.8	56.7842	-0.03%	59.18	+4.19%	0.0190	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.67	8.6666	-0.04%	8.98	+3.58%	0.0106	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-02-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.3	15.2937	-0.04%	15.16	-0.92%	0.0281	✓	0.96	663k	2022-02-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.3404	3.3373	-0.09%	3.5079	+5.01%	0.0290	✗	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5995	0.598839	-0.11%	0.562	-6.26%	0.0890	✓	1.27	2.7M	2022-02-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.059	6.0505	-0.14%	5.916	-2.36%	0.0391	✓	0.83	91k	2022-02-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03104	0.030997	-0.14%	0.03125	+0.68%	0.0083	✓	0.82	7.6M	2022-02-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4932	0.492443	-0.15%	0.4604	-6.65%	0.0947	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-02-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.976	0.974435	-0.16%	0.942	-3.48%	0.0608	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000839	0.00008376	-0.17%	0.0000823	-1.91%	0.0398	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-02-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0405	0.040427	-0.18%	0.03381	-16.52%	0.1994	✓	1.03	9.0M	2022-02-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.93	132.6575	-0.20%	133.7	+0.58%	0.0104	✓	0.91	7.6M	2022-02-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.8	113.5322	-0.24%	95.95	-15.69%	0.1922	✓	1.19	187.6M	2022-02-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3221	1.3189	-0.25%	1.1541	-12.71%	0.1532	✓	0.99	333k	2022-02-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01154	0.01151	-0.26%	0.01068	-7.45%	0.0952	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2627	0.262018	-0.26%	0.2514	-4.30%	0.0634	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.8	121.4723	-0.27%	126.78	+4.09%	0.0167	✗	1.30	31.3M	2022-02-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8014	1.7965	-0.27%	1.7725	-1.60%	0.0350	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.213222	0.212636	-0.27%	0.218218	+2.34%	0.0060	✗	0.99	24.9M	2022-02-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	185.88	185.3058	-0.31%	166.09	-10.65%	0.1321	✓	1.12	1.0M	2022-02-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1933	2.1861	-0.33%	2.1781	-0.69%	0.0268	✓	1.15	845k	2022-02-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1293	0.128849	-0.35%	0.1393	+7.73%	0.0522	✗	1.28	3.3M	2022-02-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.52	6.4967	-0.36%	6.67	+2.30%	0.0098	✗	0.82	478k	2022-02-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.67	6.6452	-0.37%	5.98	-10.34%	0.1252	✓	0.98	818k	2022-02-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02206	0.021978	-0.37%	0.021888	-0.78%	0.0253	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4481	0.44635	-0.39%	0.4191	-6.47%	0.0885	✓	1.27	9.4M	2022-02-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.4327	-0.42%	6.4	-0.93%	0.0202	✓	0.75	463k	2022-02-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1381	1.1333	-0.42%	1.0443	-8.24%	0.1055	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.166	8.1308	-0.43%	7.781	-4.71%	0.0506	✓	0.33	40k	2022-02-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,460.80	41,268.60	-0.46%	42,568.00	+2.67%	0.0115	✗	0.97	40k	2022-02-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.08	115.5411	-0.46%	117.83	+1.51%	0.0053	✓	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.533	0.530521	-0.47%	0.514	-3.56%	0.0592	✓	1.37	4.6M	2022-02-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.89	2.8759	-0.49%	2.3	-20.42%	0.2425	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.17	2.1582	-0.54%	2.02	-6.91%	0.0920	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8205	85.3353	-0.57%	85.8439	+0.03%	0.0211	✓	1.35	320k	2022-02-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	45.61	45.3487	-0.57%	40.89	-10.35%	0.1345	✓	1.55	568k	2022-02-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.66	2.6446	-0.58%	2.56	-3.76%	0.0524	✓	0.99	579k	2022-02-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9549	0.949294	-0.59%	1.2471	+30.60%	0.2440	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05888	0.058534	-0.59%	0.05601	-4.87%	0.0703	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.79	1.7794	-0.59%	1.69	-5.59%	0.0760	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.686	19.5578	-0.65%	19.111	-2.92%	0.0512	✓	1.40	10.5M	2022-02-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04465	0.044354	-0.66%	0.04235	-5.15%	0.0679	✓	1.08	28k	2022-02-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.6	102.9052	-0.67%	104.19	+0.57%	0.0104	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-02-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1855	0.184251	-0.67%	0.1736	-6.42%	0.0734	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.27	11.194	-0.67%	10.64	-5.59%	0.0764	✓	1.28	12.5M	2022-02-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.48	5.4421	-0.69%	5.34	-2.55%	0.0388	✓	0.99	875k	2022-02-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.9	3.8723	-0.71%	4.27	+9.49%	0.0724	✗	1.26	2.1M	2022-02-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.514	6.4671	-0.72%	6.939	+6.52%	0.0510	✗	0.97	341k	2022-02-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.728	2.7082	-0.73%	2.76	+1.17%	0.0077	✓	1.33	911k	2022-02-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.77	0.76425	-0.75%	0.94	+22.08%	0.1695	✗	1.87	996k	2022-02-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.45	22.282	-0.75%	22.54	+0.40%	0.0196	✓	1.55	411k	2022-02-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.35	21.187	-0.76%	18.82	-11.85%	0.1452	✓	1.33	43.5M	2022-02-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01353	0.013425	-0.77%	0.01362	+0.67%	0.0035	✓	0.89	13k	2022-02-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.921	1.9059	-0.79%	1.812	-5.67%	0.0746	✓	1.20	1.2M	2022-02-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,404.85	41,068.73	-0.81%	42,244.97	+2.03%	0.0082	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3148	0.31222	-0.82%	0.2852	-9.40%	0.1122	✓	1.08	554k	2022-02-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		96.73	95.9092	-0.85%	94.11	-2.71%	0.0372	✓	0.91	1.6M	2022-02-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	320.74	317.9648	-0.87%	330.64	+3.09%	0.0187	✗	1.02	7.6M	2022-02-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92529	0.917047	-0.89%	0.80694	-12.79%	0.1604	✓	1.62	350k	2022-02-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.97	21.7739	-0.89%	20.86	-5.05%	0.0658	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1255	1.1154	-0.90%	1.0596	-5.86%	0.0735	✓	1.10	110.9M	2022-02-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.519	1.5053	-0.90%	1.267	-16.59%	0.1970	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2088	0.206876	-0.92%	0.2064	-1.15%	0.0283	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1551	0.15365	-0.94%	0.1672	+7.80%	0.0637	✗	1.04	337k	2022-02-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.562	2.5379	-0.94%	2.354	-8.12%	0.0954	✓	1.00	22k	2022-02-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.16	45.7201	-0.95%	44.18	-4.29%	0.0574	✓	1.15	34.0M	2022-02-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4421	0.437747	-0.98%	0.6015	+36.06%	0.2850	✗	1.63	1.8M	2022-02-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.9281	6.8586	-1.00%	6.7389	-2.73%	0.0461	✓	1.42	174k	2022-02-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.231	3.1985	-1.01%	3.162	-2.14%	0.0269	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.761	1.7431	-1.02%	1.618	-8.12%	0.0967	✓	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1181	0.116885	-1.03%	0.1035	-12.36%	0.1511	✓	1.47	1.6M	2022-02-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.09	76.2922	-1.03%	81.34	+5.51%	0.0377	✗	1.31	87.1M	2022-02-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	136.68	135.2581	-1.04%	127.26	-6.89%	0.0857	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.652675	0.645873	-1.04%	0.617618	-5.37%	0.0676	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1129	0.111709	-1.05%	0.1086	-3.81%	0.0479	✓	0.98	37k	2022-02-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.81	29.4932	-1.06%	28.49	-4.43%	0.0669	✓	1.61	2.1M	2022-02-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0021	0.99143	-1.06%	0.9188	-8.31%	0.0984	✓	1.11	29.4M	2022-02-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,014.50	2,982.01	-1.08%	2,919.99	-3.14%	0.0429	✓	1.09	557.7M	2022-02-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0763	0.075477	-1.08%	0.0717	-6.03%	0.0727	✓	1.06	21k	2022-02-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.2	164.3736	-1.10%	162.52	-2.21%	0.0387	✓	1.36	10.9M	2022-02-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	168.71	166.8131	-1.12%	173.82	+3.03%	0.0208	✗	1.01	1.7M	2022-02-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10107	0.099933	-1.13%	0.09377	-7.22%	0.0837	✓	1.00	47k	2022-02-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.069	0.068199	-1.16%	0.0956	+38.55%	0.3131	✗	1.23	540k	2022-02-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.166	1.1525	-1.16%	1.052	-9.78%	0.1195	✓	1.41	1.9M	2022-02-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1203	5.0604	-1.17%	4.7989	-6.28%	0.0778	✓	1.23	406k	2022-02-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	55.39	54.7048	-1.24%	51.96	-6.19%	0.0799	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	9.9733	-1.25%	11.03	+9.21%	0.0866	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.4	6.3169	-1.30%	6.32	-1.25%	0.0194	✓	0.99	1.9M	2022-02-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2266	3.1845	-1.30%	3.7974	+17.69%	0.1572	✗	0.94	2.0M	2022-02-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3102	0.306062	-1.33%	0.2838	-8.51%	0.1066	✓	1.55	4.1M	2022-02-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.51	4.4498	-1.34%	4.786	+6.12%	0.0569	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.77	17.5322	-1.34%	15.97	-10.13%	0.1169	✓	1.17	77.2M	2022-02-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016433	0.016211	-1.35%	0.015897	-3.26%	0.0426	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-02-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5217	-1.35%	4.07	+14.01%	0.1389	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7727	0.761897	-1.40%	0.6501	-15.87%	0.1874	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.085	0.083786	-1.43%	0.07609	-10.48%	0.1115	✓	0.75	84k	2022-02-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.21	1.1927	-1.43%	1.12	-7.44%	0.0886	✓	1.28	490k	2022-02-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9423	3.8859	-1.43%	4.109	+4.23%	0.0300	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.6	3.5475	-1.46%	3.312	-8.00%	0.0845	✓	0.79	678k	2022-02-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.37	-1.46%	2.87	-16.08%	0.1883	✓	1.38	21.3M	2022-02-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.8553	-1.54%	2.5	-13.79%	0.1564	✓	1.17	441k	2022-02-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9491	0.934395	-1.55%	0.8744	-7.87%	0.0871	✓	1.03	14.2M	2022-02-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5202	0.512062	-1.56%	0.4544	-12.65%	0.1549	✓	1.76	42.5M	2022-02-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0145	2.9671	-1.57%	2.9115	-3.41%	0.0368	✓	0.89	2.8M	2022-02-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0368	0.03622	-1.58%	0.0322	-12.50%	0.1488	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.7941	4.7183	-1.58%	5.9446	+24.00%	0.2260	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.21	2.1746	-1.60%	1.91	-13.57%	0.1574	✓	1.38	3.5M	2022-02-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.35	27.8421	-1.79%	30.19	+6.49%	0.0616	✗	0.97	513k	2022-02-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0234	6.8919	-1.87%	6.758	-3.78%	0.0364	✓	0.84	4.1M	2022-02-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039527	0.038783	-1.88%	0.028632	-27.56%	0.3292	✓	1.28	120k	2022-02-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.15	7.9915	-1.95%	7.78	-4.54%	0.0337	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-02-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.87	15.5264	-2.17%	18.05	+13.74%	0.1380	✗	0.63	908k	2022-02-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.26	21.7747	-2.18%	20.07	-9.84%	0.1042	✓	1.13	26.9M	2022-02-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.76	30.0259	-2.39%	27.07	-12.00%	0.1260	✓	1.12	109.3M	2022-02-12
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000226	0.000002202	-2.54%	0.00000217	-3.98%	0.0349	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-02-12
STX	Stacks	native	1.58	1.5393	-2.57%	1.52	-3.80%	0.0327	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-12
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.124695	-2.58%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0924	✓	1.00	102k	2022-02-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.76	5.6048	-2.69%	4.89	-15.10%	0.1605	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20531	0.19975	-2.71%	0.18496	-9.91%	0.1072	✓	1.51	32k	2022-02-12
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.24	2.1783	-2.75%	2.404	+7.32%	0.0785	✗	1.00	67k	2022-02-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.68	4.5491	-2.80%	4.15	-11.32%	0.1187	✓	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-12
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.981516	-2.82%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0423	✓	1.00	333k	2022-02-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,186.77	24,464.86	-2.87%	23,131.85	-8.16%	0.0743	✓	0.91	12.4M	2022-02-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6186	0.599454	-3.10%	0.5785	-6.48%	0.0575	✓	1.09	1.5M	2022-02-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.054	1.9869	-3.27%	1.8422	-10.31%	0.0888	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4881	3.3711	-3.35%	3.527	+1.12%	0.0283	✓	0.84	26k	2022-02-12
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	2.1431	-3.46%	2.22	+0.00%	0.0151	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-12
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05051	0.04833	-4.32%	0.04741	-6.14%	0.0393	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1089	0.104082	-4.42%	0.0682	-37.37%	0.4604	✓	1.87	26.7M	2022-02-12
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.769	5.4685	-5.21%	4.904	-14.99%	0.1290	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-12
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2863	1.2183	-5.29%	1.2939	+0.59%	0.0401	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.