2022-01-24 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0672

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.41%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.2%

in alpha space · 72.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.90%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4591	0.487093	+6.10%	0.4369	-4.84%	0.1794	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-01-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.039334	+4.61%	0.0975	+159.31%	0.8149	✓	1.94	23.4M	2022-01-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00795	0.008251	+3.79%	0.00728	-8.43%	0.2400	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.47	17.0726	+3.66%	20.15	+22.34%	0.0790	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-01-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8598	0.890627	+3.59%	0.9985	+16.13%	0.0144	✓	2.09	1.1M	2022-01-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.828011	+3.50%	0.82	+2.50%	0.0871	✗	1.62	569k	2022-01-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.75	78.3925	+3.49%	75.0775	-0.89%	0.1026	✗	1.24	465k	2022-01-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.02	2.0863	+3.28%	2.16	+6.93%	0.0355	✗	1.47	6.0M	2022-01-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.27	5.4396	+3.22%	6.25	+18.60%	0.0954	✓	0.91	968k	2022-01-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.554	0.571641	+3.18%	0.6166	+11.30%	0.0028	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.82	2.9075	+3.10%	3.27	+15.96%	0.0513	✓	1.38	30.7M	2022-01-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.034671	+2.88%	0.0352	+4.45%	0.0550	✗	1.47	962k	2022-01-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.312	0.320938	+2.86%	0.318	+1.92%	0.0787	✗	1.45	1.7M	2022-01-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.712	6.902	+2.83%	7.318	+9.03%	0.0437	✓	0.31	37k	2022-01-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.71	6.8984	+2.81%	7.35	+9.54%	0.0462	✓	0.36	2.5M	2022-01-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.2082	+2.73%	5.8	+14.40%	0.0585	✓	1.03	1.1M	2022-01-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.18	6.3328	+2.47%	6.54	+5.83%	0.0210	✓	0.23	1.2M	2022-01-31
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8485	0.869039	+2.42%	0.9619	+13.36%	0.0285	✓	1.53	3.8M	2022-01-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.4	4.5033	+2.35%	4.23	-3.86%	0.1291	✗	1.39	13.3M	2022-01-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.477	0.488036	+2.31%	0.491	+2.94%	0.0688	✗	1.56	8.0M	2022-01-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036957	0.037806	+2.30%	0.039278	+6.28%	0.0257	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-01-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.8514	+2.29%	21.3	+15.57%	0.0640	✓	1.21	14.5M	2022-01-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.053067	0.054206	+2.15%	0.037542	-29.26%	0.4152	✗	1.00	419k	2022-01-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.81	13.0659	+2.00%	14.36	+12.10%	0.0439	✓	1.06	947k	2022-01-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.02	19.3933	+1.96%	20.51	+7.83%	0.0189	✓	1.56	940k	2022-01-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	102.9	104.8547	+1.90%	97.15	-5.59%	0.1264	✗	1.05	7.3M	2022-01-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.023	1.042	+1.86%	1.1648	+13.87%	0.0623	✓	1.03	416k	2022-01-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.11	34.727	+1.81%	41	+20.20%	0.0906	✓	1.58	626k	2022-01-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014337	0.014594	+1.79%	0.014268	-0.48%	0.0808	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0557	0.056694	+1.78%	0.0619	+11.13%	0.0167	✓	1.49	638k	2022-01-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.78	127.0034	+1.78%	121.39	-2.72%	0.1074	✗	1.30	80k	2022-01-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.82	0.834205	+1.73%	0.915	+11.59%	0.0248	✓	1.41	2.4M	2022-01-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.00934	0.009501	+1.72%	0.01022	+9.42%	0.0086	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.715078	+1.72%	0.731	+3.98%	0.0315	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.93	8.0648	+1.70%	7.94	+0.13%	0.0769	✗	1.28	3.1M	2022-01-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.7897	+1.69%	1.95	+10.80%	0.0199	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-01-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05059	0.051439	+1.68%	0.058	+14.65%	0.0441	✓	1.59	1.9M	2022-01-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.96	93.4783	+1.65%	99.52	+8.22%	0.0051	✓	1.20	147.7M	2022-01-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.8826	0.896712	+1.60%	1.0903	+23.53%	0.1342	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0759	0.077104	+1.59%	0.0812	+6.98%	0.0071	✓	1.23	317k	2022-01-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.055067	0.055939	+1.58%	0.059132	+7.38%	0.0089	✓	0.97	491k	2022-01-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.49	95.9299	+1.52%	94.57	+0.08%	0.0790	✗	1.35	8.4M	2022-01-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002123	0.000021552	+1.52%	0.00002142	+0.89%	0.0742	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.86	4.9335	+1.51%	5.25	+8.02%	0.0274	✓	0.73	480k	2022-01-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00936	0.009498	+1.47%	0.00994	+6.20%	0.0068	✓	1.09	641k	2022-01-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02733	0.027726	+1.45%	0.02978	+8.96%	0.0252	✓	0.97	8.7M	2022-01-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2121	0.215042	+1.39%	0.2718	+28.15%	0.1813	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74957	0.759761	+1.36%	0.85261	+13.75%	0.0295	✓	1.79	792k	2022-01-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.21	1.2253	+1.27%	1.2778	+5.60%	0.0059	✓	1.00	3.9M	2022-01-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1111	0.112497	+1.26%	0.1136	+2.25%	0.0551	✗	1.36	4.2M	2022-01-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.257166	+1.25%	0.247	-2.76%	0.0867	✗	0.97	70k	2022-01-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	174.93	177.0425	+1.21%	159.75	-8.68%	0.1603	✗	1.20	1.4M	2022-01-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.5641	+1.17%	6.26	+13.82%	0.0810	✓	0.77	640k	2022-01-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.504	1.5214	+1.16%	1.888	+25.53%	0.1537	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-01-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.3366	+1.15%	2.69	+16.45%	0.0667	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-01-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3932	0.397689	+1.14%	0.409	+4.02%	0.0338	✗	1.29	11.3M	2022-01-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06212	0.062819	+1.12%	0.07979	+28.44%	0.1989	✓	0.84	67k	2022-01-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.61	15.7848	+1.12%	17.16	+9.93%	0.0244	✓	1.24	79.0M	2022-01-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.24	51.7962	+1.09%	52.38	+2.22%	0.0469	✗	1.21	6.5M	2022-01-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.47	23.721	+1.07%	27.02	+15.13%	0.0506	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007195	0.000072679	+1.01%	0.00007633	+6.09%	0.0045	✓	1.12	6.3M	2022-01-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.595	+0.95%	1.68	+6.33%	0.0007	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-01-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020919	0.021117	+0.94%	0.021024	+0.50%	0.0590	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.4016	+0.94%	3.48	+3.26%	0.0362	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.59	5.6409	+0.91%	6.27	+12.16%	0.0649	✓	0.85	591k	2022-01-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,642.30	36,963.94	+0.88%	38,589.30	+5.31%	0.0051	✓	1.01	53k	2022-01-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.163	1.1731	+0.87%	1.359	+16.85%	0.0850	✓	1.30	3.8M	2022-01-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.03	18.1854	+0.86%	19.39	+7.54%	0.0026	✓	1.40	60.5M	2022-01-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0465	3.0717	+0.83%	3.1164	+2.29%	0.0390	✗	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.41	153.6614	+0.82%	157.59	+3.40%	0.0383	✗	1.33	15.3M	2022-01-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2227	0.224526	+0.82%	0.2423	+8.80%	0.0157	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5079	0.512043	+0.82%	0.5492	+8.13%	0.0067	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.17	24.364	+0.80%	25.67	+6.21%	0.0011	✓	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.94	5.9867	+0.79%	5.95	+0.17%	0.0570	✗	1.06	3.3M	2022-01-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.081	3.1044	+0.76%	3.227	+4.74%	0.0031	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.73	20.8831	+0.74%	19.82	-4.39%	0.1146	✗	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.79	20.9414	+0.73%	25.21	+21.26%	0.1495	✓	0.75	360k	2022-01-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.674869	+0.73%	0.64	-4.48%	0.1435	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01192	0.012006	+0.72%	0.01331	+11.66%	0.0616	✓	0.87	20k	2022-01-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	90.49	91.1294	+0.71%	94.18	+4.08%	0.0249	✗	1.21	2.9M	2022-01-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6239	+0.69%	1.5526	-3.73%	0.0984	✗	1.12	95k	2022-01-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01025	0.01032	+0.68%	0.00993	-3.12%	0.0973	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-01-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.08	2.0938	+0.66%	2.8223	+35.69%	0.2429	✓	1.16	3.7M	2022-01-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0578	0.058153	+0.61%	0.0658	+13.84%	0.0692	✓	1.14	21k	2022-01-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.04	147.8859	+0.58%	147.48	+0.30%	0.0518	✗	1.03	2.5M	2022-01-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9641	2.9811	+0.57%	3.4938	+17.87%	0.0915	✓	1.40	3.1M	2022-01-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.7	10.7607	+0.57%	11.78	+10.09%	0.0265	✓	1.34	12.7M	2022-01-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4258	0.428208	+0.57%	0.464	+8.97%	0.0136	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.6	2.614	+0.54%	2.15	-17.31%	0.2716	✗	1.59	2.8M	2022-01-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.505092	0.507779	+0.53%	0.567335	+12.32%	0.0508	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137427	0.138127	+0.51%	0.141646	+3.07%	0.0288	✗	1.13	7.0M	2022-01-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05018	0.050417	+0.47%	0.04586	-8.61%	0.1599	✗	1.36	11.1M	2022-01-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.4487	5.4738	+0.46%	6.0678	+11.36%	0.0328	✓	1.47	251k	2022-01-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05626	0.056518	+0.46%	0.04985	-11.39%	0.1734	✗	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3506	+0.45%	2.39	+2.14%	0.0412	✗	1.21	721k	2022-01-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	63.05	63.3136	+0.42%	69.92	+10.90%	0.0361	✓	1.32	87.3M	2022-01-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0149	+0.39%	2.247	+11.96%	0.0552	✓	1.13	24k	2022-01-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.128	6.1506	+0.37%	6.119	-0.15%	0.0459	✗	0.85	170k	2022-01-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1572	0.157766	+0.36%	0.1836	+16.79%	0.1187	✓	0.69	573k	2022-01-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9125	0.915467	+0.33%	0.9504	+4.15%	0.0189	✗	1.18	37.0M	2022-01-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2825	2.2895	+0.31%	2.1315	-6.61%	0.1329	✗	1.28	791k	2022-01-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.568	2.5758	+0.30%	2.683	+4.48%	0.0320	✗	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.591	15.6379	+0.30%	18.065	+15.87%	0.0694	✓	1.56	10.9M	2022-01-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.65	109.9751	+0.30%	109.55	-0.09%	0.0689	✗	1.36	33.8M	2022-01-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1426	0.143015	+0.29%	0.1361	-4.56%	0.0957	✗	0.97	337k	2022-01-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,944.84	24,009.02	+0.27%	24,852.85	+3.79%	0.0102	✗	0.94	20.9M	2022-01-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1756	0.176063	+0.26%	0.1889	+7.57%	0.0023	✓	1.42	4.3M	2022-01-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.474	1.4779	+0.26%	1.547	+4.95%	0.0129	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7906	0.792549	+0.25%	0.8338	+5.46%	0.0034	✗	1.13	22.4M	2022-01-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198106	0.198451	+0.17%	0.199723	+0.82%	0.0450	✗	1.07	25.6M	2022-01-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.34	2.3433	+0.14%	2.5	+6.84%	0.0154	✓	1.03	819k	2022-01-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03766	0.03771	+0.13%	0.04045	+7.41%	0.0153	✓	1.15	28k	2022-01-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,441.74	2,444.76	+0.12%	2,689.72	+10.16%	0.0412	✓	1.13	557.7M	2022-01-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.59	35.6333	+0.12%	43.58	+22.45%	0.1438	✓	1.20	32.3M	2022-01-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8142	0.814598	+0.05%	0.8388	+3.02%	0.0422	✗	1.49	107k	2022-01-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.1138	4.1154	+0.04%	5.0138	+21.88%	0.1391	✓	1.22	443k	2022-01-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.941	2.9394	-0.05%	3.042	+3.43%	0.0044	✓	0.81	514k	2022-01-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097596	-0.11%	0.1022	+4.61%	0.0062	✓	1.09	43k	2022-01-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.7061	-0.13%	4.108	+10.70%	0.0650	✗	0.79	420k	2022-01-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08158	0.081426	-0.19%	0.08784	+7.67%	0.0175	✗	1.22	45k	2022-01-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	292.51	291.7861	-0.25%	285.23	-2.49%	0.0741	✓	1.07	7.8M	2022-01-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,693.32	36,582.20	-0.30%	38,491.93	+4.90%	0.0030	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-01-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.417	7.3928	-0.33%	5.389	-27.34%	0.3640	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1023	0.101944	-0.35%	0.1215	+18.77%	0.1040	✗	1.49	2.0M	2022-01-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.898	5.8729	-0.43%	5.904	+0.10%	0.0438	✓	1.03	320k	2022-01-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5732	0.570579	-0.46%	0.5403	-5.74%	0.1445	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5476	3.5313	-0.46%	3.7199	+4.86%	0.0510	✗	0.02	375k	2022-01-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.56	2.5459	-0.55%	2.31	-9.77%	0.1451	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.22	4.1966	-0.55%	5.73	+35.78%	0.2503	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.64	8.584	-0.65%	9.62	+11.34%	0.0783	✗	0.74	768k	2022-01-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.78	91.1701	-0.66%	91.32	-0.50%	0.0456	✓	0.99	1.7M	2022-01-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7044	2.6863	-0.67%	3.0665	+13.39%	0.0834	✗	1.02	2.1M	2022-01-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2619	0.260027	-0.72%	0.3291	+25.66%	0.1575	✗	1.63	4.6M	2022-01-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0664	1.0582	-0.77%	1.0524	-1.31%	0.0609	✓	1.16	109.4M	2022-01-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.53	12.38	-1.20%	14.25	+13.73%	0.1069	✗	0.71	806k	2022-01-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9084	2.8722	-1.24%	3.1775	+9.25%	0.0596	✗	0.87	3,355	2022-01-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.92	65.0268	-1.35%	52.15	-20.89%	0.3061	✓	1.79	8.2M	2022-01-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.94	3.8842	-1.42%	3.41	-13.45%	0.1417	✓	0.24	481k	2022-01-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16604	0.163458	-1.56%	0.19016	+14.53%	0.0759	✗	1.58	9,020	2022-01-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2431	6.1446	-1.58%	6.867	+9.99%	0.0652	✗	0.96	4.5M	2022-01-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5315	0.520389	-2.09%	0.549	+3.29%	0.0023	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.03	35.2275	-2.23%	28.07	-22.09%	0.2842	✓	1.19	115.0M	2022-01-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5542	1.5194	-2.24%	1.887	+21.41%	0.1766	✗	0.84	2.2M	2022-01-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.