2022-01-22 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0427

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.78%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

34.3%

in alpha space · 81.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.91%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.7344	-1.78%	3.69	-23.44%	0.2824	✓	0.39	471k	2022-01-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4855	-1.22%	1.7284	+14.93%	0.0813	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-01-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.559895	-1.04%	0.5693	+0.62%	0.0873	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-01-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.5749	-0.36%	13.15	+4.20%	0.0151	✓	0.70	813k	2022-01-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.6574	-0.24%	6.7736	+19.45%	0.1006	✗	0.93	4.5M	2022-01-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.4184	-0.09%	6.128	-4.61%	0.1387	✓	1.08	301k	2022-01-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.6898	+0.11%	9.17	+5.65%	0.0102	✗	0.75	800k	2022-01-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.7277	+0.18%	2.9824	+9.54%	0.0012	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-01-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0734	+0.19%	1.0603	-1.03%	0.1089	✗	1.13	104.1M	2022-01-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	63.0593	+0.27%	50.93	-19.02%	0.3675	✗	1.80	7.8M	2022-01-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.265251	+0.28%	0.31	+17.20%	0.0184	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-01-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.6132	+0.33%	3.4878	-3.16%	0.0365	✗	0.01	371k	2022-01-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	29.3895	+0.41%	29.1	-0.58%	0.0970	✗	1.02	109.3M	2022-01-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.157079	+0.45%	0.18677	+19.43%	0.0423	✓	1.53	7,011	2022-01-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.9829	+0.63%	3.0631	+3.34%	0.0481	✗	0.87	2,942	2022-01-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	89.8261	+0.66%	92.7	+3.88%	0.0498	✗	0.95	1.8M	2022-01-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.2697	+0.71%	4.851	+14.43%	0.0250	✓	1.20	443k	2022-01-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	35,339.98	+0.78%	38,191.10	+8.91%	0.0078	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.6938	+0.79%	4.042	+10.29%	0.0238	✓	0.78	445k	2022-01-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	294.38	+0.86%	299.03	+2.45%	0.0742	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-01-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.079421	+0.88%	0.08979	+14.05%	0.0215	✓	1.19	41k	2022-01-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.095464	+1.13%	0.1047	+10.91%	0.0013	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	109.6435	+1.14%	110.84	+2.24%	0.1028	✗	1.33	30.5M	2022-01-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.3586	+1.23%	2.42	+3.86%	0.0618	✗	1.03	819k	2022-01-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	154.3042	+1.29%	153.67	+0.87%	0.0904	✗	1.01	2.6M	2022-01-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.060183	+1.32%	0.0653	+9.93%	0.0145	✗	1.13	21k	2022-01-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	33.8823	+1.32%	41.73	+24.79%	0.1060	✓	1.20	29.0M	2022-01-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.444445	+1.36%	0.4637	+5.75%	0.0787	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.3361	+1.37%	17.542	+15.95%	0.0031	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-01-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.134985	+1.37%	0.143169	+7.52%	0.0333	✗	1.08	6.7M	2022-01-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.6329	+1.38%	5.9616	+7.29%	0.0664	✗	1.44	263k	2022-01-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,445.51	+1.39%	2,603.74	+7.95%	0.0331	✗	1.12	502.4M	2022-01-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.01293	+1.42%	0.01347	+5.65%	0.0343	✗	0.88	21k	2022-01-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.195107	+1.42%	0.203491	+5.78%	0.0495	✗	1.07	24.9M	2022-01-29
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.073048	+1.43%	0.05525	-23.29%	0.3646	✗	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.141411	+1.44%	0.1205	-13.56%	0.2408	✗	0.95	362k	2022-01-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.5919	+1.49%	25.34	+4.58%	0.0636	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-01-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	21.8419	+1.54%	26.24	+21.99%	0.1198	✓	0.75	353k	2022-01-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.236721	+1.55%	0.2425	+4.03%	0.0839	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.152141	+1.56%	0.1739	+16.09%	0.0735	✓	0.70	536k	2022-01-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.8483	+1.58%	3.009	+7.31%	0.0126	✓	0.79	523k	2022-01-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	2.0117	+1.65%	2.245	+13.44%	0.0168	✓	1.09	24k	2022-01-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.036921	+1.68%	0.04089	+12.61%	0.0055	✓	1.13	25k	2022-01-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.967319	+1.69%	0.9693	+1.90%	0.1012	✗	1.21	34.7M	2022-01-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.352	+1.72%	11.16	+0.00%	0.1308	✗	1.33	12.7M	2022-01-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6786	+1.73%	1.6081	-2.54%	0.1384	✗	1.12	95k	2022-01-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.527846	+1.73%	0.565434	+8.98%	0.0346	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-01-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.179501	+1.76%	0.1844	+4.54%	0.0934	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-01-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	193.5073	+1.80%	171.16	-9.95%	0.2257	✗	1.21	1.3M	2022-01-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.7631	+1.82%	6.08	+7.42%	0.0185	✗	0.84	616k	2022-01-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.6138	+1.82%	2.667	+3.90%	0.1112	✗	1.54	1.1M	2022-01-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.423906	+1.83%	0.4104	-1.42%	0.1440	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3833	+1.85%	2.31	-1.28%	0.1325	✗	1.19	737k	2022-01-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.5547	+1.85%	3.51	+0.57%	0.1148	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.723927	+1.88%	0.9037	+27.17%	0.1050	✓	1.37	108k	2022-01-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	3.0633	+1.88%	3.1573	+5.01%	0.0750	✗	1.23	3.8M	2022-01-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	98.9005	+1.89%	96.55	-0.54%	0.1285	✗	1.22	2.8M	2022-01-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.517516	+1.95%	0.5251	+3.45%	0.0979	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.057869	+1.97%	0.060341	+6.33%	0.0404	✗	0.96	486k	2022-01-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.3934	+2.00%	1.493	+9.30%	0.0329	✗	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.0872	+2.01%	2.3362	+14.17%	0.0056	✓	1.25	714k	2022-01-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.063632	+2.02%	0.0727	+16.56%	0.0621	✓	0.83	60k	2022-01-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.185	+2.07%	1.364	+17.48%	0.0318	✓	1.27	4.0M	2022-01-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.010187	+2.07%	0.0104	+4.21%	0.0876	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.6539	+2.09%	1.72	+6.17%	0.0529	✗	1.08	2.6M	2022-01-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.222471	+2.10%	0.2671	+22.58%	0.0870	✓	1.12	440k	2022-01-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.7482	+2.10%	5.93	+5.33%	0.0337	✗	0.76	645k	2022-01-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	3.016	+2.17%	3.0915	+4.72%	0.0919	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-01-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.6558	+2.17%	18.75	+2.68%	0.1131	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.8635	+2.21%	5.4	+42.86%	0.2304	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-01-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.9288	+2.22%	6.001	+3.47%	0.0551	✗	0.79	163k	2022-01-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.030516	+2.23%	0.03035	+1.68%	0.0893	✗	0.98	8.3M	2022-01-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.5149	+2.23%	2.83	+15.04%	0.0202	✓	1.62	2.2M	2022-01-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.797496	+2.24%	0.8302	+6.44%	0.0541	✗	1.10	22.7M	2022-01-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	3.1279	+2.25%	3.258	+6.51%	0.0335	✗	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.051669	+2.29%	0.05052	+0.02%	0.1377	✗	1.35	12.0M	2022-01-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.0905	+2.31%	2.372	+16.08%	0.0275	✓	1.16	4.3M	2022-01-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009618	+2.32%	0.01015	+7.98%	0.0391	✗	1.09	641k	2022-01-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	6.252	+2.32%	6.08	-0.49%	0.1179	✗	1.05	3.9M	2022-01-29
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	7.5671	+2.37%	6.173	-16.49%	0.2890	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.116245	+2.42%	0.121	+6.61%	0.0746	✗	1.34	4.3M	2022-01-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.015331	+2.48%	0.014518	-2.96%	0.1582	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000070098	+2.50%	0.00007692	+12.47%	0.0011	✓	1.08	6.5M	2022-01-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.561901	+2.50%	0.6022	+9.85%	0.0876	✗	1.84	48.9M	2022-01-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.250181	+2.53%	0.251	+2.87%	0.0761	✗	0.93	67k	2022-01-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	51.4527	+2.56%	49.58	-1.18%	0.1401	✗	1.21	6.3M	2022-01-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	35,747.26	+2.70%	38,181.60	+9.69%	0.0200	✓	1.01	26k	2022-01-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	21.0947	+2.70%	20.18	-1.75%	0.1586	✗	1.34	34.9M	2022-01-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.657582	+2.75%	0.66	+3.12%	0.1601	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-01-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	24.4992	+2.76%	27.09	+13.63%	0.0453	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-01-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.9337	+2.79%	5.16	+7.50%	0.0164	✓	0.72	491k	2022-01-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	151.3131	+2.81%	154.04	+4.66%	0.0901	✗	1.26	17.6M	2022-01-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000021108	+2.82%	0.00002166	+5.50%	0.0946	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-01-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.075271	+2.83%	0.0817	+11.61%	0.0227	✓	1.23	299k	2022-01-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	97.4753	+2.84%	96.25	+1.55%	0.1157	✗	1.21	142.2M	2022-01-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.020682	+2.86%	0.022029	+9.55%	0.0324	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-01-29
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.2115	+2.86%	2.31	+7.44%	0.0418	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.8212	+2.89%	1.92	+8.47%	0.0645	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-01-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	16.3196	+2.90%	16.24	+2.40%	0.1108	✗	1.24	75.4M	2022-01-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.73164	+2.90%	0.731	+2.81%	0.0948	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.009622	+2.91%	0.01002	+7.17%	0.0739	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.895377	+2.92%	0.924	+6.21%	0.0884	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-01-29
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.4867	+2.94%	1.2936	-10.43%	0.2245	✗	1.00	4.1M	2022-01-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	23,579.82	+2.98%	24,297.65	+6.11%	0.0433	✗	0.86	21.5M	2022-01-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.5513	+3.01%	1.758	+16.73%	0.0166	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	61.6071	+3.02%	71.95	+20.32%	0.0435	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-01-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0701	+3.09%	1.154	+11.17%	0.0118	✓	1.02	402k	2022-01-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.1656	+3.13%	2.34	+11.43%	0.0453	✗	1.44	2.6M	2022-01-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.738304	+3.31%	0.84787	+18.64%	0.0107	✓	1.75	848k	2022-01-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	13.6277	+3.32%	14.12	+7.05%	0.0600	✗	1.12	841k	2022-01-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	97.7939	+3.39%	96.39	+1.90%	0.1286	✗	1.34	8.4M	2022-01-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	102.3311	+3.59%	97.51	-1.29%	0.1353	✗	1.02	7.0M	2022-01-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	36.5551	+3.61%	41.64	+18.03%	0.0033	✓	1.56	613k	2022-01-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.514008	+3.63%	0.508	+2.42%	0.1454	✗	1.57	8.0M	2022-01-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.050753	+3.66%	0.06396	+30.64%	0.1024	✓	1.51	1.9M	2022-01-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.082949	+3.82%	0.11	+37.67%	0.1643	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	19.4812	+3.84%	20.73	+10.50%	0.0705	✗	1.55	944k	2022-01-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.3004	+3.97%	6.65	+9.74%	0.0357	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-01-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	125.1021	+3.99%	123.06	+2.29%	0.1231	✗	1.25	88k	2022-01-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.038251	+4.04%	0.039999	+8.80%	0.0672	✗	1.31	10.3M	2022-01-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	19.781	+4.06%	20.29	+6.73%	0.0774	✗	1.20	14.5M	2022-01-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.840033	+4.10%	1.0479	+29.86%	0.1160	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.056537	+4.12%	0.0636	+17.13%	0.0076	✓	1.47	684k	2022-01-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.9065	+4.17%	8.22	+8.30%	0.0672	✗	1.24	3.0M	2022-01-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.8443	+4.18%	6.1	+8.73%	0.0360	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-01-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	87.5569	+4.24%	79.3124	-5.57%	0.2086	✗	1.29	486k	2022-01-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	7.2442	+4.32%	7.324	+5.47%	0.0194	✓	0.36	38k	2022-01-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	7.2677	+4.42%	7.35	+5.60%	0.0233	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-01-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.333563	+4.57%	0.333	+4.39%	0.1220	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-01-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.941293	+4.59%	0.85	-5.56%	0.2412	✗	1.63	569k	2022-01-29
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.056692	+4.63%	0.04515	-16.67%	0.3130	✗	1.00	575k	2022-01-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.610844	+4.70%	0.5968	+2.30%	0.1557	✗	1.55	1.4M	2022-01-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.3027	+4.80%	5.34	+5.53%	0.0804	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-01-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.64	+4.98%	4.19	-5.20%	0.2161	✗	1.34	16.1M	2022-01-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	3.0369	+5.08%	2.99	+3.46%	0.1448	✗	1.51	32.4M	2022-01-29
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.840784	+5.27%	0.952	+19.19%	0.0025	✓	1.48	3.8M	2022-01-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.1935	+5.46%	2.36	+13.46%	0.0520	✓	1.47	6.6M	2022-01-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	16.9976	+5.51%	20.07	+24.58%	0.0103	✓	1.83	4.1M	2022-01-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.034533	+5.93%	0.0362	+11.04%	0.0788	✗	1.48	1.1M	2022-01-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.008479	+6.92%	0.00723	-8.83%	0.3689	✗	2.46	23.2M	2022-01-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.788725	+7.81%	0.9684	+32.37%	0.0344	✓	2.00	1.1M	2022-01-29
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.040598	+7.97%	0.0907	+141.22%	0.6318	✓	2.02	24.3M	2022-01-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.48757	+9.47%	0.4988	+11.99%	0.0848	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-01-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.