2022-01-09 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2256

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.93%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

56.1%

in alpha space · 54.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.93%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.0474	1.0619	+1.39%	0.9199	-12.17%	0.1709	✗	0.94	3.4M	2022-01-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.36	1.373	+0.96%	1.489	+9.49%	0.0425	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-01-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.74	30.0035	+0.89%	32.27	+8.51%	0.0439	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.98	28.2232	+0.87%	27.65	-1.18%	0.0736	✗	1.84	5.4M	2022-01-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0073	3.0329	+0.85%	3.1201	+3.75%	0.0028	✓	1.08	699k	2022-01-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.18	30.4184	+0.79%	30.39	+0.70%	0.0310	✗	1.04	20.1M	2022-01-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066121	0.066635	+0.78%	0.069898	+5.71%	0.0208	✓	0.94	552k	2022-01-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.83	141.9252	+0.78%	147.98	+5.08%	0.0124	✓	1.02	198.8M	2022-01-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1838	0.185205	+0.76%	0.1951	+6.15%	0.0332	✓	0.65	428k	2022-01-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.5961	+0.70%	6.68	+1.98%	0.0056	✓	0.63	674k	2022-01-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.018	4.0455	+0.69%	4.3216	+7.56%	0.0295	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1643	+0.66%	2.44	+13.49%	0.0900	✓	1.04	3.5M	2022-01-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,503.10	42,773.70	+0.64%	43,225.30	+1.70%	0.0178	✗	0.98	10k	2022-01-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.359	0.361225	+0.62%	0.368	+2.51%	0.0020	✓	0.71	38k	2022-01-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.150483	0.151411	+0.62%	0.176716	+17.43%	0.1233	✓	1.08	4.7M	2022-01-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.261	1.2677	+0.53%	1.346	+6.74%	0.0218	✓	1.32	3.1M	2022-01-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.065	1.0706	+0.53%	1.056	-0.85%	0.0409	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	376.94	378.7239	+0.47%	388.33	+3.02%	0.0038	✓	1.00	8.5M	2022-01-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.813	6.845	+0.47%	7.659	+12.42%	0.0770	✓	1.22	271k	2022-01-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.07	28.1797	+0.39%	28.43	+1.28%	0.0104	✗	0.66	370k	2022-01-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		108.94	109.3625	+0.39%	112.64	+3.40%	0.0026	✓	0.93	2.6M	2022-01-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,876.52	42,033.22	+0.37%	43,104.34	+2.93%	0.0037	✗	1.00	696.0M	2022-01-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.6651	7.6931	+0.37%	8.0371	+4.85%	0.0044	✓	1.36	263k	2022-01-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1152	0.115621	+0.37%	0.1198	+3.99%	0.0063	✓	1.01	67k	2022-01-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.617	4.6332	+0.35%	4.928	+6.74%	0.0437	✓	0.62	481k	2022-01-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.84	7.8654	+0.32%	7.97	+1.66%	0.0042	✗	0.60	760k	2022-01-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1698	0.170348	+0.32%	0.1684	-0.82%	0.0463	✗	1.20	4.3M	2022-01-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	71.89	72.104	+0.30%	80.29	+11.68%	0.0776	✓	1.04	6.3M	2022-01-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8039	3.8151	+0.30%	4.1507	+9.12%	0.0644	✓	0.69	3,820	2022-01-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10346	0.103746	+0.28%	0.11025	+6.56%	0.0289	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	130.91	131.2441	+0.26%	146.49	+11.90%	0.0715	✓	1.33	35.1M	2022-01-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1759	0.176338	+0.25%	0.1804	+2.56%	0.0031	✗	0.89	484k	2022-01-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.63	24.6901	+0.24%	27.68	+12.38%	0.0775	✓	1.27	71.0M	2022-01-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018973	0.019017	+0.23%	0.021066	+11.03%	0.0667	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,151.66	3,158.27	+0.21%	3,349.46	+6.28%	0.0289	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-01-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.89	1.8937	+0.20%	1.91	+1.06%	0.0243	✗	1.14	2.4M	2022-01-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.823	2.8272	+0.15%	3.303	+17.00%	0.1104	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.77	3.7754	+0.14%	3.89	+3.18%	0.0103	✓	0.68	514k	2022-01-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1707	1.172	+0.11%	1.4118	+20.59%	0.1553	✓	1.07	95.6M	2022-01-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	193.57	193.7153	+0.08%	192.07	-0.77%	0.0413	✗	1.13	195k	2022-01-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.075	0.075056	+0.07%	0.0805	+7.33%	0.0402	✓	1.03	16k	2022-01-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3161	0.316279	+0.06%	0.3232	+2.25%	0.0148	✗	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.759	7.7633	+0.05%	7.826	+0.86%	0.0113	✗	0.67	231k	2022-01-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0832	0.083242	+0.05%	0.0857	+3.00%	0.0109	✗	1.38	1.1M	2022-01-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.072	0.072015	+0.02%	0.0706	-1.94%	0.0549	✗	1.21	18.4M	2022-01-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009617	0.00009615	-0.02%	0.0001031	+7.21%	0.0412	✗	0.99	6.7M	2022-01-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5841	0.583953	-0.03%	0.5892	+0.87%	0.0258	✓	1.20	12.2M	2022-01-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	209.53	209.4749	-0.03%	242.5	+15.74%	0.1142	✗	1.12	17.6M	2022-01-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01643	0.01642	-0.06%	0.01745	+6.21%	0.0432	✗	0.61	29k	2022-01-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	191	190.8599	-0.07%	224.12	+17.34%	0.1330	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-01-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015408	-0.08%	0.01506	-2.33%	0.0597	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	246.6	246.3782	-0.09%	277.6	+12.57%	0.0869	✗	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.27	14.257	-0.09%	15.18	+6.38%	0.0439	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-01-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2164	4.2121	-0.10%	4.2914	+1.78%	0.0199	✓	1.33	4.6M	2022-01-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.09	14.0696	-0.14%	14.05	-0.28%	0.0340	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9806	0.979137	-0.15%	1.0543	+7.52%	0.0335	✗	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	170.38	170.1162	-0.15%	167.7	-1.57%	0.0412	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-01-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01403	0.014006	-0.17%	0.01396	-0.50%	0.0381	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.79	15.7569	-0.21%	17.83	+12.92%	0.0870	✗	1.27	13.1M	2022-01-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.85	9.8252	-0.25%	10.52	+6.80%	0.0470	✗	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09282	0.092551	-0.29%	0.09268	-0.15%	0.0185	✓	0.69	48k	2022-01-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	37.15	37.0374	-0.30%	46.43	+24.98%	0.1960	✗	1.04	19.4M	2022-01-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.93	6.909	-0.30%	6.97	+0.58%	0.0283	✓	1.28	18.2M	2022-01-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0745	-0.31%	5.39	+5.89%	0.0275	✗	1.14	3.3M	2022-01-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3537	5.3373	-0.31%	6.5777	+22.86%	0.1762	✗	1.13	446k	2022-01-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002828	0.000028188	-0.32%	0.00003053	+7.96%	0.0438	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04947	0.049307	-0.33%	0.05206	+5.24%	0.0232	✗	1.08	16k	2022-01-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.87	2.8593	-0.37%	2.7	-5.92%	0.0952	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	160.3372	159.727	-0.38%	149.9189	-6.50%	0.0916	✓	0.98	540k	2022-01-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1126	0.112163	-0.39%	0.1124	-0.18%	0.0299	✓	1.11	280k	2022-01-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.724063	0.721239	-0.39%	0.766499	+5.86%	0.0293	✗	1.09	2.6M	2022-01-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.7786	-0.40%	8.06	+3.20%	0.0146	✗	0.73	741k	2022-01-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9326	2.9206	-0.41%	3.3295	+13.53%	0.0975	✗	1.16	2.6M	2022-01-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.9	20.8103	-0.43%	20.72	-0.86%	0.0254	✓	0.73	1.2M	2022-01-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.76	3.7439	-0.43%	4.17	+10.90%	0.0663	✗	1.43	2.4M	2022-01-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.749	0.745724	-0.44%	0.807	+7.74%	0.0385	✗	1.40	7.6M	2022-01-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.94	29.7936	-0.49%	30.87	+3.11%	0.0066	✓	1.46	1.0M	2022-01-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061494	-0.50%	0.056	-9.39%	0.1325	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-01-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.261185	0.259759	-0.55%	0.259124	-0.79%	0.0317	✓	1.01	24.0M	2022-01-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5757	1.5666	-0.58%	1.3643	-13.42%	0.1932	✓	1.90	1.3M	2022-01-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2503	1.2431	-0.58%	1.31	+4.77%	0.0234	✗	1.01	3.3M	2022-01-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2854	6.2447	-0.65%	7.0621	+12.36%	0.1003	✗	0.79	3.5M	2022-01-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.93	55.5661	-0.65%	55.13	-1.43%	0.0485	✓	1.41	772k	2022-01-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.282	4.2534	-0.67%	4.161	-2.83%	0.0442	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-01-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0712	1.064	-0.67%	1.1373	+6.17%	0.0391	✗	0.95	21.2M	2022-01-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01348	0.013388	-0.68%	0.01413	+4.82%	0.0259	✗	0.97	756k	2022-01-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.82	3.7935	-0.69%	4.79	+25.39%	0.2129	✗	0.70	646k	2022-01-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.16	3.1381	-0.69%	3.2	+1.27%	0.0083	✓	0.96	949k	2022-01-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8848	0.878335	-0.73%	1.0848	+22.60%	0.1822	✗	1.00	133k	2022-01-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.87	2.8464	-0.82%	2.849	-0.73%	0.0250	✓	0.90	32k	2022-01-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0428	0.042447	-0.83%	0.04114	-3.88%	0.0571	✓	0.89	8.0M	2022-01-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.46	1.4475	-0.86%	1.38	-5.48%	0.0955	✓	1.65	790k	2022-01-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0897	0.088913	-0.88%	0.0799	-10.93%	0.1358	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-01-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.01	9.9199	-0.90%	9.71	-3.00%	0.0197	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3333	0.330274	-0.91%	0.3412	+2.37%	0.0087	✓	1.43	3.8M	2022-01-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7652	3.7308	-0.91%	3.7853	+0.53%	0.0168	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-01-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0347	1.0249	-0.95%	1.0558	+2.04%	0.0205	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6473	0.64106	-0.96%	0.714	+10.30%	0.0722	✗	1.23	4.4M	2022-01-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	1.0002	-0.97%	1.09	+7.92%	0.0352	✗	1.76	1.6M	2022-01-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.34	88.473	-0.97%	92.34	+3.36%	0.0112	✗	1.09	115.7M	2022-01-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.56	8.476	-0.98%	8.2	-4.21%	0.0590	✓	0.90	1.1M	2022-01-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5581	1.5424	-1.00%	1.663	+6.74%	0.0505	✗	0.86	647k	2022-01-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.28	142.8102	-1.02%	141.5	-1.93%	0.0456	✓	1.26	10.6M	2022-01-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.32	19.1123	-1.07%	21.156	+9.50%	0.0552	✗	1.61	13.0M	2022-01-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.298	2.2728	-1.10%	2.51	+9.23%	0.0686	✗	1.06	1.8M	2022-01-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08615	0.085186	-1.12%	0.08284	-3.84%	0.0695	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.053	2.0289	-1.18%	2.0834	+1.48%	0.0033	✓	1.03	90k	2022-01-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.32	5.2547	-1.23%	5.68	+6.77%	0.0466	✗	1.08	2.1M	2022-01-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.49	4.4349	-1.23%	5.13	+14.25%	0.1059	✗	1.37	30.4M	2022-01-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,662.92	32,261.00	-1.23%	33,593.69	+2.85%	0.0217	✗	0.65	25.2M	2022-01-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17635	0.174167	-1.24%	0.20111	+14.04%	0.0991	✗	1.55	4,992	2022-01-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.261	0.25772	-1.26%	0.2698	+3.37%	0.0083	✓	1.30	4.5M	2022-01-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.68	3.6326	-1.29%	3.32	-9.78%	0.1274	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064749	0.063877	-1.35%	0.057685	-10.91%	0.1388	✓	1.27	7.1M	2022-01-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1676	0.1652	-1.43%	0.1383	-17.48%	0.2137	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-01-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.301	11.1363	-1.46%	11.314	+0.12%	0.0133	✓	0.09	61k	2022-01-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029296	0.028836	-1.57%	0.028848	-1.53%	0.0292	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.526	0.517408	-1.63%	0.544	+3.42%	0.0135	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4847	1.4597	-1.68%	1.5381	+3.60%	0.0271	✗	0.87	922k	2022-01-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5856	0.575697	-1.69%	0.6613	+12.93%	0.0998	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4009	1.3765	-1.74%	1.4299	+2.07%	0.0063	✓	1.10	30.5M	2022-01-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	74.48	73.1463	-1.79%	87.16	+17.02%	0.1464	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9369	2.8837	-1.81%	3.1203	+6.24%	0.0499	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.287	-1.88%	3.49	+4.18%	0.0306	✗	1.01	715k	2022-01-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.54	26.9909	-1.99%	25.51	-7.37%	0.0897	✓	1.15	69.2M	2022-01-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.59	9.3968	-2.01%	9.47	-1.25%	0.0112	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3224	0.315715	-2.07%	0.3374	+4.65%	0.0375	✗	1.00	340k	2022-01-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.015	0.01468	-2.13%	0.0159	+6.00%	0.0109	✓	2.39	27.1M	2022-01-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.65	3.5676	-2.26%	3.82	+4.66%	0.0323	✗	1.25	9.8M	2022-01-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.98	8.7722	-2.31%	8.39	-6.57%	0.0723	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.99	34.1295	-2.46%	43.71	+24.92%	0.2210	✗	0.91	49.1M	2022-01-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3331	1.2986	-2.59%	1.3193	-1.04%	0.0238	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-01-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	153.16	149.1985	-2.59%	137.39	-10.30%	0.1177	✓	1.22	1.9M	2022-01-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	36.14	35.0648	-2.98%	31.18	-13.72%	0.1575	✓	1.39	25.8M	2022-01-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.38	11.0205	-3.16%	11.34	-0.35%	0.0243	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-01-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6607	0.638927	-3.30%	1.0315	+56.12%	0.4286	✗	1.74	40.0M	2022-01-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	37.02	35.7711	-3.37%	36.27	-2.03%	0.0332	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.098665	0.095327	-3.38%	0.084515	-14.34%	0.1493	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6539	0.604308	-7.58%	0.6536	-0.05%	0.0358	✓	1.48	650k	2022-01-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.