2022-01-04 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2682

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.57%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

79.0%

in alpha space · 89.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.7	14.8752	-5.25%	11.23	-28.47%	0.2825	✓	-0.02	3.9M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6206	0.588856	-5.12%	0.6261	+0.89%	0.1576	✗	1.39	650k	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02111	0.020079	-4.88%	0.01458	-30.93%	0.2509	✓	1.00	28.5M	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5925	1.5274	-4.09%	1.3102	-17.73%	0.0578	✓	1.38	5.2M	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	42.05	40.3359	-4.08%	38.71	-7.94%	0.0209	✓	0.90	43.4M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.672	15.0462	-3.99%	11.203	-28.52%	0.3001	✓	-0.07	86k	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8381	0.805299	-3.91%	0.6826	-18.55%	0.0467	✓	1.72	33.4M	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.92	3.7686	-3.86%	3.57	-8.93%	0.0365	✓	1.31	10.7M	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.29	11.8358	-3.70%	9.67	-21.32%	0.1601	✓	0.61	1.2M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.08	5.8705	-3.45%	4.61	-24.18%	0.1476	✓	1.36	29.4M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7133	0.688913	-3.42%	0.5799	-18.70%	0.0810	✓	1.32	2.8M	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6714	1.6161	-3.31%	1.4467	-13.44%	0.0333	✓	1.12	30.0M	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20404	0.197306	-3.30%	0.17303	-15.20%	0.0233	✓	1.56	6,446	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	42.83	41.4713	-3.17%	36.84	-13.99%	0.0047	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,282.47	35,144.40	-3.14%	32,768.96	-9.68%	0.0277	✓	0.61	17.3M	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.27	10.9232	-3.08%	8.01	-28.93%	0.2523	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3574	0.346848	-2.95%	0.3228	-9.68%	0.0028	✓	1.00	293k	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11	0.106838	-2.87%	0.09134	-16.96%	0.1124	✓	0.64	55k	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.56	82.1538	-2.85%	73.57	-13.00%	0.0412	✓	1.00	6.3M	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1744	3.0853	-2.81%	2.9312	-7.66%	0.0142	✓	0.95	5.7M	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.71	3.6063	-2.79%	3.45	-7.01%	0.0301	✗	1.08	626k	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.662	0.643938	-2.73%	0.516	-22.05%	0.1347	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1943	0.189066	-2.69%	0.1471	-24.29%	0.1691	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01547	0.015059	-2.66%	0.0135	-12.73%	0.0432	✓	0.96	783k	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04929	0.047994	-2.63%	0.04184	-15.11%	0.0748	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3934	0.383214	-2.59%	0.3363	-14.51%	0.0279	✓	1.49	3.4M	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.74	4.6174	-2.59%	3.61	-23.84%	0.1770	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.4543	180.6652	-2.58%	165.565	-10.72%	0.0068	✓	1.16	574k	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.72	4.5993	-2.56%	3.8424	-18.59%	0.1323	✓	0.69	17k	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	33.82	32.9944	-2.44%	34.45	+1.86%	0.1390	✗	1.39	24.2M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1872	1.1588	-2.39%	1.025	-13.66%	0.0257	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	103.3	100.8318	-2.39%	89.66	-13.20%	0.0400	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2788	1.2483	-2.38%	1.141	-10.78%	0.0245	✓	0.95	21.2M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.15	1.1237	-2.28%	0.96	-16.52%	0.0883	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0351	1.0115	-2.28%	0.8921	-13.82%	0.0564	✓	1.00	145k	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1192	0.116526	-2.24%	0.077	-35.40%	0.3452	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.1	4.0089	-2.22%	3.54	-13.66%	0.0552	✓	1.00	967k	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.693	2.6334	-2.21%	2.311	-14.18%	0.0596	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.6	6.4546	-2.20%	5.08	-23.03%	0.1601	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2829	1.2554	-2.15%	1.0548	-17.79%	0.0522	✓	1.76	1.2M	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.888431	0.869823	-2.09%	0.718632	-19.11%	0.1132	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.03	8.8421	-2.08%	8.65	-4.21%	0.0553	✗	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.046	21.5878	-2.08%	19.378	-12.10%	0.0050	✓	1.63	13.6M	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	64.42	63.0865	-2.07%	56.11	-12.90%	0.0132	✓	1.50	807k	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3025	0.296245	-2.07%	0.2641	-12.69%	0.0248	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0991	0.097068	-2.05%	0.0824	-16.85%	0.0696	✓	1.36	1.5M	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0651	2.0229	-2.05%	1.4915	-27.78%	0.1750	✓	1.88	1.4M	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01973	0.019332	-2.02%	0.01644	-16.68%	0.1172	✓	0.65	35k	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0695	0.068111	-2.00%	0.0574	-17.41%	0.0742	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4901	6.3604	-2.00%	6.4129	-1.19%	0.0663	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.07	7.9123	-1.95%	6.99	-13.38%	0.0331	✓	1.31	18.2M	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01947	0.01909	-1.95%	0.01475	-24.24%	0.1700	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.4484	1.4212	-1.88%	0.9389	-35.18%	0.3577	✓	0.82	4.4M	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.66	5.5552	-1.85%	5.14	-9.19%	0.0044	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	5.039	4.947	-1.82%	4.1752	-17.14%	0.0779	✓	1.33	4.9M	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4602	1.4336	-1.82%	1.2365	-15.32%	0.0817	✓	0.96	3.6M	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003245	0.000031861	-1.82%	0.00002762	-14.88%	0.0567	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.36	9.1937	-1.78%	8.221	-12.17%	0.0696	✓	0.61	299k	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	251.96	247.5597	-1.75%	213.29	-15.35%	0.0704	✓	1.14	14.7M	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3427	1.3195	-1.73%	1.3709	+2.10%	0.1145	✗	1.10	922k	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033406	0.032838	-1.70%	0.029265	-12.40%	0.0444	✓	1.02	7.3M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05513	0.054224	-1.64%	0.04765	-13.57%	0.0531	✓	1.10	15k	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08388	0.082525	-1.62%	0.07076	-15.64%	0.0696	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	296.29	291.5437	-1.60%	260.77	-11.99%	0.0347	✓	1.11	1.3M	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.02	23.6381	-1.59%	20.39	-15.11%	0.0766	✓	1.03	1.2M	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.7918	1.7633	-1.59%	1.5924	-11.12%	0.0461	✓	0.81	668k	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.43	23.0603	-1.58%	26.6	+13.53%	0.2343	✗	1.32	69.2M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	38.67	38.0641	-1.57%	26.75	-30.82%	0.2285	✓	1.80	5.4M	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.51	11.33	-1.56%	9.73	-15.46%	0.1638	✓	-0.17	2.2M	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.673	4.6001	-1.56%	4.382	-6.23%	0.0041	✓	0.76	1.1M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	147.34	145.0462	-1.56%	141.38	-4.05%	0.0678	✗	1.35	10.1M	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3398	2.3044	-1.51%	2.1025	-10.14%	0.0140	✓	1.12	100k	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6784	0.668169	-1.51%	0.5691	-16.11%	0.0715	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.04	14.8162	-1.49%	14.78	-1.73%	0.0449	✗	0.69	1.1M	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1324	0.130436	-1.48%	0.1102	-16.77%	0.0944	✓	1.07	304k	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0623	0.061389	-1.46%	0.064925	+4.21%	0.1522	✗	1.39	7.4M	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01721	0.016967	-1.41%	0.01386	-19.47%	0.1199	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.21	17.9538	-1.41%	15.98	-12.25%	0.0277	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.3424	-1.40%	3.2	-5.60%	0.0255	✗	1.00	995k	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.64	1.6182	-1.33%	1.36	-17.07%	0.0547	✓	1.72	964k	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.646	1.6241	-1.33%	1.273	-22.66%	0.1546	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.56	10.4201	-1.32%	10.19	-3.50%	0.0291	✗	0.74	1.2M	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,785.00	3,736.15	-1.29%	3,240.83	-14.38%	0.0706	✓	1.04	619.8M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3673	0.362571	-1.29%	0.3101	-15.57%	0.0683	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.873	0.861784	-1.28%	0.747	-14.43%	0.0410	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9939	8.8859	-1.20%	7.521	-16.38%	0.0688	✓	1.42	268k	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.42	3.3795	-1.18%	2.8	-18.13%	0.0985	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.363	3.3238	-1.17%	3.766	+11.98%	0.2351	✗	1.59	1.8M	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	222.22	219.6312	-1.16%	193.01	-13.14%	0.0595	✓	1.01	3.2M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	223.02	220.4453	-1.15%	188.96	-15.27%	0.0751	✓	1.14	211k	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.92	15.7362	-1.15%	13.71	-13.88%	0.0584	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7795	3.7382	-1.09%	3.7323	-1.25%	0.0092	✓	-0.11	364k	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0617	5.9969	-1.07%	5.328	-12.10%	0.0352	✓	1.20	553k	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.83	35.4509	-1.06%	29.43	-17.86%	0.0804	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.69	133.2702	-1.05%	141.85	+5.32%	0.1502	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0856	0.084743	-1.00%	0.076	-11.21%	0.0348	✓	1.07	18k	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08927	0.088405	-0.97%	0.07976	-10.65%	0.0024	✓	1.45	2.9M	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7143	3.6795	-0.94%	3.0312	-18.39%	0.1206	✓	1.06	798k	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.507	4.4652	-0.93%	4.1768	-7.33%	0.0225	✗	1.29	4.7M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.112	4.0748	-0.91%	3.818	-7.15%	0.0193	✓	0.66	483k	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.15	3.122	-0.89%	2.765	-12.22%	0.0624	✓	0.85	41k	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.279308	0.276845	-0.88%	0.263177	-5.78%	0.0199	✗	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	427.38	423.8754	-0.82%	369.84	-13.46%	0.0664	✓	1.01	9.0M	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1995	0.197911	-0.80%	0.1605	-19.55%	0.1237	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.88	92.1669	-0.77%	72.75	-21.67%	0.1700	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011292	0.000112065	-0.76%	0.00009356	-17.14%	0.1125	✓	0.98	7.2M	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.239	8.1768	-0.76%	7.094	-13.90%	0.0548	✓	1.26	336k	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11972	0.118852	-0.72%	0.10496	-12.33%	0.0482	✓	1.10	26k	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.223	1.2144	-0.71%	1.045	-14.55%	0.0851	✓	0.94	2.4M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.107	5.0715	-0.69%	4.814	-5.74%	0.0104	✓	0.60	549k	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.13	35.8824	-0.69%	28.89	-20.04%	0.1452	✓	1.03	22.7M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.35	41.075	-0.66%	39.78	-3.80%	0.0405	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.27	31.0671	-0.65%	28.42	-9.11%	0.0422	✓	0.68	385k	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.89	3.8648	-0.65%	2.93	-24.68%	0.2078	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3092	1.3008	-0.64%	1.1879	-9.27%	0.0151	✓	1.09	97.2M	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.678	1.668	-0.60%	1.398	-16.69%	0.0825	✓	1.36	5.7M	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2101	0.208988	-0.53%	0.2062	-1.86%	0.0275	✗	0.59	441k	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.69	28.5383	-0.53%	25.55	-10.94%	0.0212	✓	1.29	71.0M	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.5	8.4562	-0.52%	8.1	-4.71%	0.0097	✗	0.76	773k	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	45,814.61	45,584.77	-0.50%	42,753.44	-6.68%	0.0050	✓	1.00	727.0M	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	167.72	166.9085	-0.48%	140.27	-16.37%	0.1001	✓	1.07	211.5M	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0903	3.0755	-0.48%	3.1857	+3.09%	0.1179	✗	1.20	2.9M	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6945	0.691299	-0.46%	0.6511	-6.25%	0.0278	✗	1.27	5.2M	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.228	2.2179	-0.45%	1.86	-16.52%	0.0984	✓	1.12	2.5M	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022317	0.022223	-0.42%	0.018697	-16.22%	0.0897	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		120.8	120.3215	-0.40%	110.22	-8.76%	0.0218	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	146.44	145.9089	-0.36%	131.67	-10.09%	0.0095	✓	1.35	36.7M	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.76	8.7304	-0.34%	8	-8.68%	0.0456	✓	0.60	828k	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1957	0.195081	-0.32%	0.1778	-9.15%	0.0301	✓	0.91	506k	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1252	0.124857	-0.27%	0.1145	-8.55%	0.0105	✓	1.10	115k	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	179.48	179.3971	-0.05%	169.57	-5.52%	0.0098	✗	0.96	8.3M	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,006.00	46,025.15	+0.04%	42,770.20	-7.03%	0.0058	✗	0.98	10k	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.48	2.4813	+0.05%	2.15	-13.31%	0.0700	✗	1.06	4.0M	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.409	0.410016	+0.25%	0.361	-11.74%	0.0767	✗	0.73	39k	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.11	34.2142	+0.31%	29.69	-12.96%	0.0699	✗	1.04	3.7M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.168474	0.169035	+0.33%	0.153722	-8.76%	0.0188	✗	1.10	4.6M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.16	7.1852	+0.35%	6.78	-5.31%	0.0140	✗	0.64	801k	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.075989	0.0765	+0.67%	0.064934	-14.55%	0.0989	✗	0.94	556k	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.