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2021-12-26 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0606
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.7%
in alpha space · 78.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,987.3051,058.50+0.14%47,411.90-7.01%0.0044✗0.988,5662022-01-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.2329.2244-0.08%8.698-5.78%0.0330✗1.28411k2022-01-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.374.3612-0.20%5.012+14.69%0.1971✗0.81719k2022-01-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1134.1027-0.25%4.172+1.43%0.0676✗0.71473k2022-01-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,801.7950,628.00-0.34%47,299.07-6.89%0.0034✓1.00744.5M2022-01-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.434.2703-0.38%32.18-6.45%0.0176✓0.63572k2022-01-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4875.4663-0.38%5.195-5.32%0.0060✓0.63798k2022-01-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.2937.1453-0.39%35.76-4.10%0.0338✗1.0122.1M2022-01-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash451.86449.9596-0.42%447.91-0.87%0.0670✗1.0011.4M2022-01-02
TRXTRONTron0.0815080.081105-0.49%0.077643-4.74%0.0237✗0.94648k2022-01-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.967.9159-0.55%7.19-9.67%0.0514✓0.63986k2022-01-02
QNTQuantEthereum194.3193.1458-0.59%187.33-3.59%0.0348✗0.9111.9M2022-01-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.9237.6874-0.61%35.38-6.70%0.0081✗1.005.6M2022-01-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9922.8467-0.62%21.88-4.83%0.0444✗1.2369.7M2022-01-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1900180.18883-0.63%0.174401-8.22%0.0014✓1.095.5M2022-01-02
XMRMoneroMonero216.57214.9934-0.73%239.56+10.62%0.1733✗0.912.7M2022-01-02
ETHEthereumEthereum4,065.914,035.96-0.74%3,828.87-5.83%0.0200✗1.02760.7M2022-01-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2892.2721-0.74%2.225-2.80%0.0570✗1.093.3M2022-01-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.762.7376-0.81%2.56-7.25%0.0023✓0.974.1M2022-01-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9216.7816-0.82%15.31-9.52%0.0434✓0.681.4M2022-01-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3171.3056-0.86%1.266-3.87%0.0366✗0.943.4M2022-01-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.5126.3947-0.87%124.05-2.71%0.0502✗0.973.2M2022-01-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.34265.2961-0.87%4.65-12.96%0.0333✓1.355.4M2022-01-02
UNIUniswapEthereum18.6718.5053-0.88%18.41-1.39%0.0867✗1.2914.2M2022-01-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93064.887-0.88%4.5765-7.18%0.0177✓0.6727k2022-01-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2190.216995-0.92%0.2055-6.16%0.0060✓0.85748k2022-01-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.7226.47-0.94%27.32+2.25%0.1293✗1.3722.9M2022-01-02
FTTFTXEthereum42.5942.1868-0.95%40.16-5.71%0.0224✗1.0020.7M2022-01-02
XVSVenusEthereum17.1116.9429-0.98%16.04-6.25%0.0256✗1.134.8M2022-01-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.96154.4345-0.98%151.2-3.05%0.0762✗1.3654.4M2022-01-02
CBKCobakEthereum3.2793.2467-0.98%3.127-4.64%0.0219✗0.8397k2022-01-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.649.5444-0.99%8.85-8.20%0.0288✓0.65952k2022-01-02
ADACardanoCardano1.45491.4404-1.00%1.3779-5.29%0.0293✗1.03120.2M2022-01-02
SUSHISushiEthereum7.937.8504-1.00%8.93+12.61%0.2262✗1.3615.1M2022-01-02
XYMSymbolnative0.23940.236879-1.05%0.2093-12.57%0.0892✓0.48392k2022-01-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot31.3431.0081-1.06%29.7-5.23%0.0446✗1.2377.1M2022-01-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.49.2993-1.07%8.56-8.94%0.0302✓0.74934k2022-01-02
SOLSolanaSolana198195.8527-1.08%176.32-10.95%0.0396✓0.92255.1M2022-01-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48263.4439-1.11%3.7845+8.67%0.0878✗-0.09384k2022-01-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018690.018477-1.14%0.01661-11.13%0.0194✓1.222.8M2022-01-02
XEMNEMnative0.14120.139574-1.15%0.1307-7.44%0.0095✓1.05178k2022-01-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8225.5217-1.16%24.4-5.50%0.0054✓0.702.2M2022-01-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0437-1.18%3.2+3.90%0.1404✗1.263.0M2022-01-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08960.088541-1.18%0.088-1.79%0.0688✗1.0518k2022-01-02
XTZTezosTezos4.86914.811-1.19%4.6703-4.08%0.0616✗1.285.3M2022-01-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39331.3767-1.19%1.4243+2.22%0.1091✗1.051.3M2022-01-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.613.5666-1.20%3.4-5.82%0.0208✗0.961.2M2022-01-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6681.6478-1.21%1.667-0.06%0.1041✗1.294.3M2022-01-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2919870.288413-1.22%0.292273+0.10%0.0842✗0.9934.1M2022-01-02
GTGateEthereum6.75026.6675-1.23%6.6057-2.14%0.0438✗0.744.3M2022-01-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.6712.4994-1.35%11.71-7.58%0.0841✓-0.264.5M2022-01-02
COMPCompoundEthereum235.5232.3134-1.35%211.43-10.22%0.0180✓1.07236k2022-01-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2511.0976-1.35%10.51-6.58%0.0009✓0.771.4M2022-01-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124580.122883-1.36%0.12251-1.66%0.0738✗1.0829k2022-01-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9421.9154-1.37%1.776-8.55%0.0171✗1.307.9M2022-01-02
BANDBandEthereum5.855.767-1.42%5.28-9.74%0.0062✓1.152.8M2022-01-02
AAVEAaveEthereum268.05264.1266-1.46%265.45-0.97%0.0784✗1.0311.4M2022-01-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.1483-1.47%6.24+0.00%0.0936✗1.104.6M2022-01-02
XECeCashnative0.000121440.000119627-1.49%0.00011334-6.67%0.0159✗0.9811.0M2022-01-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0244220.024056-1.50%0.02233-8.57%0.0127✓1.222.3M2022-01-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,193.3430,699.77-1.58%39,116.51+25.40%0.2807✗0.548.3M2022-01-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058660.057705-1.63%0.05753-1.93%0.0721✗1.0516k2022-01-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.53105.7647-1.64%96.42-10.33%0.0237✓0.967.9M2022-01-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7279.5649-1.67%10.125+4.09%0.1042✗0.66455k2022-01-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73540.722996-1.69%0.6765-8.01%0.0168✓1.1712.8M2022-01-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.663.5955-1.76%3.1749-13.25%0.0349✓1.253.1M2022-01-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019580.019234-1.77%0.0208+6.23%0.1146✗0.5146k2022-01-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.240.235629-1.82%0.2121-11.62%0.0206✓1.186.1M2022-01-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14380.141124-1.86%0.1368-4.87%0.0445✗1.06376k2022-01-02
QTUMQtumQtum9.89829.7124-1.88%9.2363-6.69%0.0471✗1.36285k2022-01-02
NANOnanopayBase3.86893.7952-1.91%3.5764-7.56%0.0150✓1.04798k2022-01-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.050820.049827-1.95%0.04899-3.60%0.0468✗0.8910.6M2022-01-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.1731.529-1.99%35.54+10.48%0.1813✗0.8639.4M2022-01-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064040.062757-2.00%0.065084+1.63%0.1370✗1.418.7M2022-01-02
MOVRMoonriverBase187.2077183.4133-2.03%200.0687+6.87%0.1565✗0.97674k2022-01-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.60791.5746-2.07%1.6739+4.10%0.1346✗1.0331.7M2022-01-02
DASHDashDash149.09145.9951-2.08%141.99-4.76%0.0597✗1.222.0M2022-01-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.099870.097792-2.08%0.09233-7.55%0.0471✗1.464.8M2022-01-02
ZECZcashZcash167.45163.9387-2.10%153.06-8.59%0.0191✓1.2311.8M2022-01-02
RADRadworksEthereum10.6110.3861-2.11%11.14+5.00%0.1374✗0.941.6M2022-01-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.49282.4397-2.13%2.4089-3.36%0.0651✗1.09147k2022-01-02
KCSKuCoinnative22.89822.4064-2.15%22.624-1.20%0.1277✗1.6519.5M2022-01-02
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6176-2.17%4.96+5.08%0.1430✗1.002.5M2022-01-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.39071.3602-2.19%1.3723-1.32%0.0812✗1.0122.8M2022-01-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8791320.859566-2.23%0.888452+1.06%0.1065✗1.033.2M2022-01-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.938.0322-2.23%35.55-8.61%0.0348✗1.431.3M2022-01-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08061.0565-2.23%1.007-6.81%0.0235✗1.00178k2022-01-02
ZENHorizenBase70.368.7131-2.26%65.06-7.45%0.0458✗1.411.3M2022-01-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.6814-2.27%4.34-9.39%0.0043✓1.001.2M2022-01-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113290.110703-2.28%0.11531+1.78%0.0822✗0.58113k2022-01-02
KSMKusamaHydration322.4314.9761-2.30%295.23-8.43%0.0118✓1.071.5M2022-01-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.20110.196421-2.33%0.2121+5.47%0.1580✗1.143.9M2022-01-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.281.2498-2.36%1.17-8.59%0.0055✓1.002.3M2022-01-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.17051.1422-2.42%1.265+8.07%0.2088✗1.492.3M2022-01-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4940.48194-2.44%0.417-15.59%0.0945✓0.7045k2022-01-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038250.000037316-2.44%0.00003405-10.98%0.0201✓1.002.2M2022-01-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4690.457499-2.45%0.7568+61.36%0.6051✗1.431.1M2022-01-02
DODODODOEthereum1.0020.977412-2.45%0.923-7.88%0.0447✗1.438.9M2022-01-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33241.2985-2.54%1.3001-2.42%0.1235✗1.711.5M2022-01-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.235.0962-2.56%4.35-16.83%0.0869✓1.005.7M2022-01-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.42250.411541-2.59%0.3836-9.21%0.0326✗1.444.4M2022-01-02
SCSiacoinnative0.016680.016244-2.62%0.01618-3.00%0.0620✗0.921.3M2022-01-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.209680.204114-2.65%0.2038-2.80%0.1117✗1.5922k2022-01-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.1130.109957-2.69%0.1001-11.42%0.0044✓1.382.5M2022-01-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.6644.425-2.70%41.08-10.03%0.0529✗1.848.5M2022-01-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.767685-2.74%0.727-7.89%0.0329✗1.227.3M2022-01-02
XVGVergenative0.019370.018832-2.78%0.01767-8.78%0.0211✓1.192.8M2022-01-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.81796.6204-2.90%6.29-7.74%0.0287✓1.12764k2022-01-02
MINAMina Protocolnative3.813.6989-2.91%3.78-0.79%0.0927✗0.99787k2022-01-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.087850.085265-2.94%0.08444-3.88%0.0747✗1.1821.7M2022-01-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.69181.642-2.95%1.5552-8.08%0.0166✓0.995.7M2022-01-02
STORJStorjEthereum2.07122.0081-3.05%1.9263-6.99%0.0094✓0.711.2M2022-01-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.42650.413319-3.09%0.3822-10.39%0.0132✓1.285.3M2022-01-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.755.5706-3.12%6.05+5.22%0.1736✗1.2728.7M2022-01-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3074.1699-3.18%3.564-17.25%0.0856✓1.003.5M2022-01-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.3710.358561-3.35%0.3957+6.66%0.1634✗0.91356k2022-01-02
LUNATerraTerra 299.7896.3836-3.40%89.35-10.45%0.0043✓1.004.9M2022-01-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche115.07111.0424-3.50%113.21-1.62%0.0952✗1.06127.7M2022-01-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.80930.77899-3.75%0.714-11.78%0.0041✓1.283.8M2022-01-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.33030.317855-3.77%0.3119-5.57%0.0710✗1.265.8M2022-01-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.112.5874-3.91%13.99+6.79%0.1428✗0.522.1M2022-01-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.193.0608-4.05%2.859-10.38%0.0001✓0.962.2M2022-01-02
GITCOINGITCOIN15.13614.5112-4.13%14.898-1.57%0.0231✓-0.04133k2022-01-02
LRCLoopringEthereum2.34442.2424-4.35%2.095-10.64%0.0690✗1.921.8M2022-01-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0840.080276-4.43%0.079-5.95%0.0777✗1.312.1M2022-01-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.730.696888-4.54%0.642-12.05%0.0047✓1.213.0M2022-01-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.1962.096-4.55%1.5587-29.02%0.2441✓0.736.7M2022-01-02
MANADecentralandEthereum3.8623.6849-4.59%3.3401-13.51%0.0352✓0.888.3M2022-01-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.1714.4561-4.71%14.75-2.77%0.0211✓0.015.1M2022-01-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.222.113-4.82%1.83-17.57%0.0237✓1.681.5M2022-01-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5541.4197-4.89%40.64-6.68%0.1023✗1.703.7M2022-01-02
UMAUMAEthereum10.419.8761-5.13%9.49-8.84%0.0379✓1.094.1M2022-01-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.037650.035494-5.73%0.0346-8.10%0.0476✓1.0211.0M2022-01-02
HIVEHivenative1.76641.6636-5.82%1.7249-2.35%0.1292✗1.308.3M2022-01-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022010.020707-5.92%0.02402+9.13%0.2198✗1.0034.3M2022-01-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.70680.661729-6.38%0.9435+33.49%0.4777✗1.7217.7M2022-01-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.755.3069-7.71%4.22-26.61%0.1577✓1.0012.3M2022-01-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.