8=======>

2021-12-24 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0036
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.7%
in alpha space · 84.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.701-6.36%12.7-19.11%0.1483✓-0.024.8M2021-12-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.020547-6.22%0.02346+7.07%0.2283✗1.0039.8M2021-12-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.715199-6.17%0.9356+22.75%0.4369✗1.7614.6M2021-12-31
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61114.8048-5.16%12.734-18.43%0.1584✓-0.08133k2021-12-31
HIVEHivenative1.5931.513-5.02%1.4896-6.49%0.1107✗1.3210.4M2021-12-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.5969-4.59%4.55+20.69%0.3307✗1.0011.9M2021-12-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.205635-4.28%0.19688-8.36%0.1116✗1.6224k2021-12-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.6407-3.88%12.22+0.91%0.0996✗0.532.7M2021-12-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.732086-3.62%0.6864-9.64%0.0582✗1.285.1M2021-12-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1542.5667-3.59%39.69-10.10%0.0941✗1.714.7M2021-12-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.377-3.52%3.2677-6.64%0.0513✗0.889.0M2021-12-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93110.9437-3.47%109.4-4.81%0.0943✗1.13142.8M2021-12-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.6921-3.36%1.5666-10.53%0.0184✓1.006.7M2021-12-31
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.1385-3.36%2.0908-5.52%0.1637✗1.952.1M2021-12-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.2531-3.21%9.11-4.71%0.0877✗1.084.1M2021-12-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7244.2743-3.16%38.92-14.87%0.0479✗1.858.8M2021-12-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.350234-3.01%0.3279-9.19%0.0210✓0.91388k2021-12-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000035068-2.97%0.00003342-7.53%0.0475✗1.002.2M2021-12-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.6889-2.92%4.22-12.63%0.0097✓1.001.5M2021-12-31
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016043-2.83%0.01518-8.06%0.0342✗0.941.4M2021-12-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6331,667.04-2.80%33,038.28+1.41%0.0921✗0.527.0M2021-12-31
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.5049-2.70%4.91+6.05%0.1818✗1.002.5M2021-12-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.0528-2.64%5.32+2.50%0.1776✗1.3228.7M2021-12-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.197494-2.62%0.1752-13.61%0.0104✓1.144.3M2021-12-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.198-2.60%1.13-8.13%0.0372✗1.002.4M2021-12-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.395826-2.55%0.3547-12.68%0.0360✗1.524.4M2021-12-31
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.5733-2.55%10.85+0.00%0.1171✗0.951.6M2021-12-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.3716-2.51%4.34-21.23%0.1176✓1.006.5M2021-12-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.6985-2.49%3.496-7.83%0.0394✗1.003.5M2021-12-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.037296-2.49%0.033825-11.56%0.0000✓1.0212.1M2021-12-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.8497-2.48%1.62-14.59%0.0694✓0.668.1M2021-12-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1602-2.42%0.9088-23.57%0.1485✓1.00190k2021-12-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.657264-2.34%0.612-9.06%0.0475✗1.243.0M2021-12-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.076292-2.32%0.0763-2.30%0.1256✗1.312.5M2021-12-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.048318-2.27%0.04828-2.35%0.0867✗0.9112.1M2021-12-31
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.3139-2.17%21.376-6.29%0.1181✗1.6821.0M2021-12-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5421-2.15%1.6589+5.26%0.1756✗1.0734.9M2021-12-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.7333-2.14%2.574-7.84%0.0336✗0.982.2M2021-12-31
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33264.6122-2.12%253.92-6.07%0.0611✗1.0711.4M2021-12-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.258-2.10%1.3658+6.30%0.1819✗1.0422.8M2021-12-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.106371-2.05%0.0971-10.59%0.0395✗1.373.0M2021-12-31
ZENHorizenBase70.5369.0934-2.04%60.57-14.12%0.0130✓1.511.4M2021-12-31
ZECZcashZcash165.18161.825-2.03%146.46-11.33%0.0265✗1.3213.6M2021-12-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.9079-2.01%1.7428-10.48%0.0233✓0.701.3M2021-12-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.107967-1.99%0.1009-8.41%0.0129✓0.57143k2021-12-31
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748184.4613-1.97%181.8528-3.36%0.0945✗1.14720k2021-12-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2879-1.97%1.2039-8.36%0.1013✗1.761.6M2021-12-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.549-1.97%5.8862-11.89%0.0073✓1.19876k2021-12-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019337-1.94%0.01908-3.25%0.0432✗0.5960k2021-12-31
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.7865-1.93%9.42+18.64%0.3222✗1.3814.9M2021-12-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4746-1.85%3.54+0.00%0.1160✗1.02807k2021-12-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.8393-1.83%8.873-11.47%0.0432✓0.63455k2021-12-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.4443-1.77%15.07-9.98%0.0211✓0.691.4M2021-12-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.455034-1.70%0.4139-10.59%0.0419✗1.431.2M2021-12-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.1356-1.60%4.7425-9.13%0.0079✓0.7529k2021-12-31
GTGateEthereum6.31286.2166-1.52%6.5555+3.84%0.1296✗0.804.6M2021-12-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.9112-1.52%10.11-8.75%0.0022✓0.771.5M2021-12-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.4642-1.51%32.43+20.69%0.2857✗0.8640.2M2021-12-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.376895-1.49%0.3655-4.47%0.0913✗1.276.2M2021-12-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.297118-1.49%0.2833-6.07%0.0749✗1.286.2M2021-12-31
XVGVergenative0.017980.017728-1.40%0.01703-5.28%0.0734✗1.192.8M2021-12-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9713-1.38%1.634-18.26%0.0620✓1.317.9M2021-12-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9462-1.35%4.6064-8.13%0.0588✗1.365.2M2021-12-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.057196-1.35%0.05331-8.05%0.0365✗1.1217k2021-12-31
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.653,995.32-1.34%3,675.80-9.23%0.0168✗1.05768.5M2021-12-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.1033-1.34%1.2282+9.83%0.2493✗1.492.5M2021-12-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.687902-1.31%0.6421-7.88%0.0537✗1.2814.0M2021-12-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3677-1.29%1.2796-7.65%0.0363✗1.081.4M2021-12-31
DASHDashDash149.49147.589-1.27%133.78-10.51%0.0230✗1.272.2M2021-12-31
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.6684-1.26%8.736-10.79%0.0368✗1.44349k2021-12-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.3664-1.26%3.1464-7.71%0.0523✗1.253.4M2021-12-31
KSMKusamaHydration288.88285.3525-1.22%276.22-4.38%0.0719✗1.091.5M2021-12-31
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2227.5123-1.17%199.58-13.30%0.0259✓1.10239k2021-12-31
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.4392-1.13%4.3404-3.33%0.1010✗1.295.4M2021-12-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.2009-1.13%11.78-4.54%0.0621✓-0.284.9M2021-12-31
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.241793-1.11%0.1945-20.45%0.1727✓0.47410k2021-12-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3425.0695-1.07%24.41-3.67%0.0761✗1.072.7M2021-12-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5444-1.03%3.7613+5.02%0.0511✗-0.09384k2021-12-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.841963-1.02%0.802611-5.64%0.0556✗1.083.7M2021-12-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.136509-1.01%0.1283-6.96%0.0392✗1.06445k2021-12-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.3533-1.00%24.42-11.62%0.0207✗1.4024.1M2021-12-31
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.6057-1.00%3.4015-6.61%0.0434✗1.06819k2021-12-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018575-0.99%0.01579-15.83%0.0429✓1.253.2M2021-12-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.082039-0.97%0.08513+2.76%0.1525✗1.2121.7M2021-12-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62103.6427-0.93%93.21-10.91%0.0140✓0.968.8M2021-12-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.552-0.93%2.397-6.95%0.0506✗1.18152k2021-12-31
BANDBandEthereum5.635.5794-0.90%5.01-11.01%0.0066✓1.193.0M2021-12-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.061667-0.88%0.063529+2.11%0.1700✗1.479.5M2021-12-31
SOLSolanaSolana190.65189.0037-0.86%169.88-10.89%0.0091✓1.02257.1M2021-12-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.3495-0.86%16.98-2.97%0.1039✗1.3114.6M2021-12-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58128.474-0.85%121.02-6.61%0.0348✗0.993.2M2021-12-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.5007-0.83%3.21-9.07%0.0078✓0.991.3M2021-12-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.215351-0.81%0.2023-6.82%0.0549✗1.236.5M2021-12-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.790238-0.80%0.7078-11.15%0.0097✗1.257.7M2021-12-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.088093-0.80%0.0823-7.32%0.0365✗1.0921k2021-12-31
XEMNEMnative0.13590.134824-0.79%0.1227-9.71%0.0107✗1.10202k2021-12-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.3068-0.76%19.51-9.13%0.0370✗1.3169.7M2021-12-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5815-0.72%1.542-3.20%0.0997✗1.315.2M2021-12-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27449.0235-0.72%430.15-4.89%0.0554✗1.0313.7M2021-12-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6878-0.72%1.62-4.71%0.1225✗1.711.5M2021-12-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,506.55-0.68%46,211.24-9.12%0.0068✗1.00750.8M2021-12-31
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.7271-0.65%15.14-4.36%0.0707✗1.145.0M2021-12-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6836-0.64%5.48-4.20%0.0700✗1.115.0M2021-12-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.12114-0.62%0.11271-7.54%0.0331✗1.1030k2021-12-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.091995-0.62%0.08767-5.29%0.0931✗1.484.8M2021-12-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.802-0.61%31.4-7.67%0.0096✓0.67649k2021-12-31
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.385-0.61%1.3082-6.12%0.0452✗1.07124.4M2021-12-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.079.0162-0.59%8.41-7.28%0.0047✓0.78836k2021-12-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.2542-0.59%34.24-6.11%0.0401✗1.0223.1M2021-12-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.244-0.59%5.023-4.78%0.0191✗0.65846k2021-12-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35160.4639-0.55%146.15-9.42%0.0395✗1.3958.6M2021-12-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.277101-0.55%0.266478-4.36%0.0572✗1.0136.2M2021-12-31
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.904216-0.53%0.843-7.26%0.0703✗1.479.3M2021-12-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9847-0.48%4.018+0.35%0.0767✗0.71473k2021-12-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.738-0.44%2.39-13.09%0.0387✓1.024.7M2021-12-31
XMRMoneroMonero204.44203.6044-0.41%228.93+11.98%0.2120✗0.992.7M2021-12-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.215346-0.40%0.1984-8.23%0.0011✓0.87776k2021-12-31
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000116856-0.38%0.00010819-7.77%0.0177✗0.9911.7M2021-12-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1434-0.33%4.508+8.44%0.1640✗0.83714k2021-12-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0708-0.30%2.93-4.87%0.0763✗1.293.2M2021-12-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.059.0246-0.28%8.8-2.76%0.0397✗0.681.0M2021-12-31
QNTQuantEthereum199.57199.0175-0.28%179.22-10.20%0.0149✓0.9412.0M2021-12-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2602-0.26%2.058-9.18%0.0123✗1.113.4M2021-12-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2838-0.25%1.259-2.18%0.0730✗0.974.1M2021-12-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1728.1086-0.22%26.67-5.32%0.0670✗1.2577.3M2021-12-31
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.1332-0.18%2.882-8.19%0.0024✓0.85100k2021-12-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.8706-0.14%33.06-5.33%0.0922✗1.521.3M2021-12-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023238-0.09%0.021822-6.18%0.0524✗1.202.2M2021-12-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,666.85-0.09%46,060.20-9.18%0.0012✓0.989,2792021-12-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.673-0.09%8.1-6.69%0.0592✗1.33511k2021-12-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.186188-0.07%0.170222-8.64%0.0167✗1.116.1M2021-12-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.7563-0.05%7.06-9.02%0.0333✓0.631.0M2021-12-31
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.6757-0.01%38.25-10.38%0.0082✓1.0621.8M2021-12-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4237.5524+0.35%34.06-8.98%0.0028✓1.056.1M2021-12-31
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.081414+0.65%0.075477-6.69%0.0164✓0.96659k2021-12-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.372341+1.18%0.426+15.76%0.2069✓0.7645k2021-12-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.