8=======>

2022-05-16 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4737
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.4%
in alpha space · 64.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00020.000146279-26.86%0.00016-20.00%0.1556✓2.568.4M2022-05-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.1423.0634-2.50%2.936-6.56%0.0168✓1.00232k2022-05-23
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.27864-1.89%0.265-6.69%0.0245✓1.001.8M2022-05-23
GMTGMTEthereum1.4331.407-1.82%1.365-4.75%0.0046✓1.006.8M2022-05-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014890.014667-1.50%0.01241-16.66%0.1286✓1.5044.1M2022-05-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.93e-76.83e-7-1.45%7.03e-7+1.32%0.0409✗0.511.4M2022-05-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07640.07551-1.17%0.0659-13.74%0.1104✓1.003.0M2022-05-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.6510.5356-1.07%12.71+19.34%0.2267✗1.525.9M2022-05-23
TRXTRONTron0.0690190.068289-1.06%0.076052+10.19%0.1283✗0.801.2M2022-05-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19190.1902-0.89%0.1675-12.71%0.1014✓1.004,6042022-05-23
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3671.3574-0.70%1.292-5.49%0.0237✓1.004.8M2022-05-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.71131.7-0.66%1.5809-7.62%0.0566✓0.6315k2022-05-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2491.2424-0.53%1.444+15.61%0.1865✗1.4115.1M2022-05-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.15770.156954-0.47%0.1194-24.29%0.2282✓1.76694k2022-05-23
PROPropyEthereum1.131.1252-0.42%1.04-7.96%0.0608✓0.70443k2022-05-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0680.067817-0.27%0.0654-3.82%0.0171✓0.75542k2022-05-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1490.148716-0.19%0.1324-11.14%0.0886✓1.081.2M2022-05-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3611.3587-0.17%1.297-4.70%0.0096✓1.436.6M2022-05-23
FTTFTXEthereum31.8231.7883-0.10%29.68-6.73%0.0443✓0.9513.8M2022-05-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.9614.9567-0.09%4.9179-0.87%0.0012✓0.26291k2022-05-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45980.459411-0.08%0.4165-9.42%0.0676✓1.1914.9M2022-05-23
GTGateEthereum5.43635.4319-0.08%5.6735+4.36%0.0571✗0.535.2M2022-05-23
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0698.0676-0.02%7.749-3.97%0.0258✗2.5794.8M2022-05-23
KCSKuCoinnative13.82113.828+0.05%16.3+17.94%0.1891✓0.964.5M2022-05-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.046141+0.09%0.04706+2.08%0.0446✓0.978,0692022-05-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.17330.173525+0.13%0.1757+1.38%0.0486✓1.41386k2022-05-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08870.08883+0.15%0.087-1.92%0.0008✓0.84177k2022-05-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,839.8929,887.56+0.16%29,082.52-2.54%0.0016✗1.00675.4M2022-05-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.013870.013894+0.17%0.01287-7.21%0.0495✗1.053.2M2022-05-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1361630.136422+0.19%0.128708-5.48%0.0305✗1.0813.4M2022-05-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028180.028242+0.22%0.02709-3.87%0.0160✗1.0025k2022-05-23
ZECZcashZcash102.47102.7455+0.27%99.18-3.21%0.0022✓1.295.3M2022-05-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.030702+0.30%0.02707-11.56%0.1001✗1.00194k2022-05-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,058.3030,157.24+0.33%29,122.50-3.11%0.0099✗0.9790k2022-05-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3793.3903+0.33%3.79+12.16%0.1382✓1.041.5M2022-05-23
MANADecentralandEthereum1.16531.1693+0.35%1.0279-11.79%0.0905✗1.501.2M2022-05-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.07020.070457+0.37%0.0664-5.41%0.0300✗1.14405k2022-05-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,020.582,027.99+0.37%1,971.06-2.45%0.0023✓1.02494.1M2022-05-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.5814.6343+0.37%14.13-3.09%0.0016✓1.30822k2022-05-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.5953.7934+0.38%51-4.83%0.0289✗0.951.7M2022-05-23
XEMNEMnative0.05830.058527+0.39%0.0554-4.97%0.0214✗1.30164k2022-05-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.19331.198+0.40%1.2304+3.10%0.0540✓1.0798k2022-05-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0878810.088265+0.44%0.083087-5.46%0.0318✗1.126.3M2022-05-23
XMRMoneroMonero161.82162.5331+0.44%185.61+14.70%0.1602✓1.073.2M2022-05-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001115+0.45%0.0000011-0.90%0.0067✓0.787.8M2022-05-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4015960.403411+0.45%0.420264+4.65%0.0757✓1.356.1M2022-05-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9072.9205+0.46%2.975+2.34%0.0454✓1.0599k2022-05-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019020.019111+0.48%0.02975+56.41%0.4600✓0.68402k2022-05-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053420.05368+0.49%0.05627+5.34%0.0731✓1.0125k2022-05-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.1781.1846+0.56%1.169-0.76%0.0121✓0.9924k2022-05-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.7720.8862+0.56%21.79+4.91%0.0748✓1.264.2M2022-05-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009780.009838+0.60%0.00988+1.02%0.0327✓1.111.2M2022-05-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7530.757572+0.61%0.769+2.12%0.0433✓1.103.2M2022-05-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6210.6924+0.68%9.88-6.97%0.0455✗1.3013.3M2022-05-23
QNTQuantEthereum70.4970.9828+0.70%67.91-3.66%0.0179✗1.023.6M2022-05-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4201+0.72%1.36-3.55%0.0155✗1.08134k2022-05-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14490.145948+0.72%0.1439-0.69%0.0274✓1.61110k2022-05-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.380730.383506+0.73%0.41457+8.89%0.1201✓1.6428k2022-05-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59162.611+0.75%3.4941+34.82%0.3330✓1.629.1M2022-05-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.523.5467+0.76%3.39-3.69%0.0251✗0.78788k2022-05-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.43112.4496+0.76%2.5223+3.75%0.0609✓1.23154k2022-05-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005270.00531+0.77%0.00472-10.44%0.0860✗1.241.9M2022-05-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0085540.008621+0.78%0.00859+0.42%0.0227✓1.0219k2022-05-23
ZENHorizenBase20.320.4602+0.79%19.9-1.97%0.0116✓1.53171k2022-05-23
ADACardanoCardano0.55610.560555+0.80%0.5129-7.77%0.0552✗1.3148.6M2022-05-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.2540.256071+0.82%0.2569+1.14%0.0397✓1.42172k2022-05-23
HIVEHivenative0.48960.49361+0.82%0.4894-0.04%0.0236✓1.251.5M2022-05-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30180.304293+0.83%0.3022+0.13%0.0266✓1.30463k2022-05-23
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005214+0.85%0.00513-0.77%0.0220✓1.48403k2022-05-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.610.615164+0.85%0.647+6.07%0.0920✓1.621.7M2022-05-23
DASHDashDash57.8258.3122+0.85%59.83+3.48%0.0563✓1.191.2M2022-05-23
XTZTezosTezos1.77221.7876+0.87%1.8727+5.67%0.0791✓1.271.0M2022-05-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,743.689,830.05+0.89%8,924.64-8.41%0.0667✗1.172.8M2022-05-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6190.624525+0.89%0.555-10.34%0.0874✗1.1938k2022-05-23
UNIUniswapEthereum5.035.0752+0.90%5.62+11.73%0.1327✓1.203.5M2022-05-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.534180.539078+0.92%0.56008+4.85%0.0755✓1.4593k2022-05-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash197.37199.1923+0.92%191.72-2.86%0.0089✓1.145.3M2022-05-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39140.395051+0.93%0.3839-1.92%0.0042✓1.28223k2022-05-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35870.362079+0.94%0.3315-7.58%0.0560✗1.258.8M2022-05-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67320.679618+0.95%0.6653-1.17%0.0150✓1.416.1M2022-05-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.94613.9841+0.96%4.1025+3.96%0.0595✓1.18134k2022-05-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9160.924846+0.97%0.951+3.82%0.0563✓1.11769k2022-05-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.532.5548+0.98%3.12+23.32%0.2265✓1.04548k2022-05-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.0313.1609+1.00%12.87-1.23%0.0013✓0.92564k2022-05-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18720.189085+1.01%0.1721-8.07%0.0571✗1.44683k2022-05-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.1367.8193+1.03%68.95+2.71%0.0460✓1.1518.9M2022-05-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6280.634482+1.03%0.703+11.94%0.1406✓1.4816k2022-05-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.417.4865+1.03%7.01-5.40%0.0320✗1.3118.4M2022-05-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.542.5664+1.04%3.57+40.55%0.3558✓1.00399k2022-05-23
XECeCashnative0.000046770.000047264+1.06%0.00004815+2.95%0.0521✓1.306.5M2022-05-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.11370.114968+1.12%0.1176+3.43%0.0579✓1.371.2M2022-05-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.18.1903+1.12%7.76-4.20%0.0173✗1.438.5M2022-05-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.038334+1.12%0.03865+1.95%0.0428✓1.3594k2022-05-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070670.071461+1.12%0.07037-0.42%0.0111✓1.0318k2022-05-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.279.3741+1.12%9.44+1.83%0.0465✓1.54146k2022-05-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.153.1855+1.13%4+26.98%0.2518✓0.94783k2022-05-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9883.0218+1.13%3.459+15.76%0.1776✓1.652.4M2022-05-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0711.202+1.19%11.13+0.54%0.0289✓1.3821.0M2022-05-23
COMPCompoundEthereum68.6769.4906+1.20%68.89+0.32%0.0262✓1.3628k2022-05-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.054347+1.21%0.0539+0.37%0.0225✓1.201.6M2022-05-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.066.1332+1.21%6.18+1.98%0.0426✓1.36629k2022-05-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.58811.6075+1.22%2.5073+57.88%0.4725✓1.092.4M2022-05-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8720.882678+1.22%0.938+7.57%0.1005✓1.557.6M2022-05-23
NANOnanopayBase1.08591.0994+1.24%1.1466+5.58%0.0740✓1.24161k2022-05-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.19880.20128+1.25%0.2242+12.78%0.1349✓1.052,5292022-05-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.707787+1.26%0.676-3.29%0.0083✓1.47338k2022-05-23
SOLSolanaSolana53.6954.3826+1.29%49.11-8.53%0.0657✗1.4188.2M2022-05-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9521.2226+1.30%20.98+0.14%0.0257✓1.453.4M2022-05-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03170.032116+1.31%0.0329+3.79%0.0590✓1.36174k2022-05-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17360.175912+1.33%0.1546-10.94%0.0902✗1.518.8M2022-05-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.08610.087248+1.33%0.0797-7.43%0.0467✗1.70239k2022-05-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7331.7564+1.35%4.685+170.34%0.9997✓0.721.9M2022-05-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127620.012935+1.36%0.017682+38.55%0.3314✓0.73198k2022-05-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67041.6931+1.36%2.2096+32.28%0.2972✓1.219.3M2022-05-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24630.249649+1.36%0.2567+4.22%0.0600✓1.25280k2022-05-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46180.468315+1.41%0.5503+19.16%0.1998✓1.50307k2022-05-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2982.3311+1.44%2.531+10.14%0.1253✓1.6723k2022-05-23
XVGVergenative0.004860.004931+1.47%0.00507+4.32%0.0629✓1.37915k2022-05-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.91.9282+1.48%2+5.26%0.0793✓1.6687k2022-05-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004320.004385+1.49%0.0045+4.17%0.0514✓0.9920k2022-05-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9762.0056+1.50%1.931-2.28%0.0131✓1.98928k2022-05-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1390.141097+1.51%0.1353-2.66%0.0016✓1.576.2M2022-05-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.7645+1.52%2.587-4.99%0.0229✗1.696.7M2022-05-23
MOVRMoonriverBase23.500223.8682+1.57%24.2885+3.35%0.0543✓1.43201k2022-05-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.662.7019+1.58%2.852+7.22%0.0937✓1.54240k2022-05-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07950.080753+1.58%0.0896+12.70%0.1499✓1.79173k2022-05-23
XVSVenusEthereum4.544.6117+1.58%4.66+2.64%0.0482✓1.472.8M2022-05-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.20980.213207+1.62%0.2149+2.43%0.0190✓0.43433k2022-05-23
STXStacksnative0.560.569098+1.62%0.62+10.71%0.1148✓1.13314k2022-05-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.000012156+1.64%0.00001167-2.42%0.0069✓1.321.2M2022-05-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08090.082226+1.64%0.0801-0.99%0.0137✓1.553.6M2022-05-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.10970.111505+1.65%0.1154+5.20%0.0753✓1.591.7M2022-05-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.4933.0291+1.66%29.04-10.62%0.0918✗1.4448.8M2022-05-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0680.069132+1.66%0.055-19.12%0.2019✗1.04113k2022-05-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.111.1285+1.66%1.18+6.31%0.0654✓0.81204k2022-05-23
BANDBandEthereum1.6021.6287+1.66%1.708+6.62%0.0842✓1.43500k2022-05-23
AAVEAaveEthereum83.7985.2353+1.72%99.24+18.44%0.1907✓1.508.6M2022-05-23
KSMKusamaHydration73.4774.7533+1.75%82.85+12.77%0.1347✓1.241.2M2022-05-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153160.015586+1.76%0.020648+34.81%0.3093✓1.094.2M2022-05-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.920.936308+1.77%0.78-15.22%0.1579✗0.96126k2022-05-23
DIADIAEthereum0.379940.386717+1.78%0.48959+28.86%0.2563✓0.7970k2022-05-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.810.824458+1.78%0.87+7.41%0.0928✓1.52801k2022-05-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.3005+1.79%2.56+13.27%0.1511✓1.72390k2022-05-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.564.6424+1.81%5.66+24.12%0.2209✓0.882.7M2022-05-23
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.0609+1.81%0.981-5.85%0.0423✗1.40775k2022-05-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.721+1.83%1.94+14.79%0.1630✓1.68436k2022-05-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.5041.5322+1.87%2.618+74.07%0.5624✓1.04683k2022-05-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.370020.376979+1.88%0.38305+3.52%0.0527✓1.431.4M2022-05-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.298.4466+1.89%8.16-1.57%0.0024✓1.256.6M2022-05-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2947+1.95%1.53+20.47%0.2045✓1.463.6M2022-05-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.38341.4105+1.96%2.2211+60.55%0.4820✓1.094.3M2022-05-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009030.009211+2.00%0.00906+0.33%0.0049✓0.83246k2022-05-23
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9691+2.02%1.93+0.00%0.0062✓1.02350k2022-05-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.8051.8416+2.03%1.748-3.16%0.0153✓1.432.3M2022-05-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.955.0516+2.05%8.01+61.82%0.4833✓0.871.2M2022-05-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2891.3162+2.11%1.161-9.93%0.0817✗1.70665k2022-05-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.217615+2.17%0.236+10.80%0.1196✓1.503.5M2022-05-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4461.4774+2.17%3.201+121.37%0.7980✓0.96736k2022-05-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01520.01554+2.24%0.0257+69.08%0.5601✓2.2225.3M2022-05-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.323119+2.25%0.377+19.30%0.1804✓1.021.1M2022-05-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3070.313983+2.27%0.346+12.70%0.1412✓1.721.8M2022-05-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1510.154631+2.40%0.146-3.31%0.0197✓1.474.1M2022-05-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.193910.198584+2.41%0.20877+7.66%0.0911✓1.60264k2022-05-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.340.348244+2.42%0.381+12.06%0.1225✓1.2791k2022-05-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.359870.368674+2.45%0.7044+95.74%0.6909✓1.69331k2022-05-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001364+2.56%0.00141+6.02%0.0710✓1.473.5M2022-05-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.489584+2.64%0.545+14.26%0.1445✓1.45891k2022-05-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11780.121064+2.77%0.1265+7.39%0.0693✓0.9919k2022-05-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.