8=======>

2022-05-05 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1150
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.7%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-20.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
APEApeCoinEthereum13.68813.0918-4.36%7.785-43.13%0.0600✓1.9775.7M2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.8361-3.87%0.896-53.09%0.4539✓1.1317.4M2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.15e-78.80e-7-3.82%4.63e-7-49.35%0.6426✓-0.01713k2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06752.9607-3.48%1.2954-57.77%0.6016✓0.9710.2M2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.605130.584085-3.48%0.28864-52.30%0.4264✓1.1960k2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4542.3755-3.20%1.304-46.86%0.2889✓1.335.1M2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.008030.007777-3.15%0.00413-48.57%0.3656✓1.15943k2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.4079-3.11%0.189-55.11%0.5086✓1.124.3M2022-05-12
STEEMSteemnative0.40070.388368-3.08%0.1771-55.80%0.5522✓1.007.0M2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7167120.69555-2.95%0.334376-53.35%0.4722✓1.125.5M2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.7077-2.94%1.59-58.38%0.5066✓1.46385k2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5354.405-2.87%2.486-45.18%0.2183✓1.527.5M2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum2.282.2152-2.84%1.13-50.44%0.3583✓1.353.6M2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30120.292842-2.78%0.1337-55.61%0.4894✓1.266.8M2022-05-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2871.2518-2.73%0.807-37.30%0.2001✓1.03462k2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.9518.4379-2.70%8.59-54.67%0.4452✓1.372.2M2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74140.72168-2.66%0.3939-46.87%0.2902✓1.35311k2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.855340.833169-2.59%0.44316-48.19%0.3410✓1.2588k2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119260.011617-2.59%0.007887-33.87%0.1761✓0.9142k2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26920.262256-2.58%0.1695-37.04%0.1236✓1.34735k2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.4340.42303-2.53%0.2835-34.68%0.3018✓0.42572k2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6390.622853-2.53%0.243-61.97%0.6029✓1.451.7M2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum2.112.0569-2.52%0.73-65.40%0.9085✓0.55272k2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative1.791.7451-2.51%0.95-46.93%0.3351✓1.17987k2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060670.05916-2.49%0.03169-47.77%0.3653✓1.1177k2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.000072070.000070303-2.45%0.00003173-55.97%0.5551✓1.037.7M2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.574.4581-2.45%2.15-52.95%0.3685✓1.55339k2022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,867.4516,457.31-2.43%9,878.00-41.44%0.2761✓1.012.6M2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003120.003044-2.43%0.00121-61.22%0.6512✓1.164.1M2022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase30.9830.2337-2.41%19.04-38.54%0.1452✓1.36173k2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.1010.098569-2.41%0.052-48.51%0.4381✓0.86425k2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.062753-2.41%0.03867-39.86%0.2880✓0.8412k2022-05-12
DASHDashDash87.4785.3702-2.40%53.75-38.55%0.2116✓1.081.2M2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017220.016811-2.37%0.00889-48.37%0.2611✓1.6149.4M2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.17580.171654-2.36%0.0968-44.94%0.2923✓1.201.4M2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.7112.4137-2.33%7.22-43.19%0.2510✓1.258.7M2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0747070.073001-2.28%0.066988-10.33%0.0907✗0.76297k2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.63440.619918-2.28%0.4222-33.45%0.1483✓1.0110.9M2022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.74233.6576-2.26%2.3863-36.24%0.1697✓1.10177k2022-05-12
LUNATerraTerra 282.4280.5814-2.23%0.0087-99.99%8.8291✓1.317.3M2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6433.5622-2.22%1.548-57.51%0.4345✓1.711.4M2022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum7.577.4021-2.22%3.62-52.18%0.4492✓1.142.9M2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.69721.66-2.19%0.989391-41.71%0.3030✓0.9284k2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.521.0301-2.19%14.06-34.60%0.1066✓1.27532k2022-05-12
PROPropyEthereum1.671.6339-2.16%0.88-47.31%0.4769✓0.61470k2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3365.2213-2.15%2.677-49.83%0.5173✓0.651.4M2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.19290.188774-2.14%0.0997-48.32%0.3127✓1.402.1M2022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum104.67102.4485-2.12%60.88-41.84%0.2337✓1.2333k2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19950.195272-2.12%0.107-46.37%0.2823✓1.37114k2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0351.0131-2.11%0.381-63.19%0.6907✓1.232.2M2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.3227.7272-2.09%18.89-33.30%0.1017✓1.214.9M2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.25510.249811-2.07%0.1302-48.96%0.3721✓1.20391k2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2413.9463-2.06%8.25-42.06%0.1886✓1.44145k2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.96552.9046-2.05%1.0557-64.40%0.8575✓0.663.2M2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.624.5264-2.03%2.19-52.60%0.5665✓0.68575k2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22430.219784-2.01%0.0785-65.00%0.6207✓1.751.2M2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1430.140123-2.01%0.0773-45.94%0.2883✓1.325.0M2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03710.036355-2.01%0.0163-56.06%0.3743✓1.8423.0M2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0910.089172-2.01%0.0389-57.25%0.6316✓0.852.6M2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana84.5282.8457-1.98%44.65-47.17%0.3312✓1.2385.8M2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum7.347.1952-1.97%4.65-36.65%0.1740✓1.134.3M2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum2.9392.8816-1.95%1.514-48.49%0.3407✓1.30537k2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum141.32138.572-1.94%76.75-45.69%0.2783✓1.349.8M2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase1.63051.5989-1.94%0.997494-38.82%0.2064✓1.14149k2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana1.781.7455-1.94%0.82-53.93%0.5929✓0.70153k2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001680.000001648-1.93%0.00000104-38.10%0.2958✓0.717.7M2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.37430.367096-1.92%0.2085-44.30%0.3038✓1.12188k2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.7972.3774-1.91%49.62-32.76%0.1783✓0.852.1M2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.017840.017499-1.91%0.012-32.74%0.2004✓0.763.5M2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.008040.007887-1.91%0.00425-47.14%0.3307✓1.23382k2022-05-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16750.164333-1.89%0.0653-61.01%0.6899✓1.003.9M2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03780.037086-1.89%0.02176-42.43%0.3321✓0.8634k2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.76974.68-1.88%1.4271-70.08%0.9262✓1.128.6M2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12350.121184-1.88%0.0863-30.12%0.1451✓0.83156k2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash125.68123.3267-1.87%86.4-31.25%0.0813✓1.185.5M2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.0257.9213-1.86%30.19-48.85%0.3686✓1.2144.2M2022-05-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587720.577012-1.82%0.36057-38.65%0.2119✓1.11130k2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.32820.322244-1.81%0.1765-46.22%0.4513✓0.654,4692022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016760.016457-1.81%0.0108-35.56%0.2242✓0.85238k2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.0810.8802-1.80%4.63-58.21%0.6111✓1.04963k2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.1272-1.80%2.683-36.16%0.1900✓1.0373k2022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration127.39125.1016-1.80%68.74-46.04%0.3385✓1.121.0M2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.9813.7322-1.77%8.1-42.06%0.2601✓1.157.5M2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8714.7847-1.77%2.184-55.16%0.5032✓1.21184k2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1420.139486-1.77%0.065-54.23%0.6369✓0.54132k2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative17.2716.9663-1.76%10.951-36.59%0.2566✓0.784.3M2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014150.013905-1.73%0.00786-44.45%0.3607✓0.901.1M2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19410.190777-1.71%0.1008-48.07%0.4354✓0.871.2M2022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8922.8429-1.70%1.264-56.29%0.6410✓0.73915k2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum3.743.6768-1.69%1.67-55.35%0.5870✓0.87564k2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5914.3482-1.66%8.68-40.51%0.2453✓1.1011.7M2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05330.052428-1.64%0.0302-43.34%0.2709✓1.20179k2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.67220.661316-1.62%0.3429-48.99%0.3693✓1.23105k2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero206.75203.408-1.62%137.43-33.53%0.1759✓0.933.3M2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.194.1226-1.61%2.16-48.45%0.4685✓0.76690k2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5710.561845-1.60%0.309-45.88%0.4139✓0.791.4M2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00830.008168-1.59%0.00359-56.75%0.5479✓1.182.3M2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9080.893797-1.56%0.405-55.40%0.4872✓1.311.1M2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4576-1.52%0.72-51.35%0.3863✓1.37951k2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8872.8435-1.51%1.23-57.40%0.6859✓0.651.2M2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.026210.025817-1.50%0.01505-42.58%0.4326✓0.46416k2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96530.950875-1.49%0.5935-38.52%0.1668✓1.316.6M2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2290.225582-1.49%0.1345-41.27%0.1740✓1.476.7M2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0171.0021-1.46%0.537-47.20%0.3657✓1.1150k2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12810.126233-1.46%0.082269-35.78%0.2069✓0.957.1M2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase38.470337.9249-1.42%21.3123-44.60%0.2403✓1.44182k2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.76730.75643-1.42%0.4037-47.39%0.3802✓1.061.5M2022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1710620.168643-1.41%0.120434-29.60%0.1007✓1.0113.8M2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.055-1.40%0.579-45.89%0.2942✓1.31358k2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5741.552-1.40%0.775-50.76%0.3682✓1.408.3M2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8317.587-1.36%9.62-46.05%0.3348✓1.1519.4M2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.2923.2472-1.36%1.729-47.48%0.2866✓1.4779k2022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.720.710261-1.35%0.28999-59.72%0.5996✓1.27426k2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14020.138319-1.34%0.0648-53.78%0.2959✓1.98266k2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.3122.0141-1.33%11.58-48.10%0.4668✓0.75412k2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.798.6747-1.31%4.29-51.19%0.5906✓0.491.4M2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.778128-1.30%0.4724-40.08%0.2276✓1.1641.1M2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.039240.038744-1.26%0.02133-45.64%0.4013✓0.84227k2022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum5.1485.083-1.26%2.483-51.77%0.3772✓1.461.6M2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4070.401887-1.26%0.1911-53.05%0.5230✓0.95305k2022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.17273.7203-1.24%193.69-30.12%0.1101✓1.015.2M2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum36.2135.7611-1.24%29.67-18.06%0.0273✗0.9211.7M2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN4.5544.4981-1.23%2.172-52.31%0.3754✓1.5119k2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.3652.3361-1.22%1.6077-32.02%0.2221✓0.6515k2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.4752-1.22%1.421-59.61%0.8100✓0.362.4M2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,747.432,714.51-1.20%1,954.39-28.86%0.0952✓1.00438.2M2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9990.987081-1.19%0.8-19.92%0.0469✗1.103.6M2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.220.21743-1.17%0.108-50.91%0.5316✓0.7223k2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.740.731392-1.16%0.32121-56.59%0.7149✓0.4670k2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.2840.280703-1.16%0.135-52.46%0.4291✓1.305.1M2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39430.389756-1.15%0.2135-45.85%0.3417✓1.12487k2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum5.48595.4242-1.12%3.628-33.87%0.1315✓1.1698k2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.018610.018403-1.11%0.010713-42.43%0.4077✓0.57195k2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.08930.088313-1.11%0.0664-25.64%0.1250✓0.69675k2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum6.33616.2671-1.09%5.3674-15.29%0.0508✓0.454.5M2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4452.4186-1.08%1.133-53.66%0.3947✓1.56713k2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,537.2236,180.59-0.98%28,941.95-20.79%0.0098✗1.00553.2M2022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum91.8890.9931-0.97%73.37-20.15%0.0167✗1.003.4M2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.13990.138564-0.96%0.0682-51.25%0.3997✓1.33180k2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.884.8337-0.95%3.26-33.20%0.2513✓0.61869k2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.46831.4544-0.95%0.70895-51.72%0.4333✓1.22886k2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.7881.7712-0.94%0.949-46.92%0.4386✓0.8024k2022-05-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11813.089-0.93%1.057-66.10%0.9263✓0.635.4M2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.406367-0.89%0.17236-57.96%0.5234✓1.43284k2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9210.8238-0.88%6.56-39.93%0.2236✓1.1918.3M2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.9131-0.88%1.35-30.05%0.1067✓1.04128k2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49820.49387-0.87%0.2948-40.83%0.2546✓1.128.1M2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.8496.025-0.84%64.26-33.64%0.1592✓1.0417.5M2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2361.226-0.81%0.583-52.83%0.4704✓1.1751k2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020290.000020127-0.80%0.00001081-46.72%0.3631✓1.111.4M2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.9628.7452-0.74%19.31-33.32%0.0717✓1.404.0M2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.9344-0.72%2.6-47.69%0.4715✓0.731.0M2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos2.48952.4719-0.71%1.6845-32.34%0.1216✓1.12855k2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13425.0984-0.70%5.13-0.08%0.0808✗0.32262k2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.710320.705527-0.67%0.32972-53.58%0.4496✓1.331.3M2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.08360.083051-0.66%0.0411-50.84%0.4746✓0.9869k2022-05-12
STXStacksnative0.890.884608-0.61%0.5-43.82%0.3369✓1.00274k2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077340.076929-0.53%0.04348-43.78%0.3677✓0.8732k2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum3.2583.2418-0.50%1.457-55.28%0.5470✓1.083.0M2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.11520.114804-0.34%0.05891-48.86%0.4936✓0.7417k2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007210.007193-0.24%0.00359-50.21%0.5523✓0.6127k2022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,624.3036,541.24-0.23%29,197.00-20.28%0.0003✓0.9625k2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0235240.023517-0.03%0.01502-36.15%0.2226✓0.974.3M2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.658.6507+0.01%4.09-52.72%0.6347✗0.492.5M2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.