8=======>

2022-05-04 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1700
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
97.5%
in alpha space · 100.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.97%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.1594-5.12%0.057-66.07%0.8950✓0.42132k2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.008960.008506-5.07%0.00436-51.34%0.3228✓1.10943k2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.456815-5.05%0.3065-36.29%0.2771✓0.39580k2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.4921-4.88%1.32-49.62%0.2332✓1.283.6M2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.235701-4.88%0.1056-57.38%0.2678✓1.701.3M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.643698-4.71%0.30717-54.53%0.3702✓1.1873k2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55714.8406-4.60%5.715-63.26%0.3171✓2.0363.9M2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-79.14e-7-4.50%5.80e-7-39.41%0.4738✓-0.06646k2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.684944-4.47%0.299-58.30%0.3847✓1.411.6M2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.394.1981-4.37%1.74-60.36%0.4321✓1.43385k2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1243.9496-4.23%1.653-59.92%0.3245✓1.741.4M2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.28559-4.13%0.175-41.26%0.0797✓1.30763k2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.9276-4.10%0.99-50.75%0.3150✓1.121.1M2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.329886-4.05%0.1517-55.88%0.4035✓1.196.8M2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.783362-4.02%0.415-49.15%0.2313✓1.29311k2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.7889-4.02%9.91-39.76%0.0250✓1.40145k2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0761.9932-3.99%1.001-51.78%0.3544✓1.0616.1M2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003393-3.89%0.00125-64.59%0.6504✓1.114.2M2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.788521-3.84%0.31-62.20%0.5729✓1.15430k2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.042217-3.83%0.014-68.11%0.5841✓1.6523.0M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.4998-3.71%1.502-42.14%0.0911✓1.335.1M2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2813.7544-3.68%7.42-48.04%0.2475✓1.188.7M2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6129.4859-3.67%19.91-34.96%0.0295✓1.164.9M2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.724788-3.64%0.3939-47.63%0.2188✓1.24110k2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.174.9829-3.62%2.35-54.55%0.2847✓1.49339k2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3332.1374-3.58%19.2-42.39%0.1097✓1.294.0M2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1521.3612-3.56%9.48-57.20%0.4050✓1.302.2M2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.4223-3.51%0.54-63.36%0.6236✓1.1055k2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum8.528.2251-3.46%3.68-56.81%0.4712✓1.063.0M2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.153736-3.43%0.0833-47.68%0.2137✓1.275.3M2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.6709-3.37%1.223-55.75%0.2783✓1.60719k2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.462035-3.34%0.197-58.79%0.5279✓1.034.3M2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.083531-3.32%0.074146-14.18%0.0944✗0.68296k2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase33.732.5853-3.31%19.64-41.72%0.0828✓1.35173k2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000078520.000075939-3.29%0.0000364-53.64%0.4219✓1.007.8M2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.773979-3.29%0.3862-51.74%0.3721✓1.035.3M2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.214789-3.25%0.1138-48.74%0.2228✓1.312.1M2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.107356-3.20%0.056-49.50%0.3740✓0.88425k2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.1037-3.19%0.486-57.37%0.4556✓1.162.2M2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5917,750.63-3.17%11,348.99-38.09%0.1478✓0.952.7M2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0734.9122-3.17%2.497-50.78%0.2227✓1.447.7M2022-05-11
DASHDashDash95.8592.876-3.10%58.06-39.43%0.1440✓1.041.2M2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.6174-3.08%1.4486-61.19%0.6685✓0.7810.0M2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.189964-3.08%0.107-45.41%0.2096✓1.161.5M2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43154.5224-3.08%82.28-48.39%0.2300✓1.279.8M2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.247867-3.06%0.1257-50.84%0.2256✓1.446.9M2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.693493-3.05%0.4525-36.74%0.1305✓0.9410.9M2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum7.947.698-3.05%4.89-38.41%0.1102✓1.094.4M2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.2429-2.97%1.809-45.87%0.1844✓1.27537k2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.215443-2.95%0.1188-46.49%0.1603✓1.38114k2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.064794-2.93%0.03319-50.28%0.3327✓1.0775k2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573442.3132-2.89%21.4392-50.80%0.2184✓1.47182k2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.6185-2.88%2.623-54.66%0.5717✓0.601.5M2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.930305-2.84%0.49716-48.08%0.2544✓1.1894k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2865.3805-2.82%31.1-53.78%0.3694✓1.1944.2M2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.068805-2.80%0.04295-39.33%0.2207✓0.8014k2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.8242-2.79%1.0189-45.70%0.3009✓0.9084k2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.7557-2.79%1.0802-40.19%0.1492✓1.07149k2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.2467-2.75%1.001-21.92%0.1105✗1.05462k2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.058159-2.74%0.0314-47.49%0.2598✓1.13179k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash134.35130.7034-2.71%83.09-38.15%0.0993✓1.135.5M2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.429536-2.71%0.2258-48.86%0.3031✓1.08491k2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7115.2843-2.71%8.58-45.39%0.2407✓1.077.5M2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.7794-2.66%2.25-54.18%0.5443✓0.67648k2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23744.1249-2.66%2.5145-40.66%0.1767✓1.01173k2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.447847-2.64%0.19-58.70%0.3912✓1.48293k2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.598805-2.63%0.318-48.29%0.3901✓0.771.4M2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.020019-2.63%0.00948-53.89%0.2816✓1.4848.2M2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.008746-2.61%0.00435-51.56%0.3270✓1.18382k2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana92.7690.3507-2.60%50.82-45.21%0.1964✓1.2185.8M2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.150399-2.59%0.0782-49.35%0.0087✓2.11269k2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.634533-2.58%0.37334-42.68%0.1947✓1.07126k2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.1298-2.55%1.1829-63.17%0.7778✓0.623.5M2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.3592-2.48%2.28-48.99%0.4209✓0.72719k2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9119.4215-2.45%10.75-46.01%0.2560✓1.0719.4M2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.386874-2.45%0.1956-50.68%0.3678✓1.003.9M2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.6914-2.42%1.587-58.05%0.7417✓0.332.4M2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017565-2.42%0.00973-45.94%0.2731✓1.01248k2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.7083-2.41%1.785-53.03%0.3027✓1.3679k2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.013305-2.39%0.009172-32.71%0.0930✓0.8943k2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.014876-2.39%0.00936-38.58%0.1789✓0.911.1M2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9523.3816-2.37%14.26-40.46%0.0892✓1.29532k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.2675-2.36%2.496-53.73%0.3674✓1.21184k2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56111.8567-2.36%70.97-38.05%0.0888✓1.1733k2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0311.7465-2.36%4.83-59.85%0.5689✓1.02963k2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.375558-2.35%0.1885-50.99%0.5236✓0.534,1372022-05-11
LUNATerraTerra 286.0984.0931-2.32%1.06-98.77%3.9792✓1.267.3M2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.009124-2.32%0.00457-51.07%0.3271✓1.162.3M2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.095055-2.31%0.0412-57.66%0.5745✓0.832.8M2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6803-2.31%1.07-37.79%0.2611✓0.61470k2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.027863-2.30%0.01772-37.87%0.3131✓0.44416k2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0060.982885-2.30%0.471-53.18%0.3686✓1.171.1M2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8273-2.28%0.91-51.34%0.4741✓0.71159k2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration140.48137.2968-2.27%72.92-48.09%0.2876✓1.10954k2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.01894-2.22%0.01058-45.38%0.3508✓0.743.6M2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001741-2.21%0.00000121-32.02%0.1416✓0.717.7M2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3215.9613-2.20%9.05-44.55%0.2372✓1.0511.7M2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07944.9686-2.18%1.8219-64.13%0.6404✓1.158.6M2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.5485-2.14%2.847-49.79%0.2291✓1.391.6M2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9942.93-2.14%1.365-54.41%0.5397✓0.71915k2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum4.013.9244-2.13%1.84-54.11%0.4935✓0.84565k2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.879578-2.08%0.5161-42.55%0.1919✓1.0941.1M2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.6059-2.08%0.82-50.00%0.2524✓1.34951k2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6376.9945-2.08%52.8-32.85%0.1157✓0.832.1M2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0277-2.08%1.428-53.82%0.5625✓0.601.2M2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.126807-2.08%0.0924-28.65%0.0321✓0.91156k2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.277206-2.01%0.143-49.45%0.3133✓1.11391k2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.364515-2.01%0.2133-42.66%0.1175✓1.33188k2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.0916-2.01%0.574-48.47%0.3282✓1.0050k2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.8627-1.96%1.05-44.74%0.4051✓0.53272k2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.208848-1.95%0.1157-45.68%0.3321✓0.821.2M2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.158171-1.94%0.065-59.70%0.4812✓1.30180k2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative18.40818.0531-1.93%11.39-38.12%0.2171✓0.774.3M2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.4977-1.88%4.61-52.38%0.5863✓0.431.6M2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.16-1.86%0.62-47.55%0.2321✓1.25357k2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.6278-1.85%0.76561-53.84%0.3984✓1.13886k2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.317087-1.83%0.166-48.61%0.2761✓1.185.1M2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.305-1.82%1.177-65.04%0.8543✓0.575.6M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.040342-1.82%0.02413-41.28%0.2496✓0.8436k2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04481.0258-1.82%0.5963-42.93%0.1481✓1.256.6M2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0823.6521-1.78%13.85-42.48%0.2547✓0.89417k2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.8327-1.75%4.0098-32.46%0.0071✓1.1798k2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.02124-1.71%0.012056-44.21%0.4162✓0.48193k2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.6006-1.70%2.897-38.10%0.1591✓0.9767k2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.82910.815084-1.69%0.4772-42.44%0.2205✓1.001.5M2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.133625-1.68%0.084774-37.62%0.1623✓0.937.1M2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.7866-1.67%0.856-52.89%0.3880✓1.118.2M2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.2538-1.61%2.86-46.44%0.3940✓0.681.1M2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.041851-1.60%0.0209-50.86%0.4419✓0.80236k2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95295.1706-1.59%193.96-35.34%0.1093✓0.995.3M2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.181806-1.58%0.125737-31.93%0.0614✓0.9813.8M2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero225.24221.7171-1.56%140.01-37.84%0.1671✓0.933.5M2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum39.5638.9718-1.49%29.94-24.32%0.0141✓0.8811.7M2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.212.0203-1.47%6.93-43.20%0.1968✓1.1318.3M2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum101.58100.0993-1.46%64.1-36.90%0.1728✓0.873.4M2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.810.798362-1.44%0.35-56.79%0.6868✓0.4471k2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,898.08-1.43%2,075.93-29.39%0.0167✓1.01438.2M2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.4431-1.40%1.7025-31.29%0.1519✓0.6715k2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1475.0759-1.38%2.339-54.56%0.3124✓1.4719k2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.233755-1.37%0.119-49.79%0.4570✓0.6925k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.4839-1.37%3.46-37.77%0.2848✓0.56869k2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.446456-1.36%0.2219-50.97%0.4191✓0.89299k2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.1-1.34%0.8-28.25%0.0247✗1.093.6M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.546931-1.24%0.2974-46.30%0.2862✓1.038.0M2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5639,187.74-1.21%28,972.34-26.97%0.0122✓1.00553.2M2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1710.0508-1.17%4.27-58.01%0.7379✓0.382.5M2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25105.0051-1.17%66.31-37.59%0.1415✓1.0117.3M2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum6.5236.4502-1.12%4.9785-23.68%0.1177✓0.454.2M2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.007714-1.10%0.00367-52.95%0.5439✓0.6328k2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.673-1.10%1.7776-34.23%0.0748✓1.06855k2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.799387-1.08%0.37834-53.18%0.3545✓1.251.4M2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.0978-1.05%1.41-33.49%0.0817✓1.00124k2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.9154-1.01%1.068-44.81%0.3467✓0.7624k2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.990.980148-1.00%0.58-41.41%0.2219✓0.96274k2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.000021564-0.99%0.00001195-45.13%0.2541✓1.071.4M2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.5888-0.89%5.25-6.90%0.0828✗0.46251k2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.095054-0.88%0.0681-28.99%0.1214✓0.67706k2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.62-0.88%1.637-55.18%0.4814✓0.993.1M2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.084285-0.67%0.04918-42.04%0.2818✓0.8232k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.09170.091111-0.64%0.049-46.56%0.3271✓0.9355k2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.125481-0.44%0.06818-45.91%0.3900✓0.7017k2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5039,517.05-0.37%28,313.90-28.62%0.0375✓0.9425k2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024411-0.22%0.014156-42.14%0.2224✓1.034.2M2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.