8=======>

2022-05-01 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0395
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.9%
in alpha space · 94.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.40e-78.97e-7-4.55%8.06e-7-14.29%0.1141✓-0.05580k2022-05-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum24.2823.1767-4.54%16.99-30.02%0.1510✓1.302.2M2022-05-08
APEApeCoinEthereum15.86515.2222-4.05%11.227-29.23%0.0527✓2.0545.9M2022-05-08
XVGVergenative0.008610.008286-3.77%0.0074-14.05%0.0191✓1.081.1M2022-05-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.647620.623744-3.69%0.50648-21.79%0.0695✓1.1399k2022-05-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0681.9937-3.59%1.645-20.45%0.0692✓1.0015.4M2022-05-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum43.8566-3.58%3.52-12.00%0.0788✗1.39385k2022-05-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.0661.9932-3.52%2.346+13.55%0.3230✗1.305.3M2022-05-08
SUSHISushiEthereum2.392.3104-3.33%2.11-11.72%0.0629✗1.254.2M2022-05-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31530.304994-3.27%0.2993-5.07%0.1292✗1.217.9M2022-05-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4610.446679-3.11%0.36-21.91%0.0903✓1.024.3M2022-05-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7168420.694698-3.09%0.626475-12.61%0.0166✓0.985.2M2022-05-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.651568-3.04%0.614-8.63%0.1127✗1.401.7M2022-05-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28630.27771-3.00%0.2492-12.96%0.0530✗1.31805k2022-05-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0741.0419-2.99%0.915-14.80%0.0111✓1.152.2M2022-05-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.9153.8001-2.93%3.157-19.36%0.0296✓1.751.6M2022-05-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,039.8516,543.75-2.91%15,574.12-8.60%0.0607✗0.992.9M2022-05-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.6020.5845-2.91%0.7289+21.08%0.3380✗0.9610.9M2022-05-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.8224.6824-2.90%4.216-12.57%0.0670✗1.408.0M2022-05-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.102209-2.84%0.0907-13.78%0.0082✓0.91470k2022-05-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74480.72366-2.84%0.6594-11.47%0.0633✗1.27369k2022-05-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum13.0512.6808-2.83%11.91-8.74%0.0713✗1.099.0M2022-05-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.734.598-2.79%4.43-6.34%0.1452✗1.49339k2022-05-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.18210.177081-2.76%0.1629-10.54%0.0566✗1.142.0M2022-05-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09670.094052-2.74%0.0827-14.48%0.0271✓0.833.0M2022-05-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.80011.7509-2.73%1.597-11.29%0.0142✓0.8796k2022-05-08
XVSVenusEthereum87.7876-2.65%6.91-13.62%0.0085✓1.043.4M2022-05-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1380.134356-2.64%0.125-9.42%0.0173✓0.45148k2022-05-08
DASHDashDash90.0187.6605-2.61%82.93-7.87%0.0701✗1.021.3M2022-05-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06650.064781-2.59%0.05849-12.05%0.0074✓0.7719k2022-05-08
TRXTRONTron0.0707640.068945-2.57%0.088013+24.38%0.3209✗0.63273k2022-05-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.063660.062034-2.55%0.05402-15.14%0.0086✓1.06114k2022-05-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03820.037235-2.53%0.0349-8.64%0.1279✗1.5725.5M2022-05-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15160.147787-2.52%0.1293-14.71%0.0195✓1.256.2M2022-05-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.51744.4042-2.51%2.4108-46.63%0.5117✓0.7410.0M2022-05-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.664.5447-2.47%4.34-6.87%0.0359✗0.67685k2022-05-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20680.201715-2.46%0.1783-13.78%0.0422✗1.35121k2022-05-08
BANDBandEthereum3.1133.0365-2.46%2.731-12.27%0.0454✗1.23572k2022-05-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.19590.191136-2.43%0.1809-7.66%0.1035✗1.292.2M2022-05-08
ZECZcashZcash124121.0325-2.39%114-8.06%0.0724✗1.086.3M2022-05-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.6835.5472-2.39%5.034-11.42%0.0239✓0.601.6M2022-05-08
MOVRMoonriverBase41.2740.2888-2.38%32.3833-21.53%0.0419✓1.44195k2022-05-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche58.7657.3663-2.37%51.57-12.24%0.0375✗1.1745.0M2022-05-08
SOLSolanaSolana89.6587.5378-2.36%75.34-15.96%0.0014✓1.2193.7M2022-05-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.0122.4762-2.32%20.3-11.78%0.0512✗1.25644k2022-05-08
AAVEAaveEthereum146.6143.2016-2.32%126.06-14.01%0.0269✗1.2611.0M2022-05-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018880.018444-2.31%0.01556-17.58%0.0064✓1.4447.4M2022-05-08
XECeCashnative0.000073440.000071745-2.31%0.00006824-7.08%0.0690✗0.978.4M2022-05-08
ZENHorizenBase30.8130.1009-2.30%30.99+0.58%0.1903✗1.31205k2022-05-08
UMAUMAEthereum5.425.2963-2.28%5.32-1.85%0.1784✗1.421.8M2022-05-08
NANOnanopayBase1.76591.7259-2.27%1.6347-7.43%0.0740✗1.05165k2022-05-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.904340.883874-2.26%0.78125-13.61%0.0182✓1.15101k2022-05-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.8543.7668-2.26%3.5428-8.07%0.0587✗0.98214k2022-05-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.5352.4779-2.25%2.108-16.84%0.0299✗1.56732k2022-05-08
SCSiacoinnative0.008490.0083-2.24%0.00739-12.96%0.0263✗1.16425k2022-05-08
MINAMina Protocolnative1.81.76-2.22%1.65-8.33%0.0701✗1.101.2M2022-05-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.2114.8718-2.22%13.44-11.64%0.0659✗1.36153k2022-05-08
STEEMSteemnative0.40440.395659-2.16%0.383-5.29%0.0903✗1.0010.9M2022-05-08
RADRadworksEthereum3.813.7281-2.15%3.33-12.60%0.0098✓0.84600k2022-05-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.15163.0846-2.13%2.6832-14.86%0.0645✓0.614.1M2022-05-08
LUNATerraTerra 282.380.5511-2.13%64.2-21.99%0.0685✓1.298.2M2022-05-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003150.003083-2.12%0.00296-6.03%0.0917✗1.085.1M2022-05-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014930.014615-2.11%0.01312-12.12%0.0013✓0.891.3M2022-05-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.1214.8032-2.10%13.12-13.23%0.0091✓1.069.2M2022-05-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.2785-2.09%3.96-9.38%0.0124✓0.73953k2022-05-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.011.9681-2.08%1.87-6.97%0.0189✓0.57279k2022-05-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001720.000001684-2.07%0.00000161-6.40%0.0417✗0.717.8M2022-05-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122770.012022-2.07%0.012755+3.89%0.1634✗0.8549k2022-05-08
COMPCompoundEthereum105.47103.2999-2.06%99.67-5.50%0.1046✗1.1439k2022-05-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.8221-2.04%1.4-24.73%0.1750✓0.72175k2022-05-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.019210.018819-2.04%0.01783-7.18%0.0335✗0.713.9M2022-05-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.711.4632-2.02%10.01-14.44%0.0093✓1.03985k2022-05-08
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0951.0728-2.02%0.922-15.80%0.0349✓0.9555k2022-05-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.23780.233058-1.99%0.2109-11.31%0.0771✗1.447.3M2022-05-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos1817.6431-1.98%15.7-12.78%0.0138✓1.0620.3M2022-05-08
PROPropyEthereum1.581.5489-1.97%1.63+3.16%0.1218✗0.58422k2022-05-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.541.5097-1.97%1.34-12.99%0.0422✗1.311.2M2022-05-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.2680.262746-1.96%0.2393-10.71%0.0394✗1.08428k2022-05-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194510.019072-1.95%0.016338-16.00%0.0943✓0.49193k2022-05-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot15.3615.0606-1.95%13.26-13.67%0.0016✓1.0211.7M2022-05-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.0834.9843-1.94%4.501-11.45%0.0442✗1.19197k2022-05-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.20120.197351-1.91%0.1805-10.29%0.0148✓0.851.2M2022-05-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9420.924046-1.91%0.855-9.24%0.0536✗1.071.2M2022-05-08
KCSKuCoinnative17.8817.5393-1.91%15.896-11.10%0.0025✓0.784.9M2022-05-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.027320.026804-1.89%0.0239-12.52%0.0427✓0.59416k2022-05-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.1236-1.89%3.95-6.02%0.0728✗0.9467k2022-05-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.36010.353398-1.86%0.3218-10.64%0.0424✓0.423,8542022-05-08
KSMKusamaHydration133.3130.8242-1.86%111.73-16.18%0.0253✓1.081.0M2022-05-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94420.926781-1.84%0.8411-10.92%0.0564✗1.257.6M2022-05-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.8472.4816-1.84%70.19-4.94%0.0664✗0.802.2M2022-05-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008170.008023-1.80%0.00786-3.79%0.1181✗1.133.0M2022-05-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4641.4378-1.79%1.116-23.77%0.1221✓1.0773k2022-05-08
UNIUniswapEthereum7.126.9932-1.78%7.1-0.28%0.1433✗1.044.7M2022-05-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.852.7993-1.78%2.63-7.72%0.0234✗0.701.1M2022-05-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01750.01719-1.77%0.01396-20.23%0.0851✓1.00309k2022-05-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14730.1447-1.76%0.1298-11.88%0.1557✗2.15278k2022-05-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5333.4707-1.76%3.223-8.77%0.0344✓0.322.4M2022-05-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12910.126841-1.75%0.1142-11.54%0.0088✓0.93169k2022-05-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.91554.8308-1.72%4.4856-8.75%0.0675✗1.159.1M2022-05-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.7123.3022-1.72%19.08-19.53%0.0893✓0.90478k2022-05-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.459.2879-1.72%8.17-13.54%0.0774✓0.411.8M2022-05-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.35460.348591-1.69%0.3144-11.34%0.0573✗1.31215k2022-05-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1326490.130405-1.69%0.124195-6.37%0.0653✗0.937.2M2022-05-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9082.8592-1.68%2.646-9.01%0.0024✓0.611.5M2022-05-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5970.58701-1.67%0.542-9.21%0.0147✓0.771.8M2022-05-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.5883.528-1.67%3.896+8.58%0.2616✗1.3279k2022-05-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0951.0768-1.66%0.958-12.51%0.0355✗1.24376k2022-05-08
ADACardanoCardano0.78960.776763-1.63%0.7403-6.24%0.0808✗1.0543.8M2022-05-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2330.229249-1.61%0.21-9.87%0.0034✓0.6925k2022-05-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05350.052668-1.56%0.0484-9.53%0.0567✗1.15200k2022-05-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038370.037776-1.55%0.03465-9.70%0.0145✓0.8246k2022-05-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22770.224182-1.55%0.2084-8.48%0.1379✗1.721.6M2022-05-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6127.197-1.50%26.51-3.98%0.1109✗1.115.0M2022-05-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.30093.2519-1.49%2.6421-19.96%0.1398✓0.556.0M2022-05-08
FTTFTXEthereum39.1138.5339-1.47%33.83-13.50%0.0216✓0.8813.5M2022-05-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.041360.040754-1.47%0.03631-12.21%0.0187✓0.79261k2022-05-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.835.745-1.46%4.2-27.96%0.2461✓0.55946k2022-05-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1571.1402-1.45%1.301+12.45%0.2585✗1.03501k2022-05-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.604360.595709-1.43%0.54275-10.19%0.0339✗1.03141k2022-05-08
HIVEHivenative0.8010.789808-1.40%0.7088-11.51%0.0123✓0.981.6M2022-05-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.14280.14082-1.39%0.1309-8.33%0.0780✗1.23192k2022-05-08
QNTQuantEthereum97.2995.9492-1.38%83.22-14.46%0.0427✓0.813.4M2022-05-08
DIADIAEthereum0.770.759451-1.37%0.64-16.88%0.1141✓0.4673k2022-05-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,824.862,786.54-1.36%2,519.10-10.82%0.0222✗1.00429.7M2022-05-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.40452.3719-1.35%2.1361-11.16%0.0285✓0.6214k2022-05-08
XMRMoneroMonero212.25209.4196-1.33%217.35+2.40%0.1489✗0.913.3M2022-05-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1756650.173323-1.33%0.161629-7.99%0.0491✗0.9714.3M2022-05-08
QTUMQtumQtum5.6085.5334-1.33%5.0387-10.15%0.0461✗1.14134k2022-05-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5131.4938-1.27%1.363-9.91%0.0358✗1.047.5M2022-05-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40680.40165-1.27%0.37-9.05%0.0512✓0.25605k2022-05-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash284.18280.6074-1.26%261.65-7.93%0.0496✗0.975.5M2022-05-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.730.72102-1.23%0.66-9.59%0.0456✗1.09482k2022-05-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0651.052-1.22%0.948-10.99%0.0271✗1.073.7M2022-05-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.725190.716405-1.21%0.57502-20.71%0.0671✓1.241.4M2022-05-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.53451.5161-1.20%1.33-13.33%0.0045✓1.101.1M2022-05-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4220.417024-1.18%0.3674-12.94%0.0192✓0.88343k2022-05-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40270.398022-1.16%0.3396-15.67%0.0244✓1.09535k2022-05-08
GITCOINGITCOIN4.7444.689-1.16%4.43-6.62%0.1228✗1.4619k2022-05-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.2911.1609-1.14%9.99-11.51%0.0268✗1.1218.9M2022-05-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,473.0538,037.91-1.13%34,027.91-11.55%0.0114✗1.00519.1M2022-05-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.024.9641-1.11%4.75-5.38%0.0382✗0.671.1M2022-05-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.6111.4859-1.07%8.1-30.23%0.2914✓0.472.8M2022-05-08
XTZTezosTezos2.57812.551-1.05%2.5615-0.64%0.1304✗1.03873k2022-05-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021560.000021339-1.02%0.00001836-14.84%0.0195✓1.071.4M2022-05-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum31.7931.47-1.01%30.46-4.18%0.1221✗1.264.4M2022-05-08
DODODODOEthereum0.3040.301014-0.98%0.275-9.54%0.0513✗1.156.4M2022-05-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.2943.2621-0.97%3.179-3.49%0.0970✗1.003.1M2022-05-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.66340.656998-0.97%0.6196-6.60%0.0932✗1.24123k2022-05-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.54490.539744-0.95%0.4659-14.50%0.0267✓0.987.9M2022-05-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin99.2798.3419-0.93%93.83-5.48%0.0776✗1.0117.5M2022-05-08
GTGateEthereum6.23436.1763-0.93%6.1332-1.62%0.0477✗0.454.6M2022-05-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.58055.5287-0.93%5.3183-4.70%0.0199✗0.48249k2022-05-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.022.0022-0.88%1.8-10.89%0.0157✗1.00135k2022-05-08
XEMNEMnative0.08940.088685-0.80%0.0757-15.32%0.0454✓0.9252k2022-05-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.8721.8573-0.78%1.57-16.13%0.0776✓0.7424k2022-05-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.420.417101-0.69%0.35-16.67%0.0054✓1.47311k2022-05-08
XYMSymbolnative0.09330.092724-0.62%0.0779-16.51%0.0928✓0.66806k2022-05-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.079330.078859-0.59%0.07039-11.27%0.0161✓0.7930k2022-05-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007790.007744-0.59%0.00674-13.48%0.0631✓0.6229k2022-05-08
STXStacksnative0.950.944503-0.58%0.78-17.89%0.0740✓0.96338k2022-05-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,172.2038,046.70-0.33%33,986.50-10.97%0.0007✓0.9225k2022-05-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.124060.123671-0.31%0.10457-15.71%0.0792✓0.7217k2022-05-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0250590.025013-0.18%0.022068-11.94%0.0011✓1.034.3M2022-05-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.