8=======>

2022-04-25 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3092
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.8%
in alpha space · 97.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4311.3667-0.55%9.57-16.27%0.1551✓0.352.0M2022-05-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.95195.897-0.92%5.7724-3.02%0.0029✓0.50208k2022-05-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090680.089751-1.02%0.07898-12.90%0.0900✓0.7736k2022-05-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.138440.136969-1.06%0.12425-10.25%0.0615✓0.7417k2022-05-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.56103.4208-1.09%100.65-3.74%0.0222✗1.0119.7M2022-05-02
GTGateEthereum6.31816.2474-1.12%6.2409-1.22%0.0219✗0.474.7M2022-05-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045150.044597-1.23%0.04043-10.45%0.0585✓0.81381k2022-05-02
DIADIAEthereum0.840.829509-1.25%0.77-8.33%0.0514✓0.4788k2022-05-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1691.1532-1.35%1.049-10.27%0.0452✓1.013.9M2022-05-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50060.49358-1.40%0.4286-14.38%0.0996✓0.85511k2022-05-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.98023.9237-1.42%3.3079-16.89%0.1470✓0.485.6M2022-05-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.030480.030043-1.43%0.024035-21.15%0.1753✓0.984.4M2022-05-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04330.042679-1.43%0.03902-9.88%0.0506✓0.8067k2022-05-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.5969-1.46%5.25-7.57%0.0338✓0.621.3M2022-05-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03110.030633-1.50%0.02585-16.88%0.1411✓0.59536k2022-05-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.971.9394-1.55%1.81-8.12%0.0345✓0.71230k2022-05-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.1662.1321-1.56%1.843-14.91%0.1119✓0.6925k2022-05-02
QNTQuantEthereum107.81106.0703-1.61%95.23-11.67%0.0689✓0.803.4M2022-05-02
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7535.6583-1.65%4.641-19.33%0.1282✓1.4318k2022-05-02
STXStacksnative1.111.0916-1.66%0.94-15.32%0.1041✓0.93422k2022-05-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3080.302752-1.70%0.227-26.30%0.2206✓1.388.8M2022-05-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,439.2239,721.31-1.78%38,510.89-4.77%0.0179✓1.00544.9M2022-05-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0721.053-1.78%0.952-11.19%0.0499✓1.041.3M2022-05-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.011192-1.82%0.0076-33.33%0.3598✓0.5632k2022-05-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.130988-1.88%0.1281-4.04%0.0262✗0.99203k2022-05-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2913.2289-1.89%2.985-9.30%0.0512✓0.561.8M2022-05-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.66163.5922-1.90%3.1796-13.16%0.0955✓0.544.6M2022-05-02
KCSKuCoinnative19.75919.3822-1.91%18.018-8.81%0.0355✓0.775.8M2022-05-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140930.013819-1.94%0.011991-14.92%0.1002✓0.8553k2022-05-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4413.179-1.94%11.17-16.89%0.1124✓1.0826.0M2022-05-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64990.637197-1.95%0.5329-18.00%0.1325✓0.959.2M2022-05-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1762-1.97%1.99-10.36%0.0414✓0.98128k2022-05-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.41642.3685-1.98%2.5018+3.53%0.0858✗0.6311k2022-05-02
XEMNEMnative0.09540.0935-1.99%0.092-3.56%0.0280✗0.9072k2022-05-02
FTTFTXEthereum41.8340.9892-2.01%39.11-6.50%0.0036✓0.8919.0M2022-05-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2991.2724-2.05%1.094-15.78%0.1037✓0.9762k2022-05-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06510.063764-2.05%0.053-18.59%0.1316✓1.09296k2022-05-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.29220.286199-2.05%0.2655-9.14%0.0223✓1.08492k2022-05-02
DODODODOEthereum0.3840.376051-2.07%0.291-24.22%0.2037✓1.088.0M2022-05-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.31470.308128-2.09%0.2208-29.84%0.2519✓1.662.2M2022-05-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,523.2039,675.13-2.09%38,566.40-4.83%0.0167✓0.9225k2022-05-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.1302-2.13%3.217-23.77%0.2049✓0.923.1M2022-05-02
XYMSymbolnative0.1070.104705-2.14%0.0933-12.80%0.0838✓0.65823k2022-05-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.911.869-2.15%1.52-20.42%0.1440✓1.281.6M2022-05-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.166.0265-2.17%5.73-6.98%0.0227✓0.571.0M2022-05-02
UMAUMAEthereum5.945.8112-2.17%5.319-10.45%0.0178✓1.452.5M2022-05-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.52650.51493-2.20%0.4561-13.37%0.1086✓0.26777k2022-05-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1185.0051-2.21%4.445-13.15%0.0729✓0.9464k2022-05-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.0737-2.24%4.68-9.83%0.0506✓0.62865k2022-05-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6318.2121-2.24%14.61-21.58%0.1712✓1.0110.7M2022-05-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001789-2.25%0.00000171-6.56%0.0105✓0.719.3M2022-05-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.021670.02118-2.26%0.01856-14.35%0.0964✓0.734.5M2022-05-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1163.0455-2.26%2.858-8.28%0.0321✓0.641.5M2022-05-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23530.229951-2.27%0.1927-18.10%0.1377✓0.801.6M2022-05-02
ETHEthereumEthereum3,007.222,938.77-2.28%2,856.21-5.02%0.0200✓0.99438.2M2022-05-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1922160.187839-2.28%0.173493-9.74%0.0326✓0.9618.9M2022-05-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5064.4031-2.28%3.441-23.64%0.1848✓1.26121k2022-05-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024370.000023813-2.29%0.00002066-15.22%0.0909✓1.052.1M2022-05-02
XMRMoneroMonero254.06248.1958-2.31%199.47-21.49%0.1749✓0.893.1M2022-05-02
SCSiacoinnative0.010140.009905-2.31%0.00835-17.65%0.1155✓1.13476k2022-05-02
HIVEHivenative0.90460.883608-2.32%0.8016-11.39%0.0512✓0.951.9M2022-05-02
TRXTRONTron0.0653240.063799-2.33%0.068943+5.54%0.1069✗0.60304k2022-05-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.680.664061-2.34%0.601-11.62%0.0636✓0.742.8M2022-05-02
DASHDashDash99.4197.0689-2.35%89.2-10.27%0.0358✓1.001.6M2022-05-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.723570.706436-2.37%0.58714-18.86%0.1364✓0.99152k2022-05-02
XTZTezosTezos2.95422.8842-2.37%2.4942-15.57%0.0959✓1.01893k2022-05-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.264485-2.40%0.23-15.13%0.1077✓0.6636k2022-05-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.09732.0468-2.41%1.7715-15.53%0.1041✓0.82100k2022-05-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3654.2593-2.42%3.806-12.81%0.1013✓0.232.7M2022-05-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.41210.402099-2.43%0.3505-14.95%0.0713✓1.35282k2022-05-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.664.5456-2.45%4.34-6.87%0.0133✓0.671.2M2022-05-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash314.56306.7158-2.49%285.01-9.39%0.0266✓0.966.0M2022-05-02
BANDBandEthereum3.6163.5249-2.52%3.041-15.90%0.0896✓1.19715k2022-05-02
PROPropyEthereum1.61.5597-2.52%1.59-0.62%0.0408✗0.44247k2022-05-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.44820.436853-2.53%0.3627-19.08%0.1734✓0.265,5292022-05-02
SOLSolanaSolana100.9998.429-2.54%87.45-13.41%0.0592✓1.21127.9M2022-05-02
XECeCashnative0.000086730.000084518-2.55%0.00007202-16.96%0.1157✓0.919.8M2022-05-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7991.7531-2.55%1.542-14.29%0.0809✓0.978.6M2022-05-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18480.180063-2.56%0.1479-19.97%0.0880✓2.23398k2022-05-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.11340.110489-2.57%0.1041-8.20%0.0155✓0.90791k2022-05-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009620.009372-2.57%0.00824-14.35%0.0725✓1.153.0M2022-05-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.6507-2.57%4.66-19.66%0.1216✓1.46461k2022-05-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1415.7219-2.59%12.95-19.76%0.1422✓1.0613.0M2022-05-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.21270.207186-2.59%0.1787-15.98%0.0940✓1.102.6M2022-05-02
ZECZcashZcash165.73161.4222-2.60%124.63-24.80%0.2107✓0.987.2M2022-05-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.05741.0299-2.60%0.88819-16.00%0.0944✓1.10156k2022-05-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04780.046552-2.61%0.0369-22.80%0.1536✓1.6132.1M2022-05-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.555076-2.62%0.43-24.56%0.1859✓1.42395k2022-05-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9464.816-2.63%5.716+15.57%0.1971✗0.531.6M2022-05-02
COMPCompoundEthereum132.68129.1859-2.63%105.5-20.49%0.1483✓1.1165k2022-05-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.6878.5366-2.66%74.05-8.22%0.0203✓0.793.4M2022-05-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8321.7829-2.68%1.392-24.02%0.2008✓0.9678k2022-05-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,700.5018,194.65-2.71%17,128.81-8.40%0.0122✓0.984.0M2022-05-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3811.3435-2.72%1.07-22.52%0.1680✓1.22496k2022-05-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0917.595-2.74%14.95-17.36%0.1143✓1.0014.6M2022-05-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.18260.177586-2.75%0.1358-25.63%0.2137✓1.12220k2022-05-02
RADRadworksEthereum4.424.2986-2.75%3.92-11.31%0.0511✓0.84741k2022-05-02
MOVRMoonriverBase50.540649.1453-2.76%41.0043-18.87%0.1132✓1.39223k2022-05-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2556.0819-2.77%4.931-21.17%0.1558✓1.10216k2022-05-02
NANOnanopayBase2.1192.0592-2.82%1.7382-17.97%0.1218✓0.98188k2022-05-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32790.318645-2.82%0.2746-16.25%0.0864✓1.281.3M2022-05-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.5312.1746-2.84%11.97-4.47%0.0040✓0.432.8M2022-05-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24370.236785-2.84%0.2038-16.37%0.0888✓1.25236k2022-05-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003910.003798-2.86%0.00307-21.48%0.1622✓1.047.1M2022-05-02
XVSVenusEthereum109.7135-2.87%7.85-21.50%0.1635✓1.014.5M2022-05-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01680.016318-2.87%0.01476-12.14%0.0575✓0.881.5M2022-05-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.2210.214576-2.91%0.1946-11.95%0.0359✓1.263.3M2022-05-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.2-2.92%1.046-15.37%0.0822✓1.132.6M2022-05-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.91e-79.62e-7-2.93%9.01e-7-9.15%0.0761✓-0.20596k2022-05-02
XVGVergenative0.009960.009668-2.93%0.00816-18.07%0.1180✓1.061.4M2022-05-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.959580.931308-2.95%0.72701-24.24%0.1881✓1.221.7M2022-05-02
ADACardanoCardano0.89750.871034-2.95%0.7806-13.03%0.0598✓1.0253.5M2022-05-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8412.4595-2.96%11.3-11.99%0.0473✓1.031.1M2022-05-02
AAVEAaveEthereum168.93163.8974-2.98%144.21-14.63%0.0671✓1.2512.2M2022-05-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.9170.7336-2.99%60.34-17.24%0.1014✓1.1862.8M2022-05-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.82735.6533-2.99%4.9344-15.32%0.0806✓1.1311.2M2022-05-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.778920.755586-3.00%0.62845-19.32%0.1324✓1.06140k2022-05-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1221.4549-3.01%17.8-19.53%0.1365✓1.0323.3M2022-05-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88230.855612-3.02%0.6423-27.20%0.2261✓1.24208k2022-05-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52274.3828-3.09%3.8501-14.87%0.0833✓0.95275k2022-05-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.46726.2658-3.11%5.5244-14.58%0.0712✓1.12170k2022-05-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4191.3747-3.12%1.176-17.12%0.1074✓1.00593k2022-05-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.748.4633-3.17%6.93-20.71%0.1506✓1.016.3M2022-05-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023040.022305-3.19%0.01736-24.65%0.2011✓1.01383k2022-05-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8918.2858-3.20%14.92-21.02%0.1387✓1.33190k2022-05-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260330.025199-3.21%0.019194-26.27%0.2461✓0.53197k2022-05-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6532.5549-3.25%27.42-18.51%0.1198✓1.068.8M2022-05-02
ZENHorizenBase36.3935.2005-3.27%30.35-16.60%0.0859✓1.28275k2022-05-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.996256-3.28%0.74-28.16%0.2469✓1.03595k2022-05-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7432.6529-3.28%2.101-23.41%0.1730✓1.238.4M2022-05-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51750.5004-3.30%0.4031-22.11%0.1637✓1.08719k2022-05-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1750.169204-3.31%0.14-20.00%0.1697✓0.40190k2022-05-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.452.3679-3.35%2.03-17.14%0.1296✓0.50322k2022-05-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum42.8941.45-3.36%30.21-29.56%0.2587✓1.186.3M2022-05-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.98011.9128-3.40%1.5039-24.05%0.1887✓1.061.2M2022-05-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70310.679181-3.40%0.6161-12.37%0.0535✓0.9012.2M2022-05-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072990.070458-3.47%0.06268-14.13%0.0687✓0.99124k2022-05-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17840.172168-3.49%0.1446-18.95%0.1187✓1.148.8M2022-05-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.4843.3617-3.51%2.497-28.33%0.2244✓1.49896k2022-05-02
LUNATerraTerra 296.8593.438-3.52%84.35-12.91%0.0402✓1.2710.3M2022-05-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3725.4362-3.54%22.02-16.50%0.0846✓1.22685k2022-05-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10320.099519-3.57%0.1004-2.71%0.0533✗0.912.5M2022-05-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7778150.748923-3.71%0.719098-7.55%0.0114✓1.074.6M2022-05-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36040.346724-3.79%0.3077-14.62%0.0618✓1.189.2M2022-05-02
KSMKusamaHydration164.32157.9309-3.89%130.9-20.34%0.1361✓1.061.1M2022-05-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7226.6352-3.91%23.44-15.44%0.0835✓0.91517k2022-05-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.552489-3.92%0.447-22.26%0.1648✓0.964.9M2022-05-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7315.1087-3.95%26.04+65.54%0.6057✗1.252.2M2022-05-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022950.022035-3.99%0.01804-21.39%0.1294✓1.4549.4M2022-05-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89180.856186-3.99%0.7442-16.55%0.0816✓1.20487k2022-05-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.9537-4.04%3.76-8.74%0.0146✓1.33416k2022-05-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.075425-4.04%0.0677-13.87%0.0707✓0.7631k2022-05-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3364.1585-4.09%3.835-11.55%0.0013✓1.681.8M2022-05-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18291.1344-4.10%0.9672-18.23%0.1000✓1.2210.2M2022-05-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.141-4.24%2.36-28.05%0.2283✓1.184.4M2022-05-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.252.1492-4.48%1.82-19.11%0.1165✓1.021.3M2022-05-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.165.8761-4.61%4.73-23.21%0.1518✓1.338.3M2022-05-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8440.805069-4.61%0.658-22.04%0.1365✓1.331.9M2022-05-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1579870.15022-4.92%0.130786-17.22%0.0958✓0.875.1M2022-05-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.07784.8209-5.06%4.0958-19.34%0.1255✓0.778.0M2022-05-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.6282.4881-5.32%2.07-21.23%0.1366✓0.979.9M2022-05-02
APEApeCoinEthereum19.35718.2606-5.66%15.057-22.21%0.0839✓2.2345.4M2022-05-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.