8=======>

2022-04-20 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2523
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.0%
in alpha space · 92.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.913.7819-0.85%11.41-17.91%0.1670✓0.412.0M2022-04-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.96145.909-0.88%5.8032-2.65%0.0068✓0.47192k2022-04-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047670.047144-1.10%0.0433-9.17%0.0321✓1.00466k2022-04-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.86110.5801-1.14%100.63-10.04%0.0401✓1.0320.5M2022-04-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148280.14652-1.19%0.13529-8.76%0.0383✓0.7918k2022-04-27
GTGateEthereum6.52626.445-1.24%6.128-6.10%0.0194✓0.594.7M2022-04-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.416.3296-1.25%5.72-10.76%0.0622✓0.741.6M2022-04-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.2040,870.20-1.32%39,133.20-5.52%0.0067✓0.9525k2022-04-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.011245-1.36%0.01102-3.33%0.0119✓0.6136k2022-04-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095550.09423-1.38%0.08706-8.89%0.0338✓0.8636k2022-04-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2151.1977-1.43%1.146-5.68%0.0067✓0.963.6M2022-04-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,377.6140,728.01-1.57%39,251.11-5.14%0.0158✗1.00565.5M2022-04-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.4502-1.60%2.3741-4.65%0.0086✓0.7611k2022-04-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51230.503888-1.64%0.4789-6.52%0.0087✓0.80461k2022-04-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.043907-1.66%0.0412-7.73%0.0173✓0.8867k2022-04-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2409-1.72%2.14-6.14%0.0071✓1.01163k2022-04-27
STXStacksnative1.181.1593-1.75%1.06-10.17%0.0360✓1.02440k2022-04-27
QNTQuantEthereum110.63108.6773-1.77%101.26-8.47%0.0223✓0.923.8M2022-04-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.892-1.80%6.18+3.00%0.0855✗0.721.0M2022-04-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.48180.47306-1.81%0.4145-13.97%0.1201✓0.235,8622022-04-27
ETHEthereumEthereum3,077.063,020.60-1.83%2,889.78-6.09%0.0110✓1.05482.4M2022-04-27
DIADIAEthereum0.920.903062-1.84%0.81-11.96%0.0834✓0.48154k2022-04-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13770.135159-1.85%0.1349-2.03%0.0517✗1.02215k2022-04-27
ORCAOrcaSolana1.991.9532-1.85%1.93-3.02%0.0257✗0.71261k2022-04-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034710.034066-1.86%0.0306-11.84%0.0746✓0.62733k2022-04-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0313.7687-1.86%12.74-9.19%0.0182✓1.1326.2M2022-04-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.3152.2692-1.98%2.066-10.76%0.0514✓0.8026k2022-04-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024335-1.99%0.00002342-5.68%0.0214✗1.132.6M2022-04-27
FTTFTXEthereum42.7741.9041-2.02%39.57-7.48%0.0047✓1.0019.5M2022-04-27
KCSKuCoinnative20.91520.487-2.05%19.033-9.00%0.0282✓0.865.8M2022-04-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4925.9341-2.10%25.1-5.25%0.0143✓0.89517k2022-04-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0340710.033348-2.12%0.029142-14.47%0.0762✓1.114.5M2022-04-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.014530.014216-2.16%0.013891-4.40%0.0249✗0.9151k2022-04-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.619.167-2.21%17.72-9.59%0.0201✓1.1110.8M2022-04-27
XLMStellarStellar0.200340.195856-2.24%0.18432-8.00%0.0083✓0.9919.5M2022-04-27
XEMNEMnative0.10060.098344-2.24%0.0921-8.45%0.0170✓0.9267k2022-04-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67770.66245-2.25%0.6169-8.97%0.0160✓1.059.4M2022-04-27
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2386.0972-2.26%5.482-12.12%0.0279✓1.4918k2022-04-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1405830.137403-2.26%0.139898-0.49%0.0630✗0.855.1M2022-04-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.022660.022147-2.27%0.02156-4.85%0.0146✓0.784.7M2022-04-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35180.343733-2.29%0.2849-19.02%0.1116✓1.449.2M2022-04-27
XTZTezosTezos3.14433.0721-2.30%2.8188-10.35%0.0312✓1.04989k2022-04-27
NANOnanopayBase2.12032.0711-2.32%1.9163-9.62%0.0193✓1.11231k2022-04-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.041.9923-2.34%1.78-12.75%0.0427✓1.331.6M2022-04-27
SGBSongbirdnative0.05910.057716-2.34%0.0523-11.51%0.0712✓0.52158k2022-04-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5853.5007-2.35%3.318-7.45%0.0190✓0.662.0M2022-04-27
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4253-2.37%1.22-16.44%0.1037✓0.9862k2022-04-27
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001855-2.39%0.00000176-7.37%0.0147✓0.729.8M2022-04-27
AVTAventusEthereum2.52.4403-2.39%2.28-8.80%0.0421✓0.49421k2022-04-27
UMAUMAEthereum6.3376.1852-2.40%5.62-11.31%0.0188✓1.462.7M2022-04-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.30260.29531-2.41%0.2745-9.29%0.0118✓1.16495k2022-04-27
TRXTRONTron0.0626380.061123-2.42%0.063211+0.91%0.0690✗0.67262k2022-04-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6520.635955-2.46%0.503-22.85%0.2130✓0.41814k2022-04-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.715.5691-2.47%5.18-9.28%0.0348✓0.711.1M2022-04-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.28765.1571-2.47%3.8142-27.87%0.2751✓0.505.6M2022-04-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7430.724479-2.49%0.63-15.21%0.0934✓0.882.9M2022-04-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.543.4517-2.49%3.23-8.76%0.0272✓0.742.2M2022-04-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.55322.2296-2.52%307.39-7.01%0.0050✓0.996.7M2022-04-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3483.1835-2.53%77.91-8.71%0.0234✓0.803.5M2022-04-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07060.068784-2.57%0.0624-11.61%0.0350✓1.18471k2022-04-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.03913.9351-2.57%3.6093-10.64%0.0514✓0.664.6M2022-04-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19730.19222-2.57%0.1642-16.78%0.0381✓2.26568k2022-04-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760660.741067-2.58%0.66975-11.95%0.0462✓1.04201k2022-04-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.373594-2.58%0.253-34.03%0.2955✓1.792.3M2022-04-27
RADRadworksEthereum4.724.5978-2.59%4.17-11.65%0.0472✓0.96820k2022-04-27
SOLSolanaSolana105.59102.8264-2.62%98.35-6.86%0.0212✓1.24147.4M2022-04-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.219829-2.64%0.2094-7.26%0.0136✓1.183.2M2022-04-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,161.3618,652.39-2.66%17,725.84-7.49%0.0078✓1.115.0M2022-04-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.630.613205-2.67%0.52-17.46%0.0864✓1.49435k2022-04-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.02911.0016-2.67%0.84962-17.44%0.0946✓1.331.7M2022-04-27
HIVEHivenative0.91240.887929-2.68%0.8819-3.34%0.0493✗1.061.9M2022-04-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.20752.148-2.70%2.0806-5.75%0.0134✓0.8699k2022-04-27
XMRMoneroMonero266.68259.4651-2.71%229.66-13.88%0.0733✓0.921.9M2022-04-27
ZECZcashZcash156.61152.3686-2.71%149.27-4.69%0.0342✗1.048.2M2022-04-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.116.6334-2.73%15.3-10.53%0.0298✓1.0218.4M2022-04-27
DASHDashDash107.03104.1001-2.74%95.64-10.64%0.0303✓1.032.1M2022-04-27
SCSiacoinnative0.010860.010561-2.75%0.00953-12.25%0.0401✓1.19601k2022-04-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.2450.238253-2.75%0.2147-12.37%0.0327✓1.353.3M2022-04-27
XECeCashnative0.000091190.000088678-2.75%0.00008163-10.48%0.0300✓1.009.5M2022-04-27
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.910627-2.78%0.8405-10.27%0.0261✓1.0268.9M2022-04-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.175.0257-2.79%5-3.29%0.0341✗0.741.2M2022-04-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3312.2656-2.81%2.489+6.78%0.1643✗1.336.9M2022-04-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4122.7509-2.82%24.72+5.60%0.1517✗1.30669k2022-04-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01080.010495-2.82%0.00862-20.19%0.1360✓1.153.0M2022-04-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8464.7092-2.82%4.173-13.89%0.0646✓1.07140k2022-04-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.1190.115629-2.83%0.1088-8.57%0.0014✓1.13988k2022-04-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.2723.5763-2.86%21.45-11.62%0.0353✓1.1231.7M2022-04-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02290.022244-2.86%0.02058-10.13%0.0178✓1.14423k2022-04-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5161.4724-2.88%1.307-13.79%0.0496✓1.32555k2022-04-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076050.073856-2.88%0.08116+6.72%0.1376✗0.8244k2022-04-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24970.242419-2.92%0.2181-12.66%0.0614✓0.841.6M2022-04-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.2475.9413-2.94%69.86-10.71%0.0170✓1.2690.8M2022-04-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3530.342501-2.97%0.3056-13.43%0.0449✓1.311.4M2022-04-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.43930.426169-2.99%0.3987-9.24%0.0088✓1.43360k2022-04-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1052.0411-3.03%1.759-16.44%0.0976✓0.9794k2022-04-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.296.097-3.07%5.51-12.40%0.0220✓1.50579k2022-04-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.118.5064-3.11%16.95-11.26%0.0323✓1.0519.0M2022-04-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.19610.189996-3.11%0.1726-11.98%0.0357✓1.14262k2022-04-27
QTUMQtumQtum6.75126.5409-3.11%6.1184-9.37%0.0057✓1.16206k2022-04-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017750.017195-3.12%0.01615-9.01%0.0101✓1.001.8M2022-04-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24220.234615-3.13%0.2405-0.70%0.0966✗1.36290k2022-04-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.9513.5049-3.19%12.32-11.68%0.0325✓1.131.4M2022-04-27
MOVRMoonriverBase58.961357.057-3.23%46.7322-20.74%0.1217✓1.48223k2022-04-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00420.004064-3.24%0.00378-10.00%0.0070✓1.248.6M2022-04-27
PROPropyEthereum1.831.7707-3.24%2.19+19.67%0.2599✗0.90179k2022-04-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.051468-3.26%0.0456-14.29%0.0325✓1.6839.8M2022-04-27
BANDBandEthereum3.9463.8173-3.26%3.443-12.75%0.0375✓1.25745k2022-04-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.811670.785091-3.27%0.72269-10.96%0.0301✓1.00153k2022-04-27
ZENHorizenBase37.7336.4915-3.28%33.33-11.66%0.0196✓1.35375k2022-04-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.244.6629-3.33%38.81-16.00%0.0731✓1.288.8M2022-04-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74210.71735-3.34%0.6715-9.51%0.0169✓0.9316.6M2022-04-27
DODODODOEthereum0.4290.414518-3.38%0.362-15.62%0.0735✓1.187.9M2022-04-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011020.000001065-3.39%9.09e-7-17.56%0.1707✓-0.23602k2022-04-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.275319-3.40%0.265-7.02%0.0056✓0.8336k2022-04-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5435.298-3.40%31.28-14.40%0.0638✓1.0813.7M2022-04-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.1301-3.42%18.59+27.07%0.3432✗1.312.3M2022-04-27
XVGVergenative0.010740.01037-3.44%0.00948-11.73%0.0287✓1.161.5M2022-04-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2720.5373-3.44%17.87-15.98%0.0681✓1.35220k2022-04-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.328.9968-3.47%8.23-11.70%0.0335✓1.058.8M2022-04-27
IMXImmutableEthereum2.011.9399-3.49%1.719-14.48%0.0646✓1.077.8M2022-04-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.8416.6015-3.50%5.956-12.94%0.0440✓1.12306k2022-04-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.75374.587-3.51%4.1974-11.70%0.0375✓0.97280k2022-04-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5431.4885-3.53%1.322-14.32%0.0651✓1.01753k2022-04-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.061-3.55%0.94-14.55%0.0591✓1.17761k2022-04-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0265190.025569-3.58%0.026615+0.36%0.0754✗0.67195k2022-04-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8514.3169-3.59%12.22-17.71%0.1328✓0.482.8M2022-04-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8764.6977-3.66%4.348-10.83%0.0590✓0.353.3M2022-04-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11320.109033-3.68%0.0974-13.96%0.0575✓1.051.9M2022-04-27
COMPCompoundEthereum146.98141.5168-3.72%124.46-15.32%0.0666✓1.1776k2022-04-27
XVSVenusEthereum10.7810.3754-3.75%9.63-10.67%0.0140✓1.154.7M2022-04-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9295.7039-3.80%6.73+13.51%0.2002✗0.662.0M2022-04-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81535.5928-3.83%5.8194+0.07%0.1027✗1.1910.7M2022-04-27
AAVEAaveEthereum186.29179.1469-3.83%168.44-9.58%0.0068✓1.3012.5M2022-04-27
MANADecentralandEthereum2.10772.0263-3.86%1.845-12.46%0.0340✓1.131.6M2022-04-27
LUNATerraTerra 294.7791.1007-3.87%89.04-6.05%0.0460✗1.319.0M2022-04-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076710.073728-3.89%0.06999-8.76%0.0033✓1.05132k2022-04-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.8315.6042-3.89%4.829-17.18%0.0967✓0.9972k2022-04-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95190.914602-3.92%0.8279-13.03%0.0252✓1.41231k2022-04-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60610.582111-3.96%0.4722-22.09%0.1439✓1.24914k2022-04-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0763.9141-3.97%2.992-26.59%0.1909✓1.47741k2022-04-27
XYMSymbolnative0.12030.115342-4.12%0.1015-15.63%0.0914✓0.69864k2022-04-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1990.190722-4.16%0.1612-18.99%0.1038✓1.229.4M2022-04-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.18961.1395-4.21%0.99319-16.51%0.0760✓1.16156k2022-04-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3630.347507-4.27%0.3677+1.29%0.1185✗1.1810.5M2022-04-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4391.376-4.38%1.011-29.74%0.2547✓1.021.3M2022-04-27
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.3134-4.40%2.02-16.53%0.0774✓1.101.3M2022-04-27
KSMKusamaHydration180.41172.3811-4.45%158.07-12.38%0.0313✓1.051.1M2022-04-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.444.2384-4.54%4.26-4.05%0.0793✗1.41642k2022-04-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6220.593699-4.55%0.542-12.86%0.0338✓1.095.9M2022-04-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.3854.1839-4.59%5.5569+26.73%0.3244✗0.776.1M2022-04-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2160.20604-4.61%0.154-28.70%0.2584✓0.62132k2022-04-27
API3Api3Ethereum5.2655.0156-4.74%4.039-23.29%0.1837✓0.623.3M2022-04-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7824.5505-4.84%4.086-14.55%0.0171✓1.722.4M2022-04-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4551.3838-4.89%1.213-16.63%0.0652✓1.263.1M2022-04-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95380.906653-4.94%0.8582-10.02%0.0174✓1.37824k2022-04-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.83296-5.02%0.784-10.60%0.0109✓1.362.4M2022-04-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28131.2149-5.18%1.085-15.32%0.0478✓1.2411.9M2022-04-27
SUSHISushiEthereum3.513.3195-5.43%2.99-14.81%0.0388✓1.256.4M2022-04-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.02410.022747-5.62%0.02097-12.99%0.0014✓1.5148.3M2022-04-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.832.6604-5.99%2.69-4.95%0.0643✗1.014.4M2022-04-27
APEApeCoinEthereum16.72615.7076-6.09%19.424+16.13%0.3242✗2.1245.4M2022-04-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6116.1923-6.33%5.857-11.41%0.0141✓1.327.5M2022-04-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum1.09510.985945-9.97%0.875631-20.04%0.0609✓1.093.6M2022-04-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.