8=======>

2022-04-18 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1153
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.8%
in alpha space · 84.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.76.6369-0.94%5.68-15.22%0.1490✓0.741.8M2022-04-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.141430.140022-1.00%0.13844-2.11%0.0043✓0.7918k2022-04-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.97395.9112-1.05%5.9519-0.37%0.0111✗0.47186k2022-04-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4614.292-1.16%11.43-20.95%0.2198✓0.412.0M2022-04-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048940.04835-1.21%0.04515-7.74%0.0594✓1.01526k2022-04-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.24109.8759-1.23%104.56-6.01%0.0403✓1.0321.8M2022-04-25
GTGateEthereum6.57546.4919-1.27%6.3181-3.91%0.0219✓0.594.6M2022-04-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50150.494708-1.35%0.5006-0.18%0.0189✗0.79490k2022-04-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011490.011333-1.37%0.0114-0.78%0.0114✓0.6235k2022-04-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093910.092583-1.41%0.09068-3.44%0.0130✓0.8735k2022-04-25
DIADIAEthereum0.870.856939-1.50%0.84-3.45%0.0158✓0.47154k2022-04-25
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8416-1.52%1.97+5.35%0.0737✗0.71214k2022-04-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.021620.02128-1.57%0.02167+0.23%0.0253✗0.794.7M2022-04-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044460.043733-1.64%0.0433-2.61%0.0020✓0.8867k2022-04-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,803.5840,130.23-1.65%40,439.22-0.89%0.0166✓1.00544.9M2022-04-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0684.9834-1.67%5.118+0.99%0.0354✗0.9872k2022-04-25
QNTQuantEthereum111.58109.658-1.72%107.81-3.38%0.0087✓0.923.8M2022-04-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.2603-1.73%2.22-3.48%0.0089✓1.02163k2022-04-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.271.248-1.73%1.169-7.95%0.0568✓0.963.5M2022-04-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.825.719-1.74%6.16+5.84%0.0808✗0.731.1M2022-04-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13720.134725-1.80%0.1335-2.70%0.0000✓1.02224k2022-04-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.48250.473454-1.87%0.4482-7.11%0.0528✓0.225,8622022-04-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5452.4969-1.89%2.4164-5.05%0.0259✓0.7712k2022-04-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.2422.1994-1.90%2.166-3.39%0.0081✓0.8026k2022-04-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9825.8677-1.91%5.753-3.83%0.0062✓1.5018k2022-04-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5513.4816-1.95%3.291-7.32%0.0504✓0.662.2M2022-04-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33850.331798-1.98%0.308-9.01%0.0613✓1.469.2M2022-04-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034940.034238-2.01%0.0311-10.99%0.0902✓0.66942k2022-04-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1852.141-2.01%2.743+25.54%0.2598✗1.347.3M2022-04-25
KCSKuCoinnative20.2619.8517-2.02%19.759-2.47%0.0030✓0.865.4M2022-04-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.215.105-2.02%4.66-10.56%0.0845✓0.741.5M2022-04-25
ETHEthereumEthereum3,056.192,994.56-2.02%3,007.22-1.60%0.0136✓1.05482.4M2022-04-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66520.651589-2.05%0.6499-2.30%0.0068✓1.059.8M2022-04-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5233.4506-2.05%3.116-11.55%0.0954✓0.742.2M2022-04-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.5818-2.07%5.19-8.95%0.0664✓0.721.2M2022-04-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.4213.1415-2.08%12.84-4.32%0.0131✓1.131.5M2022-04-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1403550.137427-2.09%0.157987+12.56%0.1471✗0.865.0M2022-04-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025270.000024743-2.09%0.00002437-3.56%0.0050✓1.142.7M2022-04-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0613.7664-2.09%13.44-4.41%0.0138✓1.1426.2M2022-04-25
XYMSymbolnative0.11020.107893-2.09%0.107-2.90%0.0021✓0.69823k2022-04-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2131.1876-2.09%1.072-11.62%0.0932✓1.031.4M2022-04-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06720.065786-2.10%0.0651-3.12%0.0002✓1.19471k2022-04-25
NANOnanopayBase2.14272.0974-2.11%2.119-1.11%0.0202✓1.11231k2022-04-25
XTZTezosTezos3.17433.1072-2.12%2.9542-6.93%0.0411✓1.051.0M2022-04-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.95963.8757-2.12%3.6616-7.53%0.0509✓0.664.7M2022-04-25
XEMNEMnative0.09790.09582-2.12%0.0954-2.55%0.0038✓0.9267k2022-04-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2625.7007-2.13%27.72+5.56%0.0837✗0.90609k2022-04-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.6219.202-2.13%18.63-5.05%0.0203✓1.1110.8M2022-04-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.6782.8616-2.14%80.68-4.71%0.0195✓0.803.5M2022-04-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7370.721238-2.14%0.68-7.73%0.0510✓0.882.9M2022-04-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0144170.014107-2.15%0.014093-2.25%0.0072✓0.9147k2022-04-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,850.2039,941.57-2.22%40,523.20-0.80%0.0229✗0.9526k2022-04-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4275-2.22%1.299-11.03%0.0855✓0.9963k2022-04-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.259102-2.23%0.271+2.26%0.0525✗0.8536k2022-04-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.034420.033652-2.23%0.03048-11.45%0.0891✓1.114.5M2022-04-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.29110.284554-2.25%0.2922+0.38%0.0370✗1.17495k2022-04-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9452-2.25%1.91-4.02%0.0064✓1.331.6M2022-04-25
TRXTRONTron0.06160.060195-2.28%0.065324+6.05%0.0877✗0.67254k2022-04-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5994.4941-2.28%4.365-5.09%0.0259✓0.363.7M2022-04-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24040.234907-2.29%0.2353-2.12%0.0093✓0.851.6M2022-04-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7511.7106-2.31%1.799+2.74%0.0599✗1.067.8M2022-04-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,131.9718,690.44-2.31%18,700.50-2.26%0.0105✓1.115.0M2022-04-25
SGBSongbirdnative0.06010.058697-2.34%0.0513-14.64%0.1300✓0.52152k2022-04-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.975.8303-2.34%5.8-2.85%0.0084✓1.52615k2022-04-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018210.017784-2.34%0.02295+26.03%0.2682✗1.4748.3M2022-04-25
FTTFTXEthereum43.3742.3529-2.35%41.83-3.55%0.0035✓0.9917.2M2022-04-25
AAVEAaveEthereum169.22165.2455-2.35%168.93-0.17%0.0338✗1.3112.8M2022-04-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004040.003945-2.35%0.00391-3.22%0.0021✓1.239.6M2022-04-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.624.5099-2.38%4.42-4.33%0.0116✓0.96820k2022-04-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39220.382786-2.40%0.3147-19.76%0.1796✓1.822.3M2022-04-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022550.022005-2.42%0.02304+2.17%0.0562✗1.14398k2022-04-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5734.4622-2.42%4.506-1.47%0.0190✓1.03120k2022-04-25
SOLSolanaSolana102.3999.9053-2.43%100.99-1.37%0.0220✓1.25147.4M2022-04-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3161.284-2.43%1.236-6.08%0.0267✓1.273.3M2022-04-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001910.000001863-2.44%0.00000183-4.19%0.0117✓0.7110.2M2022-04-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4411.4057-2.45%1.381-4.16%0.0060✓1.32555k2022-04-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.512.4481-2.47%2.45-2.39%0.0052✓0.49546k2022-04-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20110.196129-2.47%0.1848-8.11%0.0392✓2.26576k2022-04-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.68540.668458-2.47%0.5265-23.18%0.2348✓0.44814k2022-04-25
HIVEHivenative0.89220.870051-2.48%0.9046+1.39%0.0486✗1.071.9M2022-04-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.5479-2.49%16.14-4.89%0.0157✓1.0418.4M2022-04-25
DODODODOEthereum0.390.380133-2.53%0.384-1.54%0.0207✓1.177.7M2022-04-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.12012.0661-2.55%2.0973-1.07%0.0228✓0.8799k2022-04-25
XECeCashnative0.000090560.000088241-2.56%0.00008673-4.23%0.0083✓1.009.5M2022-04-25
STXStacksnative1.211.1789-2.57%1.11-8.26%0.0511✓1.01440k2022-04-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2051140.199787-2.60%0.192216-6.29%0.0296✓1.0119.4M2022-04-25
SCSiacoinnative0.010420.010148-2.61%0.01014-2.69%0.0099✓1.19565k2022-04-25
DASHDashDash108.7105.8499-2.62%99.41-8.55%0.0535✓1.042.4M2022-04-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.24190.235555-2.62%0.221-8.64%0.0517✓1.353.3M2022-04-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017290.016834-2.64%0.0168-2.83%0.0069✓0.992.0M2022-04-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.22970.223639-2.64%0.2127-7.40%0.0395✓1.193.2M2022-04-25
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.911857-2.65%0.8975-4.18%0.0065✓1.0468.9M2022-04-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34950.340187-2.66%0.3279-6.18%0.0251✓1.311.6M2022-04-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1617.6756-2.67%18.09-0.39%0.0327✗1.0619.0M2022-04-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.42060.409233-2.70%0.4121-2.02%0.0198✓1.43403k2022-04-25
APEApeCoinEthereum11.87411.5531-2.70%19.357+63.02%0.5349✗2.0945.4M2022-04-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.061.0312-2.71%1.0574-0.25%0.0353✗1.15143k2022-04-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.41935.2712-2.73%3.9802-26.56%0.2764✓0.515.7M2022-04-25
XVGVergenative0.010430.010144-2.75%0.00996-4.51%0.0079✓1.151.6M2022-04-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.48331.0698-2.76%314.56-7.61%0.0422✓0.998.3M2022-04-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.048809-2.77%0.0478-4.78%0.0058✓1.6938.1M2022-04-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.11610.11286-2.79%0.1134-2.33%0.0150✓1.14988k2022-04-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.622098-2.80%0.57-10.94%0.0741✓1.49435k2022-04-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.0823.406-2.80%22.12-8.14%0.0466✓1.1031.7M2022-04-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0303-2.81%1.03-2.83%0.0104✓1.18761k2022-04-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.2244.9143-2.82%42.89-7.20%0.0347✓1.288.8M2022-04-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.0752.0164-2.83%1.832-11.71%0.0871✓0.9794k2022-04-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.55050.534934-2.83%0.5175-5.99%0.0220✓1.24967k2022-04-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.073558-2.83%0.0786+3.83%0.0738✗0.8350k2022-04-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7375.5277-2.83%72.91-6.20%0.0239✓1.2692.9M2022-04-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2713.8635-2.85%15.73+10.23%0.1381✗1.312.3M2022-04-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011010.010696-2.85%0.00962-12.62%0.0955✓1.183.2M2022-04-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.2854.1621-2.87%4.22-1.52%0.0195✓0.633.3M2022-04-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.35625.2024-2.87%5.8273+8.80%0.1242✗1.2011.3M2022-04-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23590.229009-2.92%0.2437+3.31%0.0743✗1.36356k2022-04-25
UMAUMAEthereum6.3186.1324-2.94%5.94-5.98%0.0188✓1.462.8M2022-04-25
UNIUniswapEthereum9.399.1141-2.94%8.74-6.92%0.0324✓1.068.8M2022-04-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4119.8017-2.98%18.89-7.45%0.0350✓1.36220k2022-04-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.422.7006-2.99%26.37+12.69%0.1616✗1.31720k2022-04-25
MOVRMoonriverBase57.977756.2408-3.00%50.5406-12.83%0.0937✓1.47223k2022-04-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73690.714778-3.00%0.7031-4.59%0.0080✓0.9418.3M2022-04-25
ZENHorizenBase37.8936.749-3.01%36.39-3.96%0.0023✓1.35397k2022-04-25
ZECZcashZcash156.2151.4907-3.01%165.73+6.10%0.0993✗1.058.5M2022-04-25
COMPCompoundEthereum139.03134.8258-3.02%132.68-4.57%0.0055✓1.1876k2022-04-25
XVSVenusEthereum10.179.8617-3.03%10-1.67%0.0243✓1.164.6M2022-04-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4495-3.11%1.419-5.15%0.0122✓1.02983k2022-04-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.763580.739797-3.11%0.72357-5.24%0.0127✓1.05201k2022-04-25
QTUMQtumQtum6.69966.49-3.13%6.4672-3.47%0.0069✓1.17216k2022-04-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5416.3312-3.21%6.255-4.37%0.0021✓1.11331k2022-04-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.935.701-3.25%33.65-8.81%0.0494✓1.0914.9M2022-04-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71514.5616-3.26%4.5227-4.08%0.0003✓0.98275k2022-04-25
BANDBandEthereum3.7833.6592-3.27%3.616-4.41%0.0007✓1.25745k2022-04-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.19520.188734-3.31%0.1826-6.45%0.0228✓1.14262k2022-04-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.815140.788028-3.33%0.77892-4.44%0.0027✓1.00166k2022-04-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7121570.688267-3.35%0.777815+9.22%0.1323✗1.113.2M2022-04-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.7214.2257-3.36%12.53-14.88%0.1226✓0.492.9M2022-04-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0263320.025434-3.41%0.026033-1.14%0.0293✓0.67199k2022-04-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.08662.0147-3.45%1.9801-5.10%0.0071✓1.131.6M2022-04-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.08551.0477-3.48%0.95958-11.60%0.0758✓1.341.6M2022-04-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1295.9152-3.49%4.946-19.30%0.1730✓0.671.8M2022-04-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18670.18018-3.49%0.1784-4.45%0.0009✓1.219.4M2022-04-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1764.9927-3.54%6.16+19.01%0.2218✗1.307.1M2022-04-25
PROPropyEthereum1.861.7927-3.62%1.6-13.98%0.1054✓0.92179k2022-04-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36230.349089-3.65%0.3604-0.52%0.0425✗1.1810.3M2022-04-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074820.072072-3.67%0.07299-2.45%0.0221✓1.05124k2022-04-25
XMRMoneroMonero265.87256.0793-3.68%254.06-4.44%0.0006✓0.941.7M2022-04-25
KSMKusamaHydration167.23161.0624-3.69%164.32-1.74%0.0294✓1.041.2M2022-04-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.99390.956511-3.76%0.8823-11.23%0.0681✓1.41231k2022-04-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11740.112898-3.83%0.1032-12.10%0.0804✓1.051.3M2022-04-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.2965-3.91%2.25-5.86%0.0106✓1.101.2M2022-04-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.293.156-4.07%3.28-0.30%0.0497✗1.256.7M2022-04-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.34.1232-4.11%4.12-4.19%0.0118✓1.41670k2022-04-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.29844.1181-4.19%5.0778+18.13%0.2163✗0.764.5M2022-04-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7224.5239-4.20%4.336-8.17%0.0270✓1.722.5M2022-04-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.818276-4.30%0.844-1.29%0.0432✓1.362.5M2022-04-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93020.887674-4.57%0.8918-4.13%0.0170✓1.38824k2022-04-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.1743.9797-4.65%3.484-16.53%0.1200✓1.45741k2022-04-25
LUNATerraTerra 290.9886.5413-4.88%96.85+6.45%0.1242✗1.308.2M2022-04-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2280.216427-5.08%0.175-23.25%0.2064✓0.67122k2022-04-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.22541.1614-5.22%1.1829-3.47%0.0295✓1.2511.9M2022-04-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011870.000001119-5.67%9.91e-7-16.46%0.1236✓-0.24596k2022-04-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6760.632608-6.42%0.575-14.94%0.0855✓1.115.9M2022-04-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.9752.7352-8.06%2.628-11.66%0.0309✓1.014.0M2022-04-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.