8=======>

2022-04-16 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1081
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.9%
in alpha space · 77.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,617.6040,287.79-0.81%39,545.90-2.64%0.0035✓0.9626k2022-04-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86045.8071-0.91%5.8975+0.63%0.0264✗0.47186k2022-04-23
GTGateEthereum6.516.4472-0.96%6.4204-1.38%0.0093✓0.584.4M2022-04-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.437.353-1.04%6.01-19.11%0.1842✓0.761.8M2022-04-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,387.6039,915.17-1.17%39,465.87-2.28%0.0118✗1.00565.5M2022-04-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9724.9119-1.21%5.294+6.48%0.0973✗0.9779k2022-04-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50680.500558-1.23%0.5287+4.32%0.0731✗0.80490k2022-04-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049810.049185-1.25%0.04652-6.61%0.0319✓1.03567k2022-04-23
DIADIAEthereum0.90.888586-1.27%0.88-2.22%0.0012✓0.47169k2022-04-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096010.09475-1.31%0.09309-3.04%0.0023✓0.8735k2022-04-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.34112.8228-1.33%105.16-8.03%0.0469✓1.0223.4M2022-04-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.332243-1.35%0.3292-2.26%0.0246✗1.469.4M2022-04-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1513.9577-1.36%13.32-5.87%0.0203✓1.1526.0M2022-04-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.242.208-1.43%2.259+0.85%0.0413✗0.8026k2022-04-23
QNTQuantEthereum113.05111.4243-1.44%105.88-6.34%0.0296✓0.934.0M2022-04-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011678-1.45%0.01113-6.08%0.0335✓0.6335k2022-04-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147960.145808-1.45%0.13853-6.37%0.0331✓0.7820k2022-04-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.022590.022258-1.47%0.02202-2.52%0.0078✓0.804.9M2022-04-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67480.664829-1.48%0.6813+0.96%0.0483✗1.039.8M2022-04-23
ETHEthereumEthereum3,060.353,013.52-1.53%2,933.44-4.15%0.0026✓1.05483.3M2022-04-23
STXStacksnative1.181.1616-1.56%1.13-4.24%0.0045✓1.00447k2022-04-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,119.1318,814.31-1.59%18,359.33-3.97%0.0013✓1.125.5M2022-04-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2433-1.61%2.19-3.95%0.0005✓1.02165k2022-04-23
ORCAOrcaSolana1.91.8692-1.62%1.95+2.63%0.0587✗0.71214k2022-04-23
NANOnanopayBase2.14112.1063-1.62%2.0793-2.88%0.0126✓1.11258k2022-04-23
ZECZcashZcash143.85141.5137-1.62%153.21+6.51%0.1029✗1.029.8M2022-04-23
XEMNEMnative0.10110.099456-1.63%0.0942-6.82%0.0330✓0.9255k2022-04-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.555.4595-1.63%4.97-10.45%0.0766✓0.751.6M2022-04-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2352.1985-1.63%2.668+19.37%0.2247✗1.358.2M2022-04-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.875.7723-1.66%6+2.21%0.0555✗0.731.1M2022-04-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045350.044591-1.67%0.04518-0.37%0.0335✗0.8863k2022-04-23
FTTFTXEthereum41.8241.1186-1.68%41.03-1.89%0.0215✗1.0314.2M2022-04-23
AAVEAaveEthereum172.4169.445-1.71%173.44+0.60%0.0537✗1.3214.4M2022-04-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018850.01852-1.75%0.02394+27.00%0.2906✗1.4750.0M2022-04-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13790.135481-1.75%0.1341-2.76%0.0134✓1.02224k2022-04-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2481.226-1.76%1.147-8.09%0.0428✓1.031.4M2022-04-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7670.753167-1.80%0.702-8.47%0.0498✓0.892.9M2022-04-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35540.348968-1.81%0.3343-5.94%0.0128✓1.311.6M2022-04-23
UMAUMAEthereum6.3936.277-1.81%6.164-3.58%0.0155✓1.462.8M2022-04-23
SOLSolanaSolana102.08100.2246-1.82%100.66-1.39%0.0333✗1.26147.4M2022-04-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.351.3254-1.82%1.302-3.56%0.0121✓1.293.5M2022-04-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036010.035341-1.86%0.03337-7.33%0.0420✓0.67942k2022-04-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010560.010362-1.87%0.01014-3.98%0.0054✓1.173.8M2022-04-23
TRXTRONTron0.0618620.060699-1.88%0.067619+9.31%0.1231✗0.66254k2022-04-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025620.000025133-1.90%0.00002411-5.89%0.0152✓1.142.8M2022-04-23
KCSKuCoinnative20.31419.9224-1.93%20.011-1.49%0.0243✗0.865.4M2022-04-23
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4931.4642-1.93%1.366-8.51%0.0467✓0.9963k2022-04-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8526.3259-1.95%25.63-4.54%0.0059✓0.90636k2022-04-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.973540.95448-1.96%0.91388-6.13%0.0133✓1.311.4M2022-04-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1436440.140822-1.96%0.133814-6.84%0.0312✓0.865.0M2022-04-23
XYMSymbolnative0.11640.114106-1.97%0.1113-4.38%0.0088✓0.70830k2022-04-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6513.3797-1.98%12.91-5.42%0.0095✓1.141.5M2022-04-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023810.023336-1.99%0.02208-7.27%0.0288✓1.15374k2022-04-23
XMRMoneroMonero236.58231.8692-1.99%267.1+12.90%0.1631✗0.941.7M2022-04-23
ADACardanoCardano0.95140.932439-1.99%0.8873-6.74%0.0264✓1.0168.9M2022-04-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39960.391536-2.02%0.3471-13.14%0.0784✓1.822.3M2022-04-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.062.018-2.04%1.93-6.31%0.0140✓1.321.6M2022-04-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3431.3156-2.04%1.262-6.03%0.0194✓0.963.5M2022-04-23
SCSiacoinnative0.010670.010451-2.05%0.01038-2.72%0.0206✓1.19565k2022-04-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.13492.0908-2.07%2.2483+5.31%0.0927✗0.8795k2022-04-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24760.24247-2.07%0.2393-3.35%0.0066✓0.861.7M2022-04-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004160.004074-2.07%0.00408-1.92%0.0305✗1.259.7M2022-04-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.29640.290228-2.08%0.3236+9.18%0.1359✗1.17566k2022-04-23
HIVEHivenative0.91960.900395-2.09%0.9667+5.12%0.0959✗1.082.0M2022-04-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6843.607-2.09%3.416-7.27%0.0391✓0.662.6M2022-04-23
XTZTezosTezos3.28163.213-2.09%3.012-8.22%0.0404✓1.051.0M2022-04-23
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.3693-2.09%2.31-4.55%0.0134✓0.52491k2022-04-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06820.066768-2.10%0.0671-1.61%0.0325✗1.19555k2022-04-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.6971-2.11%5.45-6.36%0.0278✓0.721.4M2022-04-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.2885.4322-2.12%78.78-9.74%0.0627✓0.803.5M2022-04-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8714.554-2.13%12.86-13.52%0.1143✓0.412.0M2022-04-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9222.432-2.13%26.25+14.53%0.1874✗1.31786k2022-04-23
DASHDashDash108.28105.9613-2.14%101.81-5.98%0.0162✓1.032.4M2022-04-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.051274-2.15%0.0487-7.06%0.0120✓1.7139.8M2022-04-23
ZENHorizenBase38.4337.6036-2.15%36.02-6.27%0.0120✓1.35461k2022-04-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5172.4628-2.15%2.4714-1.81%0.0213✓0.7711k2022-04-23
GITCOINGITCOIN6.156.0172-2.16%5.962-3.06%0.0250✗1.4818k2022-04-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1823.6564-2.17%23.21-4.01%0.0066✓1.1131.7M2022-04-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7613.6792-2.18%3.362-10.61%0.0727✓0.762.2M2022-04-23
XECeCashnative0.000092770.000090742-2.19%0.00009019-2.78%0.0170✓1.009.6M2022-04-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.313.9873-2.19%13.95-2.45%0.0278✗1.322.6M2022-04-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7314.6275-2.19%4.596-2.85%0.0169✓1.03119k2022-04-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0359630.035171-2.20%0.032153-10.59%0.0638✓1.124.5M2022-04-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147320.014407-2.20%0.014787+0.37%0.0469✗0.9051k2022-04-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.11570.113138-2.21%0.1141-1.38%0.0353✗1.16952k2022-04-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8274.7197-2.22%4.708-2.47%0.0062✓0.384.5M2022-04-23
SGBSongbirdnative0.06290.061499-2.23%0.0551-12.40%0.0973✓0.55158k2022-04-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.24950.243928-2.23%0.2211-11.38%0.0679✓1.323.5M2022-04-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7876.0314-2.25%72.81-6.39%0.0140✓1.2798.8M2022-04-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9520.4716-2.28%19.69-6.01%0.0077✓1.35226k2022-04-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5081.4735-2.29%1.408-6.63%0.0149✓1.32555k2022-04-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0746-2.31%1.03-6.36%0.0155✓1.17798k2022-04-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8571.814-2.32%1.81-2.53%0.0224✓1.077.8M2022-04-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2053490.200571-2.33%0.191399-6.79%0.0238✓1.0018.8M2022-04-23
XVSVenusEthereum10.149.9031-2.34%10.89+7.40%0.1216✗1.154.7M2022-04-23
RADRadworksEthereum4.84.6875-2.34%4.42-7.92%0.0366✓0.96785k2022-04-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.23470.22918-2.35%0.2164-7.80%0.0299✓1.193.2M2022-04-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6218.1812-2.36%18.7+0.43%0.0527✗1.0619.0M2022-04-23
DODODODOEthereum0.410.400338-2.36%0.399-2.68%0.0236✓1.177.4M2022-04-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13734.0397-2.36%3.9237-5.16%0.0136✓0.674.9M2022-04-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.48730.475775-2.37%0.4584-5.93%0.0324✓0.216,4692022-04-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.09041.0645-2.38%1.0688-1.98%0.0305✗1.15143k2022-04-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.5717.1522-2.38%16.48-6.20%0.0162✓1.0318.5M2022-04-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01780.017375-2.39%0.01736-2.47%0.0223✓1.002.1M2022-04-23
XVGVergenative0.010820.01056-2.40%0.01007-6.93%0.0206✓1.161.7M2022-04-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.260535-2.42%0.316+18.35%0.2130✗0.8638k2022-04-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.115.9619-2.42%5.97-2.29%0.0358✗1.49665k2022-04-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56950.555679-2.43%0.5499-3.44%0.0186✓1.26938k2022-04-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001912-2.43%0.00000185-5.61%0.0167✓0.719.8M2022-04-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.4146.247-2.45%45.13-4.81%0.0051✓1.288.8M2022-04-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74330.725024-2.46%0.7074-4.83%0.0028✓0.9418.3M2022-04-23
APEApeCoinEthereum11.66611.3776-2.47%16.682+43.00%0.4336✗2.2046.9M2022-04-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11360.110753-2.51%0.1075-5.37%0.0054✓1.061.0M2022-04-23
LUNATerraTerra 28178.9662-2.51%89.18+10.10%0.1513✗1.298.2M2022-04-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash342.9334.2894-2.51%312.68-8.81%0.0440✓0.998.6M2022-04-23
UNIUniswapEthereum9.679.4208-2.58%8.92-7.76%0.0300✓1.078.8M2022-04-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75460.735116-2.58%0.5922-21.52%0.2055✓0.46796k2022-04-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.42950.418385-2.59%0.4449+3.59%0.0952✗1.46439k2022-04-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.15072.095-2.59%2.0136-6.38%0.0133✓1.141.6M2022-04-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5111.471-2.65%1.445-4.37%0.0058✓1.021.3M2022-04-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.22.141-2.68%1.952-11.27%0.0695✓0.9994k2022-04-23
BANDBandEthereum3.753.6477-2.73%3.67-2.13%0.0347✗1.24772k2022-04-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18740.182137-2.81%0.1817-3.04%0.0255✓1.219.4M2022-04-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.20330.197476-2.86%0.1883-7.38%0.0213✓1.14262k2022-04-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20940.203396-2.87%0.1814-13.37%0.0620✓2.27623k2022-04-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2145.0631-2.89%5.819+11.60%0.1693✗1.317.5M2022-04-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.432.3594-2.90%2.25-7.41%0.0224✓1.091.2M2022-04-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7274980.706369-2.90%0.838009+15.19%0.1965✗1.113.2M2022-04-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076080.07387-2.91%0.07459-1.96%0.0340✗1.05121k2022-04-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.59715.4345-2.91%5.9051+5.50%0.1109✗1.2112.7M2022-04-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36220.351655-2.91%0.354-2.26%0.0340✗1.1811.2M2022-04-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.640441-2.96%0.58-12.12%0.0646✓1.50510k2022-04-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24290.23566-2.98%0.2594+6.79%0.1278✗1.38383k2022-04-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2346.0482-2.98%5.56-10.81%0.0688✓0.661.8M2022-04-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.57745.4091-3.02%4.6559-16.52%0.1376✓0.534.7M2022-04-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78444.6359-3.10%4.6119-3.61%0.0174✓0.98280k2022-04-23
SUSHISushiEthereum3.333.2265-3.11%3.42+2.70%0.0872✗1.256.7M2022-04-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.1236.9331-3.11%34.55-9.37%0.0413✓1.1016.0M2022-04-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076990.074576-3.14%0.07786+1.13%0.0621✗0.8250k2022-04-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.1614.6839-3.14%14.32-5.54%0.0138✓0.493.3M2022-04-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8570.829993-3.15%0.84-1.98%0.0434✗1.362.7M2022-04-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6520.9632-3.17%18.92-12.61%0.0769✓1.1110.7M2022-04-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9531.891-3.18%2.75+40.81%0.3987✗1.053.7M2022-04-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9080.8791-3.18%0.9238+1.74%0.0813✗1.37870k2022-04-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.524.3731-3.25%4.323-4.36%0.0036✓0.663.5M2022-04-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0170.983061-3.34%0.9157-9.96%0.0383✓1.42231k2022-04-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.825080.797384-3.36%0.79428-3.73%0.0192✓1.00182k2022-04-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.274.1265-3.36%4.15-2.81%0.0382✗1.41735k2022-04-23
COMPCompoundEthereum144.04139.1411-3.40%131.18-8.93%0.0308✓1.2271k2022-04-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.774270.746994-3.52%0.73391-5.21%0.0064✓1.04192k2022-04-23
QTUMQtumQtum6.9446.6975-3.55%6.4419-7.23%0.0120✓1.17216k2022-04-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278470.026859-3.55%0.027033-2.92%0.0224✓0.69191k2022-04-23
MOVRMoonriverBase62.251660.0417-3.55%54.2525-12.85%0.0675✓1.47223k2022-04-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09611.0568-3.59%1.1993+9.42%0.1558✗1.2711.9M2022-04-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7666.5192-3.65%6.376-5.76%0.0035✓1.11340k2022-04-23
KSMKusamaHydration174.1167.3632-3.87%162.23-6.82%0.0067✓1.061.2M2022-04-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-79.19e-7-4.07%0.000001007+5.11%0.0840✗-0.32596k2022-04-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.47234.2822-4.25%5.22+16.72%0.2153✗0.753.9M2022-04-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.23239-4.37%0.192-20.99%0.1758✓0.66100k2022-04-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.520146-4.38%0.642+18.01%0.2365✗1.135.9M2022-04-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2384.0519-4.39%3.638-14.16%0.0748✓1.43720k2022-04-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.1434.8954-4.81%4.556-11.41%0.0331✓1.682.6M2022-04-23
PROPropyEthereum2.051.9403-5.35%1.7-17.07%0.1118✓0.88179k2022-04-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.