8=======>

2022-04-02 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1323
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.0%
in alpha space · 81.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.6629-7.59%3.955-21.62%0.0866✓1.13417k2022-04-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2340.221106-5.51%0.265+13.25%0.2205✗0.5725k2022-04-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.29821.2393-4.54%1.1275-13.15%0.0090✓1.2415.0M2022-04-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.0461.9559-4.40%1.581-22.73%0.1285✓1.223.7M2022-04-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.94576.6472-4.30%6.3544-8.51%0.0290✓1.0723.4M2022-04-09
XECeCashnative0.000128270.000122948-4.15%0.00010178-20.65%0.1220✓0.977.2M2022-04-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5860.561965-4.10%0.604+3.07%0.1469✗1.087.0M2022-04-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana9.0578.7363-3.54%6.802-24.90%0.2048✓0.661.7M2022-04-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0050.004827-3.46%0.0049-2.00%0.1045✗1.305.8M2022-04-09
API3Api3Ethereum5.1564.9823-3.37%4.716-8.53%0.0155✓0.574.0M2022-04-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0306780.029647-3.36%0.0266-13.29%0.0490✓0.86185k2022-04-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.8776.6483-3.33%5.227-23.99%0.1734✓0.97102k2022-04-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.53622.4552-3.19%2.6236+3.45%0.1173✗0.7412k2022-04-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.02e-78.74e-7-3.19%8.86e-7-1.78%0.0106✓-0.361.1M2022-04-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana17.9517.3811-3.17%15.8-11.98%0.0635✓0.463.4M2022-04-09
LUNATerraTerra 2115.15111.5248-3.15%97.48-15.35%0.0434✓1.329.2M2022-04-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030970.030068-2.91%0.02713-12.40%0.0019✓1.5252.9M2022-04-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.095.9128-2.91%5.372-11.79%0.0675✓0.417.0M2022-04-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.27195.1271-2.75%5.4966+4.26%0.1094✗0.585.2M2022-04-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.3073.2168-2.73%3.7077+12.12%0.1948✗0.763.7M2022-04-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.621.5764-2.69%1.28-20.99%0.1306✓1.12691k2022-04-09
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9787.7656-2.66%6.692-16.12%0.0489✓1.4521k2022-04-09
MOVRMoonriverBase81.146479.1143-2.50%66.434-18.13%0.0808✓1.36166k2022-04-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.749.4965-2.50%8.47-13.04%0.0644✓0.722.7M2022-04-09
BANDBandEthereum5.3495.2218-2.38%4.186-21.74%0.1459✓1.09614k2022-04-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3230.315437-2.34%0.301-6.81%0.0101✓0.8233k2022-04-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.095110.092927-2.30%0.07979-16.11%0.0987✓0.7836k2022-04-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8471.8048-2.28%1.803-2.38%0.0912✗1.33451k2022-04-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.840.821649-2.18%0.73-13.10%0.0141✓1.51426k2022-04-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.7480.732202-2.11%0.7012-6.26%0.0482✗1.32648k2022-04-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0165210.016183-2.04%0.016497-0.15%0.0796✗0.8715k2022-04-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.61410.601713-2.02%0.4441-27.68%0.1771✓1.832.2M2022-04-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.9346.7949-2.01%5.129-26.03%0.2122✓1.002.9M2022-04-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3130.6832-2.00%27.28-12.87%0.0434✓1.0737.8M2022-04-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum65.2863.9933-1.97%51.77-20.70%0.1224✓1.305.4M2022-04-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.047.8817-1.97%6.12-23.88%0.2012✓0.751.9M2022-04-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.51920.509119-1.94%0.4055-21.90%0.1496✓1.1311.8M2022-04-09
ORCAOrcaSolana2.392.3443-1.91%2-16.32%0.1119✓0.68282k2022-04-09
LRCLoopringEthereum1.1391.1172-1.91%1.0096-11.36%0.0068✓1.37460k2022-04-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.328.741-1.91%25.27-13.75%0.0387✓1.30752k2022-04-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.2077.0721-1.87%5.414-24.88%0.1830✓1.225.4M2022-04-09
RADRadworksEthereum6.276.153-1.87%5.16-17.70%0.1100✓0.96400k2022-04-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.09680.095004-1.86%0.0791-18.29%0.1139✓1.00107k2022-04-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06710.065867-1.84%0.0587-12.52%0.0001✓1.6744.1M2022-04-09
KSMKusamaHydration202.02198.3211-1.83%178.05-11.87%0.0324✓1.09937k2022-04-09
XTZTezosTezos3.91163.8402-1.83%3.2092-17.96%0.1075✓1.041.1M2022-04-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.27930.274363-1.77%0.2021-27.64%0.2269✓1.142.5M2022-04-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2878-1.75%4.6053+5.53%0.1152✗0.635.5M2022-04-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.03045.9291-1.68%4.8786-19.10%0.1325✓0.90277k2022-04-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.95.8032-1.64%4.65-21.19%0.1255✓1.39750k2022-04-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.87.6722-1.64%6.66-14.62%0.0400✓1.47638k2022-04-09
STXStacksnative1.491.4656-1.64%1.28-14.09%0.0698✓0.95610k2022-04-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041940.041257-1.63%0.03807-9.23%0.0332✓0.681.1M2022-04-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.5518.254-1.60%15.62-15.80%0.0649✓1.323.1M2022-04-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022360.022005-1.59%0.01908-14.67%0.0740✓0.992.1M2022-04-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative45.5244.8021-1.58%41.97-7.80%0.0064✓1.047.6M2022-04-09
QTUMQtumQtum8.328.1888-1.58%7.0808-14.89%0.0677✓1.12166k2022-04-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.9221.8923-1.54%1.667-13.27%0.0608✓0.961.1M2022-04-09
ZECZcashZcash177.44174.7756-1.50%169.16-4.67%0.0329✗0.9516.0M2022-04-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8492760.836757-1.47%0.80274-5.48%0.0309✗1.051.8M2022-04-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.39791.3774-1.47%1.1457-18.05%0.1080✓1.10139k2022-04-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9763.9177-1.47%3.765-5.31%0.0140✓0.782.3M2022-04-09
ZENHorizenBase48.3847.6758-1.46%42.05-13.08%0.0362✓1.29508k2022-04-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.164810.162446-1.43%0.1556-5.59%0.0148✗0.8414k2022-04-09
UMAUMAEthereum7.9427.8283-1.43%7.277-8.37%0.0146✗1.275.3M2022-04-09
COMPCompoundEthereum153.54151.3588-1.42%135.46-11.78%0.0347✓1.1059k2022-04-09
APEApeCoinEthereum12.43312.2586-1.40%10.976-11.72%0.0414✓1.0071.9M2022-04-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.13410.132224-1.40%0.1246-7.08%0.0247✗1.22648k2022-04-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.37990.374612-1.39%0.3041-19.95%0.1326✓1.10372k2022-04-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum8.2318.1175-1.38%6.817-17.18%0.1039✓1.02448k2022-04-09
UNIUniswapEthereum11.6511.4906-1.37%10.06-13.65%0.0620✓1.036.8M2022-04-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.6222.3118-1.36%19.77-12.60%0.0478✓1.0621.2M2022-04-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1954.1384-1.35%3.996-4.74%0.0096✓0.652.8M2022-04-09
AAVEAaveEthereum238.39235.2045-1.34%184.67-22.53%0.1559✓1.2512.6M2022-04-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.274997-1.33%0.2452-12.02%0.0346✓1.163.2M2022-04-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.037740.037241-1.32%0.02912-22.84%0.1716✓1.08210k2022-04-09
NANOnanopayBase2.54732.5145-1.29%2.451-3.78%0.0510✗1.11178k2022-04-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.0615.8538-1.28%14.38-10.46%0.0154✓1.191.0M2022-04-09
IMXImmutableEthereum2.4142.3835-1.26%2.161-10.48%0.0299✓0.9910.0M2022-04-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.128230.126632-1.25%0.102-20.46%0.1589✓0.8327k2022-04-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.27660.273206-1.23%0.302+9.18%0.1874✗1.261.8M2022-04-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46210.456564-1.20%0.3649-21.03%0.1222✓1.479.0M2022-04-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8932.8587-1.19%2.475-14.45%0.0524✓1.339.1M2022-04-09
ADACardanoCardano1.15621.1425-1.18%1.0453-9.59%0.0212✓0.9863.5M2022-04-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08710.086077-1.17%0.0741-14.93%0.0694✓1.16366k2022-04-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.913810.903334-1.15%0.7704-15.69%0.0873✓1.04201k2022-04-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.49420.48862-1.13%0.3864-21.81%0.1475✓1.261.6M2022-04-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4528.1356-1.11%22.73-20.11%0.1243✓1.29266k2022-04-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.01351.0023-1.10%0.8972-11.48%0.0836✓0.39676k2022-04-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1272.1044-1.06%1.781-16.27%0.1009✓0.953.3M2022-04-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2131.2006-1.02%0.935-22.92%0.1601✓1.302.6M2022-04-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.417.2389-0.93%15.43-11.32%0.0417✓1.0025.9M2022-04-09
AVTAventusEthereum2.612.5862-0.91%2.82+8.05%0.1145✗0.40376k2022-04-09
QNTQuantEthereum140.37139.094-0.91%121.95-13.12%0.0683✓0.914.2M2022-04-09
MANADecentralandEthereum2.64562.6219-0.90%2.3387-11.60%0.0360✓1.131.3M2022-04-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.56890.563936-0.87%0.4613-18.91%0.1318✓1.00875k2022-04-09
LSKLiskEthereum2.71472.6911-0.87%2.2222-18.14%0.1348✓0.82183k2022-04-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014450.014327-0.85%0.01195-17.30%0.1011✓1.163.3M2022-04-09
CBKCobakEthereum32.9744-0.85%2.378-20.73%0.1706✓0.7719k2022-04-09
FTTFTXEthereum49.6849.2597-0.85%45.61-8.19%0.0054✓1.0414.1M2022-04-09
SOLSolanaSolana132.61131.5077-0.83%112.99-14.80%0.0661✓1.2489.9M2022-04-09
XVSVenusEthereum13.0812.9753-0.80%11.27-13.84%0.0665✓1.083.2M2022-04-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.7093-0.76%2.55-6.59%0.0064✓0.97146k2022-04-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08720.08655-0.75%0.1354+55.28%0.5133✗0.95178k2022-04-09
DASHDashDash127.43126.4829-0.74%114.77-9.93%0.0327✓0.932.5M2022-04-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,334.6223,161.64-0.74%20,652.11-11.50%0.0376✓1.126.0M2022-04-09
FIDABonfidaSolana21.9853-0.73%1.681-15.95%0.1067✓0.8653k2022-04-09
PROPropyEthereum1.621.6083-0.72%1.42-12.35%0.0542✓1.02174k2022-04-09
XLMStellarStellar0.2333380.231655-0.72%0.204927-12.18%0.0554✓0.9719.3M2022-04-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.7031.6907-0.72%1.339-21.37%0.1703✓0.911.4M2022-04-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16440.163264-0.69%0.1527-7.12%0.0038✓1.02219k2022-04-09
XEMNEMnative0.12190.121077-0.68%0.1061-12.96%0.0745✓0.8345k2022-04-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.23830.236698-0.67%0.2441+2.43%0.0999✗1.001.0M2022-04-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash372.47370.0601-0.65%326.08-12.45%0.0616✓0.948.3M2022-04-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.412.3952-0.61%2.06-14.52%0.0620✓1.28903k2022-04-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.29320.291417-0.61%0.2471-15.72%0.0959✓1.00493k2022-04-09
BTTCBTTC0.000002230.000002217-0.60%0.00000199-10.76%0.0630✓0.6511.3M2022-04-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche96.2595.6787-0.59%84.56-12.15%0.0350✓1.28103.6M2022-04-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2120.876-0.59%18.37-12.52%0.0606✓0.9718.2M2022-04-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1636.1266-0.59%5.42-12.06%0.0544✓0.9984k2022-04-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.963190.957525-0.59%0.88066-8.57%0.0146✓1.00266k2022-04-09
DODODODOEthereum0.5570.55391-0.55%0.416-25.31%0.2089✓1.123.6M2022-04-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056680.056372-0.54%0.04691-17.24%0.1271✓0.8230k2022-04-09
SCSiacoinnative0.014030.01396-0.50%0.01131-19.39%0.1321✓1.13472k2022-04-09
HIVEHivenative1.24221.2361-0.49%0.9487-23.63%0.1909✓1.072.1M2022-04-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.61010.607812-0.38%0.5201-14.75%0.1513✓0.075,2242022-04-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.07090.070639-0.37%0.0686-3.24%0.0100✗0.57221k2022-04-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.63830.635992-0.36%0.5402-15.37%0.1101✓0.77399k2022-04-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0417090.041567-0.34%0.03915-6.14%0.0077✗0.983.9M2022-04-09
XVGVergenative0.013360.013315-0.34%0.01102-17.51%0.1105✓1.142.1M2022-04-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90730.904237-0.34%0.788-13.15%0.0729✓0.9417.2M2022-04-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.29521.2911-0.32%1.1362-12.27%0.0363✓1.321.4M2022-04-09
XMRMoneroMonero212.35211.7115-0.30%240.29+13.16%0.1903✗0.921.6M2022-04-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1387910.138376-0.30%0.144357+4.01%0.0993✗0.832.7M2022-04-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056140.055976-0.29%0.05263-6.25%0.0093✗1.03585k2022-04-09
ETHEthereumEthereum3,445.383,435.98-0.27%3,258.99-5.41%0.0209✗1.07478.7M2022-04-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,047.2045,926.22-0.26%42,690.00-7.29%0.0064✓0.9725k2022-04-09
KCSKuCoinnative20.72920.6831-0.22%20.199-2.56%0.0365✗0.875.1M2022-04-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89120.889475-0.19%0.7457-16.33%0.1066✓1.017.6M2022-04-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.736.7173-0.19%6.14-8.77%0.0406✓0.711.7M2022-04-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.491.4882-0.12%1.339-10.13%0.0436✓0.902.8M2022-04-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.9223.8971-0.10%21.74-9.11%0.0214✓1.066.7M2022-04-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28610.285889-0.07%0.2818-1.50%0.0426✗0.821.7M2022-04-09
MINAMina Protocolnative2.62.5989-0.04%3.24+24.62%0.2901✗1.01766k2022-04-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV99.0599.0066-0.04%86.77-12.40%0.0785✓0.772.4M2022-04-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.027510.027516+0.02%0.02504-8.98%0.0417✗0.763.2M2022-04-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.976.973+0.04%6.33-9.18%0.0466✗0.73990k2022-04-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025810.000025825+0.06%0.00002462-4.61%0.0310✓1.142.2M2022-04-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8430.8619+0.07%28.64-7.13%0.0127✗0.90665k2022-04-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9480.949311+0.14%0.913-3.69%0.0230✓0.901.8M2022-04-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.10576.1224+0.27%5.8799-3.70%0.0078✗0.47169k2022-04-09
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.3621+0.28%3.57-17.93%0.1188✗1.187.1M2022-04-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,826.2745,957.06+0.29%42,766.93-6.68%0.0028✗1.00629.9M2022-04-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.9125.258+0.29%112.7-9.77%0.0355✗1.0226.1M2022-04-09
DIADIAEthereum1.111.1134+0.30%0.93-16.22%0.1536✗0.38165k2022-04-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.1193.1293+0.33%2.48-20.49%0.1747✗0.8462k2022-04-09
GTGateEthereum6.87046.9077+0.54%6.6403-3.35%0.0014✓0.594.6M2022-04-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.25450.255916+0.56%0.2258-11.28%0.0575✗0.98215k2022-04-09
TRXTRONTron0.0732040.073647+0.61%0.063989-12.59%0.0972✗0.63324k2022-04-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0415.1329+0.62%14.38-4.39%0.0242✗0.393.1M2022-04-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013130.013232+0.78%0.01253-4.57%0.0086✗0.6612k2022-04-09
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50751.5211+0.91%1.0969-27.24%0.2320✗1.38199k2022-04-09
XYMSymbolnative0.14440.145825+0.99%0.1243-13.92%0.1113✗0.70696k2022-04-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.