8=======>

2022-03-17 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1421
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
21.2%
in alpha space · 4.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum4.344.3217-0.42%5.02+15.67%0.0866✗0.88521k2022-03-24
TRXTRONTron0.0607880.060512-0.45%0.065663+8.02%0.0357✗0.64281k2022-03-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50580.503285-0.50%0.5368+6.13%0.0102✗0.75452k2022-03-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011990.011923-0.56%0.01336+11.43%0.0631✗0.709,5442022-03-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.9177.4498-0.59%91.06+16.88%0.1077✗0.751.0M2022-03-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0165490.016441-0.65%0.03772+127.93%0.7743✗0.78167k2022-03-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4042.3867-0.72%2.846+18.39%0.0942✗1.13534k2022-03-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.26109.4597-0.73%126.52+14.75%0.0729✗1.0025.9M2022-03-24
DASHDashDash96.4295.7045-0.74%130.02+34.85%0.2342✗1.001.7M2022-03-24
DIADIAEthereum0.930.92249-0.81%1.01+8.60%0.0641✗0.37279k2022-03-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.084976-0.84%0.1068+24.62%0.1407✗1.22494k2022-03-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040270.039917-0.88%0.04349+8.00%0.0247✗0.8525k2022-03-24
SCSiacoinnative0.008860.00878-0.90%0.01029+16.14%0.0798✗1.09441k2022-03-24
XEMNEMnative0.09820.097287-0.93%0.1091+11.10%0.0537✗0.8539k2022-03-24
GTGateEthereum6.30866.2496-0.93%6.4925+2.92%0.0086✓0.653.2M2022-03-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6390.632935-0.95%0.726+13.62%0.0712✗0.922.2M2022-03-24
KCSKuCoinnative18.16217.9777-1.01%18.833+3.69%0.0184✓0.907.3M2022-03-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1761.1638-1.04%1.352+14.97%0.0793✗0.982.9M2022-03-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1513.0095-1.07%15.84+20.46%0.1172✗1.10357k2022-03-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,950.3340,508.84-1.08%44,012.29+7.48%0.0108✓1.00700.4M2022-03-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07110.070309-1.11%0.0793+11.53%0.0525✗0.94150k2022-03-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.1518.935-1.12%21.78+13.73%0.0448✗1.32270k2022-03-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.312.2837-1.14%2.59+12.12%0.0556✗0.97154k2022-03-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1164260.115065-1.17%0.136967+17.64%0.1160✗0.812.8M2022-03-24
XVGVergenative0.009130.009023-1.17%0.01065+16.65%0.0828✗1.151.6M2022-03-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1145.0541-1.17%6.323+23.64%0.1557✗0.9576k2022-03-24
XYMSymbolnative0.13490.133309-1.18%0.1426+5.71%0.0108✓0.78296k2022-03-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049740.049139-1.21%0.05648+13.55%0.0608✗1.09459k2022-03-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.025020.02471-1.24%0.02695+7.71%0.0333✗0.742.7M2022-03-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,887.4040,373.11-1.26%44,010.90+7.64%0.0172✗0.9652k2022-03-24
PROPropyEthereum1.451.4314-1.28%1.59+9.66%0.0294✗1.05217k2022-03-24
ADACardanoCardano0.83650.825728-1.29%1.1314+35.25%0.2426✗1.0065.1M2022-03-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.4114.224-1.29%16.17+12.21%0.0512✗1.0739.3M2022-03-24
SOLSolanaSolana87.8886.7263-1.31%102.38+16.50%0.0755✗1.2596.2M2022-03-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.055.9702-1.32%6.84+13.06%0.0829✗0.74830k2022-03-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,814.672,776.10-1.37%3,112.52+10.58%0.0394✗1.04501.7M2022-03-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,412.7219,143.30-1.39%21,219.97+9.31%0.0270✗1.055.5M2022-03-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.20230.19949-1.39%0.234+15.67%0.0664✗1.291.8M2022-03-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022210.000021901-1.39%0.00002469+11.17%0.0357✗1.172.8M2022-03-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.4417.1963-1.40%19.64+12.61%0.0630✗0.976.3M2022-03-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.05931.0444-1.40%1.1819+11.57%0.0402✗1.16116k2022-03-24
QTUMQtumQtum5.93755.8528-1.43%7.8674+32.50%0.2145✗1.13102k2022-03-24
FTTFTXEthereum43.0642.4436-1.43%49.47+14.89%0.0783✗1.0414.9M2022-03-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31790.313327-1.44%0.3888+22.30%0.1210✗1.31866k2022-03-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.1482.1169-1.45%2.363+10.01%0.0537✗0.7821k2022-03-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash296.36292.0559-1.45%366.47+23.66%0.1601✗0.936.5M2022-03-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.122.088-1.51%2.62+23.58%0.1960✗0.43309k2022-03-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24460.240885-1.52%0.2687+9.85%0.0498✗0.832.2M2022-03-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2831.2631-1.55%1.58+23.15%0.1336✗1.253.0M2022-03-24
QNTQuantEthereum114.23112.4438-1.56%136.28+19.30%0.1258✗0.924.5M2022-03-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1292.0955-1.57%2.383+11.93%0.0323✗1.349.5M2022-03-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.927.4582-1.58%29.71+6.49%0.0132✓0.91836k2022-03-24
HIVEHivenative0.91690.902379-1.58%1.0248+11.77%0.0460✗1.132.0M2022-03-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71590.704479-1.60%0.8052+12.47%0.0626✗0.997.2M2022-03-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.024760.024363-1.60%0.02649+6.99%0.0080✓1.05293k2022-03-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1896950.186633-1.61%0.215105+13.40%0.0706✗0.9919.3M2022-03-24
XECeCashnative0.000078450.000077181-1.62%0.00008405+7.14%0.0169✗0.954.5M2022-03-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.23956.1383-1.62%6.0183-3.55%0.0497✓0.42184k2022-03-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.5616.2913-1.62%19.43+17.33%0.1039✗1.0014.5M2022-03-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40960.402902-1.64%0.6697+63.50%0.4165✗1.27416k2022-03-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15080.148314-1.65%0.1577+4.58%0.0135✓1.04229k2022-03-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034580.034007-1.66%0.04032+16.60%0.1182✗0.72853k2022-03-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001820.000001789-1.68%0.00000199+9.34%0.0617✗0.6212.6M2022-03-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.0412.8178-1.70%13.33+2.22%0.0088✓0.423.0M2022-03-24
ZENHorizenBase38.7238.0569-1.71%45.37+17.17%0.0823✗1.30244k2022-03-24
XMRMoneroMonero187.84184.6098-1.72%203.77+8.48%0.0317✗0.931.7M2022-03-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5151.4883-1.76%1.713+13.07%0.0696✗0.981.8M2022-03-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.4154-1.78%21.25+13.33%0.0654✗1.0825.1M2022-03-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32250.31674-1.79%0.3633+12.65%0.0321✗1.4610.3M2022-03-24
COMPCompoundEthereum111.36109.3612-1.79%119.41+7.23%0.0053✓1.1548k2022-03-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4831.4563-1.80%1.629+9.84%0.0404✗0.99639k2022-03-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016840.016534-1.82%0.02128+26.37%0.1803✗1.001.3M2022-03-24
DODODODOEthereum0.3890.381884-1.83%0.458+17.74%0.1025✗1.102.8M2022-03-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74170.728112-1.83%0.8916+20.21%0.1301✗1.0017.7M2022-03-24
XVSVenusEthereum8.778.6092-1.83%10.44+19.04%0.1181✗1.043.1M2022-03-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1080.105987-1.86%0.115+6.48%0.0431✗0.5339k2022-03-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.70710.693794-1.88%1.0824+53.08%0.3496✗1.3293k2022-03-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71640.702746-1.91%0.7956+11.06%0.0998✗0.34749k2022-03-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094180.092371-1.92%0.10347+9.86%0.0501✗0.8830k2022-03-24
STXStacksnative1.271.2449-1.98%1.38+8.66%0.0357✗0.93444k2022-03-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.7738-2.00%2.11+16.57%0.0810✗1.281.3M2022-03-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40950.401309-2.00%0.44+7.45%0.0059✓1.198.8M2022-03-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.09432.0524-2.00%2.2754+8.65%0.0451✗0.81123k2022-03-24
UNIUniswapEthereum9.239.0444-2.01%10.79+16.90%0.1029✗1.026.1M2022-03-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.635.5168-2.01%7.49+33.04%0.2083✗1.35458k2022-03-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.1394.0554-2.02%5.2272+26.29%0.1864✗0.93204k2022-03-24
KSMKusamaHydration133.2130.4777-2.04%162.8+22.22%0.1409✗1.12664k2022-03-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.070525-2.05%0.07771+7.93%0.0395✗0.809,6122022-03-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.173.105-2.05%3.67+15.77%0.0832✗1.166.1M2022-03-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7940.777408-2.09%0.953+20.03%0.1084✗1.322.0M2022-03-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.16071.1362-2.11%1.153-0.67%0.0794✓1.302.1M2022-03-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.386.245-2.12%6.52+2.19%0.0084✓0.71764k2022-03-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011020.010785-2.13%0.01238+12.34%0.0505✗1.213.1M2022-03-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0397840.038932-2.14%0.042036+5.66%0.0082✓0.955.0M2022-03-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.1526.5667-2.15%48.64+79.15%0.5342✗0.983.9M2022-03-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.4777.7549-2.16%87.61+10.24%0.0252✗1.31120.2M2022-03-24
XTZTezosTezos3.08433.0176-2.16%3.5281+14.39%0.0777✗1.091.1M2022-03-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0369-2.18%1.55+46.23%0.3291✗1.01525k2022-03-24
MOVRMoonriverBase50.13849.0406-2.19%62.4871+24.63%0.1456✗1.34159k2022-03-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3994.3006-2.24%5.282+20.07%0.1145✗1.262.4M2022-03-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4081.3765-2.24%1.684+19.60%0.1034✗1.36529k2022-03-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.1727.5359-2.25%29.27+3.90%0.0211✓1.1442.9M2022-03-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8334.7233-2.27%5.478+13.35%0.1003✗0.66537k2022-03-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.21050.205682-2.29%0.2208+4.89%0.0129✓1.162.3M2022-03-24
GITCOINGITCOIN5.6125.4828-2.30%7.452+32.79%0.2109✗1.3325k2022-03-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.0714.7186-2.33%18.14+20.37%0.1159✗1.292.3M2022-03-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.120.117194-2.34%0.1431+19.25%0.1147✗1.182.3M2022-03-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0116030.011331-2.35%0.013705+18.12%0.1232✗0.9311k2022-03-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5163240.504062-2.37%0.590761+14.42%0.0835✗1.041.8M2022-03-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072310.070562-2.42%0.07971+10.23%0.0449✗1.0759k2022-03-24
ZECZcashZcash153.41149.6994-2.42%193.05+25.84%0.1853✗0.9610.3M2022-03-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.3149.0652-2.47%70.34+39.81%0.2698✗1.254.9M2022-03-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.80063.7063-2.48%3.9044+2.73%0.0077✓0.623.9M2022-03-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06830.06658-2.52%0.084+22.99%0.1472✗1.18363k2022-03-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.6924.0624-2.54%27.96+13.24%0.0585✗1.27735k2022-03-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.43892.3766-2.56%2.6959+10.54%0.0407✗1.181.7M2022-03-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1311.1019-2.57%1.697+50.04%0.3635✗0.951.0M2022-03-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.134.0217-2.62%4.74+14.77%0.0634✗1.40341k2022-03-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3893.3001-2.62%3.765+11.09%0.0788✗0.73494k2022-03-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7523.6531-2.64%3.938+4.96%0.0287✗0.64538k2022-03-24
AAVEAaveEthereum155.68151.5713-2.64%168.07+7.96%0.0105✓1.297.3M2022-03-24
BANDBandEthereum3.5293.4345-2.68%4.119+16.72%0.1020✗1.11631k2022-03-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.22750.221358-2.70%0.2515+10.55%0.0556✗1.00180k2022-03-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.232515-2.71%0.26+8.79%0.0524✗0.8236k2022-03-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.566.3802-2.74%6.72+2.44%0.0012✓0.74954k2022-03-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852720.828159-2.88%0.85665+0.46%0.0477✓1.13111k2022-03-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.061.9996-2.93%2.29+11.17%0.0870✗0.67192k2022-03-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7624.6221-2.94%5.286+11.00%0.0676✗0.92103k2022-03-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21930.212761-2.98%0.2423+10.49%0.0579✗1.00285k2022-03-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003450.003347-3.00%0.00439+27.25%0.1676✗1.445.2M2022-03-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.51160.495971-3.05%0.6067+18.59%0.1294✗1.004,8972022-03-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.064-3.10%2.58+21.13%0.1485✗1.04343k2022-03-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6541.602-3.14%1.908+15.36%0.1166✗0.8150k2022-03-24
UMAUMAEthereum7.7387.4938-3.16%7.907+2.18%0.0401✓1.306.0M2022-03-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.33894.2017-3.16%4.1695-3.90%0.0555✓0.663.4M2022-03-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.60.580669-3.22%0.7+16.67%0.0795✗1.49511k2022-03-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147730.142967-3.22%0.16172+9.47%0.0617✗0.8514k2022-03-24
SGBSongbirdnative0.06330.061254-3.23%0.064+1.11%0.0283✓1.00300k2022-03-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2116.0066-3.29%7.169+15.42%0.1048✗1.00475k2022-03-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5552.4709-3.29%2.866+12.17%0.0762✗1.0052k2022-03-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.923.7887-3.35%5.846+49.13%0.3616✗1.00368k2022-03-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5781.5243-3.40%2.162+37.01%0.2806✗0.953.4M2022-03-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42350.409072-3.41%0.4337+2.41%0.0798✓1.922.1M2022-03-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.28380.274052-3.43%0.3142+10.71%0.0548✗1.14183k2022-03-24
LUNATerraTerra 286.8483.843-3.45%93.83+8.05%0.0114✓1.408.8M2022-03-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06030.058013-3.79%0.066+9.45%0.0051✓1.7242.5M2022-03-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.257.9271-3.91%8.28+0.36%0.0079✓0.711.6M2022-03-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20890.200722-3.91%0.2239+7.18%0.0372✓1.001.8M2022-03-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.512.0072-3.94%13.53+8.24%0.0822✗0.521.2M2022-03-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.75791-3.98%1.098+39.11%0.2832✗1.213.8M2022-03-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1855.9309-4.11%6.349+2.65%0.0328✓0.493.7M2022-03-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.1122.9834-4.13%3.1236+0.37%0.0121✓0.814.6M2022-03-24
API3Api3Ethereum4.5954.3953-4.35%5.14+11.86%0.1117✗0.627.0M2022-03-24
NANOnanopayBase2.5992.4762-4.73%2.3244-10.57%0.1482✓1.18119k2022-03-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.52511.4516-4.82%1.3853-9.17%0.1485✓1.41272k2022-03-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4110.389222-5.30%0.618+50.36%0.3826✗1.111.9M2022-03-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05151.9344-5.71%2.402+17.09%0.1652✗0.7114k2022-03-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000012110.000001141-5.81%0.000001091-9.90%0.0140✓-0.421.7M2022-03-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.024010.022591-5.91%0.04032+67.93%0.4658✗1.5713.0M2022-03-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.0648.3868-7.47%7.8304-13.61%0.1408✓1.0056.6M2022-03-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.