8=======>

2022-03-15 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1402
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
23.1%
in alpha space · 3.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6110.611602+0.10%0.722+18.17%0.0969✓0.912.4M2022-03-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2372.2372+0.01%2.762+23.47%0.1294✓1.08534k2022-03-22
XEMNEMnative0.09450.094455-0.05%0.1082+14.50%0.0731✗0.8339k2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.8475.709-0.17%91.76+20.99%0.1363✗0.74974k2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06820.06808-0.18%0.0759+11.29%0.0390✗0.92151k2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,353.6039,241.96-0.28%42,512.10+8.03%0.0079✗0.9652k2022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.344.327-0.30%4.97+14.52%0.0733✗0.86521k2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.0605530.06033-0.37%0.063447+4.78%0.0006✓0.66282k2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.612.5531-0.37%16.17+28.33%0.1716✗1.08388k2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.83410.830633-0.42%0.9224+10.59%0.0209✗1.111.8M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash289.44288.1146-0.46%375.54+29.75%0.1950✗0.936.6M2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum5.7215.6871-0.59%7.6005+32.85%0.2050✗1.13102k2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.914392-0.61%1.719+86.85%0.5686✗0.831.0M2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23480.233368-0.61%0.253+7.75%0.0186✗0.822.0M2022-03-22
DASHDashDash95.1494.5485-0.62%130.57+37.24%0.2472✗1.001.6M2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2333.2128-0.62%4.168+28.92%0.2065✗0.71344k2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase35.9335.7034-0.63%45.47+26.55%0.1458✗1.27244k2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.94106.1988-0.69%122.81+14.84%0.0699✗1.0025.9M2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021620.000021462-0.73%0.00002344+8.42%0.0001✓1.172.9M2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,298.1039,011.09-0.73%42,378.26+7.84%0.0073✗1.00645.2M2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040090.039794-0.74%0.04222+5.31%0.0049✓0.8526k2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0196930.019547-0.74%0.025067+27.29%0.1850✗0.84143k2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.3056.2566-0.77%6.4277+1.95%0.0220✓0.653.0M2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum110.23109.3676-0.78%127.12+15.32%0.0812✗0.924.6M2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011757-0.78%0.01287+8.61%0.0372✗0.719,6662022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.7712.6694-0.79%13.32+4.31%0.0177✗0.433.1M2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,619.152,597.62-0.82%2,970.51+13.42%0.0565✗1.03501.7M2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1341.1246-0.83%1.26+11.11%0.0416✗0.962.9M2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration125.47124.4266-0.83%158.4+26.25%0.1579✗1.11664k2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative1.641.6256-0.88%2.15+31.10%0.2034✗1.01336k2022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.1702-0.91%2.44+11.42%0.0446✗0.96140k2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.498.4111-0.93%9.38+10.48%0.0302✗1.043.2M2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9373.9-0.94%5.175+31.45%0.1889✗1.242.3M2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.008720.008637-0.95%0.00999+14.56%0.0579✗1.161.5M2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.79920.791623-0.95%0.9753+22.03%0.1331✗1.0066.9M2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos2.97672.9485-0.95%3.302+10.93%0.0306✗1.101.2M2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.7939-0.96%6.67+14.02%0.0871✗0.71927k2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1991.1874-0.97%1.582+31.94%0.1934✗1.242.5M2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum104.05103.039-0.97%114.7+10.24%0.0246✗1.0946k2022-03-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1125620.111457-0.98%0.122365+8.71%0.0322✗0.812.8M2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7710.763309-1.00%0.91+18.03%0.0768✗1.311.9M2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.37550.37174-1.00%0.758+101.86%0.6181✗1.25397k2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3541.3403-1.01%1.547+14.25%0.0709✗0.96593k2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum122.06120.8202-1.02%152.91+25.27%0.1441✗1.217.0M2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.211.1974-1.04%1.3+7.44%0.0125✗0.92444k2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4811.4655-1.04%1.626+9.79%0.0303✗0.971.7M2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.8369.096-1.05%83.98+20.26%0.0998✗1.26116.5M2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1826270.180685-1.06%0.20689+13.29%0.0604✗0.9918.9M2022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2211.1006-1.06%13.41+19.52%0.1496✗0.521.2M2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70310.695488-1.08%0.7746+10.17%0.0341✗0.987.4M2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.718.4971-1.08%20.78+11.12%0.0181✗1.30291k2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8117.6162-1.09%20.22+13.53%0.0565✗1.0824.2M2022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1062.0829-1.10%2.255+7.08%0.0211✗0.7721k2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash136.27134.7741-1.10%174.59+28.12%0.1891✗0.928.6M2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011060.010939-1.10%0.01179+6.60%0.0170✓1.223.1M2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091710.0907-1.10%0.09728+6.07%0.0042✓0.8730k2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9414.8858-1.12%5.986+21.15%0.1335✗0.9276k2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045530.045019-1.12%0.05567+22.27%0.1324✗1.06440k2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.12061.108-1.13%1.1525+2.84%0.0578✓1.292.4M2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4524.4009-1.15%5.543+24.51%0.1804✗0.67522k2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.0817.8713-1.15%18.261+1.00%0.0468✓0.917.5M2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016170.015983-1.16%0.01899+17.44%0.0974✗0.991.3M2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.890.879531-1.18%0.95+6.74%0.0501✗0.36271k2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.421.4025-1.23%1.54+8.45%0.0138✗1.06242k2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.866.7744-1.25%6.43-6.27%0.1089✓0.75764k2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum2.922.8835-1.25%3.45+18.15%0.0921✗1.165.7M2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum10.987466-1.25%1.1249+12.49%0.0473✗1.10112k2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.713.5281-1.26%15.43+12.63%0.0515✗1.0642.8M2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.008670.008561-1.26%0.0096+10.73%0.0320✗1.09472k2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.3413.1703-1.27%17.58+31.78%0.1936✗1.262.2M2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14510.143238-1.28%0.1543+6.34%0.0033✓1.03244k2022-03-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.728.6038-1.33%9.76+11.93%0.0502✗1.016.1M2022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3251.3072-1.34%1.457+9.96%0.0064✓1.35565k2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,500.0418,251.52-1.34%20,305.82+9.76%0.0370✗0.925.0M2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.19140.188807-1.35%0.2091+9.25%0.0146✗1.162.3M2022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62073.571-1.37%3.8754+7.03%0.0372✗0.593.9M2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2210.217958-1.38%0.253+14.48%0.0872✗0.8242k2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08630.085079-1.41%0.0905+4.87%0.0310✓1.23522k2022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.13170.129826-1.42%0.1371+4.10%0.0048✓0.79296k2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.536.436-1.44%6.75+3.37%0.0090✓0.75789k2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.371564-1.44%0.446+18.30%0.1009✗1.082.8M2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana82.8581.6536-1.44%90.48+9.21%0.0094✓1.2496.5M2022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5593.5076-1.44%4.136+16.21%0.1188✗0.61457k2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71630.705938-1.45%0.8268+15.43%0.0821✗1.0118.1M2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.0240.4211-1.46%45.28+10.39%0.0350✗1.0415.5M2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.126.7009-1.47%29.9+10.33%0.0456✗0.90846k2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.024520.024157-1.48%0.02633+7.38%0.0306✗0.743.0M2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.8225.4353-1.49%51.65+100.04%0.6351✗0.974.3M2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0191.9886-1.50%2.188+8.37%0.0341✗0.81117k2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.784470.772663-1.51%0.80946+3.19%0.0374✓1.11111k2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero183.37180.5223-1.55%193.89+5.74%0.0012✓0.931.7M2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin16.8116.5433-1.59%18.31+8.92%0.0282✗0.976.2M2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.8415.5884-1.59%18.02+13.76%0.0684✗1.0114.4M2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000079530.000078261-1.60%0.00008348+4.97%0.0077✓0.964.5M2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49960.491452-1.63%0.5151+3.10%0.0093✓0.75436k2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4906420.482625-1.63%0.561881+14.52%0.0740✗1.031.9M2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.27292.2345-1.69%2.4316+6.98%0.0038✓1.172.1M2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.813.7441-1.73%4.5+18.11%0.0808✗1.37341k2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.67740.665624-1.74%0.8086+19.37%0.0955✗1.31106k2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase1.71271.6827-1.75%2.2499+31.37%0.2086✗1.09118k2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.42590.418424-1.76%0.4105-3.62%0.1088✓1.198.4M2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71260.700089-1.76%1.1707+64.29%0.4216✗1.233.4M2022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072110.070827-1.78%0.07561+4.85%0.0148✓1.0660k2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.25360.24905-1.79%0.31+22.24%0.1338✗1.13192k2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.011.9734-1.82%2.16+7.46%0.0407✗0.66192k2022-03-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.21510.211162-1.83%0.2408+11.95%0.0559✗1.00168k2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02643.9526-1.83%4.8022+19.27%0.1248✗0.93198k2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035420.034768-1.84%0.03923+10.76%0.0668✗0.71979k2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.7738-1.85%8.37+5.68%0.0208✗0.701.4M2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.312.2673-1.85%2.21-4.33%0.0586✓0.44288k2022-03-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.6754.5882-1.86%4.907+4.96%0.0211✗0.617.0M2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88733.814-1.88%4.2393+9.06%0.0586✗0.622.6M2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.19170.188041-1.91%0.218+13.72%0.0510✗1.281.9M2022-03-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023950.023492-1.91%0.026+8.56%0.0223✗1.05319k2022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.711.6766-1.96%1.93+12.87%0.0452✗1.271.3M2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31170.305599-1.96%0.3622+16.20%0.0710✗1.31857k2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001760.000001725-1.97%0.00000186+5.68%0.0297✗0.6013.2M2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.351.3233-1.98%1.466+8.59%0.0033✓1.40289k2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum7.6387.4862-1.99%7.622-0.21%0.0808✓1.316.0M2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9126.362-2.04%28.03+4.16%0.0239✓1.1341.1M2022-03-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.43220.423265-2.07%0.5639+30.47%0.2114✗1.004,6242022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9055.7818-2.09%6.1887+4.80%0.0371✗0.41186k2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.0622.571-2.12%27.98+21.34%0.1205✗1.25749k2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3635.2464-2.17%6.962+29.82%0.1860✗1.2825k2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9521.9075-2.28%2.268+16.19%0.0771✗1.279.4M2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074590.072878-2.29%0.07627+2.25%0.0157✓0.819,6412022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.098657-2.32%0.105+3.96%0.0228✓0.5239k2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.05542.9845-2.32%3.292+7.74%0.0358✗0.834.7M2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017620.017204-2.36%0.03998+126.90%0.7254✗1.5612.7M2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.8645.7396-2.39%52.46+11.95%0.0434✗1.244.9M2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11950.116465-2.54%0.1349+12.89%0.0583✗1.172.5M2022-03-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7735.6218-2.62%6.545+13.37%0.0766✗1.00460k2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.039170.038136-2.64%0.040562+3.55%0.0103✓0.955.1M2022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum3.4463.348-2.84%3.81+10.56%0.0470✗1.09658k2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.020.990717-2.87%1.31+28.43%0.2050✗0.99553k2022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06530.063419-2.88%0.0724+10.87%0.0456✗1.15402k2022-03-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4022.3324-2.90%2.669+11.12%0.0593✗1.0052k2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.3595.2029-2.91%6.234+16.33%0.1471✗0.453.4M2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.011450.011116-2.92%0.013307+16.22%0.1085✗0.9511k2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 288.5785.9427-2.97%93.09+5.10%0.0265✓1.418.4M2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5024.364-3.06%5.07+12.62%0.0801✗0.93107k2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase49.27147.67-3.25%66.9272+35.83%0.2396✗1.32160k2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.37340.361036-3.31%0.4064+8.84%0.0284✓1.952.1M2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5961.5429-3.33%1.793+12.34%0.0880✗0.8255k2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5111.4597-3.40%2.315+53.21%0.3912✗0.933.4M2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6990.675253-3.40%0.78+11.59%0.1194✗0.33799k2022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003450.003326-3.60%0.00429+24.35%0.1450✗1.455.3M2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.568534-3.64%0.67+13.56%0.0522✗1.48550k2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143610.138337-3.67%0.15608+8.68%0.0586✗0.8215k2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33440.321932-3.73%0.3714+11.06%0.0288✓1.5110.5M2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.365.1594-3.74%6.98+30.22%0.2041✗1.30534k2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05440.052222-4.00%0.0657+20.77%0.1020✗1.6942.5M2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4620.442331-4.26%0.693+50.00%0.3635✗1.131.8M2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.04681.9265-5.88%2.6489+29.42%0.2656✗0.7016k2022-03-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011290.000001062-5.99%0.000001193+5.63%0.0411✓1.001.7M2022-03-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.2327.6549-7.01%8.8344+7.32%0.0678✓1.0031.1M2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.