8=======>

2022-02-25 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1647
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.2%
in alpha space · 64.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06890.069304+0.59%0.0671-2.61%0.0304✗1.05168k2022-03-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.657756+0.57%0.69+5.50%0.0500✓1.162.0M2022-03-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2290.229986+0.43%0.24+4.80%0.0442✓0.8557k2022-03-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.336.3521+0.35%6.1-3.63%0.0397✗0.421.2M2022-03-04
QNTQuantEthereum112.52112.7891+0.24%118.5+5.31%0.0513✓1.036.4M2022-03-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.884.9999+0.24%79.36-6.42%0.0670✗0.89946k2022-03-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.13266.1469+0.23%5.9254-3.38%0.0340✗1.45184k2022-03-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.33109.5834+0.23%101.05-7.57%0.0789✗1.1929.5M2022-03-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash309.04309.6746+0.21%290.67-5.94%0.0615✗1.007.3M2022-03-04
XEMNEMnative0.09850.098651+0.15%0.096-2.54%0.0253✗1.0538k2022-03-04
TRXTRONTron0.0594790.059568+0.15%0.058264-2.04%0.0206✗0.83286k2022-03-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.48210.482808+0.15%0.7304+51.50%0.4164✓1.332.0M2022-03-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024861+0.13%0.00002353-5.24%0.0525✗1.353.8M2022-03-04
XVSVenusEthereum9.29.2098+0.11%8.58-6.74%0.0685✗1.293.2M2022-03-04
ADACardanoCardano0.89970.90037+0.07%0.845-6.08%0.0613✗1.1697.3M2022-03-04
SOLSolanaSolana92.8492.8799+0.04%88.32-4.87%0.0480✗1.29132.7M2022-03-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4531.4534+0.03%1.348-7.23%0.0731✗1.19963k2022-03-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.379.3705+0.01%10.37+10.67%0.1026✓0.68853k2022-03-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.21210.212083-0.01%0.209-1.46%0.0118✓1.533.3M2022-03-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6491-0.02%6.27+10.97%0.1058✗0.84430k2022-03-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,769.522,768.53-0.04%2,623.07-5.29%0.0520✓1.08561.7M2022-03-04
ZENHorizenBase34.7334.7123-0.05%33.61-3.22%0.0295✓1.49309k2022-03-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06490.064858-0.06%0.06438-0.80%0.0051✓1.2374k2022-03-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22330.223137-0.07%0.235+5.24%0.0536✗1.001.9M2022-03-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8312.8192-0.08%12.38-3.51%0.0330✓1.02340k2022-03-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.6055-0.10%5.38+16.70%0.1569✗0.78459k2022-03-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085970.085885-0.10%0.08893+3.44%0.0369✗1.1146k2022-03-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.37270.372115-0.16%0.35-6.09%0.0586✓1.471.3M2022-03-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2970.296513-0.16%0.274-7.74%0.0764✓1.392.1M2022-03-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.880408-0.18%0.78-11.56%0.1186✓1.372.1M2022-03-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4423-0.18%1.413-2.21%0.0184✓1.201.6M2022-03-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277810.127545-0.18%0.122392-4.22%0.0394✓1.003.7M2022-03-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.2075-0.20%1.17-3.31%0.0292✓1.28885k2022-03-04
XECeCashnative0.000075230.000075069-0.21%0.00007061-6.14%0.0591✓1.184.5M2022-03-04
KSMKusamaHydration124.6124.3314-0.22%120.67-3.15%0.0277✓1.20930k2022-03-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5712.5654-0.22%2.883+12.14%0.1182✗0.83207k2022-03-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.17410.17372-0.22%0.1952+12.12%0.1192✗1.412.8M2022-03-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.70230.700752-0.22%0.65401-6.88%0.0664✓1.44224k2022-03-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.158690.15831-0.24%0.15063-5.08%0.0472✓1.3728k2022-03-04
ZECZcashZcash106.72106.4582-0.25%117.05+9.68%0.0969✗1.137.6M2022-03-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,238.4839,140.74-0.25%39,166.51-0.18%0.0025✓1.00632.3M2022-03-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36110.360198-0.25%0.34-5.84%0.0551✓1.438.4M2022-03-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.259.2259-0.26%8.81-4.76%0.0437✓1.3410.8M2022-03-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.7008-0.27%17.4+18.05%0.1699✗0.711.9M2022-03-04
DASHDashDash92.992.6392-0.28%89.59-3.56%0.0314✓1.131.5M2022-03-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1911420.190604-0.28%0.17606-7.89%0.0773✓1.1120.5M2022-03-04
RADRadworksEthereum4.514.4966-0.30%5.07+12.42%0.1217✗0.91696k2022-03-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.35.2841-0.30%8.51+60.57%0.4781✗0.86435k2022-03-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5361.5313-0.30%1.32-14.06%0.1465✓1.103.4M2022-03-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018190.018132-0.32%0.01443-20.67%0.2254✓1.6012.7M2022-03-04
HIVEHivenative0.90190.898978-0.32%0.9048+0.32%0.0088✗1.271.8M2022-03-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.73112.7222-0.33%3.0177+10.49%0.1048✗0.932.9M2022-03-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6355.6144-0.37%5-11.27%0.1141✓0.99223k2022-03-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0914.0759-0.37%4.438+8.48%0.0866✗0.82414k2022-03-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.12012.1122-0.37%2.0304-4.23%0.0379✓0.8827k2022-03-04
GTGateEthereum6.31346.2879-0.40%6.6818+5.84%0.0622✗0.793.0M2022-03-04
SCSiacoinnative0.00880.008764-0.41%0.00847-3.75%0.0318✓1.29546k2022-03-04
XVGVergenative0.009530.00949-0.42%0.00944-0.94%0.0029✓1.291.2M2022-03-04
COMPCompoundEthereum112.66112.175-0.43%108.79-3.44%0.0283✓1.3058k2022-03-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1451.14-0.43%1.114-2.71%0.0207✓1.302.8M2022-03-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,386.5039,209.46-0.45%39,591.90+0.52%0.0115✗0.9649k2022-03-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.46619.3761-0.46%18.238-6.31%0.0586✓1.079.6M2022-03-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.0127.8797-0.47%27.63-1.36%0.0069✓1.124.9M2022-03-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9334.91-0.47%4.97+0.75%0.0137✗0.8365k2022-03-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012020.011964-0.47%0.01211+0.75%0.0135✗0.7615k2022-03-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.24741.241-0.51%1.2576+0.81%0.0159✗1.442.6M2022-03-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.2817.19-0.52%16.79-2.84%0.0211✓1.3326.4M2022-03-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03890.038691-0.54%0.03781-2.80%0.0211✓1.0730k2022-03-04
NANOnanopayBase1.87731.8671-0.54%1.7529-6.63%0.0609✓1.23196k2022-03-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8714.7886-0.55%15.26+2.62%0.0342✗1.522.3M2022-03-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.955960.950721-0.55%0.94943-0.68%0.0012✓1.41165k2022-03-04
XTZTezosTezos3.21313.1948-0.57%3.0789-4.18%0.0345✓1.352.1M2022-03-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3362.3227-0.57%3.317+41.99%0.3586✗1.25727k2022-03-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.46340.460678-0.59%0.4504-2.81%0.0198✓1.48572k2022-03-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6031-0.60%1.9091+18.38%0.1765✗1.0072k2022-03-04
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2826.2443-0.60%5.851-6.86%0.0625✓1.3828k2022-03-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4470.444298-0.60%0.412-7.83%0.0729✓1.384.6M2022-03-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227120.022574-0.61%0.018594-18.13%0.1920✓1.06114k2022-03-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010160.010098-0.61%0.01111+9.35%0.0983✗1.502.5M2022-03-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.0580.542-0.63%75.82-6.45%0.0577✓1.49106.7M2022-03-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83120.82584-0.64%0.7605-8.51%0.0802✓1.2222.9M2022-03-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.1872.1728-0.65%2.134-2.42%0.0161✓1.0519k2022-03-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72992.712-0.65%3.0093+10.23%0.1058✗0.982.3M2022-03-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1650.8235-0.66%49.7-2.85%0.0199✓1.357.3M2022-03-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.3914.2924-0.68%13.74-4.52%0.0371✓1.2459.6M2022-03-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06460.064154-0.69%0.0679+5.11%0.0587✗1.0713k2022-03-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.0755-0.70%2.02-3.35%0.0248✓1.23343k2022-03-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.029220.029013-0.71%0.0266-8.97%0.0854✓0.794.4M2022-03-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73672.7171-0.72%2.4781-9.45%0.0897✓1.313.2M2022-03-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046090.045749-0.74%0.04735+2.73%0.0367✗1.24703k2022-03-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14680.145707-0.74%0.1472+0.27%0.0121✗1.06446k2022-03-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.451.4392-0.75%1.358-6.34%0.0553✓1.53941k2022-03-04
AAVEAaveEthereum139.7138.5993-0.79%124.3-11.02%0.1062✓1.466.5M2022-03-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73860.732508-0.82%0.71-3.87%0.0292✓1.109.6M2022-03-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5395390.535069-0.83%0.495114-8.23%0.0755✓1.173.1M2022-03-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2605-0.85%2.22-2.63%0.0162✓1.01270k2022-03-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.9418.7757-0.87%18.82-0.63%0.0047✓1.269.1M2022-03-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.2629.9969-0.87%28.68-5.22%0.0430✓1.021.7M2022-03-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12920.127978-0.95%0.1169-9.52%0.0881✓1.313.1M2022-03-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.93923.9016-0.95%3.9678+0.73%0.0190✗1.20284k2022-03-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018130.017952-0.98%0.01761-2.87%0.0172✓1.112.2M2022-03-04
FTTFTXEthereum43.0942.663-0.99%40.5-6.01%0.0499✓1.1523.5M2022-03-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0820.081181-1.00%0.0851+3.78%0.0500✗1.55668k2022-03-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35130.347633-1.04%0.3464-1.39%0.0004✓1.7015.9M2022-03-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.661.6422-1.07%1.72+3.61%0.0487✗1.332.0M2022-03-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85951.8395-1.08%2.5067+34.81%0.3107✗0.672.7M2022-03-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.26320.26033-1.09%0.2623-0.34%0.0101✓1.39451k2022-03-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.92.8683-1.09%2.877-0.79%0.0048✓0.94477k2022-03-04
UMAUMAEthereum4.9384.8831-1.11%9.216+86.63%0.6369✗0.931.9M2022-03-04
BANDBandEthereum3.6793.6373-1.13%3.72+1.11%0.0249✗1.301.9M2022-03-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07340.07256-1.14%0.0692-5.72%0.0449✓1.401.0M2022-03-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.77330.764216-1.17%0.7354-4.90%0.0356✓1.53299k2022-03-04
XYMSymbolnative0.14690.145124-1.21%0.1405-4.36%0.0309✓0.81321k2022-03-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.2724.9606-1.22%22.86-9.54%0.0852✓1.481.8M2022-03-04
XMRMoneroMonero153.74151.8156-1.25%159.78+3.93%0.0530✗1.00966k2022-03-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.624.5614-1.27%4.05-12.34%0.1161✓1.54432k2022-03-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0173.9656-1.28%3.618-9.93%0.0893✓1.312.4M2022-03-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.710543-1.31%0.65-9.72%0.0855✓1.92995k2022-03-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.392.3579-1.34%3.09+29.29%0.2730✗1.41572k2022-03-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004340.004281-1.35%0.004-7.83%0.0646✓1.8512.3M2022-03-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1681.1521-1.36%1.039-11.04%0.1011✓1.241.0M2022-03-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.8703-1.37%18.21-13.94%0.1334✓1.59325k2022-03-04
STXStacksnative1.151.1329-1.49%1.11-3.48%0.0180✓1.30695k2022-03-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.232.1962-1.52%2.72+21.97%0.2158✗1.00639k2022-03-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0486660.047885-1.61%0.044148-9.28%0.0790✓1.228.1M2022-03-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3151.2938-1.61%1.346+2.36%0.0421✗1.371.8M2022-03-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.91735.819-1.66%5.5379-6.41%0.0487✓0.42433k2022-03-04
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0028-1.69%0.97-4.90%0.0332✓0.03286k2022-03-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.326.8061-1.81%30.51+11.76%0.1315✗1.1252.8M2022-03-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,170.9619,802.21-1.83%19,859.01-1.55%0.0047✓1.005.7M2022-03-04
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.2374-1.90%3.04-7.88%0.0604✓1.357.1M2022-03-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8341.7988-1.92%1.799-1.91%0.0019✓1.0076k2022-03-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64421.6105-2.05%1.4243-13.37%0.1202✓1.44251k2022-03-04
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001859-2.17%0.00000183-3.68%0.0143✓0.6914.7M2022-03-04
LUNATerraTerra 273.271.6064-2.18%83.49+14.06%0.1561✗1.394.5M2022-03-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5330.521394-2.18%0.5292-0.71%0.0166✓0.93643k2022-03-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.326.18-2.21%5.82-7.91%0.0574✓1.411.2M2022-03-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.2747-2.29%17.62-0.34%0.0219✓1.1522.7M2022-03-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.732.6665-2.33%2.36-13.55%0.1203✓1.00544k2022-03-04
API3Api3Ethereum7.096.9175-2.43%6.311-10.99%0.0911✓0.372.0M2022-03-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3652.3036-2.60%2.252-4.78%0.0198✓1.5313.2M2022-03-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035460.034528-2.63%0.03451-2.68%0.0011✓0.871.5M2022-03-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1380.134124-2.81%0.105-23.91%0.2431✓0.9551k2022-03-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.026881-2.96%0.0277+0.00%0.0327✗1.46497k2022-03-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.00e-76.76e-7-3.49%7.37e-7+5.26%0.0887✗1.001.4M2022-03-04
PROPropyEthereum1.961.8914-3.50%1.76-10.20%0.0690✓1.63539k2022-03-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06960.067126-3.55%0.0566-18.68%0.1670✓1.9272.8M2022-03-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88330.850486-3.71%0.7817-11.50%0.0833✓0.571.4M2022-03-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0117130.011277-3.73%0.011391-2.75%0.0121✓1.1135k2022-03-04
MOVRMoonriverBase67.124964.5387-3.85%60.2327-10.27%0.0663✓1.49231k2022-03-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4190.397598-5.11%0.438+4.53%0.1006✗2.072.1M2022-03-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.