2022-02-24 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1997

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.64%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

62.9%

in alpha space · 9.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.74%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01693	0.017176	+1.45%	0.01525	-9.92%	0.2813	✗	1.59	11.9M	2022-03-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.18	2.2114	+1.44%	3.084	+41.47%	0.1940	✓	1.36	579k	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	104.24	104.3396	+0.10%	111.69	+7.15%	0.0521	✗	1.18	29.5M	2022-03-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0646	0.064642	+0.07%	0.072	+11.46%	0.0016	✓	1.04	176k	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.747	4.7498	+0.06%	5.231	+10.20%	0.0130	✓	0.82	65k	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3452	0.345255	+0.02%	0.381	+10.37%	0.0498	✗	1.45	1.3M	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.42	4.4147	-0.12%	5.38	+21.72%	0.1194	✗	0.77	459k	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.73	108.586	-0.13%	127.04	+16.84%	0.0528	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	11.99	11.9737	-0.14%	13.32	+11.09%	0.0019	✗	1.03	369k	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.03	5.0218	-0.16%	7.63	+51.69%	0.3318	✗	0.85	398k	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00834	0.008324	-0.19%	0.00902	+8.15%	0.0502	✓	1.28	546k	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8533	0.851592	-0.20%	0.9021	+5.72%	0.0599	✓	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.638705	-0.20%	0.714	+11.56%	0.0064	✓	1.16	2.2M	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.89	81.6876	-0.25%	83.45	+1.90%	0.0683	✓	0.88	946k	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1956	0.195115	-0.25%	0.2283	+16.72%	0.0034	✗	1.51	3.3M	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.079	0.078794	-0.26%	0.095	+20.25%	0.0297	✗	1.54	668k	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.44	4.4284	-0.26%	5.51	+24.10%	0.1160	✗	1.01	696k	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.27	13.2328	-0.28%	14.89	+12.21%	0.0064	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.89559	0.892864	-0.30%	1.0476	+16.97%	0.0171	✗	1.40	165k	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.081	-0.31%	6.42	+5.25%	0.0139	✗	0.40	1.3M	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.88	87.6036	-0.31%	96.75	+10.09%	0.0144	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.344	1.3394	-0.34%	1.437	+6.92%	0.0496	✓	1.18	1.1M	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.6203	2.6108	-0.36%	2.9519	+12.66%	0.0239	✗	0.97	2.3M	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.219	0.218086	-0.42%	0.273	+24.66%	0.1365	✗	0.86	59k	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03686	0.03668	-0.49%	0.03967	+7.62%	0.0315	✓	1.08	31k	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.016	4.9911	-0.50%	5.584	+11.32%	0.0145	✗	0.96	241k	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6254	2.6122	-0.50%	2.95	+12.36%	0.0279	✗	0.92	2.9M	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.13	1.1243	-0.51%	1.24	+9.73%	0.0306	✓	1.26	934k	2022-03-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061098	0.060784	-0.51%	0.060032	-1.74%	0.0982	✓	0.84	286k	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01188	0.011817	-0.53%	0.01236	+4.04%	0.0328	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.00894	0.008893	-0.53%	0.01001	+11.97%	0.0126	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1641	0.163209	-0.54%	0.1971	+20.11%	0.0460	✗	1.40	2.9M	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2141	0.212833	-0.59%	0.249	+16.30%	0.0543	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0436	0.04334	-0.60%	0.05073	+16.35%	0.0291	✗	1.26	768k	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	125.3	124.5281	-0.62%	129.96	+3.72%	0.1030	✓	1.43	6.5M	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.42	5.3865	-0.62%	6.33	+16.79%	0.0767	✗	0.83	430k	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7738	1.7621	-0.66%	1.868	+5.31%	0.0655	✓	1.21	206k	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,597.42	2,580.03	-0.67%	2,833.66	+9.10%	0.0151	✓	1.07	561.7M	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.72	102.0267	-0.67%	129.17	+25.75%	0.1222	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.558	3.5339	-0.68%	3.962	+11.35%	0.0207	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.22	33.9872	-0.68%	38.18	+11.57%	0.0364	✓	1.50	309k	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.458	0.454788	-0.70%	0.8058	+75.94%	0.4365	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.173	18.0441	-0.71%	19.526	+7.45%	0.0284	✓	1.05	9.6M	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.793	5.7503	-0.74%	6.363	+9.84%	0.0324	✓	1.31	29k	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.003	1.9882	-0.74%	2.212	+10.43%	0.0009	✓	1.04	20k	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.41	88.7408	-0.75%	95.61	+6.93%	0.0563	✓	1.28	132.7M	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.188	2.1714	-0.76%	2.873	+31.31%	0.1540	✗	1.24	772k	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08206	0.081438	-0.76%	0.09337	+13.78%	0.0239	✗	1.11	47k	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	300.94	298.6527	-0.76%	315.29	+4.77%	0.0477	✓	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4313	0.427998	-0.77%	0.4943	+14.61%	0.0055	✓	1.47	572k	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.124116	0.123162	-0.77%	0.129579	+4.40%	0.0509	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.72	13.6141	-0.77%	14.3	+4.23%	0.1088	✓	1.55	2.7M	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.509766	0.505801	-0.78%	0.534619	+4.88%	0.0654	✓	1.18	3.2M	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9544	-0.79%	2.04	+3.55%	0.0815	✓	1.22	343k	2022-03-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,347.30	38,034.36	-0.82%	42,464.41	+10.74%	0.0082	✓	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.93	116.9603	-0.82%	131.9	+11.85%	0.0028	✓	1.21	930k	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.82	48.4087	-0.84%	53.31	+9.20%	0.0401	✓	1.34	7.5M	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.093	0.092191	-0.87%	0.1029	+10.65%	0.0043	✓	1.04	38k	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.423	0.41924	-0.89%	0.448	+5.91%	0.0740	✓	1.38	4.7M	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.0942	-0.89%	1.174	+6.34%	0.0615	✓	1.29	2.8M	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02616	0.025927	-0.89%	0.02753	+5.24%	0.0196	✓	0.78	4.4M	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021665	0.021471	-0.89%	0.020258	-6.49%	0.1633	✓	1.03	114k	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.56	1.546	-0.90%	1.85	+18.59%	0.0436	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66022	0.654226	-0.91%	0.7113	+7.74%	0.0689	✓	1.50	246k	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00977	0.00968	-0.93%	0.01199	+22.72%	0.0635	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.785	4.7405	-0.93%	9.598	+100.59%	0.6072	✗	0.96	1.9M	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007114	0.00007046	-0.96%	0.00007449	+4.71%	0.0640	✓	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.77	107.7235	-0.96%	116.89	+7.47%	0.0505	✓	1.30	64k	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.235	6.1749	-0.96%	6.7949	+8.98%	0.0153	✗	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.208	1.1963	-0.97%	1.545	+27.90%	0.1179	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3302	0.326995	-0.97%	0.3687	+11.66%	0.0532	✓	1.70	16.0M	2022-03-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.83	8.743	-0.99%	9.55	+8.15%	0.0475	✓	1.33	11.0M	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.504	1.4887	-1.02%	1.46	-2.93%	0.1310	✓	1.09	3.5M	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7779	0.769959	-1.02%	0.7967	+2.42%	0.0897	✓	1.21	22.9M	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01718	0.017003	-1.03%	0.01877	+9.25%	0.0143	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8411	5.7809	-1.03%	6.3922	+9.43%	0.0462	✓	1.44	172k	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.182403	0.18049	-1.05%	0.187901	+3.01%	0.0719	✓	1.10	21.4M	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06073	0.060081	-1.07%	0.06983	+14.98%	0.0262	✗	1.22	77k	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.6953	0.687852	-1.07%	0.7596	+9.25%	0.0118	✓	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7351	3.6948	-1.08%	4.2636	+14.15%	0.0216	✗	1.19	291k	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.2357	-1.11%	30.25	+14.02%	0.0298	✗	1.10	5.1M	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5371	1.52	-1.11%	2.1075	+37.10%	0.2248	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2371	0.23444	-1.12%	0.2824	+19.11%	0.0458	✗	1.38	469k	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.241	2.2157	-1.13%	2.508	+11.91%	0.0300	✓	1.51	13.2M	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1304	0.128909	-1.14%	0.1559	+19.56%	0.0846	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15132	0.149582	-1.15%	0.16147	+6.71%	0.0629	✓	1.37	29k	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4805	0.474909	-1.16%	0.5501	+14.48%	0.0543	✗	0.91	643k	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.18	15.9914	-1.17%	18.03	+11.43%	0.0146	✓	1.32	27.9M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.945	3.8987	-1.17%	4.418	+11.99%	0.0408	✗	0.83	414k	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0609	0.060178	-1.19%	0.0725	+19.05%	0.0789	✗	1.05	14k	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.42	18.2013	-1.19%	20.13	+9.28%	0.0294	✓	1.28	9.4M	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8143	0.804615	-1.19%	0.9796	+20.30%	0.0677	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.19	2.1638	-1.20%	2.38	+8.68%	0.0074	✓	1.01	275k	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5825	2.5514	-1.20%	2.6368	+2.11%	0.0992	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.89	5.8192	-1.20%	6.34	+7.64%	0.0520	✓	1.35	1.3M	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00413	0.00408	-1.21%	0.00456	+10.41%	0.0763	✓	1.84	12.6M	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.3	40.7978	-1.22%	44.86	+8.62%	0.0216	✓	1.14	26.3M	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.481	2.4507	-1.22%	2.882	+16.16%	0.0780	✗	0.82	205k	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.74	0.730886	-1.23%	0.7864	+6.27%	0.0827	✓	1.53	317k	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1579	1.1436	-1.24%	1.4091	+21.69%	0.0612	✗	1.45	2.6M	2022-03-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.8385	-1.25%	9.34	+4.36%	0.0769	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.24	4.1864	-1.27%	4.42	+4.25%	0.0987	✓	1.50	456k	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.270515	-1.27%	0.295	+7.66%	0.0537	✓	1.38	2.2M	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,425.17	19,170.94	-1.31%	21,698.86	+11.70%	0.0226	✗	0.99	5.7M	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002389	0.000023573	-1.33%	0.00002507	+4.94%	0.0761	✓	1.35	3.7M	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.747	2.7103	-1.33%	2.941	+7.06%	0.0130	✓	0.93	477k	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.14	3.0981	-1.34%	3.3	+5.10%	0.0738	✓	1.34	7.1M	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	63.0112	62.1682	-1.34%	66.5878	+5.68%	0.0824	✓	1.48	243k	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3618	0.356928	-1.35%	0.3647	+0.80%	0.1287	✓	1.47	8.4M	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.36	1.3414	-1.36%	1.479	+8.75%	0.0557	✓	1.50	970k	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.631097	-1.39%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0618	✓	1.90	1.0M	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1399	0.137938	-1.40%	0.146	+4.36%	0.0262	✓	0.81	345k	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	16.6	16.3654	-1.41%	19.97	+20.30%	0.0816	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.97	13.7688	-1.44%	16.42	+17.54%	0.1043	✗	0.70	1.9M	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.718	5.6345	-1.46%	5.6206	-1.70%	0.0439	✓	0.41	433k	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	147	144.8494	-1.46%	172.04	+17.03%	0.0708	✗	0.99	966k	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.48	19.1943	-1.47%	19.77	+1.49%	0.1314	✓	1.58	334k	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.41	22.0798	-1.47%	25.18	+12.36%	0.0184	✓	1.47	1.8M	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1177	2.0865	-1.47%	2.2899	+8.13%	0.0037	✓	0.88	27k	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.338	1.3181	-1.49%	1.523	+13.83%	0.0239	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	76.41	75.2472	-1.52%	78.49	+2.72%	0.1110	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0685	0.067453	-1.53%	0.0725	+5.84%	0.0692	✓	1.39	1.1M	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01147	0.011293	-1.55%	0.011953	+4.21%	0.0565	✓	1.11	37k	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.827	0.814028	-1.57%	0.852	+3.02%	0.0938	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-03
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.19	2.1551	-1.59%	2.38	+8.68%	0.0027	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0389	2.9879	-1.68%	3.3937	+11.68%	0.0083	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1205	0.118394	-1.75%	0.1221	+1.33%	0.1023	✓	1.30	3.1M	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.941	3.8706	-1.79%	3.808	-3.37%	0.1501	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.0998	-1.80%	1.21	+8.04%	0.0369	✓	1.30	725k	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.97	8.8073	-1.81%	10.07	+12.26%	0.0656	✗	0.67	853k	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.045853	0.044995	-1.87%	0.046937	+2.36%	0.0826	✓	1.22	8.6M	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8008	0.785695	-1.89%	0.865	+8.02%	0.0432	✗	0.52	1.5M	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.69	1.658	-1.89%	1.92	+13.61%	0.0137	✓	1.57	539k	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,311.50	37,583.89	-1.90%	42,572.60	+11.12%	0.0269	✗	0.96	39k	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03323	0.032594	-1.91%	0.03435	+3.37%	0.0324	✓	0.83	1.6M	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3935	0.38435	-2.33%	0.4722	+20.00%	0.0033	✓	2.05	2.1M	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8131	1.7688	-2.44%	2.773	+52.94%	0.3808	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-03
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000181	0.000001766	-2.45%	0.0000019	+4.97%	0.0051	✓	0.67	14.4M	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.76	30.0001	-2.47%	30.05	-2.31%	0.1045	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0281	0.027391	-2.52%	0.0283	+0.71%	0.1182	✓	1.48	513k	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	24.86	24.2277	-2.54%	34.01	+36.81%	0.2280	✗	1.09	52.8M	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4257	1.3892	-2.56%	1.6497	+15.71%	0.0290	✗	1.40	238k	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.126	0.12265	-2.66%	0.118	-6.35%	0.1320	✓	0.91	53k	2022-03-03
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.992392	-2.71%	1.05	+2.94%	0.0538	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-03
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.717	1.6662	-2.96%	1.976	+15.08%	0.0686	✗	1.00	84k	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0532	0.051579	-3.05%	0.0637	+19.74%	0.0260	✓	1.81	67.8M	2022-03-03
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.68	2.5966	-3.11%	2.46	-8.21%	0.1560	✓	1.00	608k	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.24	63.1845	-3.15%	90.56	+38.81%	0.2216	✗	1.36	4.5M	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.187	1.1348	-4.40%	1.176	-0.93%	0.0912	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-03
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.02e-7	6.68e-7	-4.83%	6.88e-7	-2.03%	0.0729	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.001	6.5804	-6.01%	7.315	+4.49%	0.0680	✗	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.