2022-02-23 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1496

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.09%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.7%

in alpha space · 23.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+17.83%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4331	0.415048	-4.17%	0.5029	+16.12%	0.1181	✓	1.89	2.0M	2022-03-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01214	0.011724	-3.43%	0.012216	+0.63%	0.1468	✓	1.15	39k	2022-03-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.144	0.139418	-3.18%	0.116	-19.44%	0.3510	✓	1.02	53k	2022-03-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9299	0.90041	-3.17%	0.7242	-22.12%	0.3184	✓	0.61	1.5M	2022-03-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.7591	65.7457	-2.97%	71.55	+5.59%	0.1619	✓	1.50	243k	2022-03-02
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.1	1.0677	-2.94%	1.02	-7.27%	0.2098	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.357	6.1874	-2.67%	7.3	+14.83%	0.1101	✗	0.34	2.0M	2022-03-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0366	0.035695	-2.47%	0.03397	-7.19%	0.1953	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-03-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0253	0.024692	-2.40%	0.0268	+5.93%	0.1519	✓	1.43	497k	2022-03-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7484	1.7099	-2.20%	1.6226	-7.20%	0.3005	✓	1.51	229k	2022-03-02
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001858	-2.20%	0.00000196	+3.16%	0.1107	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-03-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0975	5.9688	-2.11%	5.9424	-2.54%	0.0688	✓	0.39	412k	2022-03-02
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.5261	-2.09%	2.52	-2.33%	0.1665	✓	1.00	671k	2022-03-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.285	2.2382	-2.05%	2.647	+15.84%	0.0894	✓	1.57	13.2M	2022-03-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.85	5.7433	-1.82%	6.64	+13.50%	0.0778	✗	0.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.29	16.975	-1.82%	19.31	+11.68%	0.0598	✓	1.15	22.3M	2022-03-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049178	0.048324	-1.74%	0.04679	-4.86%	0.2391	✓	1.26	7.5M	2022-03-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	59.54	58.5074	-1.73%	92.43	+55.24%	0.2386	✗	1.33	4.5M	2022-03-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,320.95	19,975.37	-1.70%	22,346.94	+9.97%	0.0570	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-03-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4849	0.476666	-1.70%	0.5665	+16.83%	0.0151	✓	0.96	643k	2022-03-02
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.3135	-1.55%	2.35	+0.00%	0.1484	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.78	1.7528	-1.53%	1.82	+2.25%	0.2304	✓	1.63	582k	2022-03-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.2307	-1.50%	3.41	+3.96%	0.1745	✓	1.39	7.0M	2022-03-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.13	1.1139	-1.43%	1.25	+10.62%	0.1011	✓	1.32	725k	2022-03-02
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.807	1.7812	-1.43%	2.237	+23.80%	0.0638	✗	1.00	76k	2022-03-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	25.15	24.8016	-1.39%	32.25	+28.23%	0.0818	✗	1.10	52.8M	2022-03-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.01	146.9526	-1.38%	177.46	+19.09%	0.0243	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.147	0.145041	-1.33%	0.149	+1.36%	0.1049	✓	0.80	345k	2022-03-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.661277	-1.30%	0.75	+11.94%	0.1920	✓	1.94	1.0M	2022-03-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.878	2.8462	-1.10%	3.114	+8.20%	0.0651	✓	0.95	460k	2022-03-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.81	18.6049	-1.09%	20.76	+10.37%	0.1437	✓	1.54	334k	2022-03-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.78	40.3501	-1.05%	46.16	+13.19%	0.0547	✓	1.15	26.3M	2022-03-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.119404	-0.99%	0.1299	+7.71%	0.1346	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-03-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8658	3.8275	-0.99%	4.413	+14.16%	0.0556	✓	1.21	283k	2022-03-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7207	1.7037	-0.99%	2.7751	+61.28%	0.4025	✗	0.52	2.7M	2022-03-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0687	0.068062	-0.93%	0.0775	+12.81%	0.0955	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.655	3.6213	-0.92%	4.016	+9.88%	0.1041	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-03-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.237547	-0.86%	0.2945	+22.91%	0.0237	✗	1.17	410k	2022-03-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.53	28.2869	-0.85%	30.37	+6.45%	0.0961	✓	1.02	1.5M	2022-03-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00444	0.004402	-0.85%	0.00469	+5.63%	0.2460	✓	1.89	12.6M	2022-03-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7513	0.744981	-0.84%	0.8082	+7.57%	0.1708	✓	1.54	317k	2022-03-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0622	0.061683	-0.83%	0.0714	+14.79%	0.0291	✓	1.07	14k	2022-03-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.748	3.7172	-0.82%	3.976	+6.08%	0.1407	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-03-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.018607	-0.81%	0.01892	+0.85%	0.1688	✓	1.13	2.1M	2022-03-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7875	2.7651	-0.80%	3.0297	+8.69%	0.0747	✓	1.01	2.3M	2022-03-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.977	4.9371	-0.80%	8.421	+69.20%	0.3699	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0845	0.083823	-0.80%	0.0991	+17.28%	0.0728	✓	1.46	668k	2022-03-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.59	1.5774	-0.79%	1.93	+21.38%	0.0200	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-03-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.294	1.2839	-0.78%	1.359	+5.02%	0.1703	✓	1.38	1.8M	2022-03-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.18	22.009	-0.77%	26.56	+19.75%	0.0484	✓	1.44	1.8M	2022-03-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.23	4.1982	-0.75%	4.65	+9.93%	0.0778	✓	1.10	456k	2022-03-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1544	-0.72%	2.43	+11.98%	0.0460	✓	1.01	275k	2022-03-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7126	0.707479	-0.72%	0.7872	+10.47%	0.0805	✓	1.14	9.7M	2022-03-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.3004	-0.70%	20.73	+12.48%	0.0749	✓	1.22	9.2M	2022-03-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9093	1.8962	-0.68%	1.8782	-1.63%	0.2111	✓	1.23	206k	2022-03-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.135	4.1069	-0.68%	4.505	+8.95%	0.0479	✓	0.86	395k	2022-03-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04486	0.044558	-0.67%	0.04875	+8.67%	0.1258	✓	1.31	768k	2022-03-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.318	2.303	-0.65%	2.99	+28.99%	0.0534	✗	1.27	772k	2022-03-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5516	2.5354	-0.64%	2.7532	+7.90%	0.1294	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.181	5.1483	-0.63%	5.551	+7.14%	0.0561	✓	0.80	65k	2022-03-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5861	1.5762	-0.62%	1.9592	+23.52%	0.0418	✗	1.07	72k	2022-03-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.12	2.1069	-0.62%	2.13	+0.47%	0.1917	✓	1.24	324k	2022-03-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.389	1.3807	-0.60%	1.548	+11.45%	0.1277	✓	1.48	928k	2022-03-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0476	0.047321	-0.59%	0.0655	+37.61%	0.0337	✗	1.78	64.3M	2022-03-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8418	2.8259	-0.56%	3.0322	+6.70%	0.0960	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-03-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.526579	0.523692	-0.55%	0.570611	+8.36%	0.1052	✓	1.16	3.2M	2022-03-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	130.67	129.9563	-0.55%	137.7	+5.38%	0.1794	✓	1.45	6.5M	2022-03-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012164	-0.54%	0.01235	+0.98%	0.1092	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.749	18.6484	-0.54%	20.355	+8.57%	0.0995	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-03-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1954	1.1894	-0.50%	1.389	+16.20%	0.0700	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-03-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1482	6.1188	-0.48%	6.803	+10.65%	0.0278	✓	0.82	3.0M	2022-03-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.5	73.1489	-0.48%	83.42	+13.50%	0.1147	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7853	0.781623	-0.47%	0.8204	+4.47%	0.1545	✓	1.24	22.9M	2022-03-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.938	0.933626	-0.47%	1.164	+24.09%	0.0186	✗	1.23	934k	2022-03-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1538	2.1438	-0.47%	2.2311	+3.59%	0.1033	✓	0.87	28k	2022-03-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1335	0.132881	-0.46%	0.1595	+19.48%	0.0159	✗	1.02	467k	2022-03-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01006	0.010013	-0.46%	0.01231	+22.37%	0.0437	✓	1.53	2.2M	2022-03-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.4092	-0.46%	29.52	+11.27%	0.0675	✓	1.09	4.9M	2022-03-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03744	0.037271	-0.45%	0.04078	+8.92%	0.0894	✓	1.09	31k	2022-03-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.858	5.8326	-0.43%	6.7	+14.37%	0.0786	✗	0.37	29k	2022-03-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.90329	0.899533	-0.42%	1.0742	+18.92%	0.0031	✓	1.10	160k	2022-03-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.2482	-0.41%	7.94	+50.66%	0.2706	✗	0.87	367k	2022-03-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.35	14.2909	-0.41%	16.15	+12.54%	0.0001	✓	0.75	1.8M	2022-03-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.363	5.3416	-0.40%	6.038	+12.59%	0.0484	✓	1.04	241k	2022-03-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02593	0.025829	-0.39%	0.02832	+9.22%	0.0350	✓	0.77	4.4M	2022-03-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.443	0.441431	-0.35%	0.468	+5.64%	0.1660	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-03-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127361	0.12691	-0.35%	0.133081	+4.49%	0.1187	✓	1.01	3.7M	2022-03-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.86	4.8435	-0.34%	5.59	+15.02%	0.0194	✓	0.99	682k	2022-03-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.599	2.5904	-0.33%	2.98	+14.66%	0.0018	✓	0.84	198k	2022-03-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0005	-0.33%	2.298	+14.50%	0.0327	✓	1.04	19k	2022-03-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	15.97	15.918	-0.33%	18.61	+16.53%	0.0623	✓	1.33	27.9M	2022-03-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,268.19	37,153.76	-0.31%	43,912.34	+17.83%	0.0031	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0084	0.008374	-0.31%	0.00957	+13.93%	0.0352	✓	1.03	525k	2022-03-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.79	48.6437	-0.30%	55.59	+13.94%	0.0836	✓	1.32	7.5M	2022-03-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.34	13.3015	-0.29%	15.29	+14.62%	0.0603	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.6667	-0.28%	5.57	+19.02%	0.0453	✗	0.80	431k	2022-03-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00938	0.009353	-0.28%	0.01037	+10.55%	0.1077	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.76	5.7444	-0.27%	6.43	+11.63%	0.0310	✓	0.88	425k	2022-03-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.221	0.220455	-0.25%	0.2571	+16.33%	0.0109	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181888	0.181456	-0.24%	0.193624	+6.45%	0.1073	✓	1.05	21.4M	2022-03-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.038	1.0356	-0.23%	1.202	+15.80%	0.0573	✓	1.26	2.8M	2022-03-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4391	0.438087	-0.23%	0.5144	+17.15%	0.0780	✓	1.45	572k	2022-03-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.28	88.094	-0.21%	100.9	+14.30%	0.0561	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,524.20	37,454.51	-0.19%	44,262.00	+17.96%	0.0084	✗	0.97	39k	2022-03-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	109.49	109.2925	-0.18%	122.45	+11.84%	0.0982	✓	1.29	64k	2022-03-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	97.51	97.3486	-0.17%	125.91	+29.13%	0.0662	✗	1.16	7.6M	2022-03-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1703	0.170038	-0.15%	0.197	+15.68%	0.0846	✓	1.41	2.9M	2022-03-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3651	0.364595	-0.14%	0.397	+8.74%	0.1469	✓	1.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.28	9.2684	-0.13%	10.14	+9.27%	0.0288	✓	0.72	758k	2022-03-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9331	2.9299	-0.11%	3.494	+19.12%	0.0366	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-03-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002484	0.000024817	-0.09%	0.00002591	+4.31%	0.1831	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-03-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000070163	-0.08%	0.00007594	+8.15%	0.1127	✓	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.24	14.2305	-0.07%	15.16	+6.46%	0.1924	✓	1.56	2.3M	2022-03-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3536	0.35338	-0.06%	0.3742	+5.83%	0.1750	✓	1.42	8.4M	2022-03-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.331	1.3304	-0.05%	1.59	+19.46%	0.0100	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022758	0.022749	-0.04%	0.021073	-7.40%	0.2497	✓	1.06	111k	2022-03-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8185	0.818212	-0.04%	0.9988	+22.03%	0.0263	✓	1.38	1.7M	2022-03-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4922	0.492116	-0.02%	0.7291	+48.13%	0.1713	✗	1.35	2.2M	2022-03-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,580.97	2,580.56	-0.02%	2,948.56	+14.24%	0.0450	✓	1.09	561.7M	2022-03-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.71	12.7091	-0.01%	13.69	+7.71%	0.0944	✓	1.03	369k	2022-03-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.14949	0.14948	-0.01%	0.16542	+10.66%	0.1213	✓	1.36	29k	2022-03-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.65943	0.659395	-0.01%	0.73047	+10.77%	0.1348	✓	1.45	246k	2022-03-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060784	0.060787	+0.01%	0.061505	+1.19%	0.1279	✗	0.85	286k	2022-03-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.75	8.7509	+0.01%	10.05	+14.86%	0.0782	✗	1.32	10.8M	2022-03-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08287	0.082881	+0.01%	0.091	+9.81%	0.0886	✗	1.11	47k	2022-03-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.282	0.282134	+0.05%	0.308	+9.22%	0.1387	✗	1.38	2.0M	2022-03-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		82.17	82.2222	+0.06%	86.11	+4.79%	0.1013	✗	0.90	946k	2022-03-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0943	0.094361	+0.06%	0.1064	+12.83%	0.0496	✗	1.03	37k	2022-03-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.84	32.8805	+0.12%	38.92	+18.51%	0.0903	✗	1.58	309k	2022-03-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8664	0.867504	+0.13%	0.9394	+8.43%	0.1090	✗	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	105.41	105.5712	+0.15%	110.35	+4.69%	0.1541	✗	1.21	29.5M	2022-03-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.71	6.7205	+0.16%	6.71	+0.00%	0.0379	✗	0.22	1.2M	2022-03-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	123.58	123.7758	+0.16%	138.31	+11.92%	0.0847	✗	1.19	930k	2022-03-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.383	1.3855	+0.18%	1.496	+8.17%	0.1237	✗	1.22	1.0M	2022-03-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.779	0.780845	+0.24%	0.917	+17.72%	0.0632	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	288.37	289.1199	+0.26%	320.43	+11.12%	0.0609	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.35	108.6397	+0.27%	117.95	+8.86%	0.0857	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	84.64	84.8774	+0.28%	100.73	+19.01%	0.0329	✗	1.24	132.7M	2022-03-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06016	0.060336	+0.29%	0.07258	+20.64%	0.0504	✓	0.82	75k	2022-03-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.234	0.234703	+0.30%	0.247	+5.56%	0.0944	✗	0.89	59k	2022-03-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7401	5.7581	+0.31%	6.4867	+13.01%	0.1185	✗	1.45	153k	2022-03-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2039	0.204658	+0.37%	0.2308	+13.19%	0.1317	✗	1.54	3.3M	2022-03-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.34	8.3738	+0.41%	9.78	+17.27%	0.0571	✗	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.554	1.5612	+0.47%	1.464	-5.79%	0.2472	✗	1.11	3.4M	2022-03-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.27	2.282	+0.53%	2.895	+27.53%	0.0103	✓	1.39	579k	2022-03-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.667	0.670849	+0.58%	0.703	+5.40%	0.1351	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-03-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0693	0.069738	+0.63%	0.0754	+8.80%	0.1012	✗	1.09	176k	2022-03-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01802	0.018173	+0.85%	0.01634	-9.32%	0.3737	✗	1.63	11.1M	2022-03-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3293	0.332262	+0.90%	0.4033	+22.47%	0.0823	✗	1.68	16.0M	2022-03-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.19	1.2057	+1.32%	1.27	+6.72%	0.1599	✗	1.29	934k	2022-03-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.