8=======>

2022-02-22 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1163
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.3%
in alpha space · 24.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.432612-4.50%0.5394+19.07%0.0675✓1.922.0M2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.038387-3.96%0.03426-14.29%0.2447✓0.871.7M2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.012067-3.49%0.01249-0.10%0.1378✓1.1544k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821767.587-3.20%66.4156-4.88%0.2418✓1.50249k2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.134754-3.05%0.123-11.51%0.2488✓1.0551k2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.793251-3.03%0.7268-11.15%0.1910✓0.691.5M2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.025794-2.67%0.0282+6.42%0.1260✓1.43497k2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.3332-2.58%2.546+6.30%0.1459✓1.5613.8M2022-03-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001897-2.22%0.00000199+2.58%0.1020✓1.0014.6M2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.6847-2.05%1.7018-1.06%0.2190✓1.53213k2022-03-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.5575-2.01%2.58-1.15%0.1412✓1.00683k2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9217.5639-1.99%19.34+7.92%0.0779✓1.1622.7M2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum1.831.7936-1.99%1.84+0.55%0.2208✓1.64635k2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.487932-1.94%0.5765+15.86%0.0284✗0.92684k2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0720,236.25-1.94%21,756.24+5.43%0.0825✓1.035.8M2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.8666-1.88%8.094+35.37%0.2682✗0.362.0M2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.266.1446-1.84%6.82+8.95%0.0417✗0.421.3M2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3388-1.80%3.47+2.06%0.1699✓1.397.1M2022-03-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.8257-1.79%1.81-2.64%0.1586✓1.0084k2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.7471-1.73%5.9499+1.74%0.0219✓0.38412k2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.171.1505-1.67%1.29+10.26%0.0843✓1.33746k2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.050168-1.64%0.049485-2.98%0.2028✓1.267.5M2022-03-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.4508-1.58%2.33-6.43%0.2005✓1.00639k2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.049455-1.48%0.0703+40.04%0.0851✗1.7864.3M2022-03-01
DIADIAEthereum0.890.877343-1.42%1.06+19.10%0.0392✗1.00284k2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8424.5027-1.36%31.14+25.36%0.0751✗1.1055.4M2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero150.97148.9894-1.31%177.8+17.77%0.0268✗1.00966k2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.3402-1.31%1.328-2.21%0.2171✓1.391.8M2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.146459-1.31%0.1523+2.63%0.0828✓0.81354k2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 254.7754.0693-1.28%89.72+63.81%0.3005✗1.374.5M2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.9595-1.22%3.203+6.91%0.0613✓0.94481k2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.701583-1.19%0.78+9.86%0.1844✓1.941.0M2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4119.1883-1.14%22.02+13.45%0.0952✓1.55334k2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1429.8036-1.12%30.86+2.39%0.1169✓1.011.5M2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.00447-1.10%0.00471+4.20%0.2323✓1.9012.7M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0043.962-1.05%4.177+4.32%0.1355✓1.262.3M2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.1565.1045-1.00%9.447+83.22%0.4636✗1.011.8M2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum41.5141.0955-1.00%46.25+11.42%0.0561✓1.1627.6M2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.9455-0.98%4.2804+7.42%0.0992✓1.21291k2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.7712-0.97%2.5724+43.82%0.2933✗0.532.8M2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.8367-0.96%4.227+9.11%0.0932✓1.271.9M2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.046156-0.95%0.04868+4.46%0.1541✓1.38865k2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.794689-0.90%0.8359+4.24%0.1739✓1.50361k2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.070187-0.87%0.0786+11.02%0.0933✓1.381.1M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.3916-0.87%4.86+9.71%0.0649✓1.11471k2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.130661-0.86%0.1362+3.34%0.1538✓1.303.1M2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.744673-0.83%0.8+6.54%0.1000✓1.149.8M2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.087875-0.82%0.1048+18.28%0.0467✓1.49684k2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6763-0.81%1.99+17.75%0.0321✓1.362.0M2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.243103-0.77%0.3058+24.82%0.0551✗1.16469k2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.8456-0.77%3.0922+7.83%0.0674✓1.002.4M2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.018784-0.77%0.02045+8.03%0.0855✓1.142.2M2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1819.0331-0.77%20.98+9.38%0.0881✓1.249.6M2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3541-0.75%3.193+34.61%0.1142✗1.27792k2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7323.5544-0.74%27.26+14.88%0.0817✓1.521.8M2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74133.7713-0.72%143.34+6.38%0.1475✓1.446.5M2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1648-0.70%2.18+0.00%0.1745✓1.21324k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.2349-0.67%2.46+9.33%0.0571✓1.02283k2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.4562-0.67%1.607+9.62%0.1170✓1.44970k2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.6356-0.67%2.8371+6.93%0.1181✓1.283.3M2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.9514-0.64%1.9211-2.18%0.2006✓1.23210k2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.264-0.63%1.3652+7.32%0.1213✓1.322.6M2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.115.0793-0.60%5.12+0.20%0.1399✓0.99682k2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.062523-0.60%0.0729+15.90%0.0071✓1.0714k2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.2353-0.58%5.445+3.40%0.0802✓0.8065k2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.9054-0.58%3.1217+6.83%0.0782✓1.002.6M2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1524.1281-0.57%4.502+8.43%0.0419✓0.86395k2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.93801-0.53%1.245+32.03%0.0965✗1.24934k2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2146.1814-0.53%6.823+9.80%0.0425✗0.3829k2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.807071-0.50%0.8569+5.65%0.1261✓1.2423.2M2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.6179-0.50%1.9861+22.15%0.0365✗1.1275k2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.012311-0.48%0.01223-1.13%0.1197✓0.7515k2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9813.9149-0.47%15.36+9.87%0.0829✓1.2161.5M2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.9418.8546-0.45%20.746+9.54%0.0826✓1.199.6M2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.456438-0.45%0.5253+14.57%0.0761✓1.44586k2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.540964-0.44%0.573577+5.56%0.1145✓1.153.3M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.19016.1642-0.42%6.7553+9.13%0.0353✓0.853.1M2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010357-0.42%0.01146+10.19%0.1306✓1.552.2M2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.3579-0.41%8.27+53.72%0.3028✗0.88398k2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.45218-0.40%0.479+5.51%0.1482✓1.374.5M2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.5458-0.39%18.9+13.79%0.0662✓1.3329.5M2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.924062-0.39%1.0846+16.92%0.0027✓1.09165k2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.921-0.38%5.52+11.74%0.0040✓0.79415k2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4274.1355-0.38%86.96+16.85%0.0653✓1.50106.7M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.5898-0.38%5.771+2.85%0.1233✓1.04266k2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.446-0.37%15.79+8.90%0.0231✓0.751.8M2022-03-01
DASHDashDash93.5693.2263-0.36%100.01+6.89%0.1052✓1.171.5M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6836-0.35%3.071+14.04%0.0079✗0.85205k2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.026617-0.35%0.02885+8.01%0.0360✓0.784.6M2022-03-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.4276-0.34%2.626+7.80%0.1295✓1.39579k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6826.5903-0.34%30.35+13.76%0.0327✓1.105.1M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1550.9875-0.32%57.19+11.81%0.0808✓1.307.8M2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.131496-0.31%0.1615+22.44%0.0509✗1.03467k2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.130919-0.31%0.133991+2.03%0.1279✓1.013.7M2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.0749-0.29%1.224+13.54%0.0593✓1.262.9M2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.1028-0.28%2.2579+7.08%0.0623✓0.8928k2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4838,144.65-0.28%44,439.95+16.18%0.0028✓1.00646.5M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash102.96102.6845-0.27%119.02+15.60%0.0312✓1.197.6M2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.009630.009605-0.26%0.01044+8.41%0.1111✓1.301.2M2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.226321-0.26%0.2576+13.53%0.0244✓1.031.8M2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.008758-0.25%0.00979+11.50%0.0462✓1.05525k2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33112.0521-0.25%125.94+12.12%0.0777✓1.3064k2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.012.0053-0.23%2.396+19.20%0.0196✗1.0619k2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.8177-0.21%6.51+11.66%0.0193✓0.88430k2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.384517-0.20%0.3996+3.71%0.1765✓1.431.4M2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.185299-0.18%0.198927+7.16%0.0873✓1.0621.8M2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.177488-0.18%0.1954+9.90%0.1151✓1.413.0M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.037864-0.17%0.04187+10.39%0.0672✓1.1232k2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.07123.0659-0.17%3.4918+13.69%0.0636✓1.292.1M2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.6536-0.15%1.582-4.47%0.2104✓1.113.4M2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.381823-0.12%0.3753-1.83%0.2294✓1.418.7M2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.520373-0.10%0.7582+45.56%0.1756✗1.342.3M2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5038,294.87-0.10%44,139.10+15.14%0.0032✓0.9742k2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.8053-0.10%15.26+2.97%0.2193✓1.662.7M2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000072220.000072166-0.08%0.00007896+9.33%0.0840✓1.164.5M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.5029-0.07%10.14+6.62%0.0422✓0.71758k2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.022332-0.07%0.022682+1.49%0.1476✓1.09101k2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.84660.84618-0.05%1.0352+22.28%0.0319✓1.561.8M2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3794-0.05%1.617+17.17%0.0145✓1.161.8M2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.8576-0.03%10.34+16.70%0.0435✓1.3211.0M2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.683795-0.02%0.75556+10.48%0.1269✓1.51269k2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.353556-0.01%0.4218+19.29%0.0726✓1.6616.4M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.294989-0.00%0.318+7.80%0.1276✓1.352.0M2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.02+0.00%0.01656-17.20%0.4352✗1.6411.1M2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase35.2735.2727+0.01%39.34+11.54%0.1271✗1.58335k2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.000024956+0.03%0.00002713+8.74%0.1244✗1.393.7M2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration129.85129.8862+0.03%138.55+6.70%0.1139✗1.19930k2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.09870.098733+0.03%0.1097+11.14%0.0490✗1.0337k2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,639.24+0.05%2,977.72+12.88%0.0438✗1.10581.4M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4283.4655+0.05%87.68+5.11%0.0846✗0.89986k2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9612.9674+0.06%14.09+8.72%0.0713✗1.03392k2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.888652+0.06%0.9643+8.58%0.0894✗1.1497.3M2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.062640.06268+0.06%0.062179-0.74%0.1353✗0.85299k2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.151441+0.07%0.16553+9.38%0.1211✗1.4030k2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.216468+0.08%0.2318+7.17%0.1631✗1.543.4M2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum115.85115.9668+0.10%119.35+3.02%0.1208✗1.006.6M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.084678+0.12%0.09224+9.06%0.0814✗1.1148k2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51107.7105+0.19%112.65+4.78%0.1377✗1.2229.9M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.9138+0.20%6.72-2.61%0.0613✗0.221.3M2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.062617+0.22%0.07633+22.17%0.0758✓0.8180k2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana86.4386.6287+0.23%98.7+14.20%0.0559✗1.24139.1M2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.4264+0.24%1.522+6.96%0.1203✗1.231.1M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.801177+0.27%0.89+11.39%0.1007✗1.372.1M2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.240716+0.30%0.242+0.83%0.1302✗0.9068k2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48294.4405+0.33%328.78+12.03%0.0380✗0.997.6M2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.6909+0.36%9.35+7.97%0.1198✗1.293.2M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.00726.029+0.36%6.7053+11.62%0.1154✗1.48153k2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.7102+0.45%0.697-1.41%0.1829✗1.091.9M2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.3164+0.49%1.29-1.53%0.2116✗1.28968k2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.07248+0.67%0.0743+3.19%0.1468✗1.14185k2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.