2022-02-12 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1273

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.84%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

50.7%

in alpha space · 67.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-5.07%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0857	0.086592	+1.04%	0.0784	-8.52%	0.0350	✗	1.24	201k	2022-02-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.745	0.751345	+0.85%	0.749	+0.54%	0.0542	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-02-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	17.1759	+0.80%	16.06	-5.75%	0.0238	✓	1.75	3.8M	2022-02-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7389	6.7911	+0.77%	6.787	+0.71%	0.0747	✓	1.45	145k	2022-02-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.942	0.947138	+0.55%	0.861	-8.60%	0.0235	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4604	0.462799	+0.52%	0.4201	-8.75%	0.0183	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.69	1.6987	+0.51%	1.58	-6.51%	0.0067	✗	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	9.0248	+0.50%	9.99	+11.25%	0.1698	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.89	41.0699	+0.44%	38.13	-6.75%	0.0072	✓	1.57	420k	2022-02-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.64	332.0829	+0.44%	312.05	-5.62%	0.0090	✗	1.02	8.9M	2022-02-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09377	0.094176	+0.43%	0.08925	-4.82%	0.0019	✓	1.07	50k	2022-02-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80694	0.810291	+0.42%	0.75237	-6.76%	0.0041	✓	1.50	311k	2022-02-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.16	15.2226	+0.41%	14.06	-7.26%	0.0240	✗	1.06	535k	2022-02-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.37	0.371378	+0.37%	0.325	-12.16%	0.0621	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	95.95	96.3057	+0.37%	91.34	-4.80%	0.0126	✓	1.26	179.7M	2022-02-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.92	1.9269	+0.36%	1.58	-17.71%	0.1367	✗	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4191	0.420608	+0.36%	0.4172	-0.45%	0.0617	✓	1.34	8.7M	2022-02-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.93	7.958	+0.35%	7.27	-8.32%	0.0746	✗	0.30	1.1M	2022-02-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.18	59.3803	+0.34%	54.84	-7.33%	0.0152	✗	1.24	8.8M	2022-02-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063473	0.063674	+0.32%	0.063482	+0.01%	0.0438	✓	0.90	351k	2022-02-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07609	0.076324	+0.31%	0.07126	-6.35%	0.0295	✗	0.75	86k	2022-02-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0443	1.0472	+0.28%	1.1527	+10.38%	0.1592	✓	1.21	2.3M	2022-02-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04235	0.042457	+0.25%	0.04064	-4.04%	0.0150	✓	1.13	30k	2022-02-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.78	127.0793	+0.24%	115.59	-8.83%	0.0273	✗	1.30	35.7M	2022-02-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.514	0.51512	+0.22%	0.489	-4.86%	0.0237	✓	1.46	4.9M	2022-02-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	133.7	133.9854	+0.21%	110.71	-17.20%	0.1380	✗	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.5652	+0.20%	2.38	-7.03%	0.0212	✗	1.03	431k	2022-02-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000823	0.000082466	+0.20%	0.00007811	-5.09%	0.0062	✓	1.16	5.6M	2022-02-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03125	0.031311	+0.19%	0.02878	-7.90%	0.0391	✗	0.87	6.4M	2022-02-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2064	0.206788	+0.19%	0.198	-4.07%	0.0305	✓	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,919.99	2,925.35	+0.18%	2,764.44	-5.33%	0.0020	✓	1.13	572.6M	2022-02-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0596	1.0612	+0.15%	0.9969	-5.92%	0.0040	✗	1.12	115.7M	2022-02-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	166.09	166.3184	+0.14%	151.15	-9.00%	0.0321	✗	1.22	930k	2022-02-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9401	0.941235	+0.12%	0.8878	-5.56%	0.0219	✓	1.54	672k	2022-02-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,568.00	42,617.46	+0.12%	39,901.00	-6.27%	0.0154	✗	0.97	41k	2022-02-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.562	0.562546	+0.10%	0.5576	-0.78%	0.0601	✓	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.3	2.3017	+0.07%	1.98	-13.91%	0.0999	✗	0.97	2.9M	2022-02-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.98	5.9826	+0.04%	5.08	-15.05%	0.1055	✗	1.12	645k	2022-02-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.052	1.0523	+0.03%	0.9635	-8.41%	0.0119	✗	1.47	1.9M	2022-02-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01068	0.010683	+0.03%	0.00967	-9.46%	0.0462	✗	1.03	514k	2022-02-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	28.49	28.496	+0.02%	25.4	-10.85%	0.0359	✗	1.52	2.0M	2022-02-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.19	104.1933	+0.00%	102.42	-1.70%	0.0422	✓	1.14	2.1M	2022-02-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,244.97	42,243.36	-0.00%	40,101.94	-5.07%	0.0000	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.108591	-0.01%	0.1018	-6.26%	0.0095	✓	1.06	36k	2022-02-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.64	10.6377	-0.02%	10.03	-5.73%	0.0108	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01276	0.012753	-0.06%	0.01191	-6.66%	0.0122	✗	1.55	1.7M	2022-02-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.618	1.617	-0.06%	1.491	-7.85%	0.0207	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-02-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7725	1.7715	-0.06%	1.6691	-5.83%	0.0014	✓	1.12	73k	2022-02-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1393	0.1392	-0.07%	0.1472	+5.67%	0.1263	✗	1.35	3.2M	2022-02-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.67	31.6458	-0.08%	28.7	-9.38%	0.0424	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-02-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01149	0.01148	-0.09%	0.01032	-10.18%	0.0336	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0717	0.071623	-0.11%	0.0679	-5.30%	0.0041	✗	1.10	17k	2022-02-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.82	18.7924	-0.15%	17.86	-5.10%	0.0204	✗	1.37	36.1M	2022-02-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.044288	0.044221	-0.15%	0.059376	+34.07%	0.3583	✗	1.22	8.4M	2022-02-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.83	117.651	-0.15%	112.33	-4.67%	0.0197	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-02-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.144281	0.144047	-0.16%	0.141002	-2.27%	0.0326	✗	1.04	7.0M	2022-02-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000292	0.000029151	-0.17%	0.0000275	-5.82%	0.0155	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.218218	0.217851	-0.17%	0.204174	-6.44%	0.0108	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-02-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9188	0.917247	-0.17%	0.9001	-2.04%	0.0400	✗	1.13	27.1M	2022-02-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.111	19.0768	-0.18%	19.839	+3.81%	0.1089	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05601	0.055906	-0.19%	0.05154	-7.98%	0.0074	✓	1.42	1.2M	2022-02-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.02	2.0159	-0.20%	1.82	-9.90%	0.0341	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1781	2.1734	-0.22%	2.071	-4.92%	0.0143	✗	1.20	547k	2022-02-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.617618	0.616278	-0.22%	0.594043	-3.82%	0.0245	✗	1.18	3.5M	2022-02-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2852	0.28457	-0.22%	0.273	-4.28%	0.0165	✗	1.11	538k	2022-02-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2838	0.283163	-0.22%	0.247	-12.97%	0.0553	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.4	6.3856	-0.23%	5.92	-7.50%	0.0325	✓	0.83	428k	2022-02-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.76	2.7531	-0.25%	2.586	-6.30%	0.0079	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1736	0.17316	-0.25%	0.1581	-8.93%	0.0536	✓	0.72	406k	2022-02-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.162	3.1539	-0.26%	2.973	-5.98%	0.0167	✓	0.81	212k	2022-02-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18496	0.184483	-0.26%	0.15998	-13.51%	0.0580	✓	1.62	40k	2022-02-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.34	81.1267	-0.26%	85.07	+4.59%	0.1181	✗	1.36	98.5M	2022-02-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.939	6.9206	-0.27%	6.265	-9.71%	0.0460	✓	1.03	407k	2022-02-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.347	-0.30%	2.168	-7.90%	0.0236	✓	1.07	22k	2022-02-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2514	0.250647	-0.30%	0.2512	-0.08%	0.0591	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.812	1.8058	-0.34%	1.664	-8.17%	0.0136	✓	1.31	1.1M	2022-02-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.11	93.7723	-0.36%	87.64	-6.87%	0.0206	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-02-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.5	2.491	-0.36%	2.42	-3.20%	0.0389	✗	1.30	390k	2022-02-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1035	0.103123	-0.36%	0.0963	-6.96%	0.0137	✗	1.58	1.2M	2022-02-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.916	5.8939	-0.37%	5.766	-2.54%	0.0245	✗	0.89	72k	2022-02-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5079	3.4947	-0.38%	3.0416	-13.29%	0.0805	✓	1.12	2.5M	2022-02-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.03	10.9877	-0.38%	9.9	-10.24%	0.0669	✓	0.72	660k	2022-02-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.1157	-0.39%	0.99	-11.61%	0.0465	✓	1.40	655k	2022-02-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1496	-0.39%	1.0275	-10.98%	0.0579	✓	1.05	239k	2022-02-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.267	1.262	-0.40%	1.132	-10.66%	0.0433	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-02-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9115	2.8998	-0.40%	2.8917	-0.68%	0.0497	✗	1.01	2.8M	2022-02-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013563	-0.42%	0.01266	-7.05%	0.0281	✓	0.78	13k	2022-02-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.67	6.6416	-0.43%	6.41	-3.90%	0.0111	✗	0.90	406k	2022-02-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.109	4.0913	-0.43%	3.6074	-12.21%	0.0577	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.86	20.7669	-0.45%	20.82	-0.19%	0.0656	✗	1.21	10.8M	2022-02-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.786	4.764	-0.46%	4.472	-6.56%	0.0195	✓	0.84	348k	2022-02-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.48	5.4543	-0.47%	5.28	-3.65%	0.0089	✗	0.79	377k	2022-02-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1672	0.166397	-0.48%	0.1444	-13.64%	0.0872	✓	1.05	470k	2022-02-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021888	0.021783	-0.48%	0.020617	-5.81%	0.0088	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.758	6.7253	-0.48%	6.6548	-1.53%	0.0366	✗	0.90	4.0M	2022-02-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.934893	-0.54%	0.85	-9.57%	0.0069	✗	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	127.26	126.5566	-0.55%	121.25	-4.72%	0.0241	✗	1.29	59k	2022-02-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.96	51.6661	-0.57%	50.46	-2.89%	0.0507	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-02-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.3097	-0.57%	5.31	-0.56%	0.0547	✗	1.05	682k	2022-02-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.19	30.0181	-0.57%	30.94	+2.48%	0.0804	✗	0.96	830k	2022-02-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.97	15.8702	-0.62%	15.52	-2.82%	0.0408	✗	1.21	72.0M	2022-02-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8744	0.868719	-0.65%	0.827	-5.42%	0.0063	✓	1.07	12.7M	2022-02-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03381	0.033584	-0.67%	0.02516	-25.58%	0.2301	✓	1.13	9.7M	2022-02-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.05	17.9275	-0.68%	15.11	-16.29%	0.1338	✓	0.71	984k	2022-02-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6501	0.645616	-0.69%	0.5475	-15.78%	0.0841	✓	1.55	743k	2022-02-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.89	4.8549	-0.72%	4.37	-10.63%	0.0408	✓	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.82	172.5272	-0.74%	161.12	-7.31%	0.0139	✓	1.05	1.3M	2022-02-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.18	43.8479	-0.75%	42.78	-3.17%	0.0369	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-02-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	162.52	161.227	-0.80%	146.18	-10.05%	0.0245	✓	1.41	9.3M	2022-02-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2471	1.2371	-0.80%	1.8854	+51.18%	0.5041	✗	1.59	119k	2022-02-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8422	1.827	-0.83%	1.9802	+7.49%	0.1126	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-02-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.54	22.3523	-0.83%	20.48	-9.14%	0.0054	✓	1.58	383k	2022-02-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.338	0.335174	-0.84%	0.254	-24.85%	0.2281	✓	0.94	76k	2022-02-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.07	4.0355	-0.85%	7.47	+83.54%	0.6332	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-02-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7974	3.7646	-0.86%	3.0659	-19.26%	0.1550	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.27	4.2319	-0.89%	4.93	+15.46%	0.2176	✗	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-19
STX	Stacks	native	1.52	1.5063	-0.90%	1.31	-13.82%	0.0876	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-02-19
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.7	2.6752	-0.92%	2.74	+1.48%	0.0760	✗	1.00	779k	2022-02-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00616	0.006101	-0.95%	0.0051	-17.21%	0.0739	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-19
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.03	3.001	-0.96%	2.82	-6.93%	0.0101	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7989	4.753	-0.96%	4.2985	-10.43%	0.0361	✓	1.24	399k	2022-02-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.32	6.2563	-1.01%	5.69	-9.97%	0.0440	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.312	3.2778	-1.03%	3.281	-0.94%	0.0476	✗	0.90	502k	2022-02-19
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.950027	-1.04%	1.01	+5.21%	0.1133	✗	1.00	277k	2022-02-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0956	0.094593	-1.05%	0.0806	-15.69%	0.0875	✓	1.39	585k	2022-02-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.781	7.6932	-1.13%	6.873	-11.67%	0.0943	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5785	0.571414	-1.22%	0.5485	-5.19%	0.0141	✗	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.527	3.4833	-1.24%	2.3136	-34.40%	0.3632	✓	0.88	30k	2022-02-19
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.404	2.3718	-1.34%	2.186	-9.07%	0.0295	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0682	0.067264	-1.37%	0.0593	-13.05%	0.0350	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-02-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9446	5.861	-1.41%	5.7961	-2.50%	0.0051	✓	0.31	447k	2022-02-19
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000217	0.000002135	-1.60%	0.00000202	-6.91%	0.0034	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.07	19.7444	-1.62%	20	-0.35%	0.0736	✗	1.17	25.0M	2022-02-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8439	84.3892	-1.69%	84.5568	-1.50%	0.0769	✗	1.44	315k	2022-02-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.07	26.6078	-1.71%	26.69	-1.40%	0.0624	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-02-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.78	7.6355	-1.86%	6.99	-10.15%	0.0690	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-02-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015897	0.0156	-1.87%	0.015145	-4.73%	0.0314	✗	1.17	630k	2022-02-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,131.85	22,694.03	-1.89%	21,669.76	-6.32%	0.0036	✓	0.96	7.8M	2022-02-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.8733	-1.92%	1.57	-17.80%	0.1043	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-19
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.113599	-2.07%	0.135	+16.38%	0.2247	✗	1.00	72k	2022-02-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4544	0.442995	-2.51%	0.419	-7.79%	0.0376	✗	1.79	32.6M	2022-02-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6015	0.585918	-2.59%	0.4814	-19.97%	0.0977	✓	1.90	1.8M	2022-02-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.7908	-2.76%	2.81	-2.09%	0.0809	✗	1.42	19.1M	2022-02-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0322	0.031291	-2.82%	0.03	-6.83%	0.0344	✗	1.47	490k	2022-02-19
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	2.1509	-3.11%	2.16	-2.70%	0.1079	✗	1.99	1.1M	2022-02-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.15	4.0204	-3.12%	3.87	-6.75%	0.0340	✗	1.39	8.0M	2022-02-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028632	0.027553	-3.77%	0.02609	-8.88%	0.0126	✓	1.29	111k	2022-02-19
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04741	0.0456	-3.82%	0.03967	-16.33%	0.1016	✓	0.72	4.4M	2022-02-19
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2939	1.2375	-4.36%	0.9816	-24.14%	0.1850	✓	0.90	1.8M	2022-02-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.904	4.6134	-5.93%	3.675	-25.06%	0.1796	✓	0.92	909k	2022-02-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.