8=======>

2022-02-08 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1016
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.3%
in alpha space · 66.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0680590.068187+0.19%0.066837-1.80%0.0301✗0.90362k2022-02-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013150.013168+0.13%0.01398+6.31%0.0509✓0.7912k2022-02-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.03140.03144+0.13%0.03092-1.53%0.0267✗0.897.0M2022-02-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.120.1219+0.11%18.44-8.26%0.1066✗1.723.8M2022-02-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8090.809481+0.06%0.826+2.10%0.0080✓1.091.7M2022-02-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1516.1434-0.04%16.17+0.12%0.0101✓1.05604k2022-02-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin133.82133.7315-0.07%131.74-1.55%0.0296✓1.3032.4M2022-02-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4221.4209-0.08%1.33-6.47%0.0800✓1.243.4M2022-02-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045330.045293-0.08%0.04542+0.20%0.0097✓1.1130k2022-02-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.52880.528222-0.11%0.4864-8.02%0.0992✓1.492.2M2022-02-15
SOLSolanaSolana113.58113.4524-0.11%105.61-7.02%0.0855✓1.24182.7M2022-02-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09190.091767-0.15%0.0872-5.11%0.0649✓1.23244k2022-02-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.297.2782-0.16%7.4+1.51%0.0130✗0.321.1M2022-02-15
NANOnanopayBase2.35892.3544-0.19%2.3357-0.99%0.0213✓1.18845k2022-02-15
GTGateEthereum6.81116.7962-0.22%6.9311+1.76%0.0096✗0.894.1M2022-02-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.252.2446-0.24%1.98-12.00%0.1387✓1.181.7M2022-02-15
SCSiacoinnative0.011760.01173-0.25%0.01107-5.87%0.0692✓1.00588k2022-02-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059080.058929-0.26%0.05586-5.45%0.0696✓1.431.3M2022-02-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.923820.92142-0.26%0.86024-6.88%0.0853✓1.48311k2022-02-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.6926.6739-0.27%6.115-8.62%0.0976✓0.9081k2022-02-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.30650.30558-0.30%0.2864-6.56%0.0822✓1.544.1M2022-02-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51593.5052-0.30%3.711+5.55%0.0448✗1.092.5M2022-02-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash335.57334.5028-0.32%343.69+2.42%0.0157✗1.027.9M2022-02-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.12387-0.35%0.1078-13.27%0.1564✓1.561.5M2022-02-15
XYMSymbolnative0.18580.185112-0.37%0.1761-5.22%0.0579✓0.71423k2022-02-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.3441.3389-0.38%1.2264-8.75%0.0993✓1.03292k2022-02-15
KCSKuCoinnative20.23720.1579-0.39%20.577+1.68%0.0055✗1.3410.5M2022-02-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.635.6056-0.43%5.72+1.60%0.0115✗0.78377k2022-02-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.9192-0.44%6.62-4.75%0.0533✓0.81463k2022-02-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.47410.471975-0.45%0.4932+4.03%0.0292✗1.319.3M2022-02-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3710.36932-0.45%0.388+4.58%0.0342✗1.351.8M2022-02-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.573,104.74-0.48%3,186.24+2.14%0.0135✗1.11557.7M2022-02-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.040010.039818-0.48%0.03447-13.85%0.1568✓1.119.1M2022-02-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.8508-0.50%1.8-3.23%0.0418✓1.251.6M2022-02-15
XVGVergenative0.011840.01178-0.51%0.01191+0.59%0.0043✓1.361.3M2022-02-15
ADACardanoCardano1.17641.1704-0.51%1.1087-5.75%0.0666✓1.11113.2M2022-02-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.31228-0.52%0.3139+0.00%0.0073✓1.11538k2022-02-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.7656-0.52%2.73-1.80%0.0244✓1.02504k2022-02-15
QTUMQtumQtum7.07857.0415-0.52%7.5634+6.85%0.0553✗1.44179k2022-02-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102190.101625-0.55%0.09827-3.84%0.0454✓1.0549k2022-02-15
DASHDashDash112.75112.0999-0.58%109.33-3.03%0.0377✓1.132.3M2022-02-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,085.5943,823.57-0.59%44,583.52+1.13%0.0060✗1.00682.8M2022-02-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.44100.829-0.60%97.61-3.78%0.0426✓0.901.5M2022-02-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.0826.9143-0.61%29.09+7.42%0.0669✗0.96543k2022-02-15
LRCLoopringEthereum1.07911.0723-0.63%0.9859-8.64%0.1013✓1.54680k2022-02-15
ZENHorizenBase47.6247.3186-0.63%43.12-9.45%0.1102✓1.54504k2022-02-15
ZECZcashZcash133.12132.2547-0.65%126.04-5.32%0.0624✓1.276.6M2022-02-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223050.022154-0.68%0.022313+0.04%0.0064✓1.212.5M2022-02-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8472.8276-0.68%2.887+1.40%0.0058✓1.341.1M2022-02-15
XVSVenusEthereum9.729.6529-0.69%9.87+1.54%0.0077✗1.292.5M2022-02-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0451.0377-0.70%1.005-3.83%0.0474✓1.372.3M2022-02-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,914.5042,614.90-0.70%44,051.40+2.65%0.0223✗0.9641k2022-02-15
DODODODOEthereum0.5570.553094-0.70%0.54-3.05%0.0400✓1.434.6M2022-02-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.86821.8549-0.71%1.8634-0.26%0.0078✓1.0978k2022-02-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5784.5448-0.72%4.772+4.24%0.0395✗0.83346k2022-02-15
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9312-0.73%4.65+17.42%0.1538✗1.261.9M2022-02-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.836.7802-0.73%6.91+1.17%0.0091✗0.88416k2022-02-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.7966.2892-0.75%63.31-5.21%0.0597✓1.228.1M2022-02-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6413.613-0.77%3.581-1.65%0.0187✓0.87536k2022-02-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15830.157081-0.77%0.151784-4.12%0.0458✓1.037.1M2022-02-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.224052-0.77%0.2217-1.82%0.0261✓1.393.7M2022-02-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13350.132456-0.78%0.1628+21.95%0.1909✗1.373.2M2022-02-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2341-0.82%3.286+0.77%0.0069✓0.81206k2022-02-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.5612.5399-0.83%2.475-3.36%0.0377✓1.0522k2022-02-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.816.7524-0.85%6.26-8.08%0.0881✓1.10789k2022-02-15
UMAUMAEthereum6.516.4543-0.86%6.39-1.84%0.0211✓0.981.9M2022-02-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.8230.5543-0.86%28.67-6.98%0.0804✓1.492.0M2022-02-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.086060.085307-0.88%0.08132-5.51%0.0564✓0.7689k2022-02-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6818040.675614-0.91%0.642394-5.78%0.0633✓1.153.5M2022-02-15
XEMNEMnative0.11630.115221-0.93%0.1143-1.72%0.0197✓1.0435k2022-02-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28150.278887-0.93%0.2792-0.82%0.0110✓1.081.7M2022-02-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.26931.2572-0.96%1.3318+4.92%0.0443✗1.182.3M2022-02-15
IMXImmutableEthereum2.782.7533-0.96%2.48-10.79%0.1149✓0.922.6M2022-02-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.192.1689-0.96%2.16-1.37%0.0187✓1.302.2M2022-02-15
KSMKusamaHydration192.41190.5245-0.98%176.23-8.41%0.0915✓1.211.0M2022-02-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.0631.7424-0.99%33.49+4.46%0.0417✗1.064.0M2022-02-15
UNIUniswapEthereum11.9511.8311-0.99%11.48-3.93%0.0449✓1.3212.9M2022-02-15
RADRadworksEthereum6.136.0666-1.04%5.66-7.67%0.0810✓1.04867k2022-02-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.6821.4545-1.04%20.19-6.87%0.0759✓1.3539.2M2022-02-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59930.593061-1.04%0.5957-0.60%0.0076✓1.071.3M2022-02-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.280023-1.05%0.296+4.59%0.0448✗0.9576k2022-02-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62640.619674-1.07%0.5812-7.22%0.0789✓1.322.7M2022-02-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02391.0129-1.08%0.9706-5.21%0.0550✓1.1029.4M2022-02-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.191.177-1.09%1.21+1.68%0.0127✗1.33523k2022-02-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.3554-1.09%11.15+6.49%0.0661✗0.70660k2022-02-15
XECeCashnative0.000094440.000093404-1.10%0.00008792-6.90%0.0733✓1.145.5M2022-02-15
FTTFTXEthereum46.3945.879-1.10%47.17+1.68%0.0147✗1.1733.0M2022-02-15
QNTQuantEthereum147.49145.8165-1.13%132.67-10.05%0.1057✓1.007.8M2022-02-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.2155.1558-1.14%4.9639-4.81%0.0517✓1.22442k2022-02-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7911.7707-1.14%1.767-1.34%0.0150✓1.151.6M2022-02-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2423940.239639-1.14%0.221086-8.79%0.0921✓1.0324.9M2022-02-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51943.4793-1.14%4.0137+14.05%0.1322✗0.952.0M2022-02-15
HIVEHivenative1.17891.1653-1.16%1.1327-3.92%0.0448✓1.461.9M2022-02-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6327.5429-1.17%7.558-0.97%0.0092✓1.00460k2022-02-15
MINAMina Protocolnative32.9634-1.22%2.77-7.67%0.0819✓1.28407k2022-02-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.4608-1.25%5.09-7.96%0.0840✓1.222.7M2022-02-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.98720.974505-1.29%0.8985-8.99%0.0929✓1.0413.5M2022-02-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007240.007146-1.30%0.00613-15.33%0.1758✓2.0020.0M2022-02-15
XMRMoneroMonero179176.5422-1.37%182.65+2.04%0.0224✗1.041.6M2022-02-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.624.2599-1.38%22.33-9.23%0.0963✓1.1910.5M2022-02-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16380.161526-1.39%0.1666+1.71%0.0192✗1.04362k2022-02-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2316.9895-1.40%17.36+0.75%0.0137✓0.70919k2022-02-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.077502-1.40%0.0747-4.96%0.0490✓1.0921k2022-02-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.4585.233-1.41%93.07+7.66%0.0729✗1.3587.1M2022-02-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.112.0791-1.47%1.971-6.59%0.0678✓1.281.3M2022-02-15
LUNATerraTerra 257.2256.3787-1.47%56.85-0.65%0.0075✓1.418.8M2022-02-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.418.1284-1.48%17.35-5.71%0.0572✓1.1976.9M2022-02-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.658.5187-1.52%7.99-7.63%0.0679✓0.341.6M2022-02-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.2253-1.53%1.92-15.04%0.1630✓1.373.3M2022-02-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.224560.221093-1.54%0.17939-20.11%0.2269✓1.5936k2022-02-15
COMPCompoundEthereum147.97145.6571-1.56%136.04-8.06%0.0826✓1.2865k2022-02-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.75150.739683-1.57%0.6605-12.11%0.1304✓1.53969k2022-02-15
AAVEAaveEthereum184.15181.2167-1.59%172.28-6.45%0.0662✓1.399.8M2022-02-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.9925.5717-1.61%23.7-8.81%0.0937✓1.57405k2022-02-15
API3Api3Ethereum3.853.7866-1.65%4.65+20.78%0.2018✗0.321.5M2022-02-15
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0422-1.68%0.99-6.60%0.0626✓1.00287k2022-02-15
GITCOINGITCOIN8.6538.5033-1.73%7.889-8.83%0.0786✓0.3238k2022-02-15
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1662.1235-1.96%2.46+13.57%0.1359✗1.0066k2022-02-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.3496-2.06%3.18-7.02%0.0675✓1.3920.8M2022-02-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.084713-2.07%0.0929+7.40%0.0767✗1.38548k2022-02-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015360.015042-2.07%0.0136-11.46%0.1175✓1.491.7M2022-02-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168890.016534-2.10%0.017306+2.47%0.0324✗1.182.0M2022-02-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03440.033661-2.15%0.0343-0.29%0.0019✓1.50490k2022-02-15
XTZTezosTezos4.39274.2976-2.16%4.1483-5.56%0.0501✓1.312.3M2022-02-15
MANADecentralandEthereum3.46883.3932-2.18%3.335-3.86%0.0283✓0.982.8M2022-02-15
MOVRMoonriverBase101.761699.4208-2.30%98.6528-3.05%0.0237✓1.42320k2022-02-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54420.531557-2.32%0.4669-14.20%0.1499✓1.8040.2M2022-02-15
SUSHISushiEthereum4.654.5379-2.41%4.43-4.73%0.0394✓1.368.3M2022-02-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.67113.5781-2.53%3.776+2.86%0.0440✗0.8827k2022-02-15
BTTCBTTC0.000002250.000002192-2.56%0.00000222-1.33%0.0013✓1.0015.3M2022-02-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.049120.047857-2.57%0.054953+11.88%0.1251✗1.178.8M2022-02-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030970.000030172-2.58%0.00003122+0.81%0.0185✓1.391.4M2022-02-15
STXStacksnative1.691.6454-2.64%1.58-6.51%0.0518✓1.001.2M2022-02-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,530.1324,839.01-2.71%24,489.02-4.08%0.0248✓0.9411.8M2022-02-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.4229.579-2.76%29.01-4.64%0.0319✓1.1198.1M2022-02-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91811.8642-2.81%2.1748+13.38%0.1472✗0.612.9M2022-02-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.0222.3672-2.84%21.78-5.39%0.0395✓1.1526.9M2022-02-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.07758-2.90%0.0729-8.76%0.0809✓1.6627.8M2022-02-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0143-3.40%1.11+5.71%0.0684✗1.931.0M2022-02-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3191.2738-3.42%1.3864+5.11%0.0674✗1.54106k2022-02-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.118485-3.67%0.121-1.63%0.0098✓1.0081k2022-02-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0342710.032832-4.20%0.029039-15.27%0.1368✓1.25114k2022-02-15
PROPropyEthereum2.232.1223-4.83%2.37+6.28%0.0992✗1.001.7M2022-02-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046280.043883-5.18%0.04668+0.86%0.0506✓1.005.0M2022-02-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.85560.800108-6.49%0.6393-25.28%0.2451✓1.851.8M2022-02-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.35041.2627-6.50%1.3014-3.63%0.0190✓1.002.1M2022-02-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum7.57987.0476-7.02%5.9474-21.54%0.1732✓0.31389k2022-02-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.8315.3013-9.08%5.179-11.18%0.0346✓1.001.0M2022-02-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.